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C-12's Supply, Demand and PA thread

  • #5,961
  • Edited 4:21pm Dec 27, 2017 4:00pm | Edited 4:21pm
Quoting jack411
I {quote} What economic storm do you speak of? I know we’re overdue for a recession. Is that it? I’ve also started stacking bullion again. I’m going to try to avoid higher premium stuff and buy as close to spot as I can. eBay- jmbullion, apmex, etc have accounts and they’re also well known companies with websites for buying. They have sales on eBay sometimes though too.
I don't think we'll get a recession in 2018 since the central banks are now beginning a rate hiking cycle as inflation is just starting to pick up.

It wont take too many rate rises to eventually push things back into recession and into another crisis (similar to 2008 but worse). In the UK, householders can't deal with even a 100 basis point rise in rates before mortgage defaults cascade through the system.

The governments will not be able to bail out the system. They'll either sacrifice the currency or allow a deflationary death spiral.

The best solution would be to hedge against either scenario with everything out of risky assets and into cash and gold. This might be early but best to be prepared.

I know I've recently trashed crypos but one I am actually interested in is IOTA. This crypto fixes a lot of the problems of Bitcoin (ie - the ponzi style mining, transaction fees, network speed etc). Even Microsoft are testing it's potential as more than just a digital currency.

At $3.50 per coin, this might be worth a small punt.
  • #5,962
  • Dec 28, 2017 1:11am Dec 28, 2017 1:11am
Hi C-12,
What information does the chaos indicator give you when selecting trades?

Regards
Rob
Your trade order needs to be in the right place at the right time.
  • #5,963
  • Dec 28, 2017 1:43am Dec 28, 2017 1:43am
Quoting Islandfx911
Hi C-12, What information does the chaos indicator give you when selecting trades? Regards Rob
An older post on it, saves retyping it.

Quoting C-12
{quote} It's a 1 - 2 - 3 level indicator of swing points based on the zigzag indicator. I'm not interested in levels 1 or 2 so removed them. It's not a trade decision maker since it repaints, but I sure miss it when it's not attached to the chart. If you look at EU H4 you can see we've printed 2 significant up waves and a down wave. We haven't yet done so on daily. That's really all it provides.
  • #5,964
  • Dec 28, 2017 2:25am Dec 28, 2017 2:25am
Last one on EU. Seems like this trade has taken a long time to play out...
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  • #5,965
  • Dec 29, 2017 3:13am Dec 29, 2017 3:13am
Some on NU, I think there's plenty of room for this one to run.
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  • #5,966
  • Dec 29, 2017 3:19am Dec 29, 2017 3:19am
UJ, probably premature on the this exit since the dollar is getting smashed across the board.
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  • #5,967
  • Dec 29, 2017 6:24am Dec 29, 2017 6:24am
Been spending a lot of time researching more into Cryptos. I really had no idea how much the public is heavily invested. I thought the UK housing mania of the last 15 years was insane but this is next level stuff.

There are absolutely tons of Youtube channels of Cypto gurus with hundreds of thousands of subscribers pumping various startup Altcoins and ICO's.

People are just blinding following these gurus with no idea what they're buying, with no exit strategy (and not a clue how to read a price chart). An example of the stuff going on. This guy got lucky but I can imagine many people are going to get their asses handed:

Inserted Video
  • #5,968
  • Edited 11:20am Dec 29, 2017 11:07am | Edited 11:20am
All out of EU now and done for this year. It looks like going higher but will be plenty opportunities to get back onboard next year.

Gold looks very good.
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  • #5,969
  • Dec 29, 2017 12:28pm Dec 29, 2017 12:28pm
Quoting C-12
All out of EU now and done for this year. It looks like going higher but will be plenty opportunities to get back onboard next year. Gold looks very good. {image}

Have a good New Years C. And yes, gold and silver are doing nice!
  • #5,970
  • Dec 31, 2017 10:53am Dec 31, 2017 10:53am
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Success is a Journey Not a Destination....... kind regards ramzam
  • #5,971
  • Jan 2, 2018 3:01pm Jan 2, 2018 3:01pm
Dollar has weakened considerably, will be interesting how long the trend continues. I am riding the trend.

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Your salary is the bribe they give you to forget your dreams
  • #5,972
  • Edited 3:34pm Jan 2, 2018 3:19pm | Edited 3:34pm
UJ has met with a strong demand zone, lets see if it gets broken.

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Your salary is the bribe they give you to forget your dreams
  • #5,973
  • Jan 2, 2018 3:26pm Jan 2, 2018 3:26pm
AU
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Your salary is the bribe they give you to forget your dreams
  • #5,974
  • Edited 3:44pm Jan 4, 2018 2:39pm | Edited 3:44pm
Nicely done.

I've barely traded at all this year as I've been trying wrap my head around this whole crypto currency business. This may sound ridiculous but I'm seriously concerned it has the potential to bring down the entire financial system over the coming years.

I can imagine a future where money evaporates out of stocks, commodities, bonds, bank accounts and gets sucked into this unregulated pyramid system of exponential returns.

The current crypto market cap is almost $1trillion and growing rapidly. It may be well over $10trillion in a couple of years. Right now the exchanges can't keep up with the scramble to buy these Altcoins. Binance has just shut it's doors on new registrations so expect to see an a fresh wave of unregulated exchanges opening over the next year.

I've honestly got no idea even how anyone can prepare for it. Even if you buy these coins now, there's no guarantee you'll eventually be able to do anything with them.

Eventually people wont be able to cash out since there wont be any bank to transfer to. There will be complete blackouts as energy suppliers and ISP's are unable to maintain their networks. How will cryptocoins help in this environment? This sounds like a doomsday scenario but may be where we're heading and its probably too late to stop it.
  • #5,975
  • Jan 4, 2018 5:07pm Jan 4, 2018 5:07pm
Hi @C-12

Would you mind to share your chaos semafor setting please? I like your setting and seems you have more swing points on the chart as well.
I downloaded your indicator and template from page #1 but my chart looks different from your.

Thanks
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  • #5,976
  • Jan 4, 2018 5:09pm Jan 4, 2018 5:09pm
Quoting Merka
Hi @C-12 Would you mind to share your chaos semafor setting please? I like your setting and seems you have more swing points on the chart as well. I downloaded your indicator and template from page #1 but my chart looks different from your. Thanks {image} {image}
Just hit the reset button and disable the alerts.
  • #5,977
  • Jan 4, 2018 5:52pm Jan 4, 2018 5:52pm
Quoting C-12
{quote} Just hit the reset button and disable the alerts.
Solved.
Thanks
  • #5,978
  • Jan 5, 2018 7:44am Jan 5, 2018 7:44am
Happy 2018 everyone!

My first homerun trade this year.

New H4 zone formed(blue), saw stacked M15 zones(red) so entered at retrace.
It worked out well with the news.
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  • #5,979
  • Jan 5, 2018 7:53am Jan 5, 2018 7:53am
Fastball down the middle.

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Illegitimi non carborundum - Noli pati a scelestis opprimi.
  • #5,980
  • Jan 5, 2018 9:50am Jan 5, 2018 9:50am
Quoting C-12
Nicely done. I've barely traded at all this year as I've been trying wrap my head around this whole crypto currency business. This may sound ridiculous but I'm seriously concerned it has the potential to bring down the entire financial system over the coming years. I can imagine a future where money evaporates out of stocks, commodities, bonds, bank accounts and gets sucked into this unregulated pyramid system of exponential returns. The current crypto market cap is almost $1trillion and growing rapidly. It may be well over $10trillion in a...
just a food of thought.
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I was lucky enough to invest in ripple before the big push. I am keeping it long term, even if the bubble bursts in few years...
Your salary is the bribe they give you to forget your dreams
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