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  • #11,121
  • Mar 7, 2025 3:23am Mar 7, 2025 3:23am
Quoting johncen
{quote} well thats true, at some point they will show up and shock everyone. But this week has been pretty much dominated by bull!
Lets see next! It might start with an upside move but end as a bearish pinbar at Friday!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,122
  • Mar 7, 2025 3:26am Mar 7, 2025 3:26am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Lets see next! It might start with an upside move but end as a bearish pinbar at Friday!
all eyes on nfp later today!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #11,123
  • Mar 7, 2025 6:40am Mar 7, 2025 6:40am
Afternoon all, happy Friday .

Much as it pains, agreed with johncen, need to wait till NFP .

With 1h bias short, I was chomping at the bit to take a short following retracement back up to the 1h balanced price range. 5PiP SL; Partial [2.77:1] at the 5m imbalance median; TP [12.72:1RR] at new day opening gap. Common sense got the better of me for once ...

Excluding what happens with NFP, I wouldn't be surprised to see a 30% weekly retracement to c.1.07150.

Green pips guys
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Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #11,124
  • Mar 7, 2025 7:21am Mar 7, 2025 7:21am
Hi guys, good evening!

Be ready, (NFP) is coming...
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Stop Procrastinating
  • #11,125
  • Mar 7, 2025 7:26am Mar 7, 2025 7:26am
D1 resistance: 1.0929.
Stop Procrastinating
  • #11,126
  • Edited 8:05am Mar 7, 2025 7:41am | Edited 8:05am
Have to say nfp comes out not as bad as i would expect to see despite unemployment rate up by 0.1%!
market reaction as expected, whats next?
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #11,127
  • Mar 7, 2025 7:50am Mar 7, 2025 7:50am
Difficult situation now for USD. Numbers were as expected but psychologically they were a bit below expectations which fuels eur/usd more upward potential which (new highs) is very unstable. We'Ve seen another high and all i can do now is to wait for correction to sell my shorts in the 1.07's (my avg. avg. 1.0862 currently).
From my experience i should sell and wait but it is very extraordinary this time due to trump. They really want to harm him so they spend/burn a lot of money on the markets. Not sure how long this still goes on but it is very unhealthy new highs.

I never would dare to go long now.
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  • #11,128
  • Mar 7, 2025 8:27am Mar 7, 2025 8:27am
You are right! From weekly retracement we are at between 61.% - 70.5% zone anything can happen for downward movement
  • #11,129
  • Mar 7, 2025 9:12am Mar 7, 2025 9:12am
Maybe a drop but I am out from shorts after I bought at payrolls . Will wait cause I am not so convinced with the bears! I will search for an entry lower maybe.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,130
  • Mar 7, 2025 9:21am Mar 7, 2025 9:21am
Quoting johncen
Have to say nfp comes out not as bad as i would expect to see despite unemployment rate up by 0.1%! market reaction as expected, whats next? {image}
If it can make it above 1.0880 then 1.0900 is next!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,131
  • Mar 7, 2025 9:55am Mar 7, 2025 9:55am
Good news!

Putin said to be ready to agree Ukraine truce with conditions
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,132
  • Mar 7, 2025 11:01am Mar 7, 2025 11:01am
This week’s news has been a whirlwind, updates on a European and German defense fund, talk of tariffs, a potential truce between Russia and Ukraine, plus other headlines like the US Non-Farm Payroll data, pushed EUR/USD to trade in a wild 500 pip range, nearly hitting 1.0900.

The bullish trend could persist above or toward the 1.0900 level, though a pullback might come first before buyers regroup and drive the pair higher.

For now, I’m signing off for Friday and will check back in on Monday to see what unfolds. Here’s hoping for some two-sided action next week - not just a one-way ride, so everyone gets a chance to profit!


Catch you next week, enjoy the weekend!


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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,133
  • Mar 8, 2025 2:36am Mar 8, 2025 2:36am
The EURUSD is in a strong uptrend after breaking above 1.0629 this week. The uptrend continued, creating higher lows and higher highs until Friday's high of 1.0888. Before the close, it consolidated above the 1.0800 round number and the 1.0765 support level.

Next week, I expect the uptrend to continue toward 1.0900-1.0936/43 as long as the mentioned support remains intact. However, if the pair breaks lower, then 1.0700-1.0695 should be the next targets for sellers.

Happy weekend!



Weekly volatility (range) 130 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0400 (EU2.21b), 1.0325 (EU1.38b), 1.0350 (EU1.25b) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US CPI, US Initial Jobless Claims & University Michigan Sentiment

Daily
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,134
  • Mar 8, 2025 9:41am Mar 8, 2025 9:41am
Quoting xtradex
{quote} Closed for 365 pips profit. Now going short.

I closed the trade at the end of trading yesterday for -55 pip loss. Next week we will see a correction until Tuesday afternoon/evening, then up again.
  • #11,135
  • Mar 9, 2025 7:21am Mar 9, 2025 7:21am
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  • #11,136
  • Mar 9, 2025 8:34pm Mar 9, 2025 8:34pm
Question for this week: when and where a correction/reversal will happen?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #11,137
  • Mar 9, 2025 11:43pm Mar 9, 2025 11:43pm
The EURUSD advanced higher to 1.0871 after the opening but later faded the move and dropped to 1.0830. There aren’t many events on the calendar today, so I expect range trading between 1.0800 and 1.0888. In any case, if volatility returns for some reason, the next support and resistance levels are located above at 1.0900–1.0936/43 and below at 1.0765.

Happy week!


Daily volatility (range) 60 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0400 (EU2.21b), 1.0325 (EU1.38b), 1.0350 (EU1.25b) Source: financialjuice.com

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,138
  • Mar 9, 2025 11:51pm Mar 9, 2025 11:51pm
Quoting johncen
Question for this week: when and where a correction/reversal will happen?
Not sure when will happen but 0.236 fibo of the 1.0360 to 1.0888 upward move is confluent with 1.0765 higher low support - that's a good place for the bulls and bears to have a fight and see who wins if a new high is not created.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #11,139
  • Mar 10, 2025 12:33am Mar 10, 2025 12:33am
Profit taken on EU BUYS at 1.085.

Now selling EU at 1.08664

Take Profit at 1.07577
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  • #11,140
  • Mar 10, 2025 1:23am Mar 10, 2025 1:23am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Not sure when will happen but 0.236 fibo of the 1.0360 to 1.0888 upward move is confluent with 1.0765 higher low support - that's a good place for the bulls and bears to have a fight and see who wins if a new high is not created.
indeed, not sure if 0900 or 076x will come first but 076x is certainly critical!

but for now bear needs to take down 0820
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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