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FDAX Sept 2017

  • #141
  • Jun 19, 2017 9:39am Jun 19, 2017 9:39am
Frankly I'm not able to trade this irrational market, but I will do my best to ride this wild horse, current 898....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #142
  • Jun 19, 2017 9:49am Jun 19, 2017 9:49am
Quoting Brixen
Frankly I'm not able to trade this irrational market, but I will do my best to ride this wild horse, current 898....
small small retracemtn and continue upside....
moment of truth around DAX CASH INDEX close 17,30/17,35 CET where a lot of intraday short probably will be burnt

I expect some violent move this evening/tomorrow morning. I hope to stay on the right side
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #143
  • Jun 19, 2017 10:05am Jun 19, 2017 10:05am
Bought 1 FDAX at 891 now
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #144
  • Jun 19, 2017 10:18am Jun 19, 2017 10:18am
Quoting Brixen
Bought 1 FDAX at 891 now
stop at breakeven NOW, current 901 and target above today's high
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #145
  • Jun 19, 2017 10:23am Jun 19, 2017 10:23am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} stop at breakeven NOW, current 901 and target above today's high
stopped out in this moment!!!!!!!
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #146
  • Jun 19, 2017 10:29am Jun 19, 2017 10:29am
878 and 868 possible re-entry buy zone, current 884....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #147
  • Jun 19, 2017 10:35am Jun 19, 2017 10:35am
I guess will not trade this evening so for today this is my performance:
-2-18+34+24= TOTAL +38 pips (all in the morning)
2 trades in the afternoon both stopped out
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #148
  • Jun 19, 2017 10:36am Jun 19, 2017 10:36am
Quoting Brixen
I guess will not trade this evening so for today this is my performance: -2-18+34+24= TOTAL +38 pips (all in the morning) 2 trades in the afternoon both stopped out
both stopped out at breakeven
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #149
  • Jun 19, 2017 1:46pm Jun 19, 2017 1:46pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} today I was too lazy 3 times: 1. not fast to close 1FDAX at 820 zone (2FDAX short from 822) 2. not fast to close 1FDAX at 840 zone (2FDAX short from 838) 3. not fast to close 1FDAX at 858 zone (1FDAX short from 838). This is what happen when I'm full of confidence. Every day there is an hard lesson to learn here.
These sort of decisions need to eliminated but like always you are positive at the end of the day which is a sign of a great trader. They left a clue , 915 not broken .. If thet levels holds tomorrow a sell off could occur, something im expecting next few days.
  • #150
  • Jun 19, 2017 1:59pm Jun 19, 2017 1:59pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} These sort of decisions need to eliminated but like always you are positive at the end of the day which is a sign of a great trader. They left a clue , 915 not broken .. If thet levels holds tomorrow a sell off could occur, something im expecting next few days.
this morning (in Europe) I was patient and lucky because some big boys pushed price from 888 to 825 only to buy lower for the afternoon new highs, otherwise they will had destroyed me.
But this is the past , so now what is really matters is tomorrow and next days . Very interesting your view for a new risk off starting from above/around 900.
And also there is a huge gap of 130/140 pips down to cover tomorrow/next days.....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #151
  • Edited 2:46pm Jun 19, 2017 2:08pm | Edited 2:46pm
An image can clarify everything ( Remember the positive correlation between $Y and Dax) (As I wrote to the post "$Y discussion")

... $Y(h4)

inside 1st wave (TP 111,85)

... waiting the 2nd one (correction a(a),b(a),c(a)) and the 3rd COMPOSED


P.S.

Look at the shrinking of BollingerBands50periods(2,0) (inside h1) : now accumulate ... then release (upside ... I suppose) of volatility....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SY.png Size: 246 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #152
  • Jun 19, 2017 2:12pm Jun 19, 2017 2:12pm
Quoting mag00
An image can clarify everything ( Remember the positive correlation between $Y and Dax) (As I wrote to the post $Y discussion) ... $Y(h4) inside 1st wave (TP 111,85) ... waiting the 2nd one (correction a(a),b(a),c(a)) and the 3rd COMPOSED P.S. Look at the shrinking of BollingerBands50periods(2,0) (inside h1) : now accumulate ... then release (upside ... I suppose) of volatility.... {image}
but in this case we'll se FDAX around 13000 and above. Is this correct from this point of view?
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #153
  • Jun 19, 2017 2:19pm Jun 19, 2017 2:19pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} but in this case we'll se FDAX around 13000 and above. Is this correct from this point of view?
a point of view of mine
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(m15).png Size: 229 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #154
  • Jun 19, 2017 2:26pm Jun 19, 2017 2:26pm
Quoting mag00
{quote} a point of view of mine {image}
WOW!!!
some days ago you showed me a chart like the previous one and put me in my mind a possible scenario for days ahead.
The day after I traded with your view in my mind,.... touche' also this time but .....
we can't exclude a top above 13000 and a sharp sell-off till at least 750 zone

Hey Pip-Miner what you think about it?
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #155
  • Edited 2:55pm Jun 19, 2017 2:42pm | Edited 2:55pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} WOW!!! some days ago you showed me a chart like the previous one and put me in my mind a possible scenario for days ahead. The day after I traded with your view in my mind,.... touche' also this time but ..... we can't exclude a top above 13000 and a sharp sell-off till at least 750 zone Hey Pip-Miner what you think about it?
The logic inherent in the correlation would make me think that after the first wave ($Y) there is a third composed ($Y) and a fifth of the first wave leading ($Y) ... all uphill

P.S.

... Until proven otherwise (sl)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: $Y.png Size: 235 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #156
  • Jun 19, 2017 3:01pm Jun 19, 2017 3:01pm
Quoting mag00
{quote} The logic inherent in the correlation would make me think that after the first wave ($Y) there is a third composed ($Y) and a fifth of the first wave leading ($Y) ... all uphill
So we'll see the moon and the stars next days/weeks...
For now your view is coherent with tonight close on US INDEX; and probably FDAX tomorrow will open above or well above 900, depending on big hands wishes...

I always thinked that this mega bubble, started when FDAX was around 10000, will end only with a sharp and fast verticall move.
Let's see what will happen in the short term,as small trader trying to catch some move day by day

Thanks for your view, always interesting
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #157
  • Edited 5:53pm Jun 19, 2017 5:40pm | Edited 5:53pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} WOW!!! some days ago you showed me a chart like the previous one and put me in my mind a possible scenario for days ahead. The day after I traded with your view in my mind,.... touche' also this time but ..... we can't exclude a top above 13000 and a sharp sell-off till at least 750 zone Hey Pip-Miner what you think about it?
It is a possibility depending on how bullish retail traders are. That figure is a carrot to lure people . At this stage i see sell off 915 to 950. Pop the stop losses at 915 then take it down to wipe out the bullish retail traders - Golman Sacks style. Tomorrow we will see and get better indication.
We dont run it guys like Gordon do, so what we think is logical is often an illusion created to trick us.
Inserted Video
  • #158
  • Jun 20, 2017 12:27am Jun 20, 2017 12:27am
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} It is a possibility depending on how bullish retail traders are. That figure is a carrot to lure people . At this stage i see sell off 915 to 950. Pop the stop losses at 915 then take it down to wipe out the bullish retail traders - Golman Sacks style. Tomorrow we will see and get better indication. We dont run it guys like Gordon do, so what we think is logical is often an illusion created to trick us. https://youtu.be/IVjCRWbvM4c
OK, you are more pragmatic than me.
ASX indices don't follow this euphoria from Japan and Europe:
http://www.marketindex.com.au/asx200
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #159
  • Jun 20, 2017 12:39am Jun 20, 2017 12:39am
Probably market will open above 900, around or above yd highs.
Real game after 9 CET.

Above 891/898 no chance to go down and panic buying will resume.
+0,5% vs yd means 950 and +1% vs yd means 13010.

Below 891/898 I see only 865 zone and down 830 zone.

Very difficult to trade and the sharks are in full action. I'll try to remain on my boat as long as possible.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #160
  • Jun 20, 2017 12:55am Jun 20, 2017 12:55am
good luck all , i prefer the buy 12750 - all i need is one trade
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