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EURUSD only

  • #1,301
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:04am Oct 11, 2017 2:04am
Good Morning Guys!
Attached my drawing and position from Monday. I will start to trail the position with the stops with a projection to the preliminary trendline (currently @1.1779). By the drawing I expect a bounce from 1.183x. Still no target, don't know what can EU achieve... 1.2166? 1.25?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,302
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:11am Oct 11, 2017 2:11am
Quoting Aussi
{quote} he didnt like that move
No bull action for me below 1.1833 (H1 need to close above 1833)
Member
  • #1,303
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:25am Oct 11, 2017 2:25am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} No bull action for me below 1.1833 (H1 need to close above 1833)

Quoting Connors
Just a few pips above weekly piv is the 71.4% - 1.1824. If taken by 20+ pips, no shorts for me since it will penetrate the top of the channel and most likely break it targeting 1.2430s. If it fails, 1.1490s is in the game.

Any hourly close above 71.4% can be nasty for shorts.
  • #1,304
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:46am Oct 11, 2017 2:46am
Quoting Connors
{quote} {quote} Any hourly close above 71.4% can be nasty for shorts.
Tricky spot 1.1830, mate. (38.2% on H4)
...may add FOMC->risky analysis, ...better let the storm to pass away!
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  • #1,305
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:48am Oct 11, 2017 2:48am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Ok, ...anyway, broker loves our action ...we make broker happy! lol {image}
I totaly NOT make my brokers happy. They don't like me, and that's a damn good thing.
If your brokers are happy with you, something is very wrong


On to the charts,
looking ok so far.
Trailed my Stop a llittle bit, lowering risk.
New Stop: 1.17308

We are slightly above intraday mean, that's good.
New support @ 1.1796x
Key level to break @ 1.1836
I stay in my long, not scaling up or down, position remains unchanged except the slightly trailed Stop, reducing 40% risk in the trade.
Should we break and confirm 1.1836x I trail to breakeven.
Keep crawling up bulls, slow and steady

H4 Chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,306
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:53am Oct 11, 2017 2:53am
F*CK !
I missclicked and accidently closed my long trade
Guess I made a broker happy, gave him a good price to cut an "unwanted trade", accidently let him out too cheap
Attached Image
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,307
  • Oct 11, 2017 2:56am Oct 11, 2017 2:56am
Quoting Teek
{quote} I totaly NOT make my brokers happy. They don't like me, and that's a damn good thing. If your brokers are happy with you, something is very wrong On to the charts, looking ok so far. Trailed my Stop a llittle bit, lowering risk. New Stop: 1.17308 We are slightly above intraday mean, that's good. New support @ 1.1796x Key level to break @ 1.1836 I stay in my long, not scaling up or down, position remains unchanged except the slightly trailed Stop, reducing 40% risk in the trade. Should we break and confirm 1.1836x I trail to breakeven....
I have never made a broker happy lol ..but it wasn't my point anyway, you need to improve your irony perception, Raph lol
BTW, very sexy that 41.4% retracement of yours, mate
Member
  • #1,308
  • Oct 11, 2017 3:00am Oct 11, 2017 3:00am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} I have never made a broker happy lol ..but it wasn't my point anyway, you need to improve your irony perception, Raph lol BTW, very sexy that 41.4% retracement of yours, mate
Work on your sarcasm detection mate, I made a joke

Sexy men have sexy Fibs

I am so sad I missclicked there. Was such a fine trade. Closed 54 pips what was aimed for much more.
Hate it when this happens. I rather a lose the entire trade than to missclick-close early for silly 50 pips. That's nothing, f*ck sake... stoopid me...
I did a stoopid
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,309
  • Oct 11, 2017 3:04am Oct 11, 2017 3:04am
Quoting Teek
{quote} Work on your sarcasm detection mate, I made a joke Sexy men have sexy Fibs I am so sad I missclicked there. Was such a fine trade I did a stoopid
Never mind, Raph! Sexy traders are lucky traders ...You gonna nail it next time for sure!
Cheers, my friend!
Member
  • #1,310
  • Oct 11, 2017 3:06am Oct 11, 2017 3:06am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Never mind, Raph! Sexy traders are lucky traders ...You gonna nail it next time for sure! Cheers, my friend!
I DID nail it, that's the drama
wtb new entry please
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,311
  • Oct 11, 2017 3:11am Oct 11, 2017 3:11am
Quoting Teek
{quote} I DID nail it, that's the drama wtb new entry please
already bought tiny lot 1833 ...I'll add more if FOMC will add gas
edit: WTF do the bulls know and the bears don't, before the FOMC?!?!
Member
  • #1,312
  • Oct 11, 2017 3:12am Oct 11, 2017 3:12am
Ok, so, new plan.
I'll call this how I (want to) see it:
- crawling up to 1.1876x
- retrace down and give me a damn new entry (please)
- crawl up, hit my target @1.20x

dammit
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,313
  • Oct 11, 2017 3:30am Oct 11, 2017 3:30am
Las t chart , same one I have been blabbing the play by play analysis lol,,,,,,Ive never understood positions taken just because price reached a certain level,,,,,,,, looking at price action around levels can give one an edge ,,,,,,, a few averages ,, daily opens , previous highs and lows etc ,,,,,,,conspiracy theories,,,,, mkt minipulation etc etc ,,,,the only way a market can be manipulated is by buying or selling ,,,,,, learn to spot it and one can do quite well,,,,,,, the mkt does this sheet day after day month after month etc etc news release after news release ,,,,,, no myth ,,, no magic ,,,,,,, just buying or selling ,,,,,, find the areas the mkt points out use a few simple things that give you a bit of an edge ,,,, watch the tug of war between buyers and sellers and pick the winning side ,,,,,,,I dont always get it right and nothing is too the pip ,,, just areas where the skirmish takes place and a winner . Thats mkts ,,, Join the winner without bias and the pips will come ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Ata ,,,,,,,, sorry for cluttering your thread I will go to my corner and be quiet now lol. Glad you started this and many pips to all .
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  • #1,314
  • Oct 11, 2017 3:45am Oct 11, 2017 3:45am
am back in, somehow. Bad entry, but found a good Stop Level below my 38.6 on the H1.
Squeezing pips, specualting...

oh well, could be worse. Could have accidently closed my 330 pips trade on the Kiwi/Yen
you are not expected to understand this
  • #1,315
  • Oct 11, 2017 4:03am Oct 11, 2017 4:03am
From my experience this uptrend is very short lived. Probably making a pattern. The long trades above 1.19 very dangerous. Dollar has the momentum. Euro valued too much. It already overshoot. As I've mentioned before, the euro will dip 1.15 or lower at the end of the year. I wouldn't also dont short the euro after 1.14. I understand these are very long term but these are the respective trading area.

ECB has lot to catch up interms of monetary policies and balance sheet. FED is way beyond. We will see a hike in december. Euro will rebound after the ECB starts tapering.

I will make the shorts above 1.19 and let it run with low leverage.
  • #1,316
  • Oct 11, 2017 4:08am Oct 11, 2017 4:08am
Quoting Ralffe
{quote} Yes an upside correction is in place which should see around 1.18 & perhaps 1.1880. This will also create a larger H&S with a target nearer the 50% retracement at 1.12.
Possible correction to 1.1780/60 at this point.
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Conventional trading is for losers
  • #1,317
  • Oct 11, 2017 4:38am Oct 11, 2017 4:38am
Quoting Ralffe
{quote} Possible correction to 1.1780/60 at this point. {image} {image}
for the (perfect) symmetry it should retrace to 70 before making it up to 88, right?
  • #1,318
  • Oct 11, 2017 4:44am Oct 11, 2017 4:44am
Quoting Et2017
{quote} for the (perfect) symmetry it should retrace to 70 before making it up to 88, right?
Hi Et,

What do you mean by that? Thanks.

Regards
  • #1,319
  • Oct 11, 2017 4:48am Oct 11, 2017 4:48am
All eyes on how 1.1790-95 behaves, below that I would buy again from 1.1775
  • #1,320
  • Oct 11, 2017 5:19am Oct 11, 2017 5:19am
Daily Outlook and Sweet Spots

Hi folks, I hope you are doing well.. today I wanted to share a Daily chart that also might become the total story for this week..

  1. Daily candles are trying to brake above the daily channel's upper edge (red trendline), but no close yet --> Watching 1.1835/60 area carefully!
  2. Besides the channel itself there is a 2nd supportive trendline (the second blue trendline I drew on chart that crosses into the channel) which, for now, supports daily candles: 1.1790 area..
  3. For a bearish continuation price must go at least all the way down and close below 1.1750/60 area..
  4. I am focusing onto the zone from 1.1835 to 1.1757 and will try to swing trade here, meaning:

    1. I will sell each time price comes closer to 1.1835
    2. I will buy each time comes closer to 1.1757
    3. Of course always after confirmation that I will get from smaller timeframes...

Stay Green

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