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  • #153,681
  • Aug 13, 2017 5:43pm Aug 13, 2017 5:43pm
this week.. some chance 1826/27 could push it down some. that would/could make sense with 1848 theory and 1728. it wouldn't hurt 154x much either. day, week, month, 1/4 closed bullish. the week closed under some month levels. 1841 and 1826 are 2 of them. 1784 still supportive.. 1755 area too..

pattern wise 154x is valid.. markets are designed to screw the most people, most of the time
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,682
  • Aug 13, 2017 6:58pm Aug 13, 2017 6:58pm
still holding, hope that it wont hit my SL before London open !!!

1824 atm
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  • #153,683
  • Aug 13, 2017 7:07pm Aug 13, 2017 7:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i dont know what the adr is.. i know its under 100...maybe 75 ish.. its already moved 87 pips into 1826 R.. i would think 1791 has a good chance of being tagged.. some support at 1784.. if it lost.. 1771 and 1755.. ditto on L close as earlier and 1755.. it has moved 87 pips.. that may be it for today..
the last 10 weeks its about 82pips.. .. https://www.investing.com/tools/fore...ity-calculator open 1817 + 82=1899. 1/2 is 1858.. bear side -82 off current high at 1827 =745. 1/2 1786
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  • #153,684
  • Aug 13, 2017 7:46pm Aug 13, 2017 7:46pm
Quoting Angelina
still holding, hope that it wont hit my SL before London open !!! 1824 atm {image}
i couldn't hold one over the weekend.. i missed 1848.. placed one s at 1826.. it looks bullish but under month levels it may knock it down,, it was above these levels Friday but closed below. sometimes a reject. the week pushed it to month levels was very bullish.. but it didnt take the last step to hold it there. its a new week, it can do that now.. or the inability to hold 1841 or 1826 is a weakening bull atm.. just like last week using the day against the week's 1755.. i will use the week's close against the month's.. maybe 1831 will show its hand..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,685
  • Aug 13, 2017 8:42pm Aug 13, 2017 8:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i couldn't hold one over the weekend.. i missed 1848.. placed one s at 1826.. it looks bullish but under month levels it may knock it down,, it was above these levels Friday but closed below. sometimes a reject. the week pushed it to month levels was very bullish.. but it didnt take the last step to hold it there. its a new week, it can do that now.. or the inability to hold 1841 or 1826 is a weakening bull atm.. just like last week using the day against the week's 1755.. i will use the week's close against the month's.. maybe 1831 will...
Are you still holding your short at 1826 or that short was closed and waiting for new short around 1831 Gator?
For me, this week, above 1800(or the lowest is 1784) would be bullish, if below 1800 and 1784, I will look for short at retrace!
Need to see a spike down to confirm the trend change!
We still have 188x and 190ish are Rs for this week!

Last week, its broken the 50(1798) and 1818, that might give some more push up to retest the previous H around 188x-19ish. Still above 1/4 month!
I am not sure!

you were very right for the move from 175x to 1818, that was super !

So the plan for this week is still trying to catch the top for a big reversal?
  • #153,686
  • Aug 13, 2017 8:48pm Aug 13, 2017 8:48pm
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Are you still holding your short at 1826 or that short was closed and waiting for new short around 1831 Gator? For me, this week, above 1800(or the lowest is 1784) would be bullish, if below 1800 and 1784, I will look for short at retrace! Need to see a spike down to confirm the trend change! We still have 188x and 190ish are Rs for this week! Last week, its broken the 50(1798) and 1818, that might give some more push up to retest the previous H around 188x-19ish. Still above 1/4 month! I am not sure! you were very right for the move from...
i opened one earlier 1826 after open.. but i think its going to 1831 minimal
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  • #153,687
  • Aug 13, 2017 8:54pm Aug 13, 2017 8:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i opened one earlier 1826 after open.. but i think its going to 1831 minimal
You ever do some tech analysis around bitcoin? Commodities are in a malthusian event where they fall under cost of production for the phase which can last decades. Bitcoin benefits from this as cost of production scales up over time.
  • #153,688
  • Aug 13, 2017 8:59pm Aug 13, 2017 8:59pm
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Are you still holding your short at 1826 or that short was closed and waiting for new short around 1831 Gator? For me, this week, above 1800(or the lowest is 1784) would be bullish, if below 1800 and 1784, I will look for short at retrace! Need to see a spike down to confirm the trend change! We still have 188x and 190ish are Rs for this week! Last week, its broken the 50(1798) and 1818, that might give some more push up to retest the previous H around 188x-19ish. Still above 1/4 month! I am not sure! you were very right for the move from...
that's always the plan. but when the day was closing above the previous and failing to make a LL. i had to revert back to trend. at least week wise. but week wise, the week didnt close the months close. so its worth being somewhat skeptical after 1600 pips.. i give some weight to the close as a continuation or rejection. in this case not closing above 1841 or 1826 has made me less likely to long here w/o a retrace. i may be wrong.. also 1818 (1818/-1910) was the minimal normal retrace for 154x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,689
  • Aug 13, 2017 9:08pm Aug 13, 2017 9:08pm
Quoting sidhujag
{quote} You ever do some tech analysis around bitcoin? Commodities are in a malthusian event where they fall under cost of production for the phase which can last decades. Bitcoin benefits from this as cost of production scales up over time.
got a friendly interactive chart sight?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,690
  • Edited 9:33pm Aug 13, 2017 9:19pm | Edited 9:33pm
Quoting sidhujag
{quote} You ever do some tech analysis around bitcoin? Commodities are in a malthusian event where they fall under cost of production for the phase which can last decades. Bitcoin benefits from this as cost of production scales up over time.
not enough info for me.. 4200 area looks like its toppy.. not my thing to buy here near 4200... 42xx ish is leaning sell to me..

edit.. above 4163 should be toppy..
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  • #153,691
  • Aug 13, 2017 9:35pm Aug 13, 2017 9:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not enough info for me.. 4200 area looks like its toppy.. not my thing to buy here near 4200... 42xx ish is leaning sell to me.. edit.. above 4163 should be toppy.. {image}
edit above to, top may be in place already.. a better long may be waiting for 3025/3015 area.. +- a few
its already hit 4163
4183.7 is the current high
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  • #153,692
  • Aug 13, 2017 10:00pm Aug 13, 2017 10:00pm
lets see if this thing can move below close 1821 in 30 min.. either that or above 1841 or 1826
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,693
  • Aug 13, 2017 10:50pm Aug 13, 2017 10:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
lets see if this thing can move below close 1821 in 30 min.. either that or above 1841 or 1826
flip a coin.. above 1826 and below 1841.. may test 1841
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,694
  • Edited 11:49pm Aug 13, 2017 11:01pm | Edited 11:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} that's always the plan. but when the day was closing above the previous and failing to make a LL. i had to revert back to trend. at least week wise. but week wise, the week didnt close the months close. so its worth being somewhat skeptical after 1600 pips.. i give some weight to the close as a continuation or rejection. in this case not closing above 1841 or 1826 has made me less likely to long here w/o a retrace. i may be wrong.. also 1818 (1818/-1910) was the minimal normal retrace for 154x
Retrace could be 1784-1800, breaks 1784, there is a short signal there for LL than 1688. 1784/1800 hold, 186ish, 188ish or 1907 will be retest!
Will try a short around 186ish, 188ish or 1907. Otherwise, I will wait for break 1784 then short the retrace! I could be late for the best entry!
You can be right at this moment, it could turn south from here, but my SL is still at 1815 to save me there!
WPP(1784)

1841, 1909 is the key for this week and the next 2 week until month end !
so shorting against 1841 could be a better entry !

  • #153,695
  • Edited 12:47am Aug 14, 2017 12:32am | Edited 12:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not enough info for me.. 4200 area looks like its toppy.. not my thing to buy here near 4200... 42xx ish is leaning sell to me.. edit.. above 4163 should be toppy.. {image}
http://unenumerated.blogspot.ca/2016...cares.html?m=1

Mandatory reading for any commodity traders written by nick.szabo ideological father of modern smart contracts. High IQ Lawyer turned programmer.

"The dawn of the pure fiat, floating currency regime caused far deeper forces to come into play."

Anyways my fuzzy math from 2013 points to 7k to 10k midterm.. your numbers look right for a potential top here aswell. Im mostly in syscoin so i think im positioned well for a bitcoin range/top.
  • #153,696
  • Aug 14, 2017 5:19am Aug 14, 2017 5:19am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Retrace could be 1784-1800, breaks 1784, there is a short signal there for LL than 1688. 1784/1800 hold, 186ish, 188ish or 1907 will be retest! Will try a short around 186ish, 188ish or 1907. Otherwise, I will wait for break 1784 then short the retrace! I could be late for the best entry! You can be right at this moment, it could turn south from here, but my SL is still at 1815 to save me there! WPP(1784) 1841, 1909 is the key for this week and the next 2 week until month end ! so shorting against 1841 could be a better entry ! ...
if it ended up rolling a London close -1752, it probably would make 1728.. the mid number on the 12 h today and Friday L roll is 1779.5. its below that 1784 number. a close below 1784 is probably a sign. maybe a long/short setup using its close side. also 1767 may attract it.. it too is below 1784. this week bulls dont want Friday to close -1752. even a London day roll -1752 would look bearish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,697
  • Aug 14, 2017 5:25am Aug 14, 2017 5:25am
Quoting sidhujag
{quote} http://unenumerated.blogspot.ca/2016...cares.html?m=1 Mandatory reading for any commodity traders written by nick.szabo ideological father of modern smart contracts. High IQ Lawyer turned programmer. "The dawn of the pure fiat, floating currency regime caused far deeper forces to come into play." Anyways my fuzzy math from 2013 points to 7k to 10k midterm.. your numbers look right for a potential top here aswell. Im mostly in syscoin so i think im positioned well for a bitcoin range/top.
dont know.. not enough chart for me.. at its current 4200 levels, using the little chart it has.. it looks toppy to me.. that dont mean i wont go to 100,00000000. the risk to reward at 4,200. appears to the down. so a possible cheaper buy will come.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #153,698
  • Aug 14, 2017 5:48am Aug 14, 2017 5:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} dont know.. not enough chart for me.. at its current 4200 levels, using the little chart it has.. it looks toppy to me.. that dont mean i wont go to 100,00000000. the risk to reward at 4,200. appears to the down. so a possible cheaper buy will come.
4200 broke
  • #153,699
  • Aug 14, 2017 5:55am Aug 14, 2017 5:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its still 1810 or less.. 1818 was my norm for 1545. so i am seeing if i can have a favorable weekly close, in line with 1545.. so far, nope.. still 25m left
new week, still valid.. bulls appeared to be in control last week, the one thing they didnt do. was close above 1841 or 1826. so this week i am watching the 1752 close/or 1841,1826/27. a smaller bullish set-up usually returns to 1728 b4 1850..
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  • #153,700
  • Aug 14, 2017 5:59am Aug 14, 2017 5:59am
Quoting sidhujag
{quote} 4200 broke
lots of momentum. it may be on borrowed time. i may be full of shit. the truth is, i dont know.. i am just looking at a chart with little to no background on bitcoin. sppsssttt. the truth is nobody knows... all who know are lying. with a motive to make some think they do know, usually a monetary motive
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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