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  • Post #151,101
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 1:52am Jul 6, 2022 1:52am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 6,975 Posts
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
{quote} Keeps droping, now 0262 is the new decision point. The price may drop, bounce, or stay around there for a nap
Ignored
EURUSD oscillated around 0262 as expected at the Asian session, but didn't offered any significant move either for the bears, or bulls with the last the most underprivileged.

Now the high of the Asian session is holding the price from a rise to 0307/25, or a drop below yesterdays lows first and then at 0210/0200.

Green pips!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
 
 
  • Post #151,102
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 2:29am Jul 6, 2022 2:29am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 6,975 Posts
Sharing this 1H chart analysis with you here:

EURUSD needs to rise above 0272, so it can have some chances to rise at the first resistance level (0325). If, it reach there I expect a reaction to the downside (blue shaded area) or if, it closes above for the day a rise to the next level of supply (0383/67).

A drop below yesterdays low at 0236 could bring 0210/0200 at the bottom of this chart, or lower maybe at 0188.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: screenshot.png
Size: 19 KB


FOMC today is what may help the USD the most, but profit taking is what to watch!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
 
2
  • Post #151,103
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 2:49am Jul 6, 2022 2:49am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
They came for me.. I am on side lines now..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
 
  • Post #151,104
  • Quote
  • Edited 3:26am Jul 6, 2022 2:57am | Edited 3:26am
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 19,681 Posts
as scalping long yesterday for a overnight play , but not done ,may needed lo to have this bounce lately . lets see if breaks signal 0280 for 0324 1st target to limit 0366 as far as it go ! lets see if correct with d bottom or tank unconditionally !
anyway if breaks and hold previous low likely next target goes 1.0066 areas with or without correction up . so price at critical level ..take care
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Name: EURUSDM30.png
Size: 10 KB
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Name: EURUSDDaily.png
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
 
1
  • Post #151,105
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  • Jul 6, 2022 3:22am Jul 6, 2022 3:22am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
It looks like it is about to continue lower but actually 1.0255 area is slowly forming a base..

At least that's how I see it on H1..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
2
  • Post #151,106
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 3:44am Jul 6, 2022 3:44am
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 19,681 Posts
watching if the bear fail at 0239 or not , very critical . no signal on any side .
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: EURUSDM5.png
Size: 13 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
 
1
  • Post #151,107
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 3:53am Jul 6, 2022 3:53am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 6,975 Posts
EU can't take out 0.236% of yesterdays fall. It need a least a close above there (0286) so it can rise further. Below there its going to drop.

Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
EU can't take out 0.236% of yesterdays fall. It need a least a close above there (0286) so it can rise further. Below there its going to drop.
Ignored
Edit: volatility is 84 pips
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
 
 
  • Post #151,108
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 4:06am Jul 6, 2022 4:06am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
The current "insisting" in a drop feels fishy...

Edit: there you go...
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
1
  • Post #151,109
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 4:12am Jul 6, 2022 4:12am
  •  GreenJ
  • | Joined Jun 2022 | Status: Member | 463 Posts
Ata if I may. Market is disfunctioning, again caution is advised. I would also caution that posting entry and exit points in this pair is being monitored by data collection bots (trust me on this one lots of techie friends in the biz) is being used to minimize the volatility by the retail traders. Just got informed myself and I thought I share it.

DXY just dropped .10% and EUR?USD barely moved.
 
1
  • Post #151,110
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 4:21am Jul 6, 2022 4:21am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
Quoting GreenJ
Disliked
Ata if I may. Market is disfunctioning, again caution is advised. I would also caution that posting entry and exit points in this pair is being monitored by data collection bots (trust me on this one lots of techie friends in the biz) is being used to minimize the volatility by the retail traders. Just got informed myself and I thought I share it. DXY just dropped .10% and EUR?USD barely moved.
Ignored
Lol.. I was there too some years ago.. But the better I became, I distanced myself from this false belief.

No amount of bots can affect this huge ocean of EURUSD liquidity... If you ask me, any trader's opinions on forexfactory or any other trading based website affecting price is a myth, so relax!

Traders should work on the weak parts of their entry-exit strategies and address these problems.. Success will follow..

Best wishes


Anyway... coming back to EURUSD: 1.0266 is a true beeeeeatch... I sold again..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: EURUSD-H1.png
Size: 17 KB
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
3
  • Post #151,111
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 4:33am Jul 6, 2022 4:33am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 6,975 Posts
Quoting GreenJ
Disliked
Ata if I may. Market is disfunctioning, again caution is advised. I would also caution that posting entry and exit points in this pair is being monitored by data collection bots (trust me on this one lots of techie friends in the biz) is being used to minimize the volatility by the retail traders. Just got informed myself and I thought I share it. DXY just dropped .10% and EUR?USD barely moved.
Ignored
As far as I know around 0245 there is a bunch of hedging options in case EURUSD fall further, so in this case there is a buying interest until these options expire inside the money (EU drop) or out of money (EU rises).
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
 
1
  • Post #151,112
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 4:40am Jul 6, 2022 4:40am
  •  GreenJ
  • | Joined Jun 2022 | Status: Member | 463 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} Lol.. I was there too some years ago.. But the better I became, I distanced myself from this false belief. No amount of bots can affect this huge ocean of EURUSD liquidity... If you ask me, any trader's opinions on forexfactory or any other trading based website affecting price is a myth, so relax! Traders should work on the weak parts of their entry-exit strategies and address these problems.. Success will follow.. Best wishes
Ignored

Me too, and indeed I did let go of it until recently when I befriended a recruiter for coders by some big financial firms for exactly this purpose. Things have changed and this kind of data is a goldmine. Long story short I was helping him with part of their interviews/hiring process and we usually stay in touch (part of monitoring their placement). Had doubts, lots of them but they disappeared when today a third techie indicated to me that he felt that was he was tasked to do was not "right". We will have to agree to disagree on this one lol.

As always your trading advice/approach is very valuable.
 
1
  • Post #151,113
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 4:55am Jul 6, 2022 4:55am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 6,975 Posts
Big guys got their 0230 target, in fact they collected 3 more pips to 0227 on my screen. Now I am sure their plans are to sell from higher prices for next weeks US CPI report. Some will think they have to trail further and never see a retrace until parity.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
 
1
  • Post #151,114
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:58am Jul 6, 2022 4:57am | Edited 5:58am
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 19,681 Posts
Bear breakout but not any enough to jump for bear , , needed hold below it . anyway watching 0257 signal and 0274 top breakout if just fake out done now !! now competing h 1 close at 0247, if exact then bounce easy even.

h1 close down , bear pressure remain intact . lets see . if previous low now breaks and hold to short for next target as seen in the morning.

Though in short now but be carefull arounds 0200 as still correction up likely if abc 5th of 3wave. .
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Name: sketch-1657101422926.png
Size: 67 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
 
2
  • Post #151,115
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 4:57am Jul 6, 2022 4:57am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
I closed sell position with the spikey dip... No more selling for me.. I will only wait on side lines until bulls free themselves from 1.0266 or whatever updated resistance level we will have in upcoming hours..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
3
  • Post #151,116
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 5:15am Jul 6, 2022 5:15am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 8,115 Posts | Online Now
Quoting GreenJ
Disliked
Ata if I may. Market is disfunctioning, again caution is advised. I would also caution that posting entry and exit points in this pair is being monitored by data collection bots (trust me on this one lots of techie friends in the biz) is being used to minimize the volatility by the retail traders. Just got informed myself and I thought I share it. DXY just dropped .10% and EUR?USD barely moved.
Ignored
If I may ask, what do you mean by "reducing volatility by retail traders?" As for EU being monitored, I believe all pairs are monitored. I don't for one second think a market worth trillions is left to run on the collective emotions of people. There is some level control somewhere.
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
 
 
  • Post #151,117
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 5:59am Jul 6, 2022 5:59am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 6,975 Posts
Keeps falling

15 min chart with support and resistance

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: screenshot.png
Size: 5 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
 
1
  • Post #151,118
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 6:01am Jul 6, 2022 6:01am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
For the rest of the day I have 1.0211.. Let's see if bears can reach it...
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
2
  • Post #151,119
  • Quote
  • Jul 6, 2022 6:07am Jul 6, 2022 6:07am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
Meanwhile, on H1...

Nearest resistance is now sitting at: 1.02465...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: EURUSD-H1.png
Size: 17 KB
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
3
  • Post #151,120
  • Quote
  • Edited 6:39am Jul 6, 2022 6:10am | Edited 6:39am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 21,133 Posts
Let's see if this was the last dip... don't get caught though!

*Husshhhhh! The coders are watching I am long now: 1.0213..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: coders.png
Size: 20 KB
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: -33.0%
 
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