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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #103,361
  • Jul 23, 2008 5:56pm Jul 23, 2008 5:56pm
Quoting Clouds
I would really like your opinion on GBP/NZD?
i don't have that pair
  • #103,362
  • Jul 23, 2008 5:58pm Jul 23, 2008 5:58pm
Quoting lilmoe
i don't have that pair
Me neither , but I have chart, (it moved 700 pips today!). GBP/NZD
Attached Image
  • #103,363
  • Jul 23, 2008 5:59pm Jul 23, 2008 5:59pm
cable about to lose its mojo support pretty hard me thinks, chunnel reversal in the makings
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #103,364
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:00pm Jul 23, 2008 6:00pm
Quoting Clouds
Me neither , but I have chart, (it moved 600 pips today!). GBP/NZD
Attachment
i would probably need more than that to tell yea what i think
  • #103,365
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:01pm Jul 23, 2008 6:01pm
gasoline looking more more to come

rough look looks like 3 of 3 of 3 wave down
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"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #103,366
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:05pm Jul 23, 2008 6:05pm
Quoting lilmoe
does that make it clearer my friend? take a look at 50ema in conjunction with the blue area of CCI. also take a look at what FE level was reached as of the end of the fall on the left: FE 78.6. this might be the target of the next fall. but let's stay conservative and say that FE 61.8 is a realistic target

Attachment
Sure does and much appreciate you taking the time to explain. Your technical analysis is far and above my own.

I have been watching the weekly chart for a while and have noticed some signs of an impending fall but no confirmation as of yet.

Thanks again !!!!
  • #103,367
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:06pm Jul 23, 2008 6:06pm
Quoting OrionsWay
Today is a buy day, could rally a bit upto red horizontal or just sell off lines are levels of importance
Orion, this is what happened at the birdbath when I posted a copy of your chart next to it...
Attached Image
FUBAR...
  • #103,368
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:10pm Jul 23, 2008 6:10pm
Quoting lilmoe
yes my friend, i think it is.
If you take a step back and come back and take another look at this it is clear as day.

The question is WHEN?

The past two weeks I have been very conservative with my longs. I learned my lesson last year. That selloff that started in July gave no warning and it was violent.

So I guess we wait and see what happens.
  • #103,369
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:13pm Jul 23, 2008 6:13pm
Lilmoe, as i suggested to scrat the other night timing watch the 22nd well that is behind us now, next date of concern aug 5-6th wont be anything till around then, take what it will give u till then , then u can set the position and hang on and pay intrest for you will be making pipage so wont matter much. Remember corrections are fast and furious, with no support they drop like a rock. Time is the most important factor in any market, price just really doesnt matter.

Good analysis


speaking of timing this hour is a reaction time ST
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #103,370
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:14pm Jul 23, 2008 6:14pm
Quoting Rustyyy
Sure does and much appreciate you taking the time to explain. Your technical analysis is far and above my own.

I have been watching the weekly chart for a while and have noticed some signs of an impending fall but no confirmation as of yet.

Thanks again !!!!
thanks for the kind words
  • #103,371
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:15pm Jul 23, 2008 6:15pm
Quoting lilmoe
yes my friend, i think it is.
here is gj for you .. the pink line is fib retrace of move 250 to 192 , 38.2%

the green lines are fib expansion on a 1-2-3 buy on the 60 min charts. I think that tonight we may test the 216.62 / 217.14 level on a very impulsive move.

Then from there we will likely see a down move back into 214.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj.jpg Size: 75 KB


the 15 min with a Keltner channel , the 50 sma is forming support . IF we break the bottom of the Keltner channel at 215.25 then it would be time to go short, other than that I am looking for long triggers

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj15.jpg Size: 90 KB
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  • #103,372
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:16pm Jul 23, 2008 6:16pm
Quoting Rustyyy
If you take a step back and come back and take another look at this it is clear as day.

The question is WHEN?

The past two weeks I have been very conservative with my longs. I learned my lesson last year. That selloff that started in July gave no warning and it was violent.

So I guess we wait and see what happens.
yes, i was actually thinking longs, i mean LONGS...l loool. silly me.

GJ is getting ripe, and this should be soon. the 25th is the last friday of july
  • #103,373
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:18pm Jul 23, 2008 6:18pm
Quoting Rustyyy
If you take a step back and come back and take another look at this it is clear as day.

The question is WHEN?

The past two weeks I have been very conservative with my longs. I learned my lesson last year. That selloff that started in July gave no warning and it was violent.

So I guess we wait and see what happens.
Id be more concerned about EJ falling them GJ, The pound fell against all currencies, and the question may be 'what is the next currency to fall'. But that's what stop losses are for.
  • #103,374
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:21pm Jul 23, 2008 6:21pm
Quoting malcolmb14
here is gj for you .. the pink line is fib retrace of move 250 to 192 , 38.2%

the green lines are fib expansion on a 1-2-3 buy on the 60 min charts. I think that tonight we may test the 216.62 / 217.14 level on a very impulsive move.

Then from there we will likely see a down move back into 214.

Attachment

the 15 min with a Keltner channel , the 50 sma is forming support . IF we break the bottom of the Keltner channel at 215.25 then it would be time to go short, other than that I am looking for long triggers

Attachment
no worries bro, i'll add more shorts there
  • #103,375
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:27pm Jul 23, 2008 6:27pm
Quoting OrionsWay
Lilmoe, as i suggested to scrat the other night timing watch the 22nd well that is behind us now, next date of concern aug 5-6th wont be anything till around then, take what it will give u till then , then u can set the position and hang on and pay intrest for you will be making pipage so wont matter much. Remember corrections are fast and furious, with no support they drop like a rock. Time is the most important factor in any market, price just really doesnt matter.

Good analysis


speaking of timing this hour is a reaction time ST
What about August 1st. Solar Eclipse. New Moon.
NFP Friday.

See anything there ???
  • #103,376
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:30pm Jul 23, 2008 6:30pm
Quoting OrionsWay
Lilmoe, as i suggested to scrat the other night timing watch the 22nd well that is behind us now, next date of concern aug 5-6th wont be anything till around then, take what it will give u till then , then u can set the position and hang on and pay intrest for you will be making pipage so wont matter much. Remember corrections are fast and furious, with no support they drop like a rock. Time is the most important factor in any market, price just really doesnt matter.

Good analysis


speaking of timing this hour is a reaction time ST
thanks will watch and see.
  • #103,377
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:51pm Jul 23, 2008 6:51pm
Quoting Rustyyy
What about August 1st. Solar Eclipse. New Moon.
NFP Friday.

See anything there ???

Yea much confluence in around there rusty reversals for sure


total solar and partial lunar on 16th
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"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
  • #103,378
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:55pm Jul 23, 2008 6:55pm
08:07 - Strong Quake Hits Northeastern Japan, More Than 75 People Injured
  • #103,379
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:55pm Jul 23, 2008 6:55pm
Quoting Clouds
Id be more concerned about EJ falling them GJ, The pound fell against all currencies, and the question may be 'what is the next currency to fall'. But that's what stop losses are for.
Speaking of EJ, it looks like it is in a well defined range right now. Looks like it is saving it's energy for the breakout.

-Ambrodel
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EJ.JPG Size: 147 KB
Imma do the things that i wanna do I ain't got a thing to prove to you
  • #103,380
  • Jul 23, 2008 6:59pm Jul 23, 2008 6:59pm
you have good analysis...
Let me know when it short....
two thumbs up for you

thanks

Quoting malcolmb14
here is gj for you .. the pink line is fib retrace of move 250 to 192 , 38.2%

the green lines are fib expansion on a 1-2-3 buy on the 60 min charts. I think that tonight we may test the 216.62 / 217.14 level on a very impulsive move.

Then from there we will likely see a down move back into 214.

Attachment

the 15 min with a Keltner channel , the 50 sma is forming support . IF we break the bottom of the Keltner channel at 215.25 then it would be time to go short, other than that I am looking for long triggers

Attachment
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