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A 24-year-old AI wunderkind dubbed the “Nostradamus of AI” has become Wall Street’s newest obsession after growing his hedge fund into a more than $20 billion powerhouse in less than two years. Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher with no professional investing experience, launched Situational Awareness in 2024 with a few hundred million ...
From fredblog.stlouisfed.org | 2 hr 37 min ago
Headlines earlier this year reported that federal US debt exceeded the size of the US economy. Another way to put that: The US debt-to-GDP ratio is over 100%. Opinions and economic analysis vary about what a sustainable fiscal path looks like in the United States. And the multiple data series in FRED that track the US debt-to-GDP ratio also vary. This post ...
From global.morningstar.com | 4 hr ago
The markets view an ECB rate hike in June as highly likely after the acceleration of eurozone inflation in May. According to preliminary data, consumer prices rose 3.2% last month from 3% in April, well above the central bank target inflation rate of 2%. Core inflation, which strips out volatile components such as energy and food prices, came in at 2.5%, up ...
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today released the May 2026 Survey of Consumer Expectations, which shows that households’ inflation expectations decreased at the short-term horizon and remained unchanged at the medium- and longer-term horizons, while home price growth expectations increased. Labor market expectations ...
Friday saw one of the cleanest and broadest dollar advances in quite a while. The core driver of the move was the strong US jobs report, which has raised expectations that this year's energy inflation shock is landing on fertile ground for second-round effects. The market is pricing close to 30bp of Federal Reserve tightening this year and 50bp of ...
A eurozone interest rate hike in the coming week is set to place the European Central Bank (ECB) at the vanguard of global tightening caused by the Iran war. The quarter-point increase expected for Thursday would be the most notable move so far, given that similar action in advanced economies has taken effect in much smaller jurisdictions from Australia to ...
According to preliminary figures from the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), real (price-adjusted) new orders in the manufacturing sector fell by 3.8% in April 2026 compared to March 2026, after seasonal and calendar adjustment. Excluding large orders, new orders were also 3.8% lower than in the previous month. In the less volatile three-month ...
President Donald Trump said the Federal Reserve would be wrong to raise interest rates as his nominee Kevin Warsh prepares to chair his first Fed policy meeting. Trump, in an interview with NBC’s Meet the Press, sought to push back against market sentiment after a blowout US jobs report for May spurred bets that the Fed’s next move will be a rate hike to ...
It is hard to make sense of market expectations of ECB policy. As the chart below shows, markets are pricing in a gradual increase in interest rates of 0.75% in total this year, with hikes of 0.25% expected in June, September and December. Interest rates are then expected to remain at 2.75% through the first part of 2027. This pricing makes little sense to ...
President Donald Trump stated that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates rather than raise them in response to strong economic growth, during an interview broadcast Sunday morning on Meet the Press. Speaking with moderator Kristen Welker, Trump addressed upcoming decisions facing newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, whose first ...
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newbegger replied 5 hr agoSorry my bad! I was thinking SPX, it's increments of 5. The FXE is in increments of 1. On retail forex you enter the 5 pips. Right now 1.1545 to short at 1.1550, 1.1505 to long at ...
Only EURUSD - newbegger replied 5 hr ago
image If more FED members start to speak of rate hikes, we can see 1.1400 area I like 1.1415. Even lower but the movers have to be sold on this. I am in the habit that to secure ...
Only EURUSD -
Js3mwtRc replied 10 hr agoJerome Powell and Christine Lagarde personally synchronized their atomic watches to ensure the algorithms slammed the brakes at exactly 1.14999!
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