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Black Swan - Are you prepared?

  • #121
  • May 1, 2017 3:53am May 1, 2017 3:53am
Quoting TGS
Speaking from experience, do Black Swans typically occur on (Wednesdays, Thursdays, Fridays) or, (Mondays, Tuesdays)?
black swans events are uncorelated with time of the week.
and most of black swans are in the direction of long term trend, so is not a bad thing for trend traders

if a trading system/set of rules, edges/tricks and money management are robust its less porbable that someone will go broke from a swan.
you realy want to test your system in abnormal times and market conditions, if the system pass abbnormal events then its robust.
Price itself it's an indicator
  • #122
  • May 1, 2017 7:22am May 1, 2017 7:22am
Quoting m3rlin
{quote} black swans events are uncorelated with time of the week. and most of black swans are in the direction of long term trend, so is not a bad thing for trend traders if a trading system/set of rules, edges/tricks and money management are robust its less porbable that someone will go broke from a swan. you realy want to test your system in abnormal times and market conditions, if the system pass abbnormal events then its robust.
Would you say White Swans tend to generally be in the direction of the long term trend also? By long term trend, which timeframe are you referring to?
  • #123
  • May 1, 2017 8:40am May 1, 2017 8:40am
Quoting TGS
{quote} Would you say White Swans tend to generally be in the direction of the long term trend also? By long term trend, which timeframe are you referring to?
i don't know wath an white swan is in financial markets
by long term trend i'm referring to daily charts or above daily
and even on daily charts most of the times for defining the trend i use a lenght of minimum 40 days
Price itself it's an indicator
  • #124
  • Last Post: May 1, 2017 11:16am May 1, 2017 11:16am
Quoting m3rlin
{quote} i don't know wath an white swan is in financial markets by long term trend i'm referring to daily charts or above daily and even on daily charts most of the times for defining the trend i use a lenght of minimum 40 days
From what I understand, a White Swan has the same price behavior as Black Swan but its cause is known by a news event whereas a Black Swan doesn't have a cause based on a known news event.
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