EUR pairs, H1
On the left first:
First day, EURCHF moves first in London session before Newyork, then EURGBP start from Newyork.
Second day, EURGBP start from Newyork to London end, EURJPY, EURUSD move a little. (EURCHF up and down)
Third day EURJPY, EURUSD, EURCHF move to fourth day. EURGBP has finished its job and stood there
On the right:
1st day, EURCHF move down from Asian to before Newyork, EURGBP move from London, EURCHF up from Newyork open
2nd day, EURGBP continue move down
3rd day, EURCHF move down from London to before Newyork, EURJPY move little, from Newyork EURUSD, EURJPY start to move down. (Both EURUSD, EURJPY at double top)
My observation:
- EURCHF, EURGBP act as trigger, they move liquidity first, (front run?) then other pairs follow. EUR, GBP, CHF are near (geographic). They move back and forth faster vs other currencies.
- EURCHF move from Asia to before Newyork and EURGBP from London start to London close, EURUSD and EURJPY from Newyork (mostly). Sometimes, EURGBP move at start London then stop, wait for Newyork or near London close and make move.
- I think they move liquidity around like that because of working client's orders and hedging to keep their books safe. Step by Step process like EURGBP move up, GBPUSD move down so EURUSD dont move at first. so when EURGBP finish, GBPUSD will be longed back to normal price, this make EURUSD long too.
- If we know ahead that a pair is going down, it would be really awesome.
I made my own chart (data download from FXCM API) and run replay from 6 / 1/ 2014 to now and i see a lots of same patterns, i mostly look at EUR pairs. i also see other pairs and they have same patterns (from 06/2015).
Currencies i look at are USD, JPY, EUR, GBP, CHF because they are safe haven, funding currencies. Liquidity always shift around, more oppotunities.
I also traded from my own replay chart. Results are good, maybe because of i running back forth a lot and have the feel of next bar. I will try on other currency.
I post this to demonstrate my understanding about market and hope experience traders give me some advice.
But if you have want to explore this, let me know, i will help if i can.
From my findings, because forex market is big. It is easier to lose than win. Loser are easier to find. So i think we need to find where they exit market and we go from there. When they exit, they withdraw liquidity from market. This make liquidity shift. I usually look at end of session, week, month. Front run is start of session, week, month....
To sum up: My question is: Am i on the right track with above thinking?
Thank you for reading.
When you lose, I'm the loudest who laugh at your face )