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Auric forecasts

  • #21
  • Nov 14, 2017 7:04pm Nov 14, 2017 7:04pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Ok here it is.. Just entered the order... It seemed IDEAL entry point... I am very confident to short 25PIPs... TP 1.1765 (price now 1.1791)... So you can get cca 25PIPs out of this... SL is up to you, for now
Bellow is just a graphical presentation on how it should follow... although only TP is important, let's see how closely it will follow the predicted line.
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Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #22
  • Nov 15, 2017 5:16pm Nov 15, 2017 5:16pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Bellow is just a graphical presentation on how it should follow... although only TP is important, let's see how closely it will follow the predicted line. {image}
Well yea, the trade is/was not scalpable it seems, haven't mention thought, but still, would prefer if it was... First it started good with slight offset but then it went to the other direction, seemed lost, now it is returning, almost hit TP, specialy if we look candles... I'm confident it will hit TP soon.


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Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #23
  • Nov 16, 2017 5:27pm Nov 16, 2017 5:27pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Well yea, the trade is/was not scalpable it seems, haven't mention thought, but still, would prefer if it was... First it started good with slight offset but then it went to the other direction, seemed lost, now it is returning, almost hit TP, specialy if we look candles... I'm confident it will hit TP soon. {image}{image}
Hello, signal hit, finally It went up before it went out but I'm satisfied.. not ideal but ok, would be happy if all trades would be at least like that... Anyway, since I posted predicted path, here is after-math from which you could derive your own conclusions of luck vs.. The path came after, twice (mirrored cyan lines, paralels from predicted yellow one, see previous posts), first it almost hit, I was too greedy, should have taken 20PIPs but in order to hit full 25PIPs it needed another "ECHO". Just a brief comment since I posted "the path" this time... Think what you will, too little data so far I gues.. Will prob. post more next year (2018), so far this is it.

Btw, who of you wanted to squeeze me out of position and offset/delayed my trade? Jk

So happy NY guys and all around it... Hopefully I would post more... Please don't forget to vote so that I see what type of TE should I start posting next year should things go well...

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  • #24
  • Nov 22, 2017 4:50pm Nov 22, 2017 4:50pm
would you believe? posting in retrospect... you can't know if its real since I didn't timestamp... I lost hope as you see (closed the trade)... but it went almost exactly.. with an offset... Luck or juice if you assume it was real prediction (purple) line?

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Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #25
  • Nov 22, 2017 4:55pm Nov 22, 2017 4:55pm
But here is one timestamped ahead... TP (SHORT) cca 25PIPs.... 1.1791 (price now 1.1817). This one is really last for 2017
Hope the previous trade aka predicted line... is done... so I'm calculating the next bellow... hopefully it would HIT soon...
preferably along the line, as close as possible... paralel slope with as little offset as possible of course #thebank

btw I have little to no doubt it will hit, the only question is how fast.... since this trade is completely aligned with my overall trend prediction that I am btw extending to at least 25FEB18, but looking to maybe 25MAY18... will get back to you on the last one if all goes well, to (re)confirm...

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  • #26
  • Nov 23, 2017 2:26pm Nov 23, 2017 2:26pm
Here is mid-status report... it didn't went clean down.. as hoped... there are two explanations for this..

eitherr I re-entered the market too soon (misjudged the inflection point too close... very hard to calculate from (rapid) changing from buy to sell or vice versa, previous (predicted/calculated) trade didn't yet settle, still afterburns.. went above the target, should have maybe waited for buy market to settle first... but the new (sell) trade will come in play with delay... I am almost not uncertain in this...

or it was just luck before (all along), not a succ. model prediction... u be the judge.. will post if it hits in the next day or two.. otherwise you will have to check for yourself... since I won't follow till feb18... as I have stated many times before, but this time it is for real...

Not good for scalpers.. I haven't promoted this trade as such, but still... Would be gold for IB folk... should it hit in reasonable time.. which I am sure it will...

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Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #27
  • Nov 23, 2017 3:38pm Nov 23, 2017 3:38pm
on a side note... if I would enter the market now.. still the same TP level.. would enter higher lev...
it seems market approaching local limit/saturation... it wold fall soon, I believe.. atm 63PIPs away from TP..
so even greater opportunity maybe

c u

*will see how it is till morning... but it seems opport. rising for high-lev short...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #28
  • Nov 24, 2017 4:15pm Nov 24, 2017 4:15pm
Quoting auricforecas
Here is mid-status report... it didn't went clean down.. as hoped... there are two explanations for this.. eitherr I re-entered the market too soon (misjudged the inflection point too close... very hard to calculate from (rapid) changing from buy to sell or vice versa, previous (predicted/calculated) trade didn't yet settle, still afterburns.. went above the target, should have maybe waited for buy market to settle first... but the new (sell) trade will come in play with delay... I am almost not uncertain in this... or it was just luck before (all...
the trade went to s... but I am confident the TP will still hit... just a heavy disturbance in between...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #29
  • Dec 5, 2017 2:30pm Dec 5, 2017 2:30pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} the trade went to s... but I am confident the TP will still hit... just a heavy disturbance in between...
came close, less than 10PIPs away... it might come around now... Still good for IBs... Will see... just shorted... TP 1.1790 (price now 1.1822).
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #30
  • Dec 5, 2017 5:15pm Dec 5, 2017 5:15pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} came close, less than 10PIPs away... it might come around now... Still good for IBs... Will see... just shorted... TP 1.1790 (price now 1.1822).
latest screenshot... here is how I predict it to go...
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  • #31
  • Dec 6, 2017 1:46pm Dec 6, 2017 1:46pm
TP finally hit... It hit this time and would hit the last signal, just with heavy counter movement first...
The last signal (same TP as previous) was scalpable altough haven't noted that, suspected...

Previous signal also did hit, but with massive antimovement and delay... but still good, depending on your style.. for IBs it was still good/gold...

And on a side note I must say this... all the prices that I posted on this whole forum, not just this thread... did hit TP... all of them.. even 190.. so
if you would trade my trades in a row.. all your trades would hit... would just have to have more patience and much more loose leverage if any

So it seems there might be something, but can't be sure in forex... we are all one trade away...

so hopefully it looks at least plausible, for some of you... IBs welcome... for others, *cases... I would post TE in 2018.. with the style with most votes...

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  • #32
  • Dec 6, 2017 1:50pm Dec 6, 2017 1:50pm
report of previous trade... it did hit as you can see.. just a masive disturbance.. but as I have said many times... prices always eventually follow my model... so far... 7+ years... but still gathering data... anything less than 5sigma....
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  • #33
  • Dec 7, 2017 4:15pm Dec 7, 2017 4:15pm
hello.. bellow is my trade, posting in retrospect... it was my last BUY trade for a long time.... specially for this year of 2017...

Switching trade direction so close/quick is hardest.. since it is not yet "known" (for "sure")... if there was a inflection point yet or if there will still be inertia, afterburn of previous trend/ade...

anyway... here it is bellow... I entered TP yesterday after sell was TP success... put TP 182... but canceled (lowered TP to almost entry point, did hit, green dot) it later because market was weird.. it seems I made a right decision.. So the explanation why the BUY didn't hit is.. either I am just lucky, although extremely at the times or at least this is how it appears to many... or there really is massive downtrend, finally - for the last 2week it was fake uptrend, bounce... or the third option - the TP of 182 will still hit but with delay... as alway so far... but i don't have time... wont count it in anymore... only SELL from now on, for at least the next 3 months...
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  • #34
  • Dec 12, 2017 1:54pm Dec 12, 2017 1:54pm
well.. I must admit.. went some small buy... to see if it will rebound to 182.. but closed the trade.. got something (9PIPs)... (seen retrospect in chart below)
at the moment... (LIVE atm, same chart bellow) I'm at really last buy for this year distance to TP atm is 7PIPs...
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TP 1.1745 (current price: 1.1738...), so 7pips left

latest snapshot (candles)
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  • #35
  • Dec 12, 2017 2:58pm Dec 12, 2017 2:58pm
well finnaly, did hit TP... I suspected that is is very scalpable but haven't traded as such - just a note in retrospect... opened 3 trades.. as you see... with same TP...
TP was a success..

bellow latest snapshot for comparison... where you can see TP (green dot)...

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  • #36
  • Dec 12, 2017 3:09pm Dec 12, 2017 3:09pm
Ok thanks guys, for reading my posts. I hope they were at least interesting or at least probable in a way that there might be "something" there...

I have said many times, but this time is for real... I'm done posting for 2017.

I'm restating my trend views... I would bet on EUR/USD DOWNTREND till at least 30MAR18.. at which point I will "recalculate the trajectory" again

So that's that... Not much to say at the moment, will see how it goes..

Oh and yes, thanks to the guys that voted... At the moment the first and last choice is fav... Should things go well... I will post live TE with 1-3 the most voted parameters at the end of MAR18... I will also post every trade of those TEs on this forum so that it will be timestamped.
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #37
  • Edited 3:11pm Dec 13, 2017 2:09pm | Edited 3:11pm
Small (additional) reply...

It finally rebounded to 182.. should have had more faith/time

Anyway, I can now say this... all the prices that I posted on this whole forum, not just this thread... did hit TP... all of them.. even this rebound to 182.. so if you would trade my trades in a row.. you would hit every one of them... they haven't been all clean/scalpable thought... but should you trade with small(er but not that small) or no leverage.. you would hit all... which is gold for IBs.. bad for scalpers... but even for the latter.. in the endgame... it would be good, specially since I specified when to scalp...

latest snapshot (candles)
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My trend view still stands btw.

Anyone curious yet how I do it or do you all think it's just luck? Time will tell, you have my trend data... depending on the votes.. I will post live TEs.. with live posts... when I come back, end of mar18...


It seems the third explanation was (also?) correct... about the trend (2nd option) we shall see in the next 3months... About the 1st option, luck... also

Quoting auricforecas
or the third option - the TP of 182 will still hit but with delay... as alway so far... but i don't have time...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #38
  • Dec 13, 2017 4:59pm Dec 13, 2017 4:59pm
Ok, really gone now Talk to you, hopefully, end of march, next year, 2018...

Here is one lats, for the road... I shorted just now... TP1.1802 (price now 1.1825), so arround 23PIPs distance atm...

Won't comment till then, not even bellow trade, either way Take care.

PS.. I have no doubt that it will hit... just not sure how quick.. shoudl be pretty quick.. but even if offset... a hit is still a hit... Would much prefer the quicker, by the line, of course... out of here...
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  • #39
  • Dec 14, 2017 5:17pm Dec 14, 2017 5:17pm
Quoting auricforecas
Ok, really gone now Talk to you, hopefully, end of march, next year, 2018... Here is one lats, for the road... I shorted just now... TP1.1802 (price now 1.1825), so arround 23PIPs distance atm... Won't comment till then, not even bellow trade, either way Take care. PS.. I have no doubt that it will hit... just not sure how quick.. shoudl be pretty quick.. but even if offset... a hit is still a hit... Would much prefer the quicker, by the line, of course... out of here... {image} {image}
The line (direction) was a success... there was a (slight) offset.. not exactly 1:1 scalpable, havent mentioned.. but ok trade (forecast) by my standards...
I have closed the trade before the endline, got only very small profit, cause I didnt have time to follow it... live.. but it (would) hit later...

so ok, that was it.. for the road, from the road... c u, if
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  • #40
  • Dec 18, 2017 4:43pm Dec 18, 2017 4:43pm
lets make last buy for 2017... TP 1.1800 (price now: 1.1781).. so looking for about 19PIPs profit...

Anyone actually reading this? Please vote... End of march, Im posting 1-3 EAs... live

Please note that market is very slow/weird atm.. but TP should hit... with an offset at least...
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