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Let's Trade Options

  • #15,101
  • May 25, 2017 12:28pm May 25, 2017 12:28pm
Days like today are great on my oil short. Lets hit 42 then ill get squeezed again. woohoo!
  • #15,102
  • May 25, 2017 2:47pm May 25, 2017 2:47pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Days like today are great on my oil short. Lets hit 42 then ill get squeezed again. woohoo!
well I am guessing the season could help dirty bulls but the glut is going nowhere fast, so what? - ranging between $45-$55 until war with Iran breaks out....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,103
  • May 26, 2017 8:11am May 26, 2017 8:11am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} well I am guessing the season could help dirty bulls but the glut is going nowhere fast, so what? - ranging between $45-$55 until war with Iran breaks out....
Probably... thing seems to be rangebound, albeit a huge range. I'm in it for the long haul though, Ill just keep swapping front month contracts and adding more short on pullbacks.
  • #15,104
  • May 26, 2017 8:34am May 26, 2017 8:34am
yeah, seasonality - so like 1950, big drops Q3-Q4 in the last few years. The glut will continue and as long as there is no new major ME war or something that disrupts supply there, oil should be sideways to down. If we get the traditional Republican recession, you could see your dreams come true. Vote for Pedro.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,105
  • May 26, 2017 5:08pm May 26, 2017 5:08pm
I sold a SPY $244/246 call vert Jun30 for 54c today
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,106
  • May 27, 2017 11:25pm May 27, 2017 11:25pm
long EWZ Kahuna style, it already popped back >$2 from recent drop, another (guess what?) btfd - if oil will rally and jack PBR then EWZ will have a chance of pushing back to $40+ this summer...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,107
  • May 30, 2017 1:15am May 30, 2017 1:15am
Earnings season fading now, US equities sitting on a top at ~2,400 spoos that has been laid in for last 3 months. I will be looking to sell SPY & SPX call spreads, I think this top is gonna dump....too much geopoli noise and them chickens should be coming home to roost, I have put spreads set to bracket FOMC week, maybe put some more of those on.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,108
  • May 31, 2017 12:49am May 31, 2017 12:49am
Brazil....more volatility ahead but not clear re: timing yet....

https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapo...o#6f51c1d21276
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,109
  • Edited 7:51am May 31, 2017 7:38am | Edited 7:51am
Quoting The Fool
Brazil....more volatility ahead but not clear re: timing yet.... https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapo...o#6f51c1d21276
Sir,

1. can you recommend retail option trader pls (any chance for Europe)
2. can you show me what premium you pay for:
I buy PUT - UK Brent Oil ; strike @25 USD ; and @35 USD. Maturity 2y. Notional 100k USD. If you have a spare time pls.

I really appreciate. Ill show you industry price tom when I get to the shop so we can compare.

thanks again
  • #15,110
  • May 31, 2017 6:25pm May 31, 2017 6:25pm
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} Sir, 1. can you recommend retail option trader pls (any chance for Europe) 2. can you show me what premium you pay for: I buy PUT - UK Brent Oil ; strike @25 USD ; and @35 USD. Maturity 2y. Notional 100k USD. If you have a spare time pls. I really appreciate. Ill show you industry price tom when I get to the shop so we can compare. thanks again
I) Interactive Brokers
2) I bet you can find this info online if you look.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,111
  • Jun 1, 2017 12:33am Jun 1, 2017 12:33am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I) Interactive Brokers 2) I bet you can find this info online if you look.
interactive, thank you


i get
strike 35: 4305 USD
strike 25: 1721 USD
european vanilla 100k USD
fwd ref 52.32 jul 19
expiry 30 may 2019
::
what do you get Sir?
  • #15,112
  • Jun 1, 2017 5:09pm Jun 1, 2017 5:09pm
sold into strength today, bought Jun2/Jun9 $240 SPY put calendars @ 11c, prolly be left watching the back end of the bull train, which will never run outta track, apparently.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,113
  • Jun 1, 2017 5:10pm Jun 1, 2017 5:10pm
Quoting 21vs7
what do you get Sir?
I need to get paid to talk about things that don't interest me.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,114
  • Jun 1, 2017 5:21pm Jun 1, 2017 5:21pm
money

http://www.investopedia.com/news/som...ating-vix-vxx/
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,115
  • Jun 1, 2017 9:57pm Jun 1, 2017 9:57pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}I need to get paid to talk about things that don't interest me.
odd.

ok, anyway..thank you for the help
  • #15,116
  • Jun 1, 2017 10:36pm Jun 1, 2017 10:36pm
Quoting 21vs7
odd.
you want me to look up quotes for you, on something I never trade, and you think it's "odd" that I resist? Asinine.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,117
  • Jun 1, 2017 11:01pm Jun 1, 2017 11:01pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}you want me to look up quotes for you, on something I never trade, and you think it's "odd" that I resist? Asinine.
no sorry. dont want to be rude in any way. Perhaps I was too direct in this enquiry.

I just wanted to compare retail option pricing for specific details VS interbank prices. As I know you are very active on this territory.
  • #15,118
  • Jun 1, 2017 11:57pm Jun 1, 2017 11:57pm
a strong spoos close for the week will sink UVXY under $10, then I can let visions of long vol lotto wins dance in my head
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,119
  • Jun 4, 2017 6:41pm Jun 4, 2017 6:41pm
Look for a Comey dump? will also calendar across 6/7-9, Cman to testify 6/8
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #15,120
  • Jun 5, 2017 12:36am Jun 5, 2017 12:36am
Quoting The Fool
will also calendar across 6/7-9, Cman to testify 6/8
OR just target a red week
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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