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  • #152,961
  • Jul 13, 2017 6:56am Jul 13, 2017 6:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} got 1 hour closed below 1409 atm..it did drop after 1440 to catch 1375 (st bull norm), but still didnt close an hour below 1386
I got a question, usually when you said your SL at a number which means you will take a loss when 1h candle closed above or below your SL numbers right?
I think the downtrend still in favor, I will catch any rallies then!
I will target 1325-30
  • #152,962
  • Jul 13, 2017 6:59am Jul 13, 2017 6:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i am in already, well above 1417.. so i should be ok, if correct, about 550 retrace. if not, i get stopped. friday i need/prefer close to be below 1386 London. if wrong, u may find a Long 1312/1375 for 1566. either way i think 1375 will get a visit
st bulls have that 1566 set-up now. if u entered 1312/1375, u may have done well. the closes need to be monitored. -1386 is not so good for bulls. -1311 is probably not good either. with the trend and entering that setup. it doesn't look bad atm for bulls. i am short for other reasons..and i do need 1386 closed below..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,963
  • Jul 13, 2017 7:02am Jul 13, 2017 7:02am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} I got a question, usually when you said your SL at a number which means you will take a loss when 1h candle closed above or below your SL numbers right? I think the downtrend still in favor, I will catch any rallies then! I will target 1325-30
not usually.. i am not in front putor all the time.. i have to put the stop and walk away..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,964
  • Jul 13, 2017 7:04am Jul 13, 2017 7:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} st bulls have that 1566 set-up now. if u entered 1312/1375, u may have done well. the closes need to be monitored. -1386 is not so good for bulls. -1311 is probably not good either. with the trend and entering that setup. it doesn't look bad atm for bulls. i am short for other reasons..and i do need 1386 closed below..
I think I better wait to long around 1320-30.
The price just hit 1370 (lower than 1375/90)
Or I will wait to short around 1435-1440 again! SL just any 1h closed above 1455
How do you think about this?
  • #152,965
  • Edited 7:19am Jul 13, 2017 7:08am | Edited 7:19am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} I got a question, usually when you said your SL at a number which means you will take a loss when 1h candle closed above or below your SL numbers right? I think the downtrend still in favor, I will catch any rallies then! I will target 1325-30
not looking good for me atm.. st bulls have/had a good set up 1375/1312 entry.. R at 1417.. is what i need, i have a small glimmer using that -1409 close.. but it was below 1386 and it didnt hold.. i need london to roll -1386 on friday.. it did break the low at 1379,, so we will see...

bears may be trying something after 1429 or 1440... the rejected closes dont show this.. the odds are its wrong.. all speculation and some wishful thinking.. if it was to happen 1429 with current high held with a new lower low today and a -1386 close would be perfectly bearish... odds are against this.. i closed... & will renter after 1429.. i think. if 1417 allows.. it will save me 15 pips or more
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,966
  • Jul 13, 2017 7:12am Jul 13, 2017 7:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not looking good for me atm.. st bulls have/had a good set up 1375/1312 entry.. R at 1417.. is what i need, i have a small glimmer using that -1409 close.. but it was below 1386 and it didnt hold.. i need london to roll -1386 on friday.. it did break the low at 1379,, so we will see
Why not?
It is bearish trend there, it keeps making LL and the price went lower than 1375-90 range!
I could retrace now and drop further later today might be and could be bounced sw around 132x-3x
Not sure but it looks like that lol
  • #152,967
  • Jul 13, 2017 7:15am Jul 13, 2017 7:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not looking good for me atm.. st bulls have/had a good set up 1375/1312 entry.. R at 1417.. is what i need, i have a small glimmer using that -1409 close.. but it was below 1386 and it didnt hold.. i need london to roll -1386 on friday.. it did break the low at 1379,, so we will see
https://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=683070
Some are trying to save their ss
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #152,968
  • Jul 13, 2017 7:43am Jul 13, 2017 7:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not looking good for me atm.. st bulls have/had a good set up 1375/1312 entry.. R at 1417.. is what i need, i have a small glimmer using that -1409 close.. but it was below 1386 and it didnt hold.. i need london to roll -1386 on friday.. it did break the low at 1379,, so we will see... bears may be trying something after 1429 or 1440... the rejected closes dont show this.. the odds are its wrong.. all speculation and some wishful thinking.. if it was to happen 1429 with current high held with a new lower low today and a -1386 close would...
std.. news release probably bad for usd.. bulls have that 1566 setup.. so those highs may be tested before Friday's L roll. i placed a pending 1485 with a tight stop over high.. just in case bears are serious about 1293.. stops about 5/6 pips. bears would be trying 1440/1488.x,, bulls looking good for 1566, they need to break high.. a wtf drop near high would be nice since bears did close L yest below 1417 at 1410.. maybe yellen can push it
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,969
  • Jul 13, 2017 7:56am Jul 13, 2017 7:56am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Why not? It is bearish trend there, it keeps making LL and the price went lower than 1375-90 range! I could retrace now and drop further later today might be and could be bounced sw around 132x-3x Not sure but it looks like that lol
because the trend is up on most tf.. the bulls were set to let 1375/1312 pullback b4 1566.. i suspect they will do that w/o a friday close below 1386.. it was below 1386 and it didnt hold yet.. the bears wont be back till 1429/1440-1488.. of course R at 1417 would have to allow. bulls have control..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,970
  • Jul 13, 2017 8:05am Jul 13, 2017 8:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} because the trend is up on most tf.. the bulls were set to let 1375/1312 pullback b4 1566.. i suspect they will do that w/o a friday close below 1386.. it was below 1386 and it didnt hold yet.. the bears wont be back till 1429/1440-1488.. of course R at 1417 would have to allow. bulls have control..
I'm Short from :
1. 1 * 1.1477
2. 2 * 1.1459
3. 1 * 1.1444
4. Pending 1 * 1.1426

Stops above 1.1490

With you closing you're position I almost don't want the last fill as this is looking to reverse to me as well. I will hold till Yellen speech and re-assess.
Edit : I think we should hit 1.1315 - 1.1305 before bulls taking over.....
  • #152,971
  • Jul 13, 2017 8:09am Jul 13, 2017 8:09am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Why not? It is bearish trend there, it keeps making LL and the price went lower than 1375-90 range! I could retrace now and drop further later today might be and could be bounced sw around 132x-3x Not sure but it looks like that lol
i will not be in front pc.. to watch 1429 or 1440 ect.. i have a pending short near the risk for bears.. just below the high.. risking a few.. had we got some closes below 1386.. i would have held.. yellen speaking again.. the last reports earlier weren't usd bullish. along with 1566 setup. i rather wait to short.. bulls may be weak against 1417 st.. but may reload st 1394... maybe a long chance there with 1386 as some support..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,972
  • Jul 13, 2017 8:10am Jul 13, 2017 8:10am
std.. later..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,973
  • Jul 13, 2017 9:10am Jul 13, 2017 9:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i will not be in front pc.. to watch 1429 or 1440 ect.. i have a pending short near the risk for bears.. just below the high.. risking a few.. had we got some closes below 1386.. i would have held.. yellen speaking again.. the last reports earlier weren't usd bullish. along with 1566 setup. i rather wait to short.. bulls may be weak against 1417 st.. but may reload st 1394... maybe a long chance there with 1386 as some support..
Ok, wait to short again!
Hope that we have not missed the top entry yet!
I do not have any opening positions now!
Hope that it will rally up above 155x

  • #152,974
  • Jul 13, 2017 11:02am Jul 13, 2017 11:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i will not be in front pc.. to watch 1429 or 1440 ect.. i have a pending short near the risk for bears.. just below the high.. risking a few.. had we got some closes below 1386.. i would have held.. yellen speaking again.. the last reports earlier weren't usd bullish. along with 1566 setup. i rather wait to short.. bulls may be weak against 1417 st.. but may reload st 1394... maybe a long chance there with 1386 as some support..
L rolled below 1386 @ 1384
  • #152,975
  • Jul 13, 2017 11:45am Jul 13, 2017 11:45am
Quoting ws121
{quote} L rolled below 1386 @ 1384
Yup and I closed all my short @ 1.1396 That bounce at 1.1369 was only to wait out Yellen speech.... Oh well looking to re-enter short above 1.1400 with sl behind 1.1436 If 1.1308 not touched.
  • #152,976
  • Jul 13, 2017 3:04pm Jul 13, 2017 3:04pm
Quoting edyraper
(eurjpy). In larger scale it's missing 137 currently 2.400 pips away, I'll look to build some longs between 110/106 with small leverage. 137 might help EU rise sharply, we might go for 1.27 EU.
Quoting edyraper
EURJPY indicating more bullish or less berish usdjpy 121.93 is a big R, 137 is normal PA
EURJPY larger tf map.
It is in the chopp zone, older missing 137.94 being a magnet, the smaller setup at 116.78 also targets 138.71. Larger bears were waiting for 129.63, it's in the middle of nowhere, likely to chopp between 132-122 for a while. For runners bears wait for 137.94 minimum with possible target of 102.405, bulls wait for 116.78 minimum, it's not on this chart yet, but if no new highs then consider 120.12 also. Till then enjoy the 132-122 range.
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  • #152,977
  • Jul 13, 2017 7:02pm Jul 13, 2017 7:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i will not be in front pc.. to watch 1429 or 1440 ect.. i have a pending short near the risk for bears.. just below the high.. risking a few.. had we got some closes below 1386.. i would have held.. yellen speaking again.. the last reports earlier weren't usd bullish. along with 1566 setup. i rather wait to short.. bulls may be weak against 1417 st.. but may reload st 1394... maybe a long chance there with 1386 as some support..
L closed -1386.. it helps a short outlook.. maybe 1429, 1440+, w/o breaking 1488 high..1417 still R, but norm is above at 1429 or 1440 below 1488 high
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,978
  • Jul 13, 2017 9:34pm Jul 13, 2017 9:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} L closed -1386.. it helps a short outlook.. maybe 1429, 1440+, w/o breaking 1488 high..1417 still R, but norm is above at 1429 or 1440 below 1488 high
1.15 - 1.16 with SL over 1.16 is my take .Then again you don't want to miss out so i understand why your trying to get it now with the short . Ideally i will make an attempt if the weekly posts a bearish candle. You can see from the monthly 1.16 has been a resistance for over 2 years and if that breaks this could also fly up , hence the need for a weekly bearish candle. I also think the interest rate hikes are built in . There seems to be a monthly cycle happening with this and other pairs near monthly highs. If timed correctly few trades 1000 pips are possible , no need to kill yourself scalping or whatever and starring at a computer.
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  • #152,979
  • Jul 14, 2017 12:07am Jul 14, 2017 12:07am
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} 1.15 - 1.16 with SL over 1.16 is my take .Then again you don't want to miss out so i understand why your trying to get it now with the short . Ideally i will make an attempt if the weekly posts a bearish candle. You can see from the monthly 1.16 has been a resistance for over 2 years and if that breaks this could also fly up , hence the need for a weekly bearish candle. I also think the interest rate hikes are built in . There seems to be a monthly cycle happening with this and other pairs near monthly highs. If timed correctly few trades...
i was expecting R since 1150 in (1150/161 x window). .. i closed early b4 the 1316 target.. got back in late, then closed after 1316. 1459 was a smaller target.. i expect this 145x R may develop soon because that same month chart your looking at, has closes and opened 145x ish. my window for 0.93xx target, is 1150/16xx.. prior to the 2 yr chart u mention there is 1429.. i suspect its a R close wise on month. the last time it closed above, it was rejected then made a new LL. its in my window of 1150/16xx atm. so i am watching.. if wrong about 0.93xx, just a normal retrace places it around 1.09xx. last months close was a quarter and a 1/2 yr close. it also was rejected close wise below 1429. i do see and have posted dozens of times, most time frames look bullish. i have also stated it may be bullish into Resistance. i may be full of shit about this R.. above 1429 i have 1570... between them is 1501... still, the last time here above with close. it dropped and made a LL..\

above is the reason i am watching 1417 and 1386.. those are the recent closes on Q and 1/2 year. a normal retrace on those candles could be 1.09xx
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #152,980
  • Jul 14, 2017 12:37am Jul 14, 2017 12:37am
last month's high 1444x was the last previous highest close of month for the past 2 years. last month tested it, it didnt close above. another reason this area may be worth watching regardless if your long or short imho. b4 this.. it has a dt.. than a LL, opening the 1150/1615 as a window to short. it was also a db break with that LL
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