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EURUSD only

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  • Post #161,841
  • Quote
  • Nov 25, 2022 9:56pm Nov 25, 2022 9:56pm
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Quoting fxcontest
Disliked
{quote} Close below 1.0392 - Bear Monday - I will Buy around 1.0354 - 1.0358
Ignored
Love your plan. Will probably do the same
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
  • Post #161,842
  • Quote
  • Nov 26, 2022 12:05am Nov 26, 2022 12:05am
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Just my thinking for next week.

we are remain in a channel 0420 key resistance and if we break the upward channel it may provide room for further drop

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daily another doji.4h looks like a double top forming but daily close above 200dsma is a bit alarming. Well at least better than closing above 0400.
if double top confirm then we should see 0100.
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USDX seems like have found support
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
2
  • Post #161,843
  • Quote
  • Nov 26, 2022 6:04am Nov 26, 2022 6:04am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,741 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} Haha i know! Nice catch mate!
Ignored
Thanks johncen

Quoting nic9man
Disliked
https://think.ing.com/snaps/us-resil...-talk-tougher/ Interesting article, regarding a potential fading of FED dovishness. Happy weekend!
Ignored
If we see good numbers at Thursday & Friday and with an aggresive speach USD should strengthen.

Wednesday EU CPI & Fed Chair Powell Speech, Thursday US Core PCE Price Index & Friday NFP.
Feels right this time!
 
1
  • Post #161,844
  • Quote
  • Nov 26, 2022 6:26am Nov 26, 2022 6:26am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,741 Posts
The chart closed the week above 1.0369 but below 1.0481 so still the price is in a consolidation mode.

I filtered out from the economic calendar these news for the next week: Wednesday EU CPI & Fed Chair Powell Speech, Thursday US Core PCE Price Index & Friday NFP. Many others news will be out and the volatility I expect EURUSD to travel at least is 148 pips.

The price may close above or below a level but if it closses back inside then it is considered a fake close and we should watch the developements because in this case EU may stay in this trading range for more - weekly chart.

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At the hourly chart EU should stay above at least 50% fibo level so the bulls can fade any drop at or below or rise above 1.0449 for a test of 1.0481.

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Have a great rest of the weekend!
Feels right this time!
 
2
  • Post #161,845
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2022 9:46am Nov 27, 2022 9:46am
  •  AndAnd
  • | Joined Oct 2021 | Status: Member | 105 Posts
EURUSD shows good bullish movement. Most likely gap will be around the level of 1.03630.And after that a great up growth.
 
 
  • Post #161,846
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  • Nov 27, 2022 1:27pm Nov 27, 2022 1:27pm
  •  buddha-
  • | Joined Feb 2019 | Status: Member | 1,292 Posts
index weekly tf
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  • Post #161,847
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  • Edited 5:48pm Nov 27, 2022 5:38pm | Edited 5:48pm
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
A small gap down and we are now at support (rising trendline from 1.0224)

where next?

1.0369 key support for bull today as per stated by Js3nwtRc above.

personally i remain favouring short but if we fail to close below then yea likely to see 1.05 or above
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
  • Post #161,848
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2022 6:12pm Nov 27, 2022 6:12pm
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 4,653 Posts
Happy new trading week everyone !!!
Quoting mtako
Disliked
... Traders are still digesting the first unequivocal +400 counter trend week we've had in this year and a half long downtrend : last week's body is not even 1/10th of the previous week ...
Ignored
still digesting the 10th of November buffet . Follow above quote also brings you to my longer-term view, if interested which, for the most, still has not changed (>3H).

I also have a small update for the intraday duck/beak/triangle chart during my last passage:
Quoting mtako
Disliked
...P.S If price opens and closes above the duck's beak, who will buy that candle's high's break with me? And what if that happens below the beak? Exciting triangle trading! {image} {image}
Ignored
"Intraday bird beak traders" shorted this and did quite well! Alas, looks like a friendly fish (follow quote above for the fish!) transformed itself into a deep water shark ! And now that it is caught, let's make sure we bulls stay above the kissing bird's beak, or else, ranging magnet will pull the shark back in the water and perhaps, forever

Wishing the very best, warm, loving, fun trading week to all of you !

Oh, and saved the best for last : wishing to all success (no matter the results, if I followed my rules, that is successs, as the forest matters infinitely more than the tree!), !

P.S adding to my longs IF >0383. Buy Stop 0383 0393 0403 0430 0450
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If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
1
  • Post #161,849
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2022 8:46pm Nov 27, 2022 8:46pm
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
A small gap down and we are now at support (rising trendline from 1.0224) where next? 1.0369 key support for bull today as per stated by Js3nwtRc above. personally i remain favouring short but if we fail to close below then yea likely to see 1.05 or above
Ignored
Got my first tp near 0340.

now i will be looking to reload near 0360

trying a scalp long here
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
  • Post #161,850
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2022 9:23pm Nov 27, 2022 9:23pm
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} Got my first tp near 0340. now i will be looking to reload near 0360 trying a scalp long here
Ignored
Closed 0355 took 13
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
1
  • Post #161,851
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2022 11:13pm Nov 27, 2022 11:13pm
  •  Xrin-Night
  • | Joined Oct 2022 | Status: Member | 23 Posts
Quoting mtako
Disliked
no matter the results, if I followed my rules, that is successs, as the forest matters infinitely more than the tree!
Ignored
Amazing! Yes, no matter what always follow your proven strategy because in the long-run it will bring success!
 
1
  • Post #161,852
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:17am Nov 28, 2022 12:59am | Edited 1:17am
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 18,479 Posts
perfect pa as top ranging continues , nearest support 0250 while bull limit down for up 0088/93. take care
in smaller tf , it is still possible gap filling at 0396 before down also .
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Not understand?never follow my analyses!
 
 
  • Post #161,853
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 2:22am Nov 28, 2022 2:22am
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} Got my first tp near 0340. now i will be looking to reload near 0360 trying a scalp long here
Ignored
didnt work -10
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
  • Post #161,854
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 2:25am Nov 28, 2022 2:25am
  •  s.everest
  • | Joined May 2022 | Status: Everest | 52 Posts
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  • Post #161,855
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 2:47am Nov 28, 2022 2:47am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,741 Posts
Good day and week! EURUSD failed after the opening but found some support at the low of the wedge and above 50% fibo and now looks like it wants to move further up at the upper side. Vol is 67 pips.

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Feels right this time!
 
1
  • Post #161,856
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 2:55am Nov 28, 2022 2:55am
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} didnt work -10
Ignored
Trying another short here 0383
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
  • Post #161,857
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 2:57am Nov 28, 2022 2:57am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,741 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
A small gap down and we are now at support (rising trendline from 1.0224) where next? 1.0369 key support for bull today as per stated by Js3nwtRc above. personally i remain favouring short but if we fail to close below then yea likely to see 1.05 or above
Ignored
I find too many obstacles and hard for the EU to trend up or down today.
Feels right this time!
 
1
  • Post #161,858
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 3:00am Nov 28, 2022 3:00am
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
{quote} I find too many obstacles and hard for the EU to trend up or down today.
Ignored
I know, I am a bit confused over the last couple of days as getting mixed signals. After reading your last post makes me worried haha dont wanna trade against you. I have closed most of my shorts already near 0340 keeping last one from 0440 ( that one should b pretty safe for now) and targeting 0100.
will probably scalping only for now. Tight sl around 10 pips each, take 20-30 and run
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
1
  • Post #161,859
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 3:00am Nov 28, 2022 3:00am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,741 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} Trying another short here 0383
Ignored
Feels right this time!
 
2
  • Post #161,860
  • Quote
  • Nov 28, 2022 3:02am Nov 28, 2022 3:02am
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,827 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} Trying another short here 0383
Ignored
Sl @ be now no risk

update: nah not working
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
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