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Fundamental/Quantitative analysis

  • #1,081
  • Oct 11, 2023 3:21pm Oct 11, 2023 3:21pm

USD


Fed Minutes: Participants still saw below-trend growth, softer labor market as necessary to restoring economic balance.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,082
  • Oct 11, 2023 4:37pm Oct 11, 2023 4:37pm

USD


Fed Minutes: Many participants noted that data volatility, potential data revisions as supporting case for proceeding carefully in determining extent of additional tightening.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,083
  • Oct 11, 2023 4:47pm Oct 11, 2023 4:47pm

USD


Fed’s Collins: Further rate hikes could be warranted depending on the incoming data.

Fed’s Collins: Cooler core inflation will need a softer labor market.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,084
  • Oct 12, 2023 3:27am Oct 12, 2023 3:27am

Energy


IEA lowers 2024 global oil demand growth forecast to 880,000 bpd on weaker economic environment and energy efficiency improvements (prev. forecast 1 mln bpd).

IEA: OPEC+ voluntary cuts to keep market in deficit in Q4, but if extra cuts are unwound in January the balance could shift to a surplus.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,085
  • Oct 12, 2023 4:04am Oct 12, 2023 4:04am

GBP


UK demand for unsecured credit seen rising in Q4 - Bank of England Survey.

UK default rates on mortgages rose in 3Q - Bank of England Survey.

UK mortgage supply falls in 3Q, a further drop seen - Bank of England Survey.

UK lenders expect defaults to increase - Bank of England Survey.

UK lenders expect the availability of unsecured credit to households to be unchanged - Bank of England Survey.

UK lenders expect the availability of secured lending to decrease slightly - Bank of England Survey.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,086
  • Oct 12, 2023 4:47am Oct 12, 2023 4:47am

EUR


ECB's Holzmann: Corporate profits have come down.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,087
  • Oct 12, 2023 5:30am Oct 12, 2023 5:30am

GBP


BoE's Pill: It's premature from policy perspective to be discussing unwinding policy.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,088
  • Oct 12, 2023 6:55am Oct 12, 2023 6:55am

EUR


ECB's Account: Core inflation expected at 5.1% in 2023, before falling to 2.9% in 2024 and 2.2% in 2025.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,089
  • Oct 12, 2023 7:15am Oct 12, 2023 7:15am

EUR


ECB's Vasle: Fiscal discipline is needed to protect spreads.

ECB's Vasle: Spread movements are a reminder to governments that fiscal coordination is necessary.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,090
  • Oct 12, 2023 8:30am Oct 12, 2023 8:30am

USD


December Fed rate hike odds briefly rebound to about 50%.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,091
  • Oct 12, 2023 9:34am Oct 12, 2023 9:34am

Fear and Greed Index: 36/100 = Fear


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,092
  • Oct 12, 2023 10:16am Oct 12, 2023 10:16am

USD


US to sell $13 bln reopened 20-year bonds on October 18th, to settle on October 31st.

US to sell $75 bln 3-Month bills on October 16th, to settle on October 19th.

US to sell $68 bln 6-Month bills on October 16, to settle on October 19.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
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  • #1,093
  • Oct 12, 2023 11:24am Oct 12, 2023 11:24am

Israel Palestine Conflict


The UK sends Royal Navy vessels and spy planes to support Israel.
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Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,094
  • Oct 12, 2023 12:33pm Oct 12, 2023 12:33pm

USD


97 counterparties take $1.157 tln at the Fed reverse repo operation.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,095
  • Oct 12, 2023 2:53pm Oct 12, 2023 2:53pm

Forex


Friday FX Option Expiries

  1. EUR/USD: 1.0475 (EU3.68b), 1.0515 (EU3.07b), 1.0565 (EU1.61b)
  2. USD/JPY: 146.50 ($850m), 150.00 ($841.5m), 148.00 ($705.3m)
  3. USD/CNY: 7.3500 ($3.09b), 7.4500 ($1.53b), 6.9859 ($500m)
  4. USD/CAD: 1.3823 ($567.2m), 1.3780 ($308.5m), 1.3000 ($304m)
  5. AUD/USD: 0.6518 (AUD491m)
  6. GBP/USD: 1.2200 (GBP590.1m), 1.2255 (GBP352.8m), 1.2150 (GBP346m)
  7. USD/BRL: 5.0500 ($345.8m)
  8. USD/MXN: 17.17 ($489m), 17.80 ($430.3m), 17.40 ($341.2m)

My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,096
  • Oct 12, 2023 4:08pm Oct 12, 2023 4:08pm

USD


Fed’s Collins: The Bond yield rises are likely to reduce the need for a near-term Fed hike.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,097
  • Oct 13, 2023 2:41am Oct 13, 2023 2:41am

Forex


IMF's Managing Director Georgieva: We are in a very difficult time for the world economy.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
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  • #1,098
  • Oct 13, 2023 3:04am Oct 13, 2023 3:04am

EUR


ECB's Nagel: The German economy will probably shrink in 2023.

ECB's Nagel: Inflation has probably passed its peak.

ECB's Nagel: Inflation has peaked in Germany.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,099
  • Oct 13, 2023 4:59am Oct 13, 2023 4:59am

USD


BofA Bull & Bear indicator falls to 2.2 from 2.6, the lowest since April.
My entire life in one sentence: it didn't go as planned, and that's ok.
Random Scalper All Time Return: 10.2%
  • #1,100
  • Oct 13, 2023 9:54am Oct 13, 2023 9:54am

RUB USD EUR


Russian Deputy Foreign Minister discussed the Gaza conflict with the Israeli Ambassador in Moscow.
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