Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 427 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #8,521
  • May 29, 2017 1:52pm May 29, 2017 1:52pm
Quoting isaacpeh
Good evening everyone and Mr alfonso. I would have taken the shorts at the yellow rectangles But as you can see, it was a miserable loss. Would you guys have taken the same trade as i did? Or any reason not to? Reason why i did : Good imbalence and fresh level. Here's the charts. WK: {image} D1: {image} H4: {image}
On the Daily there is no valid trendline, and I don't think it is a valid Weekly supply as there is too much trading in the zone.
  • #8,522
  • May 29, 2017 3:36pm May 29, 2017 3:36pm
Quoting isaacpeh
Good evening everyone and Mr alfonso. I would have taken the shorts at the yellow rectangles But as you can see, it was a miserable loss. Would you guys have taken the same trade as i did? Or any reason not to? Reason why i did : Good imbalence and fresh level. Here's the charts. WK: {image} D1: {image} H4: {image}
Weekly is out of alignment. So we wait for Daily and 4hr supply levels to be created within the weekly TF Supply to short, Hence this is just my thought.

Afonso youd comment will be appreciated
  • #8,523
  • May 29, 2017 3:45pm May 29, 2017 3:45pm
Quoting DeanMoar
{quote} On the Daily there is no valid trendline, and I don't think it is a valid Weekly supply as there is too much trading in the zone.
It's a downtrend otherwise, isn't it an aggressive uptrend? As for the weekly i can agree .
But even so, the imbalence is pretty strong on the H4 and D1. And for the weekly it's just 1 bullish ERC candle.

Thanks!

Quoting Nightrider45
{quote} Weekly is out of alignment. So we wait for Daily and 4hr supply levels to be created within the weekly TF Supply to short, Hence this is just my thought. Afonso youd comment will be appreciated
You could be right! Broken downtrend on the weekly. My guess would be buyers are going long to reach the even greater imbalence on the D1 within the WK1. Seems like a good trade there IMO.

What do you think Alfonso?
The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
  • #8,524
  • May 30, 2017 5:01am May 30, 2017 5:01am
Quoting isaacpeh
{quote} It's a downtrend otherwise, isn't it an aggressive uptrend? As for the weekly i can agree . But even so, the imbalence is pretty strong on the H4 and D1. And for the weekly it's just 1 bullish ERC candle. Thanks! {quote} You could be right! Broken downtrend on the weekly. My guess would be buyers are going long to reach the even greater imbalence on the D1 within the WK1. Seems like a good trade there IMO. What do you think Alfonso?
New weekly demand level being formed on NZDUSD weekly chart, monthly bullish engulfing pattern will probably be there in two days, no shorts Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,525
  • May 30, 2017 5:28am May 30, 2017 5:28am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} New weekly demand level being formed on NZDUSD weekly chart, monthly bullish engulfing pattern will probably be there in two days, no shorts Cheers, Alfonso
Supported. 0.6942 looks good to go long on the 4H TF.

Cheers!
  • #8,526
  • May 31, 2017 7:56am May 31, 2017 7:56am
Here's Monthly chart on NZDUSD
Monthly demand is in control so not allowed to go short on weekly,daily etc.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 48 KB

Cheers!
  • #8,527
  • Jun 1, 2017 2:48pm Jun 1, 2017 2:48pm
Quoting Hyena
Here's Monthly chart on NZDUSD Monthly demand is in control so not allowed to go short on weekly,daily etc. {image} Cheers!
I don't see how that demand is formed. After a downtrend, it broke and formed a demand zone right at the bottom. It rallies up but didn't break any supply did it? Sorry if i misinterpreted.
The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
  • #8,528
  • Jun 2, 2017 1:42am Jun 2, 2017 1:42am
Strong weekly demand imbalance around 304.75 on Puma SE German Stock. DAX 30 German index is rallying very strongly giving more confluences to longs on many German stocks. Clear uptrend on Puma stock where weekly demand imbalances are being created, supply levels and imbalances being removed, very strong explosive move off that weekly demand zone.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: puma_weekly_demand.png Size: 74 KB


Supply and demand trading analysis strategy blog
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,529
  • Jun 2, 2017 5:54am Jun 2, 2017 5:54am
@panoramia
Hello Alfonso, i took this trade on XAUUSD, what do you think?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 43 KB
  • #8,530
  • Jun 2, 2017 8:46am Jun 2, 2017 8:46am
Quoting VictorFaria
@panoramia Hello Alfonso, i took this trade on XAUUSD, what do you think? {image}
I can't tell you by only looking at one single timeframe analysis. Gold is a mess, not on my watchlist right now. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,531
  • Jun 2, 2017 2:17pm Jun 2, 2017 2:17pm
Whats up Alfonso. First off thanks for everything. Im having some technical difficulties. How do i get the horizontal trendlines back on the rectangle reader? Don't know why its no longer there and I want to avoid restarting MY MT4.
  • #8,532
  • Jun 4, 2017 4:27am Jun 4, 2017 4:27am
Quoting VictorFaria
@panoramia Hello Alfonso, i took this trade on XAUUSD, what do you think? {image}
Hey VF,

What is clear is that you are buying after a rally into a SZ. Remember! Only the most novice trader will buy into SZ. XAUUSD is in mn, w1 downtrend, therefore Short bias!

Cheers
  • #8,533
  • Jun 4, 2017 9:31am Jun 4, 2017 9:31am
Quoting SteveMoore
Whats up Alfonso. First off thanks for everything. Im having some technical difficulties. How do i get the horizontal trendlines back on the rectangle reader? Don't know why its no longer there and I want to avoid restarting MY MT4.
The rectangle reader indicator displays them by default, you must have touched some of the default settings, there are settings to hide/show them explained in the instructions. Reinstall the indicator in another chart and you will have the default settings, I don't know what you might have touched to make the trendlines disappear

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,534
  • Jun 5, 2017 5:10am Jun 5, 2017 5:10am
Hi, Can someone provide the link for the rules and the indicators for MT4.
Thanks
  • #8,535
  • Jun 5, 2017 8:38am Jun 5, 2017 8:38am
Quoting 13fractal
Hi, Can someone provide the link for the rules and the indicators for MT4. Thanks
You can download PDF with the basic supply and demand rules to get you started from https://www.set-and-forget.com/suppl...uide-on-ebook/ and the indicators from https://www.set-and-forget.com/suppl...nd-indicators/

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,536
  • Jun 6, 2017 11:55pm Jun 6, 2017 11:55pm
Quoting VictorFaria
@panoramia Hello Alfonso, i took this trade on XAUUSD, what do you think? {image}
Hey VF,
A quick update on my comments in post 8533 above: Real time trend analysis shows that while W1 is now in up trend, MN is sideways. However we're high on both MN and W1 curve. Therefore going long at this level is suicidal. Unless W1 supply is taken out, short bias dominates

Cheers!
  • #8,537
  • Jun 7, 2017 4:43am Jun 7, 2017 4:43am
Quoting jamaa
{quote} Hey VF, A quick update on my comments in post 8533 above: Real time trend analysis shows that while W1 is now in up trend, MN is sideways. However we're high on both MN and W1 curve. Therefore going long at this level is suicidal. Unless W1 supply is taken out, short bias dominates Cheers!
Hello!
Thank you for your comments.
The price Hit My TP yesterday with Great R:R Ratio, 1Risk to 1.5 Reward.

I Enterted because in My Valuation, D1 and MN Was in Strong Uptrend with new Demand Level suporting, W1 Indecisive with very Weak Supply Level Being Formed that was broken.
The Thing is, i need at least 1:1 RR to get in into the Trade, and my price was able to be at this level without touch the Supply Zone on W1, the 0.5 of extra profit that i took was using Trailing Stopsv broking the Supply level.

Best Regards,
Victor Faria
  • #8,538
  • Jun 7, 2017 11:23am Jun 7, 2017 11:23am
Quoting VictorFaria
{quote} Hello! Thank you for your comments. The price Hit My TP yesterday with Great R:R Ratio, 1Risk to 1.5 Reward. I Enterted because in My Valuation, D1 and MN Was in Strong Uptrend with new Demand Level suporting, W1 Indecisive with very Weak Supply Level Being Formed that was broken. The Thing is, i need at least 1:1 RR to get in into the Trade, and my price was able to be at this level without touch the Supply Zone on W1, the 0.5 of extra profit that i took was using Trailing Stopsv broking the Supply level. Best Regards, Victor Faria
If you were planning an aggressive long into supply shouldn't you place your long order at the demand zone proximal line instead? :o
The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
  • #8,539
  • Jun 13, 2017 1:24am Jun 13, 2017 1:24am
AP Moller - Maersk strong weekly demand level around 8768 bouncing of a bigger timeframe six months demand level, departure of that weekly imbalance is very explosive and strong. Long term buy opportunity if price retraces down there.

A.P. Moller–Maersk Group, also known as Maersk, is a Danish business conglomerate. A.P. Møller–Maersk Group has activities in a variety of business sectors, primarily within the transport and energy sectors.

Supply and demand trading analysis and strategy
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: maerks_weekly_demand_level.png Size: 97 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,540
  • Edited 4:57am Jun 13, 2017 4:43am | Edited 4:57am
Bank Nifty big picture long bias, after a long rally in price we usually have a bigger retracement, very strong monthly demand level zone around at 18.725 for a long term long buy setup, longs will probably happen before it reaches that imbalance at weekly and daily imbalances.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 107 KB


I am using TradingView for my supply and demand trading analysis, I'm publishing new setups and ideas every week, follow me on TradingView if you are interested... Follow me here https://www.tradingview.com/u/AlfonsoMoreno/

Have a great day!
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
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