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Spider's Den

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  • Post #21,061
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  • Mar 13, 2015 10:26am Mar 13, 2015 10:26am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting kalyan
Disliked
Done for the week..... {image}
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #21,062
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  • Mar 13, 2015 10:26am Mar 13, 2015 10:26am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting margin_stop
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{quote} is this setup still valid?
Ignored
We had couple of rejections from 7330. I would love a deeper pullback now, but still lit might bounce off 7300 again.
 
 
  • Post #21,063
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2015 11:32am Mar 13, 2015 11:32am
  •  guguxpto
  • Joined Feb 2013 | Status: clear your mind and your chart | 334 Posts
as allways T thanks for the green pibs and the free stuff you give
be calm be patient and logic
 
 
  • Post #21,064
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2015 7:14pm Mar 13, 2015 7:14pm
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting guguxpto
Disliked
as allways T thanks for the green pibs and the free stuff you give
Ignored
You are welcome!
 
 
  • Post #21,065
  • Quote
  • Edited 9:34am Mar 14, 2015 9:11am | Edited 9:34am
  •  guguxpto
  • Joined Feb 2013 | Status: clear your mind and your chart | 334 Posts
this wining trades are on your good work and webbinaries T
continuacion paterns strong trent im not very confiante so wen im wining 10 pibs put stop at 1 pib .
ben stoped very ofen but in profit . wining experience whit smal acount is the idea at the moment 1% risc .
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be calm be patient and logic
 
 
  • Post #21,066
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  • Mar 15, 2015 11:00pm Mar 15, 2015 11:00pm
  •  egkid
  • Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Member | 9,414 Posts
what i c
i sell nzs/u now @ 7355
 
 
  • Post #21,067
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:59am Mar 16, 2015 1:34am | Edited 1:59am
  •  kalyan
  • | Joined Sep 2013 | Status: Member | 243 Posts
Quoting egkid
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what i c i sell nzs/u now @ 7355
Ignored
Me too @7346 looking for 728 or 725
 
 
  • Post #21,068
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  • Mar 16, 2015 4:58am Mar 16, 2015 4:58am
  •  egkid
  • Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Member | 9,414 Posts
Quoting kalyan
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{quote} Me too @7346 looking for 728 or 725
Ignored
PA still here !!
73 to 7380 2 points i watch
cya
 
 
  • Post #21,069
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  • Mar 16, 2015 6:05am Mar 16, 2015 6:05am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting kalyan
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{quote} Me too @7346 looking for 728 or 725
Ignored
Quoting egkid
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what i c i sell nzs/u now @ 7355
Ignored
hey guys, 7390 is strong resistance , if it goes below 7350 with strong momentum 7310 should be next. 7250 is indeed daily stretch ( final bearish target )
 
 
  • Post #21,070
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 7:07am Mar 16, 2015 7:07am
  •  guguxpto
  • Joined Feb 2013 | Status: clear your mind and your chart | 334 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} {quote} hey guys, 7390 is strong resistance , if it goes below 7350 with strong momentum 7310 should be next. 7250 is indeed daily stretch ( final bearish target )
Ignored
draghi speach will be the gazoline for the move ? i think it will be
be calm be patient and logic
 
 
  • Post #21,071
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 7:48am Mar 16, 2015 7:48am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Draghi speech will set off European Equities again... Dax in particular.
 
 
  • Post #21,072
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 8:02am Mar 16, 2015 8:02am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
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Draghi speech will set off European Equities again... Dax in particular.
Ignored
Exactly
 
 
  • Post #21,073
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 8:23am Mar 16, 2015 8:23am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} Exactly
Ignored
Dax broke through 12000pts for the first time this morning.

Dax has a good mix of manufacturing companies that will excel due to a weaker EUR and produce strong Forward Earnings. As you're aware, a cheaper EUR should lift German manufactured goods through its exports. The Dax has been blessed with cheaper credit, cheaper commodities (lowering costs of inputs for its manufacturing) and QE will only inflate their asset values further.

Currently the DAX has an Average PE ratio of 16.5, which is much cheaper than its US counter-part the SP500 (currently around 19.2). So I think the Dax has much more upside to go, and I think a target of 12650pts will bring it into a fair value range with an Average PE ratio of 17.5.

There is strong buying on the DAX especially when the EUR weakens and when NY session opens. A couple of other traders on another thread on FF made it known that US Fund Managers are buying into the DAX.
 
 
  • Post #21,074
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 8:53am Mar 16, 2015 8:53am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
{quote} Dax broke through 12000pts for the first time this morning. Dax has a good mix of manufacturing companies that will excel due to a weaker EUR and produce strong Forward Earnings. As you're aware, a cheaper EUR should lift German manufactured goods through its exports. The Dax has been blessed with cheaper credit, cheaper commodities (lowering costs of inputs for its manufacturing) and QE will only inflate their asset values further. Currently the DAX has an Average PE ratio of 16.5, which is much cheaper than its US counter-part the SP500...
Ignored
Having said that, I just took 40 pips on the DAX.
 
 
  • Post #21,075
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 9:41am Mar 16, 2015 9:41am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
{quote} Dax broke through 12000pts for the first time this morning. Dax has a good mix of manufacturing companies that will excel due to a weaker EUR and produce strong Forward Earnings. As you're aware, a cheaper EUR should lift German manufactured goods through its exports. The Dax has been blessed with cheaper credit, cheaper commodities (lowering costs of inputs for its manufacturing) and QE will only inflate their asset values further. Currently the DAX has an Average PE ratio of 16.5, which is much cheaper than its US counter-part the SP500...
Ignored
Yes, completely agree with you on that. The thing is there might be some corrections kicking in also on daily basis and generally FOMC meeting on Wednsday is the DAY for both USD and EUR crosses. We will see what they will come up with , but there is a possibility that the price will whipsaw on EURUSD until then.

EURUSD has lost its bearish momentum in the first half of LO session, look at H4 candle.
 
 
  • Post #21,076
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 10:10am Mar 16, 2015 10:10am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
This is the worst nightmare of trend traders. V shape reversal
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  • Post #21,077
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 10:22am Mar 16, 2015 10:22am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} Yes, completely agree with you on that. The thing is there might be some corrections kicking in also on daily basis and generally FOMC meeting on Wednsday is the DAY for both USD and EUR crosses. We will see what they will come up with , but there is a possibility that the price will whipsaw on EURUSD until then. EURUSD has lost its bearish momentum in the first half of LO session, look at H4 candle.
Ignored
I still think the US Fed Reserve Bank will still utilise the word "patience" with respect to the rate hike. USD has strengthened too quickly, and its causing US Equities to fall (as US multinational listed companies will report lower foreign earnings from a stronger USD). Just my two cents worth.

On the flipside, FOMC members back in Dec 2014 had indicated in the below paper that the longer term US Fed cash rate should be 3.75% (by 2017).
http://www.federalreserve.gov/moneta...bl20141217.pdf
 
 
  • Post #21,078
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 10:44am Mar 16, 2015 10:44am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
{quote} I still think the US Fed Reserve Bank will still utilise the word "patience" with respect to the rate hike. USD has strengthened too quickly, and its causing US Equities to fall (as US multinational listed companies will report lower foreign earnings from a stronger USD). Just my two cents worth. On the flipside, FOMC members back in Dec 2014 had indicated in the below paper that the longer term US Fed cash rate should be 3.75% (by 2017). http://www.federalreserve.gov/moneta...bl20141217.pdf
Ignored
Yes it can be..if "patience" is still used then it could have again whipsaw effect on USD pairs. Notice how USDJPY has been bought into dips.If that happens and USDJPY doesnt break 122.00 mark up till then, FOMC dip could be used for further buying.
 
 
  • Post #21,079
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 11:04am Mar 16, 2015 11:04am
  •  egkid
  • Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Member | 9,414 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} {quote} hey guys, 7390 is strong resistance , if it goes below 7350 with strong momentum 7310 should be next. 7250 is indeed daily stretch ( final bearish target )
Ignored
yep , I wait this

Market waiting "FOMC Press Conference"

mostly no trade for me till then , last one this nzd trade
 
 
  • Post #21,080
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2015 12:09pm Mar 16, 2015 12:09pm
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting egkid
Disliked
{quote} yep , I wait this Market waiting "FOMC Press Conference" mostly no trade for me till then , last one this nzd trade
Ignored
Im up for that. Got a short at 1.0550 which was stopped out for 40 pips, then I got 1.0610 short for some 30 pips. The price is trying to switch momentum on Daily chart ( possible railway/piercing line)
 
 
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