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  • #101
  • Sep 18, 2017 2:11pm Sep 18, 2017 2:11pm
Quoting Venomousssss
{quote} still looking for 1.2 before i close this long
I have to admit you have some patience! . Just be careful on Wednesday. Can be unpredictable moves.
  • #102
  • Sep 18, 2017 2:18pm Sep 18, 2017 2:18pm
Quoting denisius
{quote} I have to admit you have some patience! . Just be careful on Wednesday. Can be unpredictable moves.
ayy, indeed. im looking for it before wednesday ideally.
  • #103
  • Sep 18, 2017 2:25pm Sep 18, 2017 2:25pm
Quoting Venomousssss
{quote} ayy, indeed. im looking for it before wednesday ideally.
get a daily close above last weeks 50% level you should get your 1.20 easy enough ,,,,,,personally I think the highs will get taken out ,,,,I got a tgt left at 2292 for the quarter,,,,,ifs it a quick poke then there would be some good divergence on longer charts ,,,,,,,time will tell but 1.20s seems reasonable
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  • #104
  • Sep 18, 2017 2:28pm Sep 18, 2017 2:28pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} get a daily close above last weeks 50% level you should get your 1.20 easy enough ,,,,,,personally I think the highs will get taken out ,,,,I got a tgt left at 2292 for the quarter,,,,,ifs it a quick poke then there would be some good divergence on longer charts ,,,,,,,time will tell but 1.20s seems reasonable {image}
closing my long at 1.2 if its before wednesday is to try for another at 1910 ish. im not looking at shorts until new highs are made either. 2166 being that spot for me..give or take
  • #105
  • Sep 18, 2017 2:51pm Sep 18, 2017 2:51pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} The indi on the bottom window is a simple MACD.. but it uses lines instead of histogram bars.. I changed my own indicator bars to lines by altering the original codefile. My settings are: Fast 2, Slow 44, Signal 6 Stay Green {file}
THANKS for the Indi, will do some R&D on crosses at high profile target.
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Self discipline It is a practice
  • #106
  • Sep 18, 2017 3:29pm Sep 18, 2017 3:29pm
EURSD H1 and Daily Outlook for Tomorrow (Tuesday)

My quick thinking for tomorrow can be seen on image below. Especially H1 is going to be choppy and I expect some whipsaw action tomorrow between the range of 1.1960 and 1.1930 (of course can exceed the edges for +-10 pips), but overall I still believe daily chart will soon push prices lower. For tomorrow bulls might be temporarily in control.. but the longer price stucks below 1.1215 it will help bears to gain more power and bulls to lose steam..

I am not thinking of shorting big before H1-MACD gray line crosses below 0 or before bulls push price higher and begin dancing around 1.1215 area.

We can discuss more inside Frankfurt session tomorrow.. until then I call it a day.. good evening all..

Stay Green
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #107
  • Sep 18, 2017 5:38pm Sep 18, 2017 5:38pm
Looks like we are on the same page! Only difference is daily . No deeper down unless 1670 covered in 1 or 2 days complete. It will bounce from there . But even so if it can make there I am in the right path. Wednesday outcome can change course of E drastic. I will stick to my strategy. If Wednesday looks to dangerous to trade I will not trade at all. You are right about small range for tomorrow. Market participants very cautious at this moment. Nobody wants to risk. Have a good night my friend. See you tomorrow!
  • #108
  • Sep 18, 2017 6:46pm Sep 18, 2017 6:46pm
ehh..1975 could prove enough to burn out the bulls untill a 1910 ish touch..maybe 1901.
  • #109
  • Sep 18, 2017 6:56pm Sep 18, 2017 6:56pm
Quoting Venomousssss
ehh..1975 could prove enough to burn out the bulls untill a 1910 ish touch..maybe 1901.
Nah,,, trading above weekly open ,,,,,,,,above todays open , above weekly pivot , its almost to quietly slip above last weeks 50% level,,,,,,,sold a 2nd hit of last weeks weekly pivot level once,,,, 1992,,,,,will not sell a third ,,,,,,,, a pop to last weeks high at 1.2028 will happen in the blink of an eye,,,, it will seem that way if your in sht from there anyway ,,,,keep the faith man
  • #110
  • Sep 18, 2017 7:01pm Sep 18, 2017 7:01pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} Nah,,, trading above weekly open ,,,,,,,,above todays open , above weekly pivot , its almost to quietly slip above last weeks 50% level,,,,,,,sold a 2nd hit of last weeks weekly pivot level once,,,, 1992,,,,,will not sell a third ,,,,,,,, a pop to last weeks high at 1.2028 will happen in the blink of an eye,,,, it will seem that way if your in sht from there anyway ,,,,keep the faith man
i have my doubts..but im still holding the long regardless because im long for 2166
  • #111
  • Sep 18, 2017 7:06pm Sep 18, 2017 7:06pm
Quoting Venomousssss
{quote} i have my doubts..but im still holding the long regardless because im long for 2166
lol,,,,,,maybe a chart with projections to that area well,,,, actually the high again,,,,, help. its almost to that what the hell just happened point ,,,,,,keep the faith man ,,,,,,uj dropping if that helps ya any lol
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  • #112
  • Sep 18, 2017 8:20pm Sep 18, 2017 8:20pm
1975 is important for everything pre Wednesday. A break above opens the door to 1.201 or 1.230. Failure to close above sends us to 1910 or 1901...time permitting before fomc
  • #113
  • Sep 18, 2017 8:25pm Sep 18, 2017 8:25pm
Quoting Venomousssss
1975 is important for everything pre Wednesday. A break above opens the door to 1.201 or 1.230. Failure to close above sends us to 1910 or 1901...time permitting before fomc
what is the significance of 1975 if ya dont mind me asking ?
  • #114
  • Sep 18, 2017 8:31pm Sep 18, 2017 8:31pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} lol,,,,,,maybe a chart with projections to that area well,,,, actually the high again,,,,, help. its almost to that what the hell just happened point ,,,,,,keep the faith man ,,,,,,uj dropping if that helps ya any lol {image}
I'm short on UJ and also short on EU, though it isn't working well for me on the EU front at the moment.

I live in Asia, so my timing is probably screwy. But I took a short on EU @ 1.1926, reason being I thought support of 1.1930 could be broken, but alas, that does not seem to be the case. What would you think of my positions? I still think EU will try to find 1.1909.
  • #115
  • Sep 18, 2017 8:50pm Sep 18, 2017 8:50pm
Quoting digger1
{quote} what is the significance of 1975 if ya dont mind me asking ?
It found big chunk of sell orders there last week. Been rejected several times on daily chart. Not sure how important it is right now but it was strong level back then. And it's jus above 50 fibo. My opinion. But I am looking at 68-72 fibo to sell.
  • #116
  • Edited 9:28pm Sep 18, 2017 8:50pm | Edited 9:28pm
Quoting Venomousssss
1975 is important for everything pre Wednesday. A break above opens the door to 1.201 or 1.230. Failure to close above sends us to 1910 or 1901...time permitting before fomc
may have found what your looking at ,,quite possible ,,,,,,,on big news tho lots of stops scattered between that and the highs tho,,,,,more than enough to get to the next daily candle that looks like that,,,,,,,hasent been below a rough monthly price average (200sma 4 hour chart) in over 5 months ,,,,,,,,,, has had a hard time staying under a rough daily price average for more than a few days at a time or a good scalp trade against the trend ,,,,,,guess thats why Im looking beyond that 1975 area ,,,,,news spike with the poor short stops for fuel could be sitting ducks on fed day or before ,,,,,,Id bet on your 2176 area before I would 1975 area holding it up long ,,,,,,time will tell man
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  • #117
  • Sep 18, 2017 9:04pm Sep 18, 2017 9:04pm
Quoting denisius
{quote} It found big chunk of sell orders there last week. Been rejected several times on daily chart. Not sure how important it is right now but it was strong level back then. And it's jus above 50 fibo. My opinion. But I am looking at 68-72 fibo to sell.
I hear ya man ,,,,,,,daily volume is definitely acting a little different at these levels ,,,,,,think there is more uncertainty here for sure ,,,,,,I would rather some one elses money turned it tho ,,,, for me above the monthly average it is still trending up ,,,,,,Ive shorted it but took my profits or got stopped out ,,,,,bigger trades were with the trend and it has been up,,,,,and in my view it still is ,,,,,,could be changing but until it has Ill shoot to take out the last high lol,,,,,,,,hope your healing well man
  • #118
  • Sep 18, 2017 10:48pm Sep 18, 2017 10:48pm
Will be watching these 5 levels +- as per chart for macd Indi reaction.
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Self discipline It is a practice
  • #119
  • Sep 19, 2017 12:01am Sep 19, 2017 12:01am
Quoting okshop
Will be watching these 5 levels +- as per chart for macd Indi reaction. {image}
If you noticed, the H1 chart is about to build a Cup and Handle formation.. (I put an example image down below for those who never heard of it)

The formation's top area is a rejection zone but if it breaks price flies quick. That's why the upper zone is very important in our case (1.1995 area). It can fail though and therefore bears shouldn't jump in to sell blindly once we get there..

You know my overall bias is bearish (based on daily) but still I will seek for confirmation first before doing anything.

Stay Green
Attached Image
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #120
  • Sep 19, 2017 12:58am Sep 19, 2017 12:58am
Quoting littlemole85
{quote} Just an update. I bought okshop's sell TP at 1945, so hopefully now we are heading to 1.2. Adjusted my TPs to 1.1991 and stop on BE. See u tomorrow {image}
Stopped on BE, which is quite annoying as the TP has been reached a few minutes ago. After every deal I make a self examination and I try to understand if it was a technical mistake, psychology or bad luck. I moved the stop to BE too early, the market was definitely in a range yesterday, which I couldn't admit. Looking to long it from 1.1961 to 1.2009 with 25 PIP stop
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