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Let's Trade Options

  • #15,141
  • Jun 13, 2017 11:17pm Jun 13, 2017 11:17pm
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,142
  • Jun 15, 2017 1:29am Jun 15, 2017 1:29am
Quoting ZebraSquirl
I hear ya ... . It's been rough. Pivoted to broad index put diagonals at some point;
diagonals are cool maybe you get in em for $0 +/- a little, so if you catch a long flat stretch (easiest thing in the world to do) at least you not getting nickeled/dimed to death...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,143
  • Jun 15, 2017 1:42am Jun 15, 2017 1:42am
IF you go Kahuna and combo dags n verts you make some really low debit, high r:r trades
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,144
  • Jun 15, 2017 12:23pm Jun 15, 2017 12:23pm
Quoting Wulfgar
... currently still short like 20% of my net wealth on Oil from 54. still short gold (but im feelin like im ice skating uphill) waiting to get short bonds. short Cable still from 1.30xx, short the euro position I've been building since 2011 from 1.4911 (aggregate is 1.32xx now), long LOONIE futures, short Aussie, and short the yen. just bought some HES calls yesterday off the 43 area. And Im long UNG stock. basically if the USD surges back up past that 103.50 area I'm golden. Hopefully summer stays exciting..
Finally the freakin shiny is following the dirty. Breaking that 1260 helped me a lot...currently short the futures at 1275 agg

Flipped the cad longs to shorts

I'm seeing a potential monster play on RSX from current levels. potential upside on that thing running to ~38 with like .50 of risk. Bought a grip of Jan 18 20 calls for .95 with that target in mind. I'm out if we crack and close the 18.41 area. I figure with the horrendous sanctions the senate put on Russia this is a good time to buy the lows. Its like a 75:1 risk-to-reward. perfect
  • #15,145
  • Jun 15, 2017 2:51pm Jun 15, 2017 2:51pm
Vlad Putin can surf giant waves of red hot lava.
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000627729&play=1
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,146
  • Jun 16, 2017 1:29pm Jun 16, 2017 1:29pm
SPY opened the week $242.9x, looking to close $242.50+? another dead week...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,147
  • Jun 16, 2017 9:02pm Jun 16, 2017 9:02pm
Breatharianism...yes, this what I've been searching for. Forget trading.

http://nypost.com/2017/06/15/breatha...stead-of-food/
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,148
  • Edited 1:55pm Jun 18, 2017 1:30pm | Edited 1:55pm
CB's have flooded the world in a sea of liquidity and it could take many years to drain it away. Maybe the rumor of Fed balance sheet reduction could weigh on bonds, but I'd bet it will pay to wait for better entries, maybe after July, as noted below...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...fed-rate-hikes

.........timing the eventual turn in U.S. rates is a process and we could very well be early on that front, he wrote in a note Friday.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,seasonal forces may keep yields at bay. The 10-year yield has declined in July in eight of the past 10 years, more than any other month, data compiled by Bloomberg show."
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,149
  • Edited 2:22am Jun 19, 2017 12:06am | Edited 2:22am
Congrats to my friend Wulfgar on getting his "High Impact Member" flag back. Kudos, Buddy.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,150
  • Edited 9:44pm Jun 19, 2017 9:13pm | Edited 9:44pm
IV's dying in the HYG chains, I see some big trades - somebody spent $65k on the strangle shown....also 20k+ in the Sep $83 puts (20k @ $23 per)....I think I would look at something with more time....

(that's a $90/$81 Sep strangle)
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/high-...154736033.html
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,151
  • Jun 20, 2017 3:08pm Jun 20, 2017 3:08pm
put on some SPY put verts today, out to Jul21 @ $237.5 and below, paying 4-7c to net 40c+ on a sincere drop.

impossible to call geopoli panic but I am hearing things that well let us just say I am concerned
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,152
  • Jun 20, 2017 3:20pm Jun 20, 2017 3:20pm
Quoting The Fool
Congrats to my friend Wulfgar on getting his "High Impact Member" flag back. Kudos, Buddy.
what's that's even mean? lol
can I give it back?
  • #15,153
  • Jun 20, 2017 3:22pm Jun 20, 2017 3:22pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} what's that's even mean? lol can I give it back?
never mind man they had you with a red booger now it's yeller, tough road to the top I guess.

Meanwhile, I hope you packed a raincoat in case DJT decides to nuke Pyongyang while you are slurping noodles in Tokyo?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,154
  • Jun 20, 2017 3:30pm Jun 20, 2017 3:30pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}never mind man they had you with a red booger now it's yeller, tough road to the top I guess. Meanwhile, I hope you packed a raincoat in case DJT decides to nuke Pyongyang while you are slurping noodles in Tokyo?
tell me about it. I'll be eating some good sashimi when the air raid sirens start wailing. It's all good, just "duck and cover"
  • #15,155
  • Jun 21, 2017 3:33am Jun 21, 2017 3:33am
Summer dump, get in at the top & ride the pig. I will be loading put verts in the 10:1 vicinity with good time, but will put on some flys for good measure, the combo shown risks ~$300 to net max $11k+ give it to me
Inserted Video
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,156
  • Jun 21, 2017 3:44am Jun 21, 2017 3:44am
we get some up n down shit working on the indices and the iv's will come up and it will start to pay to risk bear call verts for credit to fund the put spread boondoggles.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,157
  • Jun 21, 2017 12:17pm Jun 21, 2017 12:17pm
Quoting The Fool
Summer dump, get in at the top & ride the pig. I will be loading put verts in the 10:1 vicinity with good time, but will put on some flys for good measure, the combo shown risks ~$300 to net max $11k+ give it to me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dNIQVYGXbM {image}
ya man, if it follows oil it will tank. I'm waiting on a stack of cash for an oil short squeeze to rip my face off. I'll close all 30 contracts at 38 if we can capitulate down there
  • #15,158
  • Jun 21, 2017 12:40pm Jun 21, 2017 12:40pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Finally the freakin shiny is following the dirty. Breaking that 1260 helped me a lot...currently short the futures at 1275 agg Flipped the cad longs to shorts I'm seeing a potential monster play on RSX from current levels. potential upside on that thing running to ~38 with like .50 of risk. Bought a grip of Jan 18 20 calls for .95 with that target in mind. I'm out if we crack and close the 18.41 area. I figure with the horrendous sanctions the senate put on Russia this is a good time to buy the lows. Its like a 75:1 risk-to-reward. perfect...
Got shredded on my RSX play. I guess thats why it was a 75:1
flipping the LOONIE futures was a good idea though
  • #15,159
  • Jun 21, 2017 2:32pm Jun 21, 2017 2:32pm
Who here is good with trading options? Trying to figure out a good way to buy a call 6 months out?
  • #15,160
  • Jun 21, 2017 4:58pm Jun 21, 2017 4:58pm
Quoting stylinex
Who here is good with trading options? Trying to figure out a good way to buy a call 6 months out?
What's your idea? Tell me what it is without mentioning options - i.e., you think bomb shelter futures will skyrocket this Summer, etc...?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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