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  • Post #86,161
  • Quote
  • Edited at 7:56am May 16, 2019 7:37am | Edited at 7:56am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 14,746 Posts
H4 S/R Levels (Just for fun)

  1. Bulls need a close above 1.1220 roughly but to make it certain I marked nearest highest high: 1.12245
  2. Bears need to go back below dotted black moving average: 1.1207 but to make it certain I marked previous candle's low: 1.1197 (I just corrected the level, this is better!)
  3. Bears have the upper hand here..

Stay Green

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Be a seer, not a looker!
  • Post #86,162
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 7:39am May 16, 2019 7:39am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 14,746 Posts
Quoting skillz16
Disliked
Has anyone else been having a hard time this past 3 trading weeks? Is it only me? Am I over-reacting? Ha, sorry, I'm venting. Does not seem like there has been a solid range or direction. I've not lost money, and I've made a small amount, but it feels like a GRIND! Anyone else feel the same?
Ignored
It is itchy lately yes..

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
  • Post #86,163
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 7:47am May 16, 2019 7:47am
  •  Marcieny
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: "Ideas stimulate the mind" | 4,144 Posts
great day for you guys...sometimes I think can occur a flash crash on the dollar. Or an scape.
Proverbs 18.15
1
  • Post #86,164
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 7:50am May 16, 2019 7:50am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 14,746 Posts
Quoting Marcieny
Disliked
great day for you guys...sometimes I think can occur a flash crash on the dollar.
Ignored
Are you saying that based on facts of your technical analysis or are you opening tarot cards on your table right now? The "ten of swords" showed up or what?

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
  • Post #86,165
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 7:57am May 16, 2019 7:57am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 4,586 Posts
Quoting Mitiblotch
Disliked
I have shorted 4 times already today and booked pips. Now short 1.1214. Stops above 1.1250. TP: open I must note that I believe that with the EU elections around the corner, upside may be firmly limited. Any spikes near 1.126x will be met with brutal selling force. Again, this is my fallible opinion.
Ignored
SL moved to BE.
1
  • Post #86,166
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 7:57am May 16, 2019 7:57am
  •  Marcieny
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: "Ideas stimulate the mind" | 4,144 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} Are you saying that based on facts of your technical analysis or are you opening tarot cards on your table right now? The ten of swords showed up or what? Stay Green
Ignored
Hahaha Based on my Technical analysis....bought the falls...I'm Green...But if the market offer me a better price I accept.
Proverbs 18.15
  • Post #86,167
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:01am May 16, 2019 8:01am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 14,746 Posts
Quoting Marcieny
Disliked
{quote} Hahaha Technical analysis....bought the falls...I'm Green...But if the market offer me a better price I accept.
Ignored
I am scalping too but my real orders will come only after I see where current H4 candle closes. 1 hour left for H4 candle close.. If it closes above 1.1207 I would risk buying dips.. If it closes below 1.1207 I would risk selling swing highs.. Good luck to all

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
3
  • Post #86,168
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:10am May 16, 2019 8:10am
  •  skillz16
  • Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 1,390 Posts
Quote
Disliked
The euro is likely to fall below $1.10 and the Chinese yuan is likely to decline, with the USD/CNY breaking through the key psychological level of 7 during the summer, according to George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank's forex strategist

WOAH! This is a BIG move from where we are at... haha, right? That is like 8-10 percent in about 4 months...

Looking at the current trend line starting in FEB, it looks like we see about 0.01 down per month. So that would put 1.10 at 10-12 months out..? But I suppose trends change on news. and they are wrong a lot so... haha
1
  • Post #86,169
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:16am May 16, 2019 8:16am
  •  Wavegarrick
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 1,563 Posts
Quoting Wavegarrick
Disliked
{quote} Hi Guys, My current situation. I have added some some shorts today as per my previous post at London open. I must say all looked great until the so called Trump tweet. All in all a sturdy profit of 100+ pips reduced to rubble. If you are a scalper and I am sure most of you are, you would have booked handsome pips. Nevertheless all is not lost for me as I still feel that we could go into a short cycle from here. 1.1200 now becomes crucial for a daily close below and 1.12166 for a daily close above for longs. I still have my future daily pivot...
Ignored
Hi Guys, I remain cautiously bearish. Right now with a few minutes into the NY opening bell 1.12000 being tested. This morning with London open saw the rising trend line being tested and a perfect opportunity to add more shorts. Having said 1.1200 is holding solidly at the moment and needs at least a 4hr or daily close below. As we all know anything can happen in forex.

Trade safe.
Cheers
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Trade to Trade another day.
6
  • Post #86,170
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:29am May 16, 2019 8:29am
  •  Pip100
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined May 2019 | 16 Posts
I hope Trump tweets today as it will provide good reasons to short the fade, but the euro has been so flat today lol. Hopefully Draghi will lift it soon at the next meeting
  • Post #86,171
  • Quote
  • Edited at 8:57am May 16, 2019 8:30am | Edited at 8:57am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 14,746 Posts
H1 Status Update

For my followers, here is my regular H1 chart view:

  1. H1 candles have already stepped down below GREEN line --> Bears have the upper hand here!
  2. If H1 candles can stay below 1.1210 then I think it is all good and no danger for bears.
  3. If bears could drop below the Dashed TL that acts supportive the bear trend could speed up.
  4. Normally I would step down to M15 to look for a bull candle to buy the Dashed Touch on H1 BUT candles are below GREEN line and that prevents me from doing that.

*Meanwhile drop occurred... here go the bears

Stay Green

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Be a seer, not a looker!
1
6
  • Post #86,172
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:32am May 16, 2019 8:32am
  •  skillz16
  • Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 1,390 Posts
US data all strong... I'd personally think we fall below 1.20 and start to stay below here soon. but... FX so you know!
1
  • Post #86,173
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:41am May 16, 2019 8:41am
  •  post
  • Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Fundamental & Technical Analyst | 1,772 Posts
Green US Data,
Short EU 1.1204, SL: 30 pips, TP: Open


Happy Trading
Profit is not profit until you BANK it
2
  • Post #86,174
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:46am May 16, 2019 8:46am
  •  skillz16
  • Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 1,390 Posts
Ha, time for the algos to read "China"... "Sell".. and "US Treasuries".. and cause a flash-crash US Rate spike up, and EUR/USD plummet.

Attached Image
  • Post #86,175
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 8:52am May 16, 2019 8:52am
  •  bigiivan
  • Joined Jun 2018 | Status: Brother | 2,849 Posts
Quoting bigiivan
Disliked
0,10 lots SELL at 1,1207; SL at 1,1232; 1-st TP at 1,1178; 2-nd TP at 1,1263.
Ignored
To being more funny:
Closed 0,02 lots with + 17 pips. 0,08 pips at BE.
Ave Caesar, morituri te salutant!
Dow
2
  • Post #86,176
  • Quote
  • Edited at 9:17am May 16, 2019 9:01am | Edited at 9:17am
  •  belon
  • Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Member | 453 Posts
... https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...1#post12274091

imo: return to level 1.1205-1.1215 and next sell:
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2
  • Post #86,177
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 9:02am May 16, 2019 9:02am
  •  wealthyqueen
  • | Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Member | 448 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
H1 Status Update For my followers, here is my regular H1 chart view: H1 candles have already stepped down below GREEN line --> Bears have the upper hand here! If H1 candles can stay below 1.1210 then I think it is all good and no danger for bears. If bears could drop below the Dashed TL that acts supportive the bear trend could speed up. Normally I would step down to M15 to look for a bull candle to buy the Dashed Touch on H1 BUT candles are below GREEN line and that prevents me from doing that. *Meanwhile drop occurred... here go the bears ...
Ignored
Good Morning Dearest Ata! I am still trading....silly me...mapped my technicals last night. Perfect entry. Have an awesome day!
  • Post #86,178
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 9:03am May 16, 2019 9:03am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 14,746 Posts
1.1184 is bottom edge of H4 triangle.. Careful, it might bounce up again.. I closed my short orders here.. waiting for retracement and retest to breakout area 1.1200 to look for sell setups again.. It's getting tighter and tighter..

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
2
  • Post #86,179
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 9:05am May 16, 2019 9:05am
  •  Oc6oph
  • Joined Nov 2018 | Status: VIP | 4,525 Posts
Long 1.1186 SL 1.1170 Tp open
ex nihilo
1
  • Post #86,180
  • Quote
  • May 16, 2019 9:05am May 16, 2019 9:05am
  •  bigiivan
  • Joined Jun 2018 | Status: Brother | 2,849 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
1.1184 is bottom edge of H4 triangle.. Careful, it might bounce up again.. I closed my short orders here.. waiting for retracement and retest to breakout area 1.1200 to sell again.. Stay Green
Ignored
Level 1,1182 is for me.
Crossed fingers!
Ave Caesar, morituri te salutant!
Dow
1
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