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Trading Institutional Order Flow

  • #3,481
  • Apr 27, 2017 11:18am Apr 27, 2017 11:18am
https://www.tradingview.com/x/69Nr2VgE/

USDCAD Monthly supply coming up.
Never Ever Give Up!
  • #3,482
  • Apr 27, 2017 12:42pm Apr 27, 2017 12:42pm
Hi fellow SAD traders,

Here are my thoughts on GBPNZD.

I found this very difficult as i have had to forget what i have previously learned regarding trends/analysis. But i need to maintain focus and continue to learn.

Please feel free to comment /advise/criticise.
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  • #3,483
  • Apr 27, 2017 1:38pm Apr 27, 2017 1:38pm
Quoting davidgrange
Hi fellow SAD traders, Here are my thoughts on GBPNZD. I found this very difficult as i have had to forget what i have previously learned regarding trends/analysis. But i need to maintain focus and continue to learn. Please feel free to comment /advise/criticise. {image}{image}{image}
Hello David,
My thoughts about your charts:
Monthly chart's MTL is invalid. You have to connect pivot points. Look at this Akt's video.
Weekly chart's MTL looks incorrect as well and there looks like a DZ near 1.8000 price level.
Daily chart's last DZ looks like CP for me, so MTL is drawn very aggressively. Last two DZs looks like an entries for me.
Best wishes,
  • #3,484
  • Apr 27, 2017 10:46pm Apr 27, 2017 10:46pm
Quoting Nojak
{quote} Hello David, My thoughts about your charts: Monthly chart's MTL is invalid. You have to connect pivot points. Look at this Akt's video. Weekly chart's MTL looks incorrect as well and there looks like a DZ near 1.8000 price level. Daily chart's last DZ looks like CP for me, so MTL is drawn very aggressively. Last two DZs looks like an entries for me. Best wishes,
Hi Nojak,

Thank you for taking the time to comment on my post

The MTL on the monthly chart - I have connected two Peaks which have not strictly become pivot points. Is this not an acceptable alternative?

Weekly MTL - It is far too aggressive and is not connecting any pivots. Thank you

Definately weekly DZ at that 1.8000 area

Daily MTL is again far too aggressive and not connecting any pivots.

You believe the last two DZ on the daily you would look for a retracement into these areas and evidence of a bounce?

Regards

David
  • #3,485
  • Apr 28, 2017 1:40am Apr 28, 2017 1:40am
Quoting davidgrange
Hi fellow SAD traders, Here are my thoughts on GBPNZD. I found this very difficult as i have had to forget what i have previously learned regarding trends/analysis. But i need to maintain focus and continue to learn. Please feel free to comment /advise/criticise. {image}{image}{image}

David , look into the drawing here , it explain what’s wrong in your momentum line, also refer to the AKT video link Nojak posted
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  • #3,486
  • Apr 28, 2017 1:50am Apr 28, 2017 1:50am
And the weakly this is how you draw Momentum Line (In red) , always use latest 2 Pivot.
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  • #3,487
  • Apr 28, 2017 2:03am Apr 28, 2017 2:03am
Quoting marwan71
{quote} David , look into the drawing here , it explain whats wrong in your momentum line, also refer to the AKT video link Nojak posted {image}
Hi Marwan71,

Thank you for you comments. I have watched the video and now understand where i have gone wrong.

That MTL now looks much better on the weekly

So what is the trend on the GBPNZD monthly chart?

Regards

David
  • #3,488
  • Apr 28, 2017 3:09am Apr 28, 2017 3:09am
Hello davidgrange, Akt and fellow traders,

I'm thinking the Monthly Trend for GBP/NZD is down. After the down momentum line is violated, still need another up candle to confirm the break. After the break, the trend remains sideways until Supply Zone is removed.

Thanks

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Quoting davidgrange
{quote} Hi Marwan71, Thank you for you comments. I have watched the video and now understand where i have gone wrong. That MTL now looks much better on the weekly So what is the trend on the GBPNZD monthly chart? Regards David
"The markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solv
  • #3,489
  • Apr 28, 2017 3:33am Apr 28, 2017 3:33am
Quoting shyean
Hello davidgrange, Akt and fellow traders, I'm thinking the Monthly Trend for GBP/NZD is down. After the down momentum line is violated, still need another up candle to confirm the break. After the break, the trend remains sideways until Supply Zone is removed. Thanks {image} {quote}
Agree.
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Supply & Demand trading
  • #3,490
  • Apr 28, 2017 3:45am Apr 28, 2017 3:45am
Hi Shyean,

Thank you for your chart.

That looks much better and we still need OHLC candle away from the MTL.

From a curve perspective price is very low, which would favour long opportunities.

On the weekly chart the trend is up. I see a MTL break and DZ being created/respected and a SZ being violated.

Do you agree?

regards

david
  • #3,491
  • Apr 28, 2017 4:04am Apr 28, 2017 4:04am
Well, I'll have to admit, I have just come to a great understanding, I have been trading now for about 10 years, messing around with different indicators and systems, but S.A.D seems to show the path to why price moves the way it does most of the time...

What a light bulb moment for me. I have actually finally found where I really need to concentrate. Wow, that was a very exceedingly long Journey.

Wish I had started this venture at early days.

I have walked that long road to freedom. I have tried not to falter; I have made missteps along the way. But I have discovered the secret that after climbing a great hill, one only finds that there are many more hills to climb. I have taken a moment.

"Nelson Mandela"
“A setback is a setup for a comeback.”
  • #3,492
  • Apr 28, 2017 4:05am Apr 28, 2017 4:05am
Quoting davidgrange
Hi Shyean, Thank you for your chart. That looks much better and we still need OHLC candle away from the MTL. From a curve perspective price is very low, which would favour long opportunities. On the weekly chart the trend is up. I see a MTL break and DZ being created/respected and a SZ being violated. Do you agree? regards david
I'm agree
W1 and D1 timeframe are up trend.
Good D1 DZ.
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Supply & Demand trading
  • #3,493
  • Apr 28, 2017 5:20am Apr 28, 2017 5:20am
Quoting davidgrange
{quote} Hi Marwan71, Thank you for you comments. I have watched the video and now understand where i have gone wrong. That MTL now looks much better on the weekly So what is the trend on the GBPNZD monthly chart? Regards David
Here we go :
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  • #3,494
  • Apr 28, 2017 2:28pm Apr 28, 2017 2:28pm
Dear Akt,

I am reading thread from beginning and found that there are SZ and DZ.... and selling areas and buying areas. I am at page 21 now and maybe later on will find definition for selling and buying areas, but for safety, while I have not forget about them... Could you please give definition for them, please?

Best wishes,
  • #3,495
  • Apr 28, 2017 9:13pm Apr 28, 2017 9:13pm
Quoting shyean
Hello davidgrange, Akt and fellow traders, I'm thinking the Monthly Trend for GBP/NZD is down. After the down momentum line is violated, still need another up candle to confirm the break. After the break, the trend remains sideways until Supply Zone is removed. Thanks {image} {quote}
Hello shyean

The trend is down
Prices are sitting in supply now. Do you see it?
A break of around 1.900 would conclude the second part of the turn.
The first part being we already have the ability to identify upward momentum

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #3,496
  • Apr 28, 2017 9:14pm Apr 28, 2017 9:14pm
Quoting marshy
Well, I'll have to admit, I have just come to a great understanding, I have been trading now for about 10 years, messing around with different indicators and systems, but S.A.D seems to show the path to why price moves the way it does most of the time... What a light bulb moment for me. I have actually finally found where I really need to concentrate. Wow, that was a very exceedingly long Journey. Wish I had started this venture at early days. I have walked that long road to freedom. I have tried not to falter; I have made missteps along the way....


So pleased our ramblings here have helped.
Makes it worth it

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #3,497
  • Apr 28, 2017 9:19pm Apr 28, 2017 9:19pm
Quoting Nojak
Dear Akt, I am reading thread from beginning and found that there are SZ and DZ.... and selling areas and buying areas. I am at page 21 now and maybe later on will find definition for selling and buying areas, but for safety, while I have not forget about them... Could you please give definition for them, please? Best wishes,
Hi Nojak

They mean the same thing in terms of what is going on in terms of market activity ie buying or selling
The difference is the quality

You see, it is a selling area for example, is lower quality than a SZ, because usually, it does not fully meet a part of the criteria for quality, for example, maybe the move away was not good enough.

The are often tradable with confirmation

What i don't suggest is ignoring them

Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #3,498
  • Apr 28, 2017 9:25pm Apr 28, 2017 9:25pm
Quoting davidgrange
{quote} Hi Marwan71, Thank you for you comments. I have watched the video and now understand where i have gone wrong. That MTL now looks much better on the weekly So what is the trend on the GBPNZD monthly chart? Regards David
Hello davidgrange
Welcome Welcome, to T.I.O.F
Good to have you join us

As you have found, the speculators here are glad to help you as you go along learning the process

Take your time learning. There are a few moving parts but keep going, it will happen.

Welcome again
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #3,499
  • Apr 29, 2017 12:21am Apr 29, 2017 12:21am
Quoting Akt
{quote} Hello davidgrange Welcome Welcome, to T.I.O.F Good to have you join us As you have found, the speculators here are glad to help you as you go along learning the process Take your time learning. There are a few moving parts but keep going, it will happen. Welcome again
Hi Akt,

Thank you for the welcome and thank you to those who have helped me so far.

I will continue to practise my "Top Down Analysis" and publish once im happy i have followed the methodology correctly.

Looking fwd to the webinar.

Regards

David
  • #3,500
  • Apr 29, 2017 3:27am Apr 29, 2017 3:27am
Hello Everyone

Last call for the webinar.
Invites will be sent out in 3-4 hrs
Do get in touch if you would like to attend

Best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
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