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TDA with IMT

  • #181
  • Mar 23, 2021 5:35am Mar 23, 2021 5:35am
Quoting 19monza64
Hy Dave. I attach my personal analisys on GU. I don't know if you agree. H4 no much informations. Range market. No structur was broken. Consolidation and waiting for drop. Why ? ... D1 give the answer {image} D1 Tdi broken key level waiting the price go south 1.32/1.33. time will tell. {image}
We go south as expeted. At the moment + 100 pips cashed
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  • #182
  • Mar 23, 2021 10:46am Mar 23, 2021 10:46am
Quoting 19monza64
{quote} We go south as expeted. At the moment + 100 pips cashed {image}
Yes. If you have a system that tells you where to focus your attention, it is straight forward.

69 pips on this continuation sell.
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To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #183
  • Mar 26, 2021 4:12am Mar 26, 2021 4:12am
AUDUSD H1 second leg entry M15
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USDCAD M15 second leg entry M4
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Total pips both trades about +70
  • #184
  • Mar 26, 2021 2:06pm Mar 26, 2021 2:06pm
Quoting 19monza64
AUDUSD H1 second leg entry M15 {image} USDCAD M15 second leg entry M4{image} Total pips both trades about +70
I would make the USDCAD sell based on the same bar that you marked, but with focus M15, not M4.

AUDUSD is another matter.
That is not an IMT M15 entry that you took at the solid Vline. It is at the dashed Vline, with an eyeon M30 as well.

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  • #185
  • Mar 28, 2021 9:32am Mar 28, 2021 9:32am
GBPUSD
For WEEK13 of 2021

The bigger picture
No change from the bigger picture from post #125, so simply repeated it below.

Because we are in a rather long-term down move via the Year2+ turning down with rallies still due on MN8 and higher TFs, there is an expectation for the current up swing seen on MN1 to end soon (likely within 1-3 months) followed by a pullback of 5-8 months that is likely to reach around 1.26, but with the behavior of recent swings, could reach to about 1.2. Then a subsequent up swing to the 1.35 to 1.45 area.

We are we are still surfing the MN4 rally that is taking price back up to where it was 3 years ago.

For day trading
Direction bias: down
Control: W1
Action: M15 through H8

Last week, D1 and D2 spent the week in a down trend, as expected. Although action was expected on both H4 and H8, H8 did not show a change until Friday afternoon with an up swing. This has likely initiated an uptrend on D1 that is expected to last about 3-5 weeks. Unless evidence appears to the contrary, the uptrend will be a W1 rally, not an up continuation.

H2 has the focus and is extremely overdue to fall. However, attempts so far on lower TFs have failed to follow through.

M30 currently at a state for a down continuation. It will be watched at the market open to see if the continuation materializes or if buyers will make a run up for a test of 1.38 before committing to the H8 pullback.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #186
  • Mar 29, 2021 5:22am Mar 29, 2021 5:22am
Quoting DrDave
GBPUSD For WEEK13 of 2021 H2 has the focus and is extremely overdue to fall.
M30 currently at a state for a down continuation. It will be watched at the market open to see if the continuation materializes or if buyers will make a run up for a test of 1.38 before committing to the H8 pullback.
As stated yesterday, H2 was expected to fall, and when the M30 made the looked-for down continuation at the start of the week, not only did H2 fall, but the down swing carried through to the H4.

Currently, the H4 is in a continuation that has already taken the D1 swing to a new high. The H8 pullback will be delayed until after this up swing stops. In fact, the H8 pullback will then be merely another TF in the upward progression for a D1 pullback.

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  • #187
  • Mar 31, 2021 3:41am Mar 31, 2021 3:41am
H4 is on an up continuation. Found the M15 building the up swing and made a simple M15 continuation buy with entry tuned on M5.

Does that look like a lot of "noise" that cannot be traded on M5? Many people are convinced that it is. IMT traders simply check the cycles and the volatility and determine if the fractal-like cycles of financial time series provide a trade opportunity.

Trading Made Simple with IMT
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  • #188
  • Mar 31, 2021 10:42am Mar 31, 2021 10:42am
Quoting DrDave
H4 is on an up continuation. Found the M15 building the up swing and made a simple M15 continuation buy with entry tuned on M5. Does that look like a lot of "noise" that cannot be traded on M5? Many people are convinced that it is. IMT traders simply check the cycles and the volatility and determine if the fractal-like cycles of financial time series provide a trade opportunity. Trading Made Simple with IMT
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After M15 comes M30 for an IMT rinse-and-repeat. However, as often happens, the pullback continued through H1, so the rinse-and-repeat entry was moved up to H1.
Trading Made Simple with IMT.
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  • #189
  • Apr 1, 2021 7:00am Apr 1, 2021 7:00am
Hello, what are the settings for the imt ?
  • #190
  • Apr 1, 2021 9:08am Apr 1, 2021 9:08am
A little update.

Note from the post below of January 3, an expectation for MN1 to fall
Quoting DrDave
let's start 2021 with a look at GBPUSD. Please remember that IMT analyses are based on expectations/probabilities of "normal" market movements. there is an expectation for the current up swing seen on MN1 to end soon (likely within 1-3 months)
This looks like an MN1 fall has occurred within the expected time period.
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Just follow what the market tells you it is doing.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #191
  • Apr 2, 2021 4:58am Apr 2, 2021 4:58am
Another example of how the Top Down Analysis with IMT before the new week begins can guide your trading through the week.
Quoting DrDave
{quote} Currently, the H4 is in a continuation that has already taken the D1 swing to a new high. The H8 pullback will be delayed until after this up swing stops. In fact, the H8 pullback will then be merely another TF in the upward progression for a D1 pullback.
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As EXPECTED, the D1 progressed to a pullback, and currently is in an up continuation.
D2 did not join the pullback.
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Having an EXPECTATION of a D1 pullback enabled IMT traders to consider counter-trend sell opportunities on smaller TFs as the downtrends progressed to the D1 pullback.
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  • #192
  • Apr 2, 2021 7:32am Apr 2, 2021 7:32am
Quoting DrDave
Another example of how the Top Down Analysis with IMT before the new week begins can guide your trading through the week. {quote} As EXPECTED, the D1 progressed to a pullback, and currently is in an up continuation. D2 did not join the pullback. {image} Having an EXPECTATION of a D1 pullback enabled IMT traders to consider counter-trend sell opportunities on smaller TFs as the downtrends progressed to the D1 pullback. {image}
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Here is just one example of a sell continuation opportunity on the H2 TF.
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  • #193
  • Apr 4, 2021 12:00pm Apr 4, 2021 12:00pm
GBPUSD
For WEEK14 of 2021

The bigger picture
The upswing on MN1 has now ended (A 3-bar swing high confirmed) within the time range posted at the start of the year. Because we are in a rather long-term down move via the Year2+ turning down with rallies still due on MN8 and higher TFs, if the MN1 pullback follows through, it is expected to last 5-8 months and is likely to reach around 1.26, but could reach to about 1.2. Then a subsequent up swing to the 1.35 to 1.45 area.

For day trading
Direction bias: down
Control: MN1
Action: M15 through H8 with interest in the type of follow through of the current H4/H8 down swing

D2 has the focus. Although there is still room to continue a bit higher, smaller TFs are in position to enable this up move to end

H1 has started an up swing, but will need to let it play out to determine if it is a rally or a trend continuation.
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  • #194
  • Apr 5, 2021 9:29am Apr 5, 2021 9:29am
GBPUSD follow up.

Quoting DrDave
GBPUSD For WEEK14 of 2021 For day trading Direction bias: down Control: MN1 Action: M15 through H8 with interest in the type of follow through of the current H4/H8 down swing D2 has the focus. Although there is still room to continue a bit higher, smaller TFs are in position to enable this up move to end H1 has started an up swing, but will need to let it play out to determine if it is a rally or a trend continuation. {image}
H1 continued with the upswing, which progressed through the H4, making a trend continuation. With the D2 the focus TF in an upswing, buyers continue to move price higher, resetting the look for the down swings to stop the up move.

Although a pullback is evident on H1, the H4 had already turned up before this, so a sell continuation on H1 was no longer relevant. In fact, the H1 down swing became a pullback for making a buy continuation.

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  • #195
  • Apr 6, 2021 3:29am Apr 6, 2021 3:29am
Today I have not done much reasoning. The short was evident from H4 to M5. About 40 pips.

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  • #196
  • Apr 6, 2021 5:39am Apr 6, 2021 5:39am
Quoting 19monza64
Today I have not done much reasoning. The short was evident from H4 to M5. About 40 pips.
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You displayed the M15 TF, but there is no IMT sell on that TF.

On the M5 below, the Vline to the left is the first sell based on M1 TF open. The conservative entry is the break of the light blue Hline.

After that, there are 2 more continuation sells on M10 at the open of the marked bars. The last one could be when the light blue Hline is broken rather than waiting for the next bar open.

The cycles have not progressed above the M10 TF, so there are not yet any entries on any TFs above it.

As can be seen, the current up move is another POTENTIAL M10 rally to be sold, but more bars are needed to determine if it will continue far enough for the M15 to take over.
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  • #197
  • Apr 6, 2021 7:06am Apr 6, 2021 7:06am
Yes you have reason. I posted for mistake M15 but I traded M5. I missed the entry 3 because I had to go to the dentist (bad thing). This afternoon I'll look at it for a while ...
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  • #198
  • Apr 6, 2021 8:04am Apr 6, 2021 8:04am
Quoting 19monza64
Yes you have reason. I posted for mistake M15 but I traded M5. I missed the entry 3 because I had to go to the dentist (bad thing). This afternoon I'll look at it for a while ... {image}
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #199
  • Apr 6, 2021 8:15am Apr 6, 2021 8:15am
Example of a risky sell.

Even though this is a sell AGAINST the direction of the M20, after examining higher TFs, the M20 was EXPECTED to make a pullback before continuing up. And of course, smaller TFs are creating the bars on larger TFs, so with M10 already in the pullback ...
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  • #200
  • Apr 7, 2021 8:53am Apr 7, 2021 8:53am
GBPUSD update
On the H1 up swing, we were looking for an H4 rally. But when H2 could not even rally, it was an obvious IMT sell continuation on H1 with the conservative entry the break of the blue Hline.

Earlier entry also possible via smaller TFs.

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