Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 426 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #8,501
  • May 16, 2017 11:54pm May 16, 2017 11:54pm
Quoting Richie-Rees
Afternoon all, I am currently demo testing the strategy and have a few questions regarding TL breaks creating zones and confirmation entries. 1: Does a S/D zone created by a TL break need to have a 2:1 move away to be validated? 2: If a new LTF supply zone created by a TL break is a result of price reacting to an original LTF supply zone which is nested or near HTF supply, is the new LTF supply zone valid for shorts? - see cable example on charts below 3: When price reaches HTF supply for the first time, is it preferable to identify original LTF...
hello again Richie-Rees, see chart below :
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on daily chart,you draw a trendline is incorrect, and it's not supply
monthly downtrend sz is in control but bad structure there is stairs and no 2 : 1 imbalance, so we need confrimation (high in the curve)
weekly uptrend sz cp is in control (high in the curve)
daily uptrend
SHORT BIAS FOR NOW! CONFIRMATION NEEDED! Cheers!
  • #8,502
  • May 17, 2017 12:14pm May 17, 2017 12:14pm
Quoting Hyena
{quote} hello again Richie-Rees, see chart below : {image} on daily chart,you draw a trendline is incorrect, and it's not supply monthly downtrend sz is in control but bad structure there is stairs and no 2 : 1 imbalance, so we need confrimation (high in the curve) weekly uptrend sz cp is in control (high in the curve) daily uptrend SHORT BIAS FOR NOW! CONFIRMATION NEEDED! Cheers!
What do mean by stairs Hyena?
  • #8,503
  • May 17, 2017 9:25pm May 17, 2017 9:25pm
Quoting Nightrider45
{quote} What do mean by stairs Hyena?
It mean bad structure, Nightrider45
If you go down to the weekly, you will see on the left that's box in range or sometimes you will see it compress/mess not clear area of supply and demand.
Cheers!
  • #8,504
  • May 18, 2017 6:33am May 18, 2017 6:33am
Quoting Hyena
{quote} Rohule, where your chart weekly on EURNOK??ok no problem i can help you.. see chart below : Weekly {image} As you can see, Weekly is UPTREND and now weekly SZ is in control, so my question is, are we allowed to go long on daily DZ IF WEEKLY SZ IS IN CONTROL??? OF COURSE NOT!!! RULE SAYS THAT,WEEKLY SZ NOW IS IN CONTROL THAT'S MEAN NOW YOU'R HIGH IN THE CURVE! Weekly is uptrend ok no problem, BUT YOU CAN'T ASSUME OR PREDICT WEEKLY SZ WILL BROKEN, YOU'R NOT A MARKET NOBODY MARKET! IF MARKET SHOW YOU,OK YOU CAN GO LONG RIGHT NOW,SO YOU CAN...
Hi Hyena, thank you so much.
have a good one
passion and discipline
  • #8,505
  • May 18, 2017 7:47am May 18, 2017 7:47am
Quoting rohule
{quote} Hi Hyena, thank you so much. have a good one
You'r welcome my friend
Cheers !
  • #8,506
  • May 18, 2017 2:01pm May 18, 2017 2:01pm
Hi Mr Alfonso,


I hope you are doing well.

Do you have in mind any free webinar soon? a lot of people will be thankful wit you.

Have a good one.

Roberto
passion and discipline
  • #8,507
  • May 19, 2017 12:49am May 19, 2017 12:49am
Quoting rohule
Hi Mr Alfonso, I hope you are doing well. Do you have in mind any free webinar soon? a lot of people will be thankful wit you. Have a good one. Roberto
Yes, I will organize one soon but no dates available yet. Will post it once I have the exact date and time!
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,508
  • May 20, 2017 1:38pm May 20, 2017 1:38pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Yes, I will organize one soon but no dates available yet. Will post it once I have the exact date and time! Cheers, Alfonso
Hey Alfonso,

I suggest you look at the following areas in the forthcoming webinar: objective demand and supply zones, three star entry, real time trend analysis.

Cheers!
  • #8,509
  • May 22, 2017 8:41am May 22, 2017 8:41am
New weekly demand level created on Crédit Agricole ACA, CAC 40 French Stock. New weekly demand zone created around 12.12 for longs with a clear weekly uptrend and unfilled strong bullish gap. Crédit Agricole ticker ACA is part of the CAC 40 French Index. Demand levels created, supply levels eliminated, clear weekly uptrend.

Have a nice Monday and week
Cheers,
Alfonso

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Supply and demand trading strategy analysis
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,510
  • May 25, 2017 4:00am May 25, 2017 4:00am
Hi there Alfonso could you please show some examples of inherit levels. I dont know how to locate them or how to trade them. Please
  • #8,511
  • May 25, 2017 9:26am May 25, 2017 9:26am
Seems like GAPs are really powerful levels in S/D
The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
  • #8,512
  • May 25, 2017 6:12pm May 25, 2017 6:12pm
Quoting isaacpeh
Seems like GAPs are really powerful levels in S/D
Hey isaacpeh,

You guessed right! Gaps provide the coolest opportunity to dive into the markets.

Thus in a downtrend, selling short on a gap higher into supply is the highest probability trading opportunity there is 'cos only your most novice trader will buy after a gap up into supply zone in the context of a downtrend. Therefore we want to the sellers to this buyer. This type of gap is likely to be filled very quickly.

Conversely, in an up trend, buying a gap down into demand is the highest probability trading opportunity there is. This is because only your most novice trader will sell after a gap down into demand zone in the context of an up trend. We want to be buyers to this seller! This type of gap fills very quickly

Cheers!
  • #8,513
  • May 26, 2017 12:30am May 26, 2017 12:30am
Quoting Nightrider45
Hi there Alfonso could you please show some examples of inherit levels. I dont know how to locate them or how to trade them. Please
Inherited levels are not part of the rules. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,514
  • May 26, 2017 7:54am May 26, 2017 7:54am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Inherited levels are not part of the rules. Cheers, Alfonso
I dont understand, then why do you speak about it in your webinars?
  • #8,515
  • May 26, 2017 8:55am May 26, 2017 8:55am
Quoting Nightrider45
{quote} I dont understand, then why do you speak about it in your webinars?
Think I went through one of his videos and he did speak about inherited levels . But I never bothered. Since Supply and Demand is quite straight forward. We all can draw levels correctly after some practice. It's the entry that's the problem (at least for me right now).

Maybe you can post which video it was in? Some of us may be able to help you out.
The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
  • #8,516
  • May 26, 2017 10:09am May 26, 2017 10:09am
Quoting Nightrider45
{quote} I dont understand, then why do you speak about it in your webinars?
Quoting isaacpeh
{quote} Think I went through one of his videos and he did speak about inherited levels . But I never bothered. Since Supply and Demand is quite straight forward. We all can draw levels correctly after some practice. It's the entry that's the problem (at least for me right now). Maybe you can post which video it was in? Some of us may be able to help you out.
They used to, they no longer are since those imbalances are low odds. You only have access to a few webinars, those that are public. The strategy has more rules, setups, etc. I just can't update forex factory thread with changes in some of the rules. I am always backtesting, low odds nuances or rules will be ruled out and dropped. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,517
  • May 26, 2017 10:26am May 26, 2017 10:26am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} {quote} They used to, they no longer are since those imbalances are low odds. You only have access to a few webinars, those that are public. The strategy has more rules, setups, etc. I just can't update forex factory thread with changes in some of the rules. I am always backtesting, low odds nuances or rules will be ruled out and dropped. Cheers, Alfonso
Does your community consist of all those rules, setups and entries?
The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
  • #8,518
  • May 27, 2017 3:46am May 27, 2017 3:46am
Quoting isaacpeh
{quote} Does your community consist of all those rules, setups and entries?
Yes, they are. Have a nice weekend!
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,519
  • May 28, 2017 11:41pm May 28, 2017 11:41pm
Forex exotic EURTRY is rallying and creating brand new levels of daily demand zones for potential longs. In an uptrend supply is removed and demand is respected. long bias on EURTRY.

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Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,520
  • May 29, 2017 1:33pm May 29, 2017 1:33pm
Good evening everyone and Mr alfonso.

I would have taken the shorts at the yellow rectangles
But as you can see, it was a miserable loss.

Would you guys have taken the same trade as i did? Or any reason not to?
Reason why i did : Good imbalence and fresh level.

Here's the charts.

WK:
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D1:
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H4:
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The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
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