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MT4: Irregularities 2 replies

Trading 24 hours per day, 5 days per week 14 replies

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Attachments: (binned per thread starter’s request)Irregularities between pric
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(binned per thread starter’s request)Irregularities between pric

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  • Post #21
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  • Apr 17, 2019 11:37am Apr 17, 2019 11:37am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Quoting HudithePfupf
Disliked
Makes little sense.... you take Gordon Gecko as an avatar...... you start a thread and place some baits....and we be both know how it will end. While it is close to impossible to predict price it is often easy to predict the behaviour of a single individual.
Ignored
I guess we will see about that. I would like to remind everyone in this thread to keep a proper tone when communicating with each other.
 
 
  • Post #22
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  • Apr 17, 2019 11:43am Apr 17, 2019 11:43am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Quoting HudithePfupf
Disliked
Makes little sense.... you take Gordon Gecko as an avatar...... you start a thread and place some baits....and we be both know how it will end. While it is close to impossible to predict price it is often easy to predict the behaviour of a single individual.
Ignored
I believe a lot of us got our interest in the financial markets from movies such as Wall St. with Gekko being the anti-hero of the industry. That you imply that as I should have any bad intentions is on you. I've been a member here on FF since 2012 and have never wanted to push or sell anything - I suggest you simply ignore this thread.
 
 
  • Post #23
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  • Apr 17, 2019 12:08pm Apr 17, 2019 12:08pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Quoting HudithePfupf
Disliked
Makes little sense.... you take Gordon Gecko as an avatar...... you start a thread and place some baits....and we be both know how it will end. While it is close to impossible to predict price it is often easy to predict the behaviour of a single individual.
Ignored
So far there's been 4 calls with a profit of 3,03%, the current 5th call is currently -0,32% so 2,71% atm.
I'm gonna continue these call on the sides to eliminate the luck factor. As you said, it's almost impossible to predict price. There's a reason researching, development and testing has taken me many years.
 
 
  • Post #24
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  • Apr 17, 2019 1:30pm Apr 17, 2019 1:30pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Latest current week call so far
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  • Post #25
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  • Apr 17, 2019 3:35pm Apr 17, 2019 3:35pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
It has corrected itself to break even - set to continue closing irregularities tomorrow
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  • Post #26
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  • Apr 17, 2019 6:28pm Apr 17, 2019 6:28pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Quoting Zerv
Disliked
Current week update NZD strong buy EUR medium buy JPY strong sell GBP weak sell CHF weak sell
Ignored

We're back in green 0,14% after a sloppy start on the 5th call. I will be updating when I'm at my desk tomorrow if conditions change.
And by the way, the visual screenshots I send, the yellow are neutral currencies. I show the 8 major currencies each time and put green and red colors on it from the call. Strong buy is shown as the brightest green and will change to more colorless in medium and weak call - with sell it's red and vice versa.
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  • Post #27
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  • Apr 18, 2019 10:31pm Apr 18, 2019 10:31pm
  •  mikeeating
  • | Joined May 2018 | Status: Member | 626 Posts
where is pound? or has that blown off the scale lol
life is a reflection of what we allow ourselves to see
 
 
  • Post #28
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  • Apr 19, 2019 9:17am Apr 19, 2019 9:17am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Quoting mikeeating
Disliked
where is pound? or has that blown off the scale lol
Ignored
Haha I lol'ed

No sir, the pound is latest shown as dark/brownish due to it was weak sell.
 
 
  • Post #29
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  • Apr 19, 2019 9:26am Apr 19, 2019 9:26am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Current week about to end. The 5th call got into some headwind yesterday and the divergence grew even more on some currencies. Right now the current week calculation hasn't changed a lot only the CHF got closed to natural and some changed places. Right now 5th call stands at -0,85%.

Status: CHF closing 0,17% brings the total profit to 3,20% with outstanding positions currently at -1,02%.

These calls will be taken into next week:

NZD strong buy
EUR strong buy

JPY strong sell
GBP medium sell

Also, from next week on I'm planning on not just doing current week calculations but also monthly and daily. Maybe intraday calls would be something I could add also if I'm at my desk.
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  • Post #30
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  • Edited 10:23am Apr 19, 2019 10:00am | Edited 10:23am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
I love graphs and these attached charts give a visual overview of this week (these got nothing to do with the price/volume irregularities though)

First shows US bonds and exotics.
Rising yields normally are markets bullish and falling bearish. But also the yield curve inversion is important to take into consideration.
Exotics have been quiet for some time and was more market moving during the time of big price drop in TRY and ARS. USD currencies added to eliminate the USD factor in the graph calculation.

Second shows currency, stock indices, gold, and oil.
Currencies listed as green are normally considered market bullish and red are considered market bearish. EUR and GBP can't be put into this category so they're yellow and orange. Stock indices have a slight correlation to the currencies mentioned above. By adding USD crosses to the XAU/USD will eliminate the USD factor and show the more 'real' XAU price movement, same with oil.
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  • Post #31
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  • Apr 21, 2019 7:12pm Apr 21, 2019 7:12pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
A new week has started and we got our 5th call got some catching up to do.
This week I will also provide intraday calls - stay tuned my fellow peers.
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  • Post #32
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  • Apr 22, 2019 6:44pm Apr 22, 2019 6:44pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Low volatile day due to holidays as expected. Our 5th call caught up a little with a daily profit of 0,27% and expecting more action tomorrow and continuing closing indifferences.
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  • Post #33
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  • Apr 22, 2019 7:12pm Apr 22, 2019 7:12pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
I've received many private messages (Thank you for your interest)

The messages varied in subject and I guess many of you ask yourself some of the same. That's why I'm trying with this post to provide some answers and tell you a bit more about myself.

I am the data source and I ain't paying for my information. However, I've been paying for it through a life passion for forex through financial education, work, self-learning and (unfortunately) a lot of my own money. Over a decade I've had this relentless drive for finding the edge in the biggest capital market in the world due to the potential (holy grail I used to call it when I was younger and more inexperienced) I'm myself still surprised over 'my discovery' and are trying to automate as much as I can and make the manual time as less as possible. As many of you well know, that it takes a long time of testing to be absolutely sure you got it right. Posting here on FF is both to get some inputs from peers and to prove/discipline me to provide a public record. Maybe I will go search for partnership/funding/managed accounts/my private capital in the future due to my own private economy at the moment, is not having the capital needed to play this safe (because I don't want t play blow account or take to big risk, I've tried that too many times testing every indicator/system/theory I could imagine and find over the years. Selling is not (and never been) the main goal here. I've myself spend too much money over the years on fake promises, so I don't wanna get paid for anything if I can't provide good results.
 
 
  • Post #34
  • Quote
  • Apr 22, 2019 7:33pm Apr 22, 2019 7:33pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
And as far as my own knowledge there's no service able to provide the same. Data is real-time yes, but some of the data calculations can take some time to do. It's not 'just' inside information from one broker because this would only give a rough estimate (also depending on broker size, client type, big fishes, time zone etc. Doesn't matter if the market is decentralized or not if retail clients are used as milking cows. The market might be faker than we think, either way, that's what I've experienced after I got the overview. Currency speculation is still such a niche to the general population (and even in the financial industry) and even the jobs are getting cut due to automatization and less need for firm speculators cause it's more about selling and executing orders for clients.
 
 
  • Post #35
  • Quote
  • Apr 29, 2019 8:21am Apr 29, 2019 8:21am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Intraday situation
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  • Post #36
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  • Apr 30, 2019 8:47am Apr 30, 2019 8:47am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
A visual image of speculation during a big news event on USD/CAD (CAD GDP data release)
Shows price jump was a fake profiting of retail clients.
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  • Post #37
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  • Apr 30, 2019 11:46am Apr 30, 2019 11:46am
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Fake price jump corrected itself, and it looks like there's probably room for more downfall.
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  • Post #38
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  • Apr 30, 2019 1:36pm Apr 30, 2019 1:36pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Irregularity fully closed on this intraday call with a profit of 55 pips on USDCAD. This is an example of how the calculations also can be used.
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  • Post #39
  • Quote
  • Apr 30, 2019 1:52pm Apr 30, 2019 1:52pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
EUR/GBP has been trading strange today and pressure wise it looks ready to rise
 
 
  • Post #40
  • Quote
  • Apr 30, 2019 2:32pm Apr 30, 2019 2:32pm
  •  Zerv
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
I've been able to conclude, that many simultaneous calculations in real time are needed for the best overview and trade decision. I started sharing with you one type of calculation that was 'current week' and today I made an intraday. I've also in my continues development concluded, that the lesser a timeframe a big irregularity happen, the faker and more extreme it is. So during intraday is definitely great, while older data like the previous day, week, monthly, yearly is good alternative data to back up the intraday call or tell if it should be avoided. For example, today's USD/CAD call could have been called off if similar or bigger reverse difference happened yesterday.
 
 
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