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  • #8,741
  • Jan 11, 2018 8:58am Jan 11, 2018 8:58am
Good news for eur 2days and can not close over 1.2100 or even hit it ????? why ?

  • #8,742
  • Jan 11, 2018 9:01am Jan 11, 2018 9:01am
Quoting Dingoman-two
{quote} WE MIGHT JUST GET IT 15 MIN CHART HAS A BEARISH ENGULFING CANDLE Screenshot 2018-01-11 23.26.39.png {image}

USD Index is starting to turn bullish 15 min chart

could be the start of a reversal if so get ready for a great run.

Screenshot 2018-01-12 00.59.11.png
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  • #8,743
  • Jan 11, 2018 9:02am Jan 11, 2018 9:02am
Quoting vip3644534
Good news for eur 2days and can not close over 1.2100 or even hit it ????? why ?
More Market Maker's "games." They love to go against the obvious to most traders so they can get your money...
  • #8,744
  • Jan 11, 2018 9:21am Jan 11, 2018 9:21am
Quoting vip3644534
Good news for eur 2days and can not close over 1.2100 or even hit it ????? why ?
120 pip bull run on a 80 pip ADR(5) isn't good enough?
  • #8,745
  • Jan 11, 2018 9:39am Jan 11, 2018 9:39am
there will probably be a push to 1.21 if the US CPI data is bad tomorrow, best to stay out of this pair today
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #8,746
  • Jan 11, 2018 9:49am Jan 11, 2018 9:49am
Nice down pin bar on the 4 H which is about to close. This has to eventually get down to the 1.19760 area to re-touch the 30 Min 200 SMA that it counter crossed today on its way up...
  • #8,747
  • Jan 11, 2018 9:56am Jan 11, 2018 9:56am
..I've layered in shorts at 1.2042 (Distribution zone) and 1.2023
  • #8,748
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:11am Jan 11, 2018 10:11am
Quoting Pipfu
{quote} Took a closer look, looks like we have some breathing room on the timeframe. The next twenty four hours to get bullish, or the bulls are in trouble.
They sure did it. Crafty bulls
  • #8,749
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:23am Jan 11, 2018 10:23am
Quoting vip3644534
{quote} Errrrrrrrrrrrrrr economy is not a game ECB SOME COMFORT IN WAGE DYNAMICS BUT INFLATION A CONCERN ===== fake China Officials Said To Recommend Slowing Or Halting Treasury Buying ===== fake {image}
Yea , it is a game , a big chess game to large,, very large sums of money trying to make even larger sums . The economies and fundi reports are just strategy pieces of it used to gyrate the mkts back and forth to give one sum an advantage over other sums . Retail traders and even smaller hedge funds are just pawns in this game . In spite of our lowly status on the totem pole , we have one distinct advantage believe it or not ,,, we can dart back and forth to which ever side is winning at the moment and there in lies our challenge,figuring out which side is winning ,,,,,,,The large sums are at a crossroads atm . One big juicy tgt left higher is the 50% level of the big drop, one poke thru 2096 should put it there ,,,,another large sum is trying to keep that from happening atm The daily chart took a whole quarter to make the pattern that got us to the current level , who is gonna win , I would say a daily close above this quarters open or especially above last quarters high may about do it along with being above this weeks open and arguing around weekly pivot atm . My money is on the 2165 coming soon . cheers all
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  • #8,750
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:25am Jan 11, 2018 10:25am
1.231 is a significant price level or me, that's why I shorted it from there on Monday. And no surprise it is being supported there now. A break/acceptance below that price means bearish again, imo..
  • #8,751
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:27am Jan 11, 2018 10:27am
Yep Digger - got that level market off my chart too
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  • #8,752
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:27am Jan 11, 2018 10:27am
Quoting MrPresident
there will probably be a push to 1.21 if the US CPI data is bad tomorrow, best to stay out of this pair today
I wouldnt be surprised that the US CPI data will be bad tomorrow. All the data till now has been bad. The EURO is expected to reach 1.21
  • #8,753
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:33am Jan 11, 2018 10:33am
Quoting FXClarity
Yep Digger - got that level market off my chart too {image}
Plays out like a book with every chapter the same ,,,,,,,if and when that 2165 gets hit the retail sediment will start turning to predominantly long ,,,,,,,,much like its been short this whole trip up
  • #8,754
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:34am Jan 11, 2018 10:34am
Quoting honesttrader
{quote} I wouldnt be surprised that the US CPI data will be bad tomorrow. All the data till now has been bad. The EURO is expected to reach 1.21
I wouldn't be surprised if it is better than expected. Prices are rising. Should reflect in the numbers eventually. Either way, not sure this number will even move the market. Seems to be a disconnect with economic numbers lately.
  • #8,755
  • Jan 11, 2018 10:35am Jan 11, 2018 10:35am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Plays out like a book with every chapter the same ,,,,,,,if and when that 2165 gets hit the retail sediment will start turning to predominantly long ,,,,,,,,much like its been short this whole trip up
The way its headed, I wouldn't be surprised to be offside on these 3 in the morning.

Added - A touch of that swing high (dotted line below) and I'll scalp some profit and de-lever the add-ins
  • #8,756
  • Jan 11, 2018 11:49am Jan 11, 2018 11:49am
Just thought I'd post a chart.

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This is my view of Eur/Usd. The mauve area signifies support and is the area of the 2015 and 2016 highs. This is visible on the monthly charts. Interesting that it has provided support in this daily up trend. Then we have the gold area which signifies the lows of 2012 and provides the overhead resistance. Anyway, looks like we are having a really strong run at this resistance again, which is a very bullish move. I'm not going to explain the fundamentals which are also very bullish as it would take too long. Nice little grey rectangles - weekly support and very strong rejection of this area.
Gone to a better place
  • #8,757
  • Jan 11, 2018 11:57am Jan 11, 2018 11:57am
EU is tired
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  • #8,758
  • Jan 11, 2018 12:18pm Jan 11, 2018 12:18pm
Quoting mizi123
EU is tired {image}

I suppose it may be to do with London closed and New York being late in the day? What do you think?

I'm guessing you are trying to scalp this pair. I am looking at days/weeks/months.
Gone to a better place
  • #8,759
  • Jan 11, 2018 12:22pm Jan 11, 2018 12:22pm
Price action update.

Price made the significant up move as predicted from the 10 of jan i was a cycle early and bagged 23 pips but then the next cycle price hit my 1.1200 and broke beyond that.
I had a new swing low which needs to be broken in order to have a bearish bias.
I said price would move up before seeing consolodation which would be followed by a complex pull back to either of these levels
1.1200 ish
1.1966 ish
1.1940 (swing low and unlikely)

What now?
Price is showing its tired i think this maybe a good area for a short (counter trend) which i wont take as you guys know. I forsee price dropping from here as the start of a complex pull back.

Other options?
This could just be price taking a break before heading up north again but this is not likely to happen as of yet in my eyes as price is showing de-acceleration into resistance.

Simple terms?
Price is doing what i expected it to do the EU is tired and around these levels could be agressive well managed counter trend short avaliable.
However due to volume i tend to stay out during asian session and the fact i dont counter trend trade as these are LOW PROBABILITY set ups.

As always price will do what it does and i can be complete wrong, however 3 good calls have netted me pips and i hope you guys benifted from my analysis too.
  • #8,760
  • Jan 11, 2018 12:31pm Jan 11, 2018 12:31pm
Quoting smikester
{quote} I suppose it may be to do with London closed and New York being late in the day? What do you think? I'm guessing you are trying to scalp this pair. I am looking at days/weeks/months.
Honestly im expecting something like these to happend tomorow and end of the week , bearing in mind that USD/JPY is forming inverted H&SH pattern on strong support zone (with corelation betwen both of them) next week will be another berish week of EU in my eye let's see
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