Gold | Page 4013 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

Gold/USD

Attachments: Gold
Exit Attachments

Gold

  • #80,241
  • Jun 23, 2025 4:51am Jun 23, 2025 4:51am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} According to the theory, US Dollar strong, Gold down {image}
Not always, sometimes, crack do occur
  • #80,242
  • Jun 23, 2025 4:52am Jun 23, 2025 4:52am
Quoting dele5000
{quote} Not always, sometimes, crack do occur
For sure, that's how theories work, or not work sometimes.

Ask A.I.

The “USD strong, gold down” theory is based on a well-established inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and gold prices. Here’s how it works:

The Core Idea

Gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally. So, when the USD strengthens, it takes fewer dollars to buy the same ounce of gold, making gold more expensive for buyers using other currencies. This tends to reduce global demand, pushing gold prices down.

Why It Happens

  1. Currency Effect: A strong dollar makes gold costlier in non-USD currencies, dampening international buying.
  2. Opportunity Cost: When the dollar is strong—often due to higher U.S. interest rates—investors may prefer yield-bearing assets like bonds over non-yielding gold.
  3. Safe-Haven Tug-of-War: Both gold and the dollar are seen as safe havens. But in times of moderate uncertainty, capital often flows into the dollar first, suppressing gold.

Exceptions to the Rule

This inverse relationship isn’t absolute. During extreme crises (like wars or financial meltdowns), both gold and the dollar can rise as investors seek safety from riskier assets.

So, while “USD up, gold down” is a reliable rule of thumb, it’s not a law of nature—it’s more like a weather forecast: usually right, but always worth checking the broader conditions.

It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #80,243
  • Jun 23, 2025 4:54am Jun 23, 2025 4:54am
Long
Initial Risk 1% (185 pips)
TP 1%
BE+ after reac 33% TP (62 pips gain)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAUUSD.iM15-23062025-R2-1747.png Size: 25 KB
fooled by randomness in art
Meditation All Time Return: 8.9%
  • #80,244
  • Jun 23, 2025 4:54am Jun 23, 2025 4:54am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} According to the theory, US Dollar strong, Gold down {image}
Whats the indicator your using in this chart? Looks interesting.
  • #80,245
  • Jun 23, 2025 4:59am Jun 23, 2025 4:59am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} First of all, I thought the debate was if Green or Red worked, who cares if it is DAX or Gold? I'm not teaching you anything; only expressing my opinion. I can target massive price movements, as long as the candles stay green or red. Impressive chart and analysis, Fibonacci, Elliott Wave, patterns, order block, support / resistance, Quasi something, what have I been missing all these years? Good Luck
Well, Momentum trading proves its worth as you are trading with "confirmation"
But the problem comes with SPIKE and Confirmation Meaning price already far from Liquidity level.
This however induces the trader to widen his SL, therefore reducing his Reward:risk ratio. (this will directly affect the fundamental of the trader's edge and his money management)

IDK about others, but my goal isnot to trade more, but to trade less with Quality trade, to hold the trade as much as possible to profit target.
Or simply take me out with tight stop
No more engagement as from today.
  • #80,246
  • Jun 23, 2025 5:05am Jun 23, 2025 5:05am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} For sure, that's how theories work, or not work sometimes. Ask A.I. The “USD strong, gold down” theory is based on a well-established inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and gold prices. Here’s how it works: The Core Idea Gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally. So, when the USD strengthens, it takes fewer dollars to buy the same ounce of gold, making gold more expensive for buyers using other currencies. This tends to reduce global demand, pushing gold prices down. Why It Happens Currency Effect: A strong dollar makes gold costlier...
Thank you lecturer!!!! you suppose to be in classroom to impart knowledge on students, human behaviour is very key in all of these, sometimes we buy at the highest price and sell at the lowest price due to some circumstances, to put it in simple form,' emotion'
  • #80,247
  • Jun 23, 2025 5:45am Jun 23, 2025 5:45am
Quoting RoelsMajor
Long Initial Risk 1% (185 pips) TP 1% BE+ after reac 33% TP (62 pips gain) {image}
could be a possible area to extend long TP especially if there is a sustained move above the daily opening area
Insane in the Brain..
  • #80,248
  • Jun 23, 2025 5:54am Jun 23, 2025 5:54am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} For sure, that's how theories work, or not work sometimes. Ask A.I. The “USD strong, gold down” theory is based on a well-established inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and gold prices. Here’s how it works: The Core Idea Gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally. So, when the USD strengthens, it takes fewer dollars to buy the same ounce of gold, making gold more expensive for buyers using other currencies. This tends to reduce global demand, pushing gold prices down. Why It Happens Currency Effect: A strong dollar makes gold costlier...
Cat is out of the Bag,post is worth a gold nugget,but a few will still fail to apply a very simple concept
Watch me trade Live on YouTube
  • #80,249
  • Jun 23, 2025 5:59am Jun 23, 2025 5:59am
Quoting Zimpel
{quote} Whats the indicator your using in this chart? Looks interesting.
Tradingview - AlgoAlpha Range Filtered

The currency strength meter is copy & paste on there

Good Luck
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #80,250
  • Jun 23, 2025 6:07am Jun 23, 2025 6:07am
Quoting abimalik
{quote} to me its look like this {image}
I am on BE now
  • #80,251
  • Jun 23, 2025 6:15am Jun 23, 2025 6:15am
Quoting Rmg
long. {image}
Took partials.
on a postive roll...
  • #80,252
  • Jun 23, 2025 6:20am Jun 23, 2025 6:20am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu.png Size: 16 KB
yes yes yes
  • #80,253
  • Jun 23, 2025 6:23am Jun 23, 2025 6:23am
Today’s bias: Short—unless 3370 breaks, then I’ll switch to long. But even then, 3390–3380 remains my final sweet spot for a short.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GuH-MiEWoAARH67.jpeg Size: 157 KB
GoldGod Flip3 Return Today: na
  • #80,254
  • Jun 23, 2025 6:32am Jun 23, 2025 6:32am
refined M1 analysis
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLD23june.PNG Size: 18 KB
Watch me trade Live on YouTube
  • #80,255
  • Jun 23, 2025 6:45am Jun 23, 2025 6:45am
Quoting GoldGod
Today’s bias: Short—unless 3370 breaks, then I’ll switch to long. But even then, 3390–3380 remains my final sweet spot for a short. {image}
My view is that we are at the start of the next bullish move up.

Targeting at least 3440 or higher
Janus Return Today: -26.0%
  • #80,256
  • Edited 7:08am Jun 23, 2025 6:45am | Edited 7:08am
now valid bullish .... target 3383.63/3392.91/3402.15 ... expansion range 3411-3420
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 124.png Size: 23 KB

buy every price down .... making HHHL (rally) , first BO 3381.96 and breakout high current price today
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 125.png Size: 18 KB

market still sideways in tf m1 above resistan base of TR (normal condition after markup and price correction/pullback to area sideways ..... after that continuation up)
normally , no more down trend until target achieved ... if strong buyer intrest.
The Average Discount Everything
  • #80,257
  • Jun 23, 2025 7:00am Jun 23, 2025 7:00am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: oil.png Size: 18 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.png Size: 22 KB
yes yes yes
  • #80,258
  • Jun 23, 2025 7:01am Jun 23, 2025 7:01am
If 4H candle doesn't close @/below 3350 we have a bullish trend on 4H timeframe
If tomorrow's D1 candle doesn't go lower than today's low, confirmed bullish on D1 and 4H tf; target of bullish 3420 where there's a high chance of reversal. Now only waiting for a buy signal
  • #80,259
  • Jun 23, 2025 7:01am Jun 23, 2025 7:01am
Quoting janusforex
{quote} My view is that we are at the start of the next bullish move up. Targeting at least 3440 or higher
I see the bullish potential and agree with your view. 3370 already broke, so I’ve switched my bias to long—but I’m taking it level by level. Let’s see how it unfolds.
GoldGod Flip3 Return Today: na
  • #80,260
  • Jun 23, 2025 7:07am Jun 23, 2025 7:07am
Quoting GoldGod
Today’s bias: Short—unless 3370 breaks, then I’ll switch to long. But even then, 3390–3380 remains my final sweet spot for a short. {image}
Execute my short.

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice—trade responsibly.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GuIIdpbXoAAtvD3.jpeg Size: 191 KB
GoldGod Flip3 Return Today: na
125 traders viewing now, 7 are registered:
Kyasper
,
Aliharisbutt
,
Thejohnstick
,
vortex111111
,
ajalcachupas
,
ondiss
,