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The Swamp

  • #14,761
  • Jan 21, 2018 1:09pm Jan 21, 2018 1:09pm
Quoting Boulder
For Dollar, the lastest COT as of Tuesday, Jan 16, 2018 shows the institutions net long dollar positions decreased during the last week by 2,087 lots , net positions came to negative 1,247 lots. 647 long positions were added and 2,734 short positions, which 4 times of longs positions, were added as well . Now Longs total 34,116 lots vs shorts total 35,363 lots . 49% long exposure vs 51% short exposure , Longs drop 2% and shorts add 2% from the previous week Price moved from 92.58 high on 1/10/2018 to 90.34 low on 1/16/2018 and closed at 90.47, Larger...
targeting 81 myself.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,762
  • Jan 21, 2018 1:13pm Jan 21, 2018 1:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} targeting 81 myself.
you and edy.... I can't argue with your two pros.....even though I don't like it.. I believe the price is heading there...
  • #14,763
  • Jan 21, 2018 2:42pm Jan 21, 2018 2:42pm
Xe
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #14,764
  • Jan 21, 2018 3:47pm Jan 21, 2018 3:47pm
Quoting ill_be_back
Xe {image}
An active Sunday/Monday is likely, then a calm pa till Draghi...

Eyes on BoJ as well...
  • #14,765
  • Jan 21, 2018 9:16pm Jan 21, 2018 9:16pm
Got some, Will re-enter SHORT if this goes back up to DOL
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #14,766
  • Jan 21, 2018 9:51pm Jan 21, 2018 9:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if the case, the week closed higher. i suspect you will be able to sell higher. maybe 2289/66 area
it did gap to the higher area 2268/89. like the higher week close indicated. next thing that is probably not be bearish is L day closing 2228+. if so the dip 216x/2228 may be a buy. that mid week mark about 2197..
not bearish doesn't necessarily mean bullish, it still needs the 2289 L day close. the b/o. closing above 2268 could be a start.

even a 00:30 close above 2289 is a posible b/o north..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,767
  • Jan 21, 2018 9:56pm Jan 21, 2018 9:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if next week retraces this week some.. 2166/2228.. 2197 is in the middle.. it tested 2227 and 2166. it failed there just like 2289. i am still long with the trend..
it didnt take long.. bears need closes below 2228 and 2166.. -2223 is stronger than 2228..but 2228 is probably the real thing
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,768
  • Edited 10:56pm Jan 21, 2018 10:15pm | Edited 10:56pm
Thanks for the gap up, I did short one at open 2268 and closed all my manual trades..60+
For me, EU still looks good for a more pullback...I don't plan to open any longs till H1 reverses its downtrend..
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  • #14,769
  • Jan 21, 2018 10:21pm Jan 21, 2018 10:21pm
usd gaining some on the bonds.. it has a HH.. although the eu closes are higher. its fundis are building a better case on usd rising some. in conflict with the eu higher week close.. rates rising could help usd rise.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,770
  • Edited 10:49pm Jan 21, 2018 10:23pm | Edited 10:49pm
I unpaused ea today, system opened a short position for EURUSD in H1 timeframe.. not good spot.. I will see how it will play out....try to target 2166
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  • #14,771
  • Edited 10:57pm Jan 21, 2018 10:39pm | Edited 10:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
usd gaining some on the bonds.. it has a HH.. although the eu closes are higher. its fundis are building a better case on usd rising some. in conflict with the eu higher week close.. rates rising could help usd rise. {image}
In the case of rising dollar, euro will be the first leading the way down,. Last week, dollar selling against nine IMM currency in week to Jan 16. all other currency bought except EUR , which its long reduced,...But any rising dollar, for me its just temporary ...
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  • #14,772
  • Edited Jan 22, 2018 12:08am Jan 21, 2018 11:48pm | Edited Jan 22, 2018 12:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} maybe even less than before, the drop will affect the ratings.
there are four components to the rating, pretty sure volatility is in one of them....

have you been looking at any small caps, with the exception of Bitcoin, a lot of these larger coins look pricey....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #14,773
  • Jan 22, 2018 2:13am Jan 22, 2018 2:13am
support at 1.2192 to start this week....will look to long on a test...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #14,774
  • Jan 22, 2018 2:28am Jan 22, 2018 2:28am
risking long here aim for 1.235 sl below week low
  • #14,775
  • Edited 3:51am Jan 22, 2018 2:56am | Edited 3:51am
Quoting ill_be_back
Got some, Will re-enter SHORT if this goes back up to DOL {image}
Pending SHORT,
Cancelled
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #14,776
  • Jan 22, 2018 5:43am Jan 22, 2018 5:43am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} In the case of rising dollar, euro will be the first leading the way down,. Last week, dollar selling against nine IMM currency in week to Jan 16. all other currency bought except EUR , which its long reduced,...But any rising dollar, for me its just temporary ... {image}
not so sure.. oil wto just over 70.4x and brent 73 area may be pricey too. that could weigh some on the gbp since it has a bunch of oil stock, cad, aud.. oil still has a little room to rise. but once in that above area. it may get hard. for oil and commodity (oil)based currency. ez economy looks to be moving along improving. usd drop may have more to do with the usd just moving higher from 2014/2016 needing to retrace before going higher.
w/o any input on my thoughts or biass. the year, quarter, month, and week have closed higher for eu. chart wise to reach 1.3495, it would need to get apove the rung at 2289 and close a larger tf.. baby steps would be a 30 minute one. A day week would be better. it could hang around these 120 pips from 2166 to 2289 a long time b4. rising above or sinking below. with a higher close on the week, i look to the day now. bullish is what i see. but its bullish into a Resistance.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,777
  • Jan 22, 2018 5:51am Jan 22, 2018 5:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not so sure.. oil wto just over 70.4x and brent 73 area may be pricey too. that could weigh some on the gbp since it has a bunch of oil stock, cad, aud.. oil still has a little room to rise. but once in that above area. it may get hard. for oil and commodity (oil)based currency. ez economy looks to be moving along improving. usd drop may have more to do with the usd just moving higher from 2014/2016 needing to retrace before going higher. w/o any input on my thoughts or biass. the year, quarter, month, and week have closed higher for eu....
the same as before .. even with a new LDay close higher.. i still have to use caution if it not above 2289.. the same as a lower L day close and 2223. caution still needed above 2166. many more below 210x 2001 1917.. and so forth. even the 2018 high -1201 sum of X, -1201 could be a support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,778
  • Jan 22, 2018 6:06am Jan 22, 2018 6:06am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} there are four components to the rating, pretty sure volatility is in one of them.... have you been looking at any small caps, with the exception of Bitcoin, a lot of these larger coins look pricey....
yeah.. that's what i was trying to say..dec /jan had a bunch of volatility. i know it was taken into account for a rating. I had ripple as somewhat a good sound idea for banks transferring money. my hope was the rating would cripple the price some because of the volatility component of lately. And i could but ripple for less than 50 cents. that same volatility in the rating may have made some stable. ripple from 45 cents to 3.2x in month i am hoping it did give it a bad grade. I am liking it because of bank transfers. I may be wrong, because someone else out there like bitcoin, ethereum or whoever may cut out the banks altogether. Someones new/better mousetrap may bypass the banking system altogether. that could make my pro ripple stance obsolete.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,779
  • Jan 22, 2018 6:25am Jan 22, 2018 6:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah.. that's what i was trying to say..dec /jan had a bunch of volatility. i know it was taken into account for a rating. I had ripple as somewhat a good sound idea for banks transferring money. my hope was the rating would cripple the price some because of the volatility component of lately. And i could but ripple for less than 50 cents. that same volatility in the rating may have made some stable. ripple from 45 cents to 3.2x in month i am hoping it did give it a bad grade. I am liking it because of bank transfers. I may be wrong, because...
smaller eu chart set, is still that coil flip. 2070 or 2423. Trend wise helps the higher.

i hope the crypto rating kicks some good buys in the nutz, setting up some cheap buys.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,780
  • Jan 22, 2018 6:59am Jan 22, 2018 6:59am
ranging like shit since 8 days... waiting for 1.2288 then 1.2115 and 1.19xx or vice versa. bored to hell
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
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