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Attachments: Neural network (deep learning) EA & some manual trades
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Neural network (deep learning) EA & some manual trades

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  • Post #21
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  • Nov 6, 2017 2:03pm Nov 6, 2017 2:03pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
#7 trade. Sell EURUSD. Why:
1. Dollar is strenghtening on hopes to increase interest rate.
2. EUR is not still rising interest rate and gave a tone that they still are pessimistic.
3. EU price broker 1.167 level and retraced to it with lover volumes

What i don't like:
1. W1 bar. After such formation there are possibilities that price could go up till the previous bar height.

Because of that SL is put high at 1.186 level. TP @1.13 level.
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  • Post #22
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2017 2:09pm Nov 6, 2017 2:09pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
#8 trade. Sell EURJPY. Why:

1.EUR is not still rising interest rate and gave a tone that they still are pessimistic.
2.Friday daily bar closed below thursday bar
3. Very heavy divergence of macd


What i don't like:
1. Weak yen, that could boost EURJPY price higher without a little retrace

Sl @133.7, TP could be @129 level. RR ratio 1.7
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  • Post #23
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  • Nov 6, 2017 2:12pm Nov 6, 2017 2:12pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
#9 trade. Buy USDCAD. Why:
1.Dollar is strenghtening on hopes to increase interest rate.
2. CAD still hasn't increased interest rate on better data
3. Price ant minor support
4. Longer mini trend to upside compared with one to downside

What i don't like:
1, Price could move to major support which will lead only to 1:1 RR

SL @1.24
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  • Post #24
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  • Nov 11, 2017 8:38am Nov 11, 2017 8:38am
  •  happytrade38
  • | Joined Sep 2014 | Status: Member | 508 Posts
Quoting orangutangas
Disliked
First post is on EAs that could make you very rich. Created one (took half a year) which showed awesome results in 2010-2016. However in 2017 it generated minus. So it is hard to believe in these static trading EAs. And i suggest you not to be fooled by scammers selling them. 2010-2016 results: {image} {image} And here is 2017 results(again blowing my money on it): {image} {image}
Ignored
hi,
is both result from neural network EA?
 
 
  • Post #25
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  • Nov 12, 2017 10:20am Nov 12, 2017 10:20am
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
Quoting happytrade38
Disliked
{quote} hi, is both result from neural network EA?
Ignored
No, results from static EA, not NN. Backtesting with best results of 2010-2016 and then forward test in 2017 (chart with negative $)
 
 
  • Post #26
  • Quote
  • Nov 12, 2017 10:22am Nov 12, 2017 10:22am
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
Quoting happytrade38
Disliked
{quote} hi, is both result from neural network EA?
Ignored
Found results of NN forward test(testing 2016H2 - 2017H1 period). Here are the results:
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  • Post #27
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  • Nov 12, 2017 10:28am Nov 12, 2017 10:28am
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
Last week was first interesting for a NN EA. First week i have got more negative transactions. Had 6wins vs 15 losses. One thing that could cause it was time changing to winter time in my country. And only in 2 weeks MetaTrader change time in its servers(so actuall hour with what i see in mettrader is different by one hour).
So far in total with NN EA I had 49 wins vs 32 losses. Direction is still up
 
 
  • Post #28
  • Quote
  • Nov 13, 2017 12:36pm Nov 13, 2017 12:36pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
Closing my EURJPY short trade. Why:
1. Price aggressively moved to 131.5 level, retraced and after that it did not move lover.
2. Two bars with higher lows formed last week.

So potentially it could move back to 134.4 level.
So I am closing it, with open pending order at 131.5 to short in case analysis was wrong.
 
 
  • Post #29
  • Quote
  • Nov 13, 2017 12:42pm Nov 13, 2017 12:42pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
#10 trade, short GOLD. Why:
1. Price moved down through 1300 level
2. It still tried to test it, put could not break it back
3. On Friday was another big rejection down.

Giving a tight SL @1292, in case it will try to check once back 1306 level
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  • Post #30
  • Quote
  • Nov 13, 2017 12:46pm Nov 13, 2017 12:46pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
#11 trade. Buy USD/JPY. Why:
1. USD should increase interest rates
2. JPY is as always still weak while it is not increasing its interest rates.
3.Price testes 3rd time 114.3 level , with little spike of break. The more it tests same level the weaker price is and tends to break it.
4. Price is not far away from minor support

Putting tight SL in case it will try to moved down a bit more before a jump to the upside.
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  • Post #31
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:34pm Nov 13, 2017 12:49pm | Edited 1:34pm
  •  mbrown
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2015 | 2,913 Posts
Quoting orangutangas
Disliked
First post is on EAs that could make you very rich. Created one (took half a year) which showed awesome results in 2010-2016. However in 2017 it generated minus. So it is hard to believe in these static trading EAs. And i suggest you not to be fooled by scammers selling them. 2010-2016 results: {image} {image} And here is 2017 results(again blowing my money on it): {image} {image}
Ignored
How often are you retraining it?

Posted a reply via PM.
 
 
  • Post #32
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2017 1:26pm Nov 15, 2017 1:26pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
Ok, so #11 USDJPY hit SL. What were the mistakes:
1. Price hit minor SL pretty much easy - no need to put SL very tight
2. There was MACD minor divergence which caused price to move down. - even if divergence not clear and it is minor(at same level), do not go against it
3. Entered long on lower volume while before there was a big candle with high volume - low volume usually means retrace, so entered on worng minor direction

Still view usdjpy on upside, so will reenter long if will see some price action at 111.7 or 108.8 levels or if see upside PA formations
 
 
  • Post #33
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2017 1:28pm Nov 15, 2017 1:28pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
Amendment on previous post.
When price starts moving in small range, better to use SL at least of range amplitude. So my SL had to bee at around 111.7 level
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  • Post #34
  • Quote
  • Nov 19, 2017 12:48pm Nov 19, 2017 12:48pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
#10 trade, short GOLD hit SL.
1. I was giving tight SL which was broken.
2. As previously told, will look further if there anything to short @ 1306 level.
 
 
  • Post #35
  • Quote
  • Edited 7:24pm Nov 19, 2017 6:59pm | Edited 7:24pm
  •  G.Kad
  • | Joined Oct 2017 | Status: LOL | 160 Posts
Just a little advice here...
Quoting orangutangas
Disliked
When price starts moving in small range, better to...
Ignored
Stay out... And size of the range doesn't matter much, wait till "big boys" finally will decide to what direction they want to go.
And that so-called volumes indicator... You better delete it from your chart.
MACD or other indicators will never cause price to do something, it's ridiculous to think they do or will, it's indicator... banks and other "big boys" don't care about it.
Imagine the "big boy" sitting in his office and saying-"oh, I was about to sell billions of EUR but MACD didn't agree"
 
1
  • Post #36
  • Quote
  • Nov 20, 2017 1:44am Nov 20, 2017 1:44am
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
There are million ways to track how big money moves. Or at least we think that there is so much
 
 
  • Post #37
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2017 8:26pm Nov 23, 2017 8:26pm
  •  happytrade38
  • | Joined Sep 2014 | Status: Member | 508 Posts
Quoting orangutangas
Disliked
{quote} Found results of NN forward test(testing 2016H2 - 2017H1 period). Here are the results: {image}
Ignored
Intresting result.
Mind to share the forward result in Trade Explorer? and can share more about the NN trade?
 
 
  • Post #38
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2017 8:49pm Nov 23, 2017 8:49pm
  •  iamgotzaa
  • Joined Feb 2013 | Status: One step closer! | 800 Posts
where is the download button?!?!
Holy grail, pls pm
 
 
  • Post #39
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2017 1:41pm Nov 27, 2017 1:41pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
Quoting iamgotzaa
Disliked
where is the download button?!?!
Ignored
Send me $$ and i will share you download button
 
 
  • Post #40
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2017 2:04pm Nov 27, 2017 2:04pm
  •  orangutangas
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: Member | 273 Posts
#7 trade. Sell EURUSD hit SL.
Entering the trade wrote that i don't like formation of W1 candle. And it happened..
Also wrote:
1. Dollar is strenghtening on hopes to increase interest rate. - it was happening. But last week i saw poll result that 90% expect that interest rates to be hiked in December. So looks like scenario will as with pound - if interest rate increase to forecasted level or won't increase , dollar will go down. And if interest rate increase more than expected dollar will go up
2. EUR is not still rising interest rate and gave a tone that they still are pessimistic. - it is long term prognosis, but there were not much bad news for Euro, so it regained its strength
 
 
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