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  • #2,341
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:09am Oct 24, 2017 6:09am
Do people think rate hike is priced in? And will Catalonia swell into bearish sentiment for the Euro project?

A
Humans are naturally hardwired to avoid and detest uncertainty.
  • #2,342
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:15am Oct 24, 2017 6:15am
Quoting CannonScout
Do people think rate hike is priced in? And will Catalonia swell into bearish sentiment for the Euro project? A
they say rate hike from december is already 80% priced in
but i guess it depends of who will be the next president of the fed. things may change if yellen will be no more
MAKE IT RAIN
  • #2,343
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:19am Oct 24, 2017 6:19am
Have reversed I see Massive breakout to the upside. The downside break is taking too much time, Smelling a rat ,have seen this before.
When you see it, BET big.
  • #2,344
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:25am Oct 24, 2017 6:25am
Quoting mihai1986
{quote} they say rate hike from december is already 80% priced in but i guess it depends of who will be the next president of the fed. things may change if yellen will be no more
Who says that? How is it figured?

When will the new chairman be decided/ take office? Didn't Trump say Yellen is doing a good job? I think I read that somewhere.
Humans are naturally hardwired to avoid and detest uncertainty.
  • #2,345
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:30am Oct 24, 2017 6:30am
Aw shucks, I might be the one losing the bet!
  • #2,346
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:31am Oct 24, 2017 6:31am
Quoting CannonScout
{quote} Who says that? How is it figured? When will the new chairman be decided/ take office? Didn't Trump say Yellen is doing a good job? I think I read that somewhere.
i heard it on bloomberg news. that it is 80% priced in because it is a sure thing. it is not just a question... if it will be a rate hike or not.
regarding the next fed chairman, he is considering 3 options. and as far as i understand, one of them is very dovish. and he looks for something like that. so it can be more "in control".
MAKE IT RAIN
  • #2,347
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:36am Oct 24, 2017 6:36am
Quoting kmic14
{quote} If i.m rong i will lose 15-20 pips. I take the risk, not all the trades are winners.
yes..but a 14 win streak is at stake here..
  • #2,348
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:40am Oct 24, 2017 6:40am
Quoting CannonScout
{quote} Who says that? How is it figured? When will the new chairman be decided/ take office? Didn't Trump say Yellen is doing a good job? I think I read that somewhere.
For a guy like Trump it might be more joyful to kick someone out after telling her "she is doing a good job" lol.. just saying..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,349
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:47am Oct 24, 2017 6:47am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} For a guy like Trump it might be more joyful to kick someone out after telling her "she is doing a good job" lol.. just saying.. Stay Green
Yeah true. Can't trust anything the suits say. I have contention though: the Catalonia crisis could provoke other nations to move to autonomy. Like a domino effect. Could be very bad for Euro.
Humans are naturally hardwired to avoid and detest uncertainty.
  • #2,350
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:47am Oct 24, 2017 6:47am
Quoting mihai1986
{quote} i heard it on bloomberg news. that it is 80% priced in because it is a sure thing. it is not just a question... if it will be a rate hike or not. regarding the next fed chairman, he is considering 3 options. and as far as i understand, one of them is very dovish. and he looks for something like that. so it can be more "in control".
All three of them will make dollar long. I think ellen wont be picked.
  • #2,351
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:49am Oct 24, 2017 6:49am
Quoting mihai1986
{quote} they say rate hike from december is already 80% priced in but i guess it depends of who will be the next president of the fed. things may change if yellen will be no more

It's a done deal. Yellen will make a 25 basis point hike before leave.
  • #2,352
  • Oct 24, 2017 7:01am Oct 24, 2017 7:01am
Quoting CannonScout
{quote} Yeah true. Can't trust anything the suits say. I have contention though: the Catalonia crisis could provoke other nations to move to autonomy. Like a domino effect. Could be very bad for Euro.
it is happening in Italy. but in a more profesional way. the 2 richest regions from north italy are in a continuous process of autonomy. they do not want independence, but they want full autonomy.
MAKE IT RAIN
  • #2,353
  • Oct 24, 2017 7:03am Oct 24, 2017 7:03am
Quoting Traderview
{quote} It's a done deal. Yellen will make a 25 basis point hike before leave.
yes. december rate hike is a done deal. because she will be off in february.
but the next chairman may be more dovish and we might not see any rate hikes next year. as kashkari used to say, they need inflation too. can't just hike rates but inflation is too low.
MAKE IT RAIN
  • #2,354
  • Edited 7:57am Oct 24, 2017 7:20am | Edited 7:57am
Should continue..
Bounce count checks off. She's done, stick a fork in her
'We're all sixes n sevens'

17666 17777 dominate the landscape for four months
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  • #2,355
  • Oct 24, 2017 7:47am Oct 24, 2017 7:47am
I was wondering, what is driving dollar this week? And you know what ? Nothing! Rumors, rumors and more speculation! I am watching all pairs all E and U crosses and sometimes when news is coming and you don't see much of reaction on one pair there is one hell of movement on another E pair. It's all pairs up perfectly. Better E data Better chance Dragi will be dowish. If Rate hike already priced in even better. I will take my chances with small orders at start . In worst case loses will be manageable . Till Thursday I am selling dollar.
  • #2,356
  • Oct 24, 2017 8:05am Oct 24, 2017 8:05am
Quoting denisius
I was wondering, what is driving dollar this week? And you know what ? Nothing! Rumors, rumors and more speculation! I am watching all pairs all E and U crosses and sometimes when news is coming and you don't see much of reaction on one pair there is one hell of movement on another E pair. It's all pairs up perfectly. Better E data Better chance Dragi will be dowish. If Rate hike already priced in even better. I will take my chances with small orders at start . In worst case loses will be manageable . Till Thursday I am selling dollar.
If you believe in the notion of "What goes up must come down, and vice versa", then this might be it ...
The EUR had had one of its strongest and longest run against the USD since Jan 2017 from 1.0339 to 1.2091 in Sep 2017, about 17% increase in 8 long months ...
Market is not random but unpredictable
  • #2,357
  • Oct 24, 2017 8:15am Oct 24, 2017 8:15am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} For a guy like Trump it might be more joyful to kick someone out after telling her "she is doing a good job" lol.. just saying.. Stay Green
at what ?
  • #2,358
  • Oct 24, 2017 8:25am Oct 24, 2017 8:25am
Quoting 4for4
{quote} If you believe in the notion of "What goes up must come down, and vice versa", then this might be it ... The EUR had had one of its strongest and longest run against the USD since Jan 2017 from 1.0339 to 1.2091 in Sep 2017, about 17% increase in 8 long months ...
Yep agreed. Everything goes up and down in given period of time! It's forex. Kidding bro. If serious I think we may go back to year 3 same range . Drag keeps QE at same pace, we are going down for sure. No Fed nor Drag could achieve inflation this year.
  • #2,359
  • Oct 24, 2017 8:25am Oct 24, 2017 8:25am
what a great battle this time betweeen bulls and bears, not wanting to bet, but, bulls still pushing up agains bears. if its on youtube, maybe its viewed 1m people now, lol!
  • #2,360
  • Oct 24, 2017 8:27am Oct 24, 2017 8:27am
In 2016 I got trapped in E buy orders when E went down south hard. I am not going to do same mistakes again. This days phrase " trend is your friend " should be rephrased to " PA is your friend ". So I stick to it.
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