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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #2,641
  • May 17, 2017 3:51pm May 17, 2017 3:51pm
Quoting Dennis1468
Late night C-Cup on EU
1.13 after rejection at 1.230
  • #2,642
  • May 17, 2017 3:58pm May 17, 2017 3:58pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Remember buy 108 80 grab 108 30 if we lucky target 114 40 short cover some profit at 112 30 close all longs 114 40 ride the next wave............Trade idea. We did live together............Position Trade read the live PT back in the thread. Friday buy 108 80 @ 50 pip stop Target 114 40. We did a lot of profit hedging in that live. Now we taking on the short side Target T1 110 46 defended/ retrace 110 60 defended end of the month T2 109 .20 plus minus 2 pips

yip yip if we break 110 80 we can do T1 after 30 mins
  • #2,643
  • May 17, 2017 4:06pm May 17, 2017 4:06pm
alright new day/watch IB then OR then you know your market day from there on wards. Im of for supplies Yesterdays low 110 80 new pp is 111 58 4 hour bar at + yesterdays low because now is the new session good fade opportunity 111 30 add short
  • #2,644
  • May 17, 2017 10:52pm May 17, 2017 10:52pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} yip yip if we break 110 80 we can do T1 after 30 mins
T1 110 46 defended = achieved variance 4 pips
  • #2,645
  • May 17, 2017 10:54pm May 17, 2017 10:54pm
Quoting Dennis1468
alright new day/watch IB then OR then you know your market day from there on wards. Im of for supplies Yesterdays low 110 80 new pp is 111 58 4 hour bar at + yesterdays low because now is the new session good fade opportunity 111 30 add short

forecasting is pretty accurate short term within a month

i.w Trade your trade idea not the market
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  • #2,646
  • May 18, 2017 2:03am May 18, 2017 2:03am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Example of live UJ now my stops are positive so I am trailing pending buys to hedge in profit. I dont want to be taken out of my shorts if market reverses I much rather hedge so i have time to decide which side to add positions on to as I build the portfolio and control risk {image}
Hi Dennis, at which point you give up your buy hedges when it goes more to the downside?
  • #2,647
  • May 18, 2017 3:25am May 18, 2017 3:25am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
EU M15

here is the trend .... Mr. Dow

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #2,648
  • May 18, 2017 8:55am May 18, 2017 8:55am
Quoting mattkirby
{quote} Hi Dennis, at which point you give up your buy hedges when it goes more to the downside?
Hi you can hold indefinitely the key is to build your portfolio which limits risk. your adding shorts and longs in areas that make sense - key levels that you have identified in your trade idea. But you have to determine what type of trade you want to be in. If your position trading , the pros are doing the same hedges at same levels. Example bounce on yen expected 110 47 Monthly PP See the chart. Last night we identified exactly what market will do today. And market has done exactly as expected
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  • #2,649
  • May 18, 2017 8:59am May 18, 2017 8:59am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Hi you can hold indefinitely the key is to build your portfolio which limits risk. your adding shorts and longs in areas that make sense - key levels that you have identified in your trade idea. But you have to determine what type of trade you want to be in. If your position trading , the pros are doing the same hedges at same levels. Example bounce on yen expected 110 47 Monthly PP See the chart. Last night we identified exactly what market will do today. And market has done exactly as expected {image}

i.e. position Traders short at 114 115 and plus 30 pips as covered in this thread. Cover profit monthly PP 110 47 hence my T1. Its very important to go back to the types of pro Traders. Thats what we do if we perform a function ....................Monthly PP is Confluence with Weekly mid point S2 /S3. Strong bounce of course Position Traders and swing doing the same thing at coonfluance of trade ideas
  • #2,650
  • May 18, 2017 9:13am May 18, 2017 9:13am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} i.e. position Traders short at 114 115 and plus 30 pips as covered in this thread. Cover profit monthly PP 110 47 hence my T1. Its very important to go back to the types of pro Traders. Thats what we do if we perform a function ....................Monthly PP is Confluence with Weekly mid point S2 /S3. Strong bounce of course Position Traders and swing doing the same thing at confluence of trade ideas
...................
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  • #2,651
  • May 18, 2017 10:56am May 18, 2017 10:56am
Hi Dennis,

Sorry that I could not respond to you sooner. Thanks for your detailed explanations. It would take me some time to study all that you have mentioned and understand the intricacies and understand what you have been explaining to me.

I thank you personally for all that you have done .

I would get back to you after studying the above and then seek your help and guidance for any further clarifications if any.

Warm Regards
  • #2,652
  • May 18, 2017 11:27am May 18, 2017 11:27am
Quoting DemandSupply
Hi Dennis, Sorry that I could not respond to you sooner. Thanks for your detailed explanations. It would take me some time to study all that you have mentioned and understand the intricacies and understand what you have been explaining to me. I thank you personally for all that you have done . I would get back to you after studying the above and then seek your help and guidance for any further clarifications if any. Warm Regards
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} i.e. position Traders short at 114 115 and plus 30 pips as covered in this thread. Cover profit monthly PP 110 47 hence my T1. Its very important to go back to the types of pro Traders. Thats what we do if we perform a function ....................Monthly PP is Confluence with Weekly mid point S2 /S3. Strong bounce of course Position Traders and swing doing the same thing at confluence of trade ideas

Fade the edges and what a trade (Definitely) you have to take these trades otherwise you cant make money 2 to 5 pip stops on the micro range ......>>>Trade the trade idea not the market
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  • #2,653
  • May 18, 2017 11:33am May 18, 2017 11:33am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Quoting Dennis1468 {quote} i.e. position Traders short at 114 115 and plus 30 pips as covered in this thread. Cover profit monthly PP 110 47 hence my T1. Its very important to go back to the types of pro Traders. Thats what we do if we perform a function ....................Monthly PP is Confluence with Weekly mid point S2 /S3. Strong bounce of course Position Traders and swing doing the same thing at confluence of trade ideas Fade the edges and what a trade (Definitely)...
fade the edge/until we get a flip/dont matter what side we go stop @ 5 pips/you got to take these trades micro ranges are value
  • #2,654
  • May 18, 2017 11:34am May 18, 2017 11:34am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} fade the edge/until we get a flip/dont matter what side we go stop @ 5 pips/you got to take these trades micro ranges are value

The pink line is yesterdays low!!!!!!!!!!!!!!its like a ADR . Value is everywhere
  • #2,655
  • May 18, 2017 11:40am May 18, 2017 11:40am
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Hi you can hold indefinitely the key is to build your portfolio which limits risk. your adding shorts and longs in areas that make sense - key levels that you have identified in your trade idea. But you have to determine what type of trade you want to be in. If your position trading , the pros are doing the same hedges at same levels. Example bounce on yen expected 110 47 Monthly PP See the chart. Last night we identified exactly what market will do today. And market has done exactly as expected {image}
Because we know what professional Swing Traders and position traders are doing so we plan our trade ideas by dealing a strong hand, most retail will be holding the wrong side and get shaken out , Your entry must be the retail stops/ As IB are buying them back. Because retail are not protecting risk outside value/there risk is inside value, which is backwards. Also the market is sewed against us all so our trade ideas turn it into our favor- lift the offer in the right place, make your entry there stops that way your in profit on entry 80 % of the time.
  • #2,656
  • May 18, 2017 12:40pm May 18, 2017 12:40pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} The pink line is yesterdays low!!!!!!!!!!!!!!its like a ADR . Value is everywhere
Can not be ignored/its why there on the chart
  • #2,657
  • May 19, 2017 3:24am May 19, 2017 3:24am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Hpt
EU M15 here is the trend .... Mr. Dow {image}
EU
c-cup M30 developing... 1.12 - 12.3xx ?

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from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #2,658
  • May 19, 2017 3:30am May 19, 2017 3:30am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
EJ H4

correl. bias up... my tp MN R4 W R78

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from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
  • #2,659
  • May 19, 2017 3:51am May 19, 2017 3:51am
Hi Dennis1468,

Thanks a lot for the detailed explanations. I appreciate you taking time out to help us understand the strategy that you use to catch the market moves at the value areas.

Still trying to understand each and every trade that you had indicated on the above charts. Thanks once again.

Regards


Thanks to HPT and TooSlow for their help too.
  • #2,660
  • May 19, 2017 7:17am May 19, 2017 7:17am
  •  Hpt
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: everybody trade at one`s own risk | 648 Posts
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} fade the edge/until we get a flip/dont matter what side we go stop @ 5 pips/you got to take these trades micro ranges are value
UJ M15
IB and D pivot... GMT..
so everybody can look what works best for his trade idea.
Here are the different sessions

Lo open 8.00 GMT

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Lo Close 17.00 GMT

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NY open 13.00 GMT

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NY close overnight 22:00 GMT

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Tokyo open 1.00 GMT

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trade your plan
from level to level - you need mental strength to reach the summit
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