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FOMC Summary of Economic Projections
In conjunction with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held on September 19–20, 2023, meeting participants submitted their projections of the most likely outcomes for real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, the unemployment rate, and inflation for each year from 2023 to 2026 and over the longer run. Each participant’s projections were based on information available at the time of the meeting, together with her or his assessment of appropriate monetary policy—including a path for the federal funds rate and its longer-run value—and assumptions about other factors likely to affect economic ... (full story)
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Fed Projections Imply One More 25-Basis-Point Rate Hike This Year and 50 Bps of Rate Cuts in 2024, Versus 100 Bps of 2024 Cuts in June Projections
— *seven (@sevenloI) September 20, 2023
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Fed’s Median Rate Forecast End-’23: 5.6% [Prev. 5.6%]
— *seven (@sevenloI) September 20, 2023
Fed’s Median Rate Forecast End-’24: 5.1% [Prev. 4.6%]
Fed’s Median Rate Forecast End-’25: 3.9% [Prev. 3.4%]
Fed’s Median Rate Forecast End-’26: 2.9%
Fed’s Median Rate Forecast Longer-Run: 2.5% [Prev. 2.5%]
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2024 dots remove 2 rate cuts: median rises from 4.6% to 5.1%
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 20, 2023
How long until the market interprets this as ECB 2.0 and unleashes stagflation trade pic.twitter.com/8gGiSShyyI
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