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Come at me

  • #261
  • Sep 15, 2017 12:23pm Sep 15, 2017 12:23pm
see where the close will leave me
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  • #262
  • Sep 15, 2017 12:36pm Sep 15, 2017 12:36pm
Quoting Don96
aside from method testing... i like this candle formation more often than not.. {image}
I like the background colours!
(British spelling for you, Don
  • #263
  • Sep 15, 2017 12:51pm Sep 15, 2017 12:51pm
Quoting Don96
see where the close will leave me {image}
probably 1950 ny close
  • #264
  • Sep 15, 2017 1:44pm Sep 15, 2017 1:44pm
Quoting hilmy83
{quote} probably 1950 ny close
I closed them both at 36 and 37. Done. Back testing over the weekend hopefully leaves me with 4 other pairs that give 2-3 net wins a month
  • #265
  • Edited 5:28pm Sep 15, 2017 5:13pm | Edited 5:28pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} I closed them both at 36 and 37. Done. Back testing over the weekend hopefully leaves me with 4 other pairs that give 2-3 net wins a month
UJ 34 wins and 20 Losses, 14 Net Wins from February - September, again not taking into consideration news or moving SL

EU 34 wins and 16 Losses, 18 net wins from January - September

Total for the two at 68 Wins and 35L = 32 Wins over 9 months... thats 3.5 Wins/month on average for these two pairs. not including news it would probably be higher, but for the sake of back testing ill include them. average 2 net wins/month/pair, i trade 6 pairs, thats 12 net wins on average = 24% per month... there is room for improvement. EU's bad months January 5W 5L; March 2W 3L; June 4W 4L; August 2W 2L. UJ's bad months February 1W 2L; April 3W 3L; May 5W 6L; August 3W 3L

ill go over these and compare with the good months, see what the deal is.
  • #266
  • Sep 16, 2017 4:57am Sep 16, 2017 4:57am
Quoting Don96
{quote} UJ 34 wins and 20 Losses, 14 Net Wins from February - September, again not taking into consideration news or moving SL EU 34 wins and 16 Losses, 18 net wins from January - September Total for the two at 68 Wins and 35L = 32 Wins over 9 months... thats 3.5 Wins/month on average for these two pairs. not including news it would probably be higher, but for the sake of back testing ill include them. average 2 net wins/month/pair, i trade 6 pairs, thats 12 net wins on average = 24% per month... there is room for improvement. EU's bad months January...
UCAD gives more losses than wins, unless i can find a filter for the losses on EU and UJ, UCAD i wont trade, it has too much to do with Oil, un-announced OPEC cuts etc etc
  • #267
  • Sep 16, 2017 6:09am Sep 16, 2017 6:09am
Quoting Don96
{quote} UCAD gives more losses than wins, unless i can find a filter for the losses on EU and UJ, UCAD i wont trade, it has too much to do with Oil, un-announced OPEC cuts etc etc
GU tested, 26 Wins, 14 loss, 12 net wins over 6 months, 2 wins per month exact.

Edit: ive come accross a problem, my MP includes the gap when NY closes and Sydney opens... that can give different levels
  • #268
  • Sep 16, 2017 6:31am Sep 16, 2017 6:31am
Quoting Don96
{quote} GU tested, 26 Wins, 14 loss, 12 net wins over 6 months, 2 wins per month exact. Edit: ive come accross a problem, my MP includes the gap when NY closes and Sydney opens... that can give different levels
there are still too many losses/month/pair

as soon as the consistency increases i can increase my Risk %

January gave 12 wins and 10 losses for EU GU and UJ, thats net 2 wins and 4% return for the month, it needs another 4 net wins, each month per pair has to have at least 6 net wins before i can increase the risk, once i see it over 6 months i will slowly increase the risk to a max of 5%

per pair needs 2 net wins per month every month
  • #269
  • Sep 16, 2017 6:59am Sep 16, 2017 6:59am
Quoting Don96
{quote} there are still too many losses/month/pair as soon as the consistency increases i can increase my Risk % January gave 12 wins and 10 losses for EU GU and UJ, thats net 2 wins and 4% return for the month, it needs another 4 net wins, each month per pair has to have at least 6 net wins before i can increase the risk, once i see it over 6 months i will slowly increase the risk to a max of 5% per pair needs 2 net wins per month every month
Adding GU EU and UJ together over the year so far gives 164 Wins - 96 Losses = 68 Net wins = 7.5 Wins / month

So clearly August is the worst month, April isn't great but its positive, and likewise with January.

ill go over August PA and see whats the crack

August was the worst performer over the three pairs but Gu was the worst with 3 Net losses, the other 2 were equal
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  • #270
  • Edited 7:51am Sep 16, 2017 7:31am | Edited 7:51am
Quoting Don96
{quote} Adding GU EU and UJ together over the year so far gives 164 Wins - 96 Losses = 68 Net wins = 7.5 Wins / month So clearly August is the worst month, April isn't great but its positive, and likewise with January. ill go over August PA and see whats the crack August was the worst performer over the three pairs but Gu was the worst with 3 Net losses, the other 2 were equal {image}
here are 3 notable losses on GU in august... the PA is zig zag all day, the entry levels are pretty central to all the cop zone, so the volumes are probably rinsed all day or during the day... the days are more 'D' shape days, so ill go back over the pairs without any indicator and select days that are similar to this and test them out.

after i will select all 'D'shape days regardless of the PA and remove them, and check the results

Its hard to distinguish the days, ill have to go back and check the every day again, see where my entry levels are, and if they are in the middle of the chop, then give them the chop...

as a quick scan, GU got rid of 5 losses and 2 wins by doing a quick chop check...
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  • #271
  • Sep 16, 2017 8:33am Sep 16, 2017 8:33am
Quoting Don96
{quote} Adding GU EU and UJ together over the year so far gives 164 Wins - 96 Losses = 68 Net wins = 7.5 Wins / month So clearly August is the worst month, April isn't great but its positive, and likewise with January. ill go over August PA and see whats the crack August was the worst performer over the three pairs but Gu was the worst with 3 Net losses, the other 2 were equal {image}
hey, will you add an explorer in the fututre ?
  • #272
  • Sep 16, 2017 8:42am Sep 16, 2017 8:42am
Quoting metta87
{quote} hey, will you add an explorer in the fututre ?
i had one, but i moved to Ctrader and that isnt compatible with Forex Factory, ive tried to make a MyFxbook but its not working, still says history is missing
  • #273
  • Sep 17, 2017 11:38am Sep 17, 2017 11:38am
EU gives some good results fewer trades and much fewer losses, max of 2 losses this year. 17 NW in total, im happy to increase the risk if that is the case.

however its the other pairs, AU GU and UCAD UJ hardly any trades. ill test EJ. only thing i haven't tested is previous days, trading levels left on earlier days rather than just the previous day.

it needs more wins still.
  • #274
  • Sep 17, 2017 12:43pm Sep 17, 2017 12:43pm
Quoting Don96
EU gives some good results fewer trades and much fewer losses, max of 2 losses this year. 17 NW in total, im happy to increase the risk if that is the case. however its the other pairs, AU GU and UCAD UJ hardly any trades. ill test EJ. only thing i haven't tested is previous days, trading levels left on earlier days rather than just the previous day. it needs more wins still.
perhaps an over-complication here, i trade 8 pairs with this method, although still in testing, 1.5 net wins/pair is all i need for a decent monthly return. that's not hard
  • #275
  • Sep 17, 2017 1:54pm Sep 17, 2017 1:54pm
im really reluctant to post my analysis here, if someone knows my levels, someone knows my stops... im skeptical. Rothschild, Rockefella, Barclays CEO... FUCKING COME AT ME
  • #276
  • Sep 17, 2017 1:59pm Sep 17, 2017 1:59pm
Quoting Don96
im really reluctant to post my analysis here, if someone knows my levels, someone knows my stops... im skeptical. Rothschild, Rockefella, Barclays CEO... FUCKING COME AT ME
here is my analysis for one of my recent wins on EU, sellers clearly gathered in pressure in the white box after some consolidation... we had already seen some rejection higher up to get into this level, so those sellers + more sellers must be around that zone to defend their level, and hence a nice reaction from ther
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  • #277
  • Sep 17, 2017 5:27pm Sep 17, 2017 5:27pm
debating whether to move a short on EJ 10 pips lower
  • #278
  • Sep 18, 2017 1:56am Sep 18, 2017 1:56am
two quick wins during Asia, UJ +10, EJ +10
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  • #279
  • Sep 18, 2017 2:25am Sep 18, 2017 2:25am
Quoting Don96
two quick wins during Asia, UJ +10, EJ +10 {image} {image}
SNAP, i just realised that i cancelled all orders on AU because i thought there was news out last night rather than tonight asia, oops. had a pending sell 0.8025, damn


HMHMHM, AU NU and EU could all get a trigger at the same time, that would not be convenient
  • #280
  • Sep 18, 2017 2:32am Sep 18, 2017 2:32am
damn pending order missed on EU by a pip or so, have to delete now
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