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  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Edited Oct 14, 2020 6:23am Mar 26, 2016 10:51am | Edited Oct 14, 2020 6:23am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts

The 28Pairs Currency Strength Trading System - also known as Double-GAP Strategy - is my primary trading philosophy and is based on exploiting individual currency strength and weakness.


Now including currency speed impulse and supply/demand zones.


I have created two threads: To keep trading rules and theory together this thread is not open for asking questions.
A separated thread for posting trades and questions is opened here.

The principle idea is buying strength and selling weakness. This is a fundamental strategy for investors in all marketplaces. Most amateur retail traders in Forex either ignore this winning strategy or are unaware of it.

With this strategy, we look at individual currencies rather than currency pairs and then buy the strong currency and sell it against the weak currency. This will give your trading a real edge.



https://youtu.be/eBOdOXx7oaU

https://youtu.be/7H-fhQZBDak

But we include also supply and demand for possible stop and targets or reversal zones. You can use it with currency strength or as it is.
https://youtu.be/OLKRqjaXwDk

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General rules for my thread:
Criticism of my method and/or myself, and any attempts to prove me wrong will be treated as a violation of Forum #1Rule: Respect the Fellow Trader. This is just the way I look at the markets, I believe we all need to be respected. My method uses specialized indicators and I will not allow distractions by people posting other indicators.
No predictions about future price movement. No private opinions about future price movement. No signal services.
I don't care about other strategies and indicators, there are many good ones, keep them on their own threads and don't pollute this one with any of them. This thread about the strategy called The Currency Strength and ONLY about sharing, mastering and improving The Currency Strength. It is not about anything else. Stick to THIS strategy and don't waste other people's time.
I do not accept promoting other products on my thread. NO talk of ANY EA, except possible ones that relate to trade management such as trailing stop loss etc.
People who take no interest in my method for whatever reasons are welcome to post on my thread as long as they show proper respect to the thread starter, other readers, respect the Forum rules, and respect the thread rules.
Do not use big bold colored fonts. It is obtrusive and screaming like capital letters in chat and not polite. They are restricted to important system rules or announcements by the thread owner.
Anybody who fails to follow the rules ABOVE will be added to my ignore list and cleaned up and prevented them from posting on this thread without warnings.

Some double-GAP account, not the main one but good enough for a post. It is still private. Will be continued.
UPDATE 2017
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
  • Post #2
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  • Mar 26, 2016 10:59am Mar 26, 2016 10:59am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Now we will go to some examples for illustration. I prefer a graphical demonstration.

GAP is used for a move of single Currency (up or down after candle close for the last 2 or 3 candles in a defined angle)
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sGAP or single GAP (CS weak against weaker)
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dGAP or double GAP (2x GAP in opposite direction)
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
2
  • Post #3
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  • Edited at 11:46am Mar 26, 2016 11:17am | Edited at 11:46am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Definition of dGAP how it is used here:

We need 2 Currency GAP's to get one dGAP:

Example EURNZD:
We check after a candle closed:
Take the currency strength of EURO and compare it 2 candles back to get the EUR GAP
Take the currency strength of NZD and compare it 2 candles back to get the NZD GAP
IF EUR GAP is down and NZD GAP is up = sell EURNZD

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This is a double GAP !

After we have seen the double GAP (dGAP) we need also understand the simple GAP (sGAP) which is often used. It is the currency strength change between the base and the quote currency. A double GAP is always a simple GAP too but a simple GAP is not always a double GAP.
A simple GAP can be:

Currency A is weak and currency B is WEAKER
Or currency A is flat and currency B is stronger
Or currency A is little weak and B is stronger
And this are weak trades and vulnerable to pullbacks.

A double GAP means 2 separated triggers so we look at quote and base currency separated:
Currency A is weak and currency B is strong
Or currency A is strong and currency B is weak
This applies to every time frame (analyses in multi TF we will see later!).
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #4
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  • Edited at 12:24pm Mar 26, 2016 12:03pm | Edited at 12:24pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Again back to the GAP.
To define a currency (CS) is weak or strong I look at the slope (angle) of at least the last 2 candles or periods (because the currency line is not a candle should be called over 2 periods).

Those GAPs are to flat
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Those are nice CS angles
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #5
  • Quote
  • Mar 26, 2016 12:51pm Mar 26, 2016 12:51pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
I also differentiate between outside and inside GAP (oGAP, iGAP). As borderline we use the zero-line.

oGAPs
You see here strong JPY oGAP up and EUR oGAP down. So EURJPY was in nice down move.
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iGAPs
Here are inside GAPs. For iGAPs I like see the angle stronger and coming from extreme outer zones.
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To be strong up-slope from negative zones must be steeper than up-slope within positive zones. Because if the currency is still in negative zone it have still weak sentiment until it cross the zero market line. To look only at numbers or arrows (like many indicators) give only a small picture or fraction of the information.

Be aware a iGAP is still only a pullback until it cross the zero-line. If you trade iGAPs you must have experience with pullback trading. Easier for beginners are the oGAPs trades.
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • Edited Mar 27, 2016 11:41am Mar 26, 2016 1:10pm | Edited Mar 27, 2016 11:41am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Some more theory to understand the Forex market of the 8 main currencies, I call it The markets equilibrium:

All 8 currencies are at all times in equilibrium, which means the total volume of selling is always equal to the total volume of buying. We can see this now how the indicator shows. If we compare all positive values against all negative values they are equal. So the conclusion is if one currency is sold strongly there MUST be one or more currencies be bought. No money is lost, make sense?

Our job as a trader is to find out where the currency flow is going. It make no sense to sell a weak currency against another weak currency only because it is a little weaker, we have to find out which currency is strong and trade strong against weak!

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In this picture we see the 8 currencies with the 8 colors. :
Positive values A: EUR+CHF+CAD+AUD
Negative values B: GBP+USD+NZD+JPY
A is equal to B just negative.
It does not mean we have always 4 values positive, there can be 3 positive and 5 negative or even 2 to 6, it will be always A=1/B. So what we learn from it as a trader? If one currency is very strong (major news) then there MUST be one or more weak currency, so there we go for a trade!

Trade with the market, don't go against !!!

This is a perfect setup. Can you SEE?? Do you see the whole market in a blink of an eye?

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You see it, right?
If something is strongly bought then there MUST be something else strongly sold. So get the right picture of the market but quick and buy the one going strong up against the one going strong down!
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
1
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • Mar 27, 2016 11:29am Mar 27, 2016 11:29am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Now we go a little deeper in special features of the indicator CStrength28 which in this thread is used.
(It is not available for download (so don't search in paper clips). You need to send a mail to request a licensed copy.)

First we have CS-lines with a special calculation which is different from earlier indicators of this kind. The goal is to get a soft CS-line without many picks to get it soft and in same time to be reactive enough to show signals early. Those are adapted differently to each time frame, because each time frame behave different.
Second we have Market Fibonacci Retracement Zones (MFib): This levels are used with CS-lines for potential reversal zones and strength sentiment. Will be explained later more...
Third we have Market Momentum (MaMom). Will be explained later...

So now to the Market Fibonacci Zones (MFib).

You see here this special levels MFibs at were very often a currency is flatting or reversing, this is known in pairs but it is also seen in a currency itself! MFibs levels working on the 8 currencies.

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Market Fibonacci Retracement Zones are the 161 and 261 MFibs. If you have a dGAP signal do not enter if one of the 2 CS is already at this high levels. You should be already in a trade before the 100 MFib. Then when one of the 2 CS reach the 161 or 261 MFib you can be ready to think about taking profit. Watch if one CS loosing steam and get flat or get a hook, then close your trade.
Examples will follow...
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Edited at 12:59pm Mar 27, 2016 11:57am | Edited at 12:59pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
The trade zones:

Inner zone green - trend-trades
From +100 to -100 market Fibonacci zones.
I call it also the trend zone. Here we look for trend-trades, both directions allowed preferred outside directions form Null or 23 MFib oGAPs (it is up to the trader he might decide to wait for a breakout of the 50 MFib.) and we can hold it until we see a hook, hold it still through the empty space between green and pink zone. If we do not have a trade jet we do not enter in the empty space it is to late.

Outer zone pink - reversal-trades
Higher then +161 and lower then -161 market Fibonacci reversal zones.
I call it also the reversal zone. Here we do never enter in direction to more outside (no oGAP), only as a reversal to the inside iGAP if we see a hook and an other iGAP (needs the second currency to build a pair, dGAP with iDir). If a currency have hit the reversal zone we are allowed to enter in the empty zone a reversal trade to the inside. Again: iGAPs need to be steeper then oGAPs. If a iGAP is not steeper it might be only consolidation or a small pullback until the trend resume.
I repeat: Be aware a iGAP is still only a pullback until it cross the zero-line. If you trade iGAPs you must have experience with pullback trading. Easier for beginners are the oGAPs trades.

Be aware smaller TFs are more volatile then bigger ones. Smaller TFs like to hit higher market Fibonacci reversal zones.

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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Edited Mar 28, 2016 5:19am Mar 27, 2016 1:08pm | Edited Mar 28, 2016 5:19am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Trade example CADJPY

 

  1. First trade was a BUY dGAP oDir, it was closed when CS weakened and got a hook. Then CADJPY reversed as expected. (The first trade could have had an earlier entry but I was not on computer.)
  2. When it crossed the 0-line I get short so SELL its a dGAP oDir too but with inverted CS-line. Those short was closed as well when CS weakened and got a hook.
  3. At the end you see again a long this time the BUY is a dGAP with iDir, the angle was steep, I did not wait for cross the 0.


this is m30

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Trade example AUDJPY

 

  1. First trade was a SELL dGAP oDir, it was closed when JPY weakened and got a hook at 100 MFib.
  2. Then AUD reversed at MFib 161 with strong slope and JPY as well, it was time of London Open. I entered long it is a dGAP with iDir, the angle was steep both currencies came from higher levels, I did not wait for cross the 0. The BUY was closed when JPY showed flat at MFib 50 and AUD got a hook right before MFib 161.


this is m15

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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Mar 27, 2016 2:33pm Mar 27, 2016 2:33pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Will be continued...
Wish you many green pips friends !
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #11
  • Quote
  • Edited at 6:18am Mar 28, 2016 6:06am | Edited at 6:18am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Trade example CADJPY

Both CS have reversed around MFib 100 at time of London Open. Entry was when CS crossed the 0-line and also the MFib 50. Profit was taken at 85 pip. Enough... CS were above MFib 100 and 161 at this time.

This is m30
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Trade example USDCAD

Same day as trade above. Counter part here USD. USD not the strongest slope but steady, it was just crossing the MFib 23 to show bearish sentiment, CAD was just at 100 MFib at entry. Profit was taken at 95 pip.

This is m30 too
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2016 7:47am Mar 28, 2016 7:47am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Trade example NZDJPY

NZD has hit MFib 261 and turned on it. JPY was near MFib 161 and turned some later. So this is dGAP with iDir a pullback trade. Entry was before both crossed the MFib 100. GBPNZD was possible too but spread on this one is very big and not advised for a m5 setup.

This is m5
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Reminder: iDir: inside Directions are pullback trades, so target have to be smaller, get SL not to big or just above the last high, optional trail SL when a lower high showed up (in case of a short like here).
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2016 1:46pm Mar 28, 2016 1:46pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Trade example AUDCHF

Both CS showed a hook over MFib 161. First trade was a m5 setup and hit TP near a recent level. Then when switching to m15 there was still more room and good slope for a second trade. dGAP reversal trades with iDir. 2x 35 pip.

This is m5 and m15
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Trade example CADJPY

Again CS hit MFib 161 and reversed, JPY has hold a little longer flat before and then dropped together with CAD in a steep slope. dGAP reversal trades with iDir. TP 35 pip at a recent level.

This is m5
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2016 2:02pm Mar 28, 2016 2:02pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Same goes for the next 4 Trade examples.
I don't need explain much more...
TP 35 pip each
Attached Images
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #15
  • Quote
  • Edited at 2:37pm Mar 28, 2016 2:13pm | Edited at 2:37pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
If you are a patient intraday trader then you may like more m15 setups. CHF turned around MFib 161 and after a strong NZD impuls from MFib 161 the slope of both CS have been constant over the half London session. This one I hold on until the CS showed weakness and got flat. This trade was 80 pip.

This is m15
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Trade example CHFJPY
It was taken at London Open. Market showed direction already in Frankfurt. Entry was when both CS broke MFib 50 and were hold until JPY went flat and CHF got a hook. dGAP oDir. This trade was 50 pip.

This is m15
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #16
  • Quote
  • Edited Mar 29, 2016 5:13am Mar 28, 2016 3:01pm | Edited Mar 29, 2016 5:13am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Will be continued...
Tomorrow we will see how to use multi time frames.
Please send email instead of private message through FF. My mail is in post 1 and profile. PMs are limited for commercial members 1/day. If you include your mail in the PM then I can answer.
Wish you many green pips friends !
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #17
  • Quote
  • Edited at 7:09am Mar 29, 2016 5:34am | Edited at 7:09am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Now we will study how to trade CS with multiple time frames.

First of all I trade all TFs and a word to money management. You have to apply the position size to it. Bigger TF, bigger SL, bigger TP, smaller lot size, longer run time! But with higher TF spread becomes less important and so we can trade more pairs. Conservative is a risk of 1% to 0.5% of account per trade. So do some math, first check how much have to be the SL then calculate the lot size with the risk to it.

Try to stay in the trend of the higher TF and get your entry on the lower TF. The higher TF should be at least 4 times bigger. So m15 and m30 would be to near. A rule of say it must be 2 TFs higher would not work in every cases. D1 is 6 times bigger then H4 so this is same relation like m5 and m30 which is also 6 times more but if we say its 2 TFs higher, so this is relative. There should be a H12 but mt4 don't have. That's why H4 and D1 will work like a 2x TF higher.

For beginners I advice to stay with/above m15. Higher TFs give better signals, but reduce the position size as it need bigger SL but it give you also bigger TP.
m5 or m1 I use only if there is a reason for it, like on Open or if I decide to trade a red News. Still scalpers can explore it.

So said this our TF choice will be:
m15 - h1 (optional also possible m15 - h4)
m30 - h4 or h1 - h4
h4 - Daily (optional also possible h1 - Daily)
Daily - Weekly

To add a third TF is optional, more like to switch to a smaller TF to see more details for entry or exit if needed.
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #18
  • Quote
  • Edited at 8:43am Mar 29, 2016 8:19am | Edited at 8:43am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Trade example CADJPY with multiple time frames

H4 CAD was continuously dropping, JPY was strong up both oGAP
m15: JPY oGAP in agreement of h4 broke above MFib 50, CAD oGAP in agreement of h4 broke below MFib 23
(note: because the GAP counts with candle close the entry trigger GAP ends the candle before. Here also was used a micro pullback to enter the trade.)
The trade was closed at 50 pip

This is m15 and h4
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Trade example CADCHF with multiple time frames

H4: both CS continuously move in oDir
m30 both CS oGAP in agreement of h4
The trade was closed at 30 pip when CAD and CHF lost steam and got flat.

This is m30 and h4
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #19
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2016 6:54am Mar 30, 2016 6:54am
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
Trade example AUDUSD

It was taken today at London Open. Market showed USD direction already in Frankfurt. Entry was when AUD broke MFib 23, USD was steep angle just near MFib 100. Both oGAP with rising MaMom. Trade was hold until AUD went flat at MFib 100 and USD got a hook below MFib -161 (optional exit rules for CS). This trade was 28 pip.

This is m15
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Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
  • Post #20
  • Quote
  • Edited at 2:30pm Mar 31, 2016 1:49pm | Edited at 2:30pm
  •  Bernhard
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2013 | 2,835 Posts
The first steps if you like to work with 28 pairs and currency strength!

This is a dry stuff but it is necessary. Unfortunately mt4 is not so much advanced program as it should be.

SO GET MT4 HISTORY BEFORE USING CURRENCY STRENGTH INDICATORS, (ANY)!

At first it is important to have all 28 currency pairs in the market watch.
AUDCAD, AUDCHF, AUDJPY, AUDNZD, AUDUSD, CADCHF, CADJPY, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCAD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURNZD, EURUSD, GBPAUD, GBPCAD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPNZD, GBPUSD, NZDCAD, NZDCHF, NZDJPY, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Fill the history data of your mt4 platform with all pairs and all TFs. How to do this? If it is the first time to update then I use saved profiles. Many people are not used to profiles what is this? You do (hopefully) know how to safe a template of a chart and reload this template on a new chart. Now a profile is just one level higher. It safe all the charts you have open with your terminal with all the different templates on and all the TFs. (sorry my mt4 is German but you will understand the screenshots easy)

First safe the profile which you are using now, to get it later back:

Click on File
Click on profiles
Click on safe profile
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So you will safe your profile to a name you will recognize. Later you will find it in the list and can come back to it at any time.

Now first download the zip file on the bottom of this post.
To load now all the history data I post here a zip file with 9 profiles, each is with all pairs per one TF each.

Again you Click on File
Click on Open Data Folder
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Open now the profile folder
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Unzip the download and Copy and past all PROFILES FOLDERS in that folder. You need to copy the complete 9 folders which are called "update quote...." into the folder of mt4 called "profile".
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Attached File
File Type: zip profiles.zip   178 KB | 5 downloads
Scan all 28 Forex pairs with ONE chart... Currency Strength28 Indicators
 
 
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