Waller: Probability of rate hikes is very low

You knwo when they are talking about Rate hikes every week, There is prob a hike coming.

Trying to feed our brains with the word "Hike" so that we would not be surprised.

"Hike" there will be an increase in price soon

1 lesson learned over 25 years of doing this....sometimes contrarian positions don't pay the bills. The tweets we see are a tiny snippet of what is said. In most cases (if not all), it is in response to a media/audience question aimed at creating a good headline or sound bite. FED officials don't start their speeches by saying "rate hikes are unlikely".

Even AFTER knowing this, reading the tweets above, to firmly believe a hike is coming soon, you would have to believe the official(s) are flat out lying to the world. Say what you want about your confidence in their ability to achieve a mandate, they are NOT looking to tank the US stock market by introducing a rate hike after regularly saying it WONT happen.

Predicting future economic conclusions is HARD, even for experts,if it wasn't, there would be no options trading. You tell me: what will the USD price be on December 30th, 2024? I don't care what you, or anyone else, said it is almost certainly wrong. The only thing that matters is how your position is altered as the date bears and how much humility you have to say "I thought, based on conditions in May....but changes in those factors led me to amend my opinion".

On the other hand, we need the opinions you present....and need you to trade them HARD in order to maximize profits, so maybe I shouldn't be offering advice?