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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #73,461
  • Feb 20, 2018 9:25am Feb 20, 2018 9:25am
a close below the lower black line is a confirmer, any return to the area in between the lines are my place to add! On different timeframes , everything appears different. On the hourly, price is rejecting to the pip the lower black line....all adds to confirmation. It must stay below however to count...
  • #73,462
  • Feb 20, 2018 9:27am Feb 20, 2018 9:27am
don't sell from 107.3 area, there was a poke higher above this level today and we will likely see another test to eventually break higher

ideal sell levels are between 108.5 and 110, don't sell too soon and lose your money

play smart and go with the trend
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #73,463
  • Feb 20, 2018 9:30am Feb 20, 2018 9:30am
Your analysis is welcomed...
  • #73,464
  • Feb 20, 2018 9:54am Feb 20, 2018 9:54am
Quoting unlv_tj
{quote} I don't want to get into the middle of this, can we just agree to disagree and move on? I learned with a group of guys whose stops were very comparable to Nealpek's, but their methods were a little different, and they would drop down to 1M charts and have very low stop losses and have a high win % and over 1:1 R:R. It is possible, it is just another way to trade.
If you are going to ask the question it should be directed at both.
  • #73,465
  • Feb 20, 2018 9:57am Feb 20, 2018 9:57am
SunTrader, the issue is finished, move on.....
  • #73,466
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:01am Feb 20, 2018 10:01am
I am still currently long for a TP @ 107.50, but if there is a 4H reversal confirmation I will start to enter a short position
To Pipccess and Beyond
  • #73,467
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:09am Feb 20, 2018 10:09am
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} If you are going to ask the question it should be directed at both.
Because before my post, Nealpek posted this...

"Prez, For whatever reasons you feel the need to make me aware that my methods are sub par, or if my presence on this thread somehow threatens you in some way, that's your business. It's not the first time, and mean spiritedness has no place here. I share parts of what I know about trading as do you, after all this is a trading forum. I'm not interested in jostling with any poster, but enjoy open debate and analysis about trading! Please keep your personal "stuff" to yourself as this isn't the place for it. Any criticism or critique of any trades I post or any debate about analysis or thoughts are welcomed by all traders. That's the way it should be...."


Which I take to mean Nealpek wants to bury the hatchet and I hope MrPresident does as well.
  • #73,468
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:20am Feb 20, 2018 10:20am
Only sensible TP target for the bulls that I can see atm

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To Pipccess and Beyond
  • #73,469
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:24am Feb 20, 2018 10:24am
Quoting unlv_tj
{quote} Because before my post, Nealpek posted this... "Prez, For whatever reasons you feel the need to make me aware that my methods are sub par, or if my presence on this thread somehow threatens you in some way, that's your business. It's not the first time, and mean spiritedness has no place here. I share parts of what I know about trading as do you, after all this is a trading forum. I'm not interested in jostling with any poster, but enjoy open debate and analysis about trading! Please keep your personal "stuff" to yourself as this isn't the...
i am only telling people to not sell this pair yet because if they do, then it is likely that they will lose money since there is more upside to go

what is the problem with suggesting that 107.3 is not an ideal sell level?

weird
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #73,470
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:29am Feb 20, 2018 10:29am
Prez, you really aren't the brightest bulb in the pack!
Unlv wasn't referring to your analysis to sell higher, he was referring again to your mean spirited comment:

"yes, your methods are sub par and i'm criticizing your analysis"

after my post of trying to make "peace" and leave personal sh*t out of your comments.
Are you truly not able to see this?
  • #73,471
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:30am Feb 20, 2018 10:30am
Quoting MrPresident
{quote} i am only telling people to not sell this pair yet because if they do, then it is likely that they will lose money since there is more upside to go what is the problem with suggesting that 107.3 is not an ideal sell level? weird
That wasn't what my post was responding to. After I asked to just end it, it appears you did. I commend both of you for ending it, and I thank you both. There is so much to share and learn here, and I think you both have interesting observations that I appreciate.
  • #73,472
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:41am Feb 20, 2018 10:41am
Nealpek, just looking over your charts more and your supply v. my supply. I believe the bottom edge of your supply is based on the last buying before the big drop. Is that correct? The point of where sellers overcame the last of the buyers.
  • #73,473
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:42am Feb 20, 2018 10:42am
waiting to see if this hour leaves some wick against 107.20ish, if we do, I'll try some shorts there for a scalp...otherwise, will wait for tomorrow...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #73,474
  • Feb 20, 2018 10:46am Feb 20, 2018 10:46am
I just checked the 25-delta risk and there was increased buying at 12:30 GMT, so one can assume there is still a bit of a push left in the pair

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I do not personally use this as it is mainly used for options but it has served somewhat useful for when I have wanted to change a bias on a particular trade (the link is below)

https://www.tradingfloor.com/tools/2...risk-reversals
To Pipccess and Beyond
  • #73,475
  • Feb 20, 2018 4:37pm Feb 20, 2018 4:37pm
So im a noobie. Can people tell me what they think of this?

Still upward for a bit then continue its fall we saw last week to 105.4 citing oct 16' high?
Attached Image
  • #73,476
  • Feb 20, 2018 5:51pm Feb 20, 2018 5:51pm
Quoting nealpek
SunTrader, the issue is finished, move on.....
Chill.

My post was to someone else. And BTW start your own topic if you want to tell someone else not to post in an open topic.
  • #73,477
  • Feb 20, 2018 5:53pm Feb 20, 2018 5:53pm
Quoting unlv_tj
{quote} ....." Which I take to mean Nealpek wants to bury the hatchet and I hope MrPresident does as well.
Nonetheless you directed it only towards one of them. Takes two to tango.
  • #73,478
  • Feb 20, 2018 5:55pm Feb 20, 2018 5:55pm
Lets play a game. Next person to continue the argument has to change their signature to "I'm a goose"
  • #73,479
  • Feb 20, 2018 6:08pm Feb 20, 2018 6:08pm
Quoting jagdpanther
So im a noobie. Can people tell me what they think of this? Still upward for a bit then continue its fall we saw last week to 105.4 citing oct 16' high? {image}
I would say the analysis is justifiable, the resistance line and the fibos are well respected (shown by the many touches), looking further into candlestick patterns will help you see where the bias will begin to change in closer detail
To Pipccess and Beyond
  • #73,480
  • Feb 20, 2018 6:20pm Feb 20, 2018 6:20pm
9 posts in 4 years hmmm.
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