The Club!

Hi my Friend,

how are you doing? Hope all is fine :-)


Thank you for the link. Very good site. Unfortunately they have not the COT-Index calculated :-(

EU

4h TF

Channel plays

EU 8h TF

base channel support

Some help for the Big Picture:
Both Bradley versions indicate more room to go to the upside for the indices.

Sixer

NATO Recoils From Trump Spending Salvos

Hi Sixer,

did not know that you are also interested in astro-cycles. So often your cycle analysis but never astro cycle.

If you deal with "cycles", you have to look at that kind too.
It would be good if the Elliott guys would consider the factor "time/cycle" in their counts also.

Sixer

Ex-Intel head Clapper: Russians ‘almost genetically driven to co-opt & penetrate’


The US should be ashamed on itselves.

The most war mongering country on earth should keep its mouth shut. I could now make an endless list of their misdeeds, their bigotry, their racism,
their penetrating techniques, their gain-favoring, their "exceptionalism" thinking, their untrustworthiness, their double-standard views, and on and on and on.

Is the US the biggest asylum on earth, lately? Inquiring minds want to know.

Prechter once was deeply into cycles but kind of abandoned it. Here are a few snipsets of an interview:


5a. As I am sure you are well aware, there is a debate amongst various schools of thought as to what is more important -- price or time. Can you please give us insight into your perspective on this debate?

What matters most is form. Form involves both price and time, although arguably price is the more definitive component.

5b. I am sure you have seen much time cycles analysis in your career. In my experience, I have not really seen any that have been better than 50/50. I am just wondering why you think we are unable to develop the same accuracy percentages in timing models as we do in pricing models using Elliott Wave?

I think the reason for your observation is that cycles are not the essence of markets. They are artifacts of the fractal form. They appear for a while and then disappear. Usually by the time someone recognizes a cycle and bets on it, it is poised to vanish. As you say, the success rate is about 50/50, so I don't rely on them anymore.
I think Fibonacci ratios between the prices and durations of related waves are meaningful. I wrote a book about Fibonacci relationships called Beautiful Pictures.

4 Wildly Different Oil Price Scenarios For 2020


Ask 4 fundamental analysts, and you get 4 different views

As the Fool today said in the RUT: you can generally find whatever you need to bolster whatever opinion you may have

Cryptos in Mania?

Bitcoin could hit $100,000 in decade, says analyst who predicted current high

but problem here:

Ethereum Forecast To Surpass Bitcoin By 2018


Chatter, typical for mania?

Does the outcry of the Americans resound in your ears, when the Syria/Russia alliance hit ISIS and caused collateral damage to civilians?

Now they frame it this way defending their own huge collateral damage to civilians:

Mattis: US To "Annihilate" Islamic State Caliphate, Civilian Casualties A "Fact Of Life"


So so, "fact of life"!!!

Fact of life is, it is bigotry at its best!

Deutsche Bank Calculates The "Fair Value Of Gold" And The Answer Is...

interesting analysis

snipset

Gold as a store of value – capital appreciation but no yield
We all need ways to store the fruits of our physical or intellectual labour for use at a later stage. We all have our preferences, be it bricks and mortar, the equity markets or gold. It depends on your confidence in how well you believe your asset of choice will preserve and in many instances grow your wealth or capital. We have examined the level of the gold price in real terms i.e. versus US CPI, relative to the per capita income and versus an alternative financial asset, the US equity market.
In terms of the relationship between gold and the S&P500, we have adjusted both for inflation and applied a further equity time value adjustment. Both should rise with inflation, but the S&P 500 should rise more and its retained and reinvested earnings should generate real EPS growth. We find that the adjusted gold to S&P500 ratio at 0.65x is still above its historical average of 0.54x. To bring this ratio back to its long run average would require the gold price to fall to USD990/oz. The average G7 per capita income since 1971 could buy just over 62 ounces of gold. Currently the average per capita income can purchase 47 ounces which implies that gold should trade at USD740/oz.
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau...20db%205_0.jpg
The real gold price average since 1971 when the gold standard was relinquished in the US is USD735/oz in PPI adjusted terms and USD810/oz in CPI adjusted terms.

compare:

https://singulorum001.blogspot.de/20...unt-and_4.html

snipset:

He said the U.S. plans to “strip them of any kind of legitimacy” and deny any country from providing Islamic State with any degree of protection as well as dry up the group’s fundraising.

I am sure that is why the Donald was so keen on kissing the Saudis butt

Today I found.... One of my favorites setups.

Three soldiers... and breakout ( TL and a big wedge).

Live on 02.06.2017 at the SPIEF

Putin on Paris climate change agreement: Dont worry, be happy

https://www.rt.com/news/390612-dont-...limate-change/

Best
D.P.

P.S. Mr. President is a very patient person.

P.P.S. Putin Informs Hacking Expert Megyn Kelly That She Has No Idea What She's Talking About

http://russia-insider.com/en/politic...-about/ri20021

If you find, you must see all their conversation. This is a masterpiece...

Deutsche Bank Trader Admits To Rigging Precious Metals Markets


And some called me mad......

Feeling vindicated, :-) finally