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Faced with stubborn inflation that has raised concerns about where policy is headed, the Federal Reserve has been ensnared in a holding pattern that likely will be reflected when it closes its meeting Wednesday. Markets are anticipating a near-zero chance that the Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank’s policy-setting arm, will announce any change ...
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We have seen a big jump in the US 1Q employment cost index of 1.2% quarter-on-quarter versus 0.9% in 4Q23, well above the 1% expected and above every single individual forecast in the Bloomberg survey. Not a good look as this is the Federal Reserve's favoured measure of labour costs, and given labour costs are the biggest cost input in a service sector-led ...
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