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The Paradox System

  • #9,041
  • Apr 21, 2017 10:20am Apr 21, 2017 10:20am
Quoting dove_alliance
OK Pablo let me go through your trading plan and help you in what you should be seeing. To start with confluence is from bar to bar; and as you create your trading plan you want to see the confluence being created (or already created) on one objective and not many. I'll place my notes under yours and we go from there. I'm still half way with the study I wanted to do before posting plans, but I want to share my trading plan anyway, I'm testing something new on it: Date - 20/4/2017 D1: (Purple balance: Down) ROMAR - Resistance EMA - Resistance (=H2...
Thanks a lot Dana, will be working on it, I want to be ready this Sunday.

Regards.
"Know thyself."
  • #9,042
  • Apr 21, 2017 10:36am Apr 21, 2017 10:36am
Quoting OliveBranch
{quote} Sure Dove. Too easy. I didn't think we were doing this as many of us haven't been. I'm sure we'll all change this practice now.
I have no idea where you got that notion from because everyone posting trading plans also post their entry showing on an H2 chart.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #9,043
  • Apr 21, 2017 11:22am Apr 21, 2017 11:22am
Quoting Hendo
Hello Traders, Last nights trade plan. I probably should have waited a little longer before entering, and I let this go through high impact news only because of my faith in the system. Session Sydney: EUR - JPY 4/20/2017 Daily: Open 63 pips from EMA. ROMAR: Resistance EMA: Resistance Parabolic: Support Notes: Purple crossed White and Smooth up. SAR attach to previous candle. Trend EMA arrow up. MACD zero cross arrow up. PSAR flipped for the up. FIBO up. H2 ROMAR: Resistance EMA: Resistance Parabolic: Resistance Notes: Purple crossed White, Smooth,...
Hello Chad (and other experts). I have a question regarding this trading plan.

On the 2H, you said that "SAR attach below previous PSAR". When I was watching the market, I saw that the SAR first attached on the parabolic, but then the SAR detached from the parabolic on the next candle, as you noted in your trading plan.

So my question is: Since the SAR detached from the PSAR, and moved to a lower candle, can that be an indicator/hint to you that the market is going to go down? Because then the next step would have been DB attaching with the SAR, to confirm the down move, which it did.

Is that an accurate interpretation?

God bless.
"Cast your burden upon the Lord and He will sustain you"
  • #9,044
  • Apr 21, 2017 11:31am Apr 21, 2017 11:31am
Quoting tullegate
{quote} Hello Chad (and other experts). I have a question regarding this trading plan. On the 2H, you said that "SAR attach below previous PSAR". When I was watching the market, I saw that the SAR first attached on the parabolic, but then the SAR detached from the parabolic on the next candle, as you noted in your trading plan. So my question is: Since the SAR detached from the PSAR, and moved to a lower candle, can that be an indicator/hint to you that the market is going to go down? Because then the next step would have been DB attaching with...
Post your H2 chart because what you are saying is not correct.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #9,045
  • Apr 21, 2017 11:57am Apr 21, 2017 11:57am
Quoting dove_alliance
{quote} Post your H2 chart because what you are saying is not correct.
Here's what I'm talking about. Sorry if I wasn't clear.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: april20a.png Size: 63 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: april20b.png Size: 84 KB
"Cast your burden upon the Lord and He will sustain you"
  • #9,046
  • Apr 21, 2017 12:06pm Apr 21, 2017 12:06pm
Quoting tullegate
{quote} Hello Chad (and other experts). I have a question regarding this trading plan. On the 2H, you said that "SAR attach below previous PSAR". When I was watching the market, I saw that the SAR first attached on the parabolic, but then the SAR detached from the parabolic on the next candle, as you noted in your trading plan. So my question is: Since the SAR detached from the PSAR, and moved to a lower candle, can that be an indicator/hint to you that the market is going to go down? Because then the next step would have been DB attaching with...
OK - let me try to put together what you are asking:

Taking a look at Chad's entry chart - take note of the DB/SAR Attachment - both on top of the '0' fibo. The SAR detached and reattached with the UPTREND Parabolic. This scenario is very important in regards to the trend and look closely:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Brad Screenshot.png Size: 503 KB


The SAR connection with the uptrend parabolic is opposite of the new swing down which means the SAR will continue with the new swing and the DB will connect with the SAR for the continuance of the swing.

I hope that helps.

And God bless.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #9,047
  • Apr 21, 2017 12:11pm Apr 21, 2017 12:11pm
Quoting tullegate
{quote} Here's what I'm talking about. Sorry if I wasn't clear. {image} {image}
If you also take note of Chad's entry and also my notes on Pablo's trading plan you would notice neither one of our entries WAS NOT until the H2 EMA crossing Purple to eliminate a slider.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #9,048
  • Apr 21, 2017 12:16pm Apr 21, 2017 12:16pm
Quoting dove_alliance
{quote} OK - let me try to put together what you are asking: Taking a look at Chad's entry chart - take note of the DB/SAR Attachment - both on top of the '0' fibo. The SAR detached and reattached with the UPTREND Parabolic. This scenario is very important in regards to the trend and look closely: {image} The SAR connection with the uptrend parabolic is opposite of the new swing down which means the SAR will continue with the new swing and the DB will connect with the SAR for the continuance of the swing. I hope that helps. And God bless.
Thank you for explaining this to me.

A similar thing happened on april 19 (I have the picture below that I took myself), where the SAR attached to the parabolic, and there was divergence, red fib, DB/SAR attached at the 0 fib level, but EUR/JPY didn't go down. I noticed that the SAR attached with the parabolic, for an entry back into the uptrend.

That's why I was wondering, because if the parabolic flipped and the SAR moved to a bottom of a candle, then I thought that is a hint that the market will go down. But that didn't happen, so the market went up, and followed the parabolic trend. In this scenario, you also see EMAx for the down and MACDx for the down, with white/purple crossing for the down. But it ended up being a slider.

Sorry if I am confusing anyone. I just thought little details like this hint the direction of the swing. I'm just trying to figure out what the market WILL do, and not what could happen.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: april19.png Size: 69 KB
"Cast your burden upon the Lord and He will sustain you"
  • #9,049
  • Apr 21, 2017 12:32pm Apr 21, 2017 12:32pm
Quoting tullegate
{quote} Thank you for explaining this to me. A similar thing happened on april 19 (I have the picture below that I took myself), where the SAR attached to the parabolic, and there was divergence, red fib, DB/SAR attached at the 0 fib level, but EUR/JPY didn't go down. I noticed that the SAR attached with the parabolic, for an entry back into the uptrend. That's why I was wondering, because if the parabolic flipped and the SAR moved to a bottom of a candle, then I thought that is a hint that the market will go down. But that didn't happen, so the...
tg
you're not confusing anyone mate just making it crystal clear because i think thats all it is, minute detail on each scenario.

cheers thats another in the bank.
Stop killing our Oceans, Stop using single use plastics.
  • #9,050
  • Apr 21, 2017 12:34pm Apr 21, 2017 12:34pm
Quoting tullegate
{quote} Thank you for explaining this to me. A similar thing happened on april 19 (I have the picture below that I took myself), where the SAR attached to the parabolic, and there was divergence, red fib, DB/SAR attached at the 0 fib level, but EUR/JPY didn't go down. I noticed that the SAR attached with the parabolic, for an entry back into the uptrend. That's why I was wondering, because if the parabolic flipped and the SAR moved to a bottom of a candle, then I thought that is a hint that the market will go down. But that didn't happen, so the...
EMA has everything to do with an entry - long or shot. In the screen shot above you are showing a different scenario which was a trend going up. The trade from yesterday was with the H2 in a swing for the imbalance. Bottom line you cannot trade one scenario as the same for another.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #9,051
  • Apr 21, 2017 1:15pm Apr 21, 2017 1:15pm
don't think ive saw this one before?
snipping tool time
Stop killing our Oceans, Stop using single use plastics.
  • #9,052
  • Apr 21, 2017 2:27pm Apr 21, 2017 2:27pm
SCENARIOS FOR SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ON THE H2 ONLY

Scenarios for ROMAR:

ROMAR below EMA and Purple gives ROMAR the power for an uptrend. ROMAR above EMA and Purple gives ROMAR the power for a downtrend. EMA is the sub-power working with ROMAR on both uptrend and downtrend.

ROMAR crossing Purple changes ROMAR in being both support and resistance until ROMAR crosses EMA in changing the trend; or sliding under EMA for a continuance of the original trend.

The market hitting ROMAR under Purple in an uptrend and closes below ROMAR. The Market will return back above ROMAR on the next bar and sliding under Purple

The market hitting ROMAR above Purple in a downtrend and closes above ROMAR. The Market will return back below ROMAR on the next bar and sliding above Purple.

ROMAR going through CENTER (in and out of Purple) you are in a ranging mode. The SAR will show the ranging levels.

Scenarios for EMA:

ROMAR crossing EMA changes the trend and remains in the ROMAR trend until the next crossing.

All sliders with EMA is associated with Purple and/or the Parabolic keeping the trend in-tacked.

EMA is also associated with the 4 Horsemen in regards to either a slider (and/or) a change of swings. Changing a swing is with EMA crossing Purple.

Until EMA crosses Purple; EMA remains in the original swing (do not anticipate).

Scenarios for the Parabolic:

The Parabolic is one of the best weapons with the Paradox as for recognizing support and resistance in swings. 90% of the Parabolic flip is with EMA crossing Purple in changing the swing. The other10% is in the ranging mode.

The Parabolic is a substance of being very heavy as for support and resistance. Any hit on the Parabolic is a hit back into the EMA trend; especially with sliders.

In trend the Parabolic can move the trend for 100 or more pips. Catching a Parabolic flip on the H2 is one of the best entries that can be made; or a hit on the Parabolic for an entry back into trend.

ROMAR Entries:
1. ROMAR crossing EMA.
2. A hit on ROMAR with a slider of EMA or Purple.

EMA Entries:
1. EMA crossing Purple.
2. A hit on the EMA trend.

Parabolic Entries:
1. Parabolic flip
2. Parabolic hit.

These scenarios are not for the 1 hour chart. They are used with the 2 hour and Daily charts only. Back test and see all these entries that are being missed. One right after another. Day after day.

Creating a trading plan is about seeing every opportunity for an entry. All you are looking for is a 40 pip entry even if the entry is off support or resistance of one or more from the descriptions above.

Everyone have a great and blessed weekend.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #9,053
  • Apr 21, 2017 8:06pm Apr 21, 2017 8:06pm
Quoting dove_alliance
{quote} Marian - Hendo is one of the 5% and comes on everyone once in awhile to post a trade as he busy with other things. So I will answer for him: take a close look at his entry in the moment and you will see why he took the trade. The Divergence he was talking about was on top at the "0" Fibo with the SAR detaching from the DB and attaching at the Parabolic. The question you should be asking is the rule for this scenario; and his notes on the H2 had answered that question.
Sorry if I'm not being too clever right now, my brain is quite toasted for today but can't go bed in peace without asking this one:

Hendo's entry long:
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...9&d=1488584162

My entry long (failed):
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...8&d=1492725809

Are these two pictures the same scenario? Because are traded opposite ways and the DB/SAR is the same in my understanding, the differences I see are:

1-Green divergence covered up by contour lines on my picture (not in Hendo's). Does it mean divergence isn't really there by the way? (This has been asked before not sure where, but didn't understand the answer honestly and my guess is divergence IS there, or they wouldn't be able to be backtested).

2-EMA/MACD arrows in different positions.

3-Different horsemen (Hendo's has a slider), but similar crosses with Purple.

4-Position of the SAR-PSAR attachment, but in the previous candle was about the same than Hendo's.

Are my guessings right about DB/SAR being the same and contour lines? Am I missing something like H1/D1 making the difference for these two or maybe being different scenarios? Help will be greatly appreciated, thanks in advance and regards.
"Know thyself."
  • #9,054
  • Apr 21, 2017 10:23pm Apr 21, 2017 10:23pm
Quoting miau1
{quote} Sorry if I'm not being too clever right now, my brain is quite toasted for today but can't go bed in peace without asking this one: Hendo's entry long: {image} My entry long (failed): {image} Are these two pictures the same scenario? Because are traded opposite ways and the DB/SAR is the same in my understanding, the differences I see are: 1-Green divergence covered up by contour lines on my picture (not in Hendo's). Does it mean divergence isn't really there by the way? (This has been asked before not sure where, but didn't understand the...
Pablo here is Chad's trading plan for the chart you posted. Take note of his Daily Notes as for the set up going north. And then His notes on the H2 in pulling the trigger going north.

Daily Open: At 38.2 FIBO way above EMA.
ROMAR: Resistance
EMA: Resistance
Parabolic: Support
Notes: Purple crossed White and Smooth up, open above EMA. SAR attach with price tag above ROMAR. Trend EMA arrow up. MACD zero cross arrow up. FIBO up.

H2
ROMAR: Support
EMA: Support
Parabolic: Support
Notes: Purple crossed White and Smooth down. DB up with SAR attach as well as GREEN and MAGENTA DIVERGENCE with magenta price tag at 0.0 FIBO.SAR attach just above PSAR.

Side Note: As Dana has mentioned before, when I make my plan by the time I get to final notes I know if I will be entering a Long or Short position. I never have the option for both. Im either going Long off support, or going Short off resistance. Based on what the indicators are saying to me after I read it back to myself. The only thing to think about after that is determining which level of support or resistance to keep it simple.

We went through your trading plan for the chart you posted. And my notes was showing the reason why you lost on that trade with the Daily SAR and the imbalance. As I have stated many times "BALANCE has priority over all else".

Two different scenarios.
The Dove - Forex Trainer
  • #9,055
  • Apr 23, 2017 6:15am Apr 23, 2017 6:15am
Quoting dove_alliance
{quote} I have no idea where you got that notion from because everyone posting trading plans also post their entry showing on an H2 chart.

Selective looking (twilight zone). Am on the same page as everyone now i think.

Thank you for your teaching this weekend & thanks to everyone for your plans & post PT Q's. This last days trading with everyone's inputs & evaluations etc has helped me tremendously. Feels like i have have learned more in the last 10-15 min than the last few months.

Best of trading this coming week to you all.
If you make up your own rules then the story is sad.....
  • #9,056
  • Edited 11:47am Apr 23, 2017 11:30am | Edited 11:47am
Quoting dove_alliance
{quote} Pablo here is Chad's trading plan for the chart you posted. Take note of his Daily Notes as for the set up going north. And then His notes on the H2 in pulling the trigger going north. Daily Open: At 38.2 FIBO way above EMA. ROMAR: Resistance EMA: Resistance Parabolic: Support Notes: Purple crossed White and Smooth up, open above EMA. SAR attach with price tag above ROMAR. Trend EMA arrow up. MACD zero cross arrow up. FIBO up. H2 ROMAR: Support EMA: Support Parabolic: Support Notes: Purple crossed White and Smooth down. DB up with SAR attach...
Hello again,

Sorry for going over this again, but I've been studying it a lot (with less toasted brain), and still see unbalance in Hendo's D1 entry (unfortunately I haven't a picture of it in the moment, so I created my own marking with paint where the indicators were, I think it is not wrong but just in case be aware it might be).

Hendo's entry with D1:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Hendo.png Size: 780 KB



My entry with D1:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Mine.png Size: 164 KB


I see similar unbalance in both situations with Purple & SAR. Honestly even would consider his D1 more risky for a long because of ROMAR resistance being really close, less than 25pips from daily open.

I know I'm closer to understand but I'm missing a part of the puzzle,

Thanks a lot for the patience and kind regards.

EDIT. Merged the pictures with the H2 chart for easiest reference. I know, my Paint skills are impressive.
"Know thyself."
  • #9,057
  • Apr 23, 2017 12:27pm Apr 23, 2017 12:27pm
Quoting miau1
{quote} Hello again, Sorry for going over this again, but I've been studying it a lot (with less toasted brain), and still see unbalance in Hendo's D1 entry (unfortunately I haven't a picture of it in the moment, so I created my own marking with paint where the indicators were, I think it is not wrong but just in case be aware it might be). Hendo's entry with D1: {image} My entry with D1: {image} I see similar unbalance in both situations with Purple & SAR. Honestly even would consider his D1 more risky for a long because of ROMAR resistance being...
Hello Pablo,

My main motivation for this plan, set up, and execution is pretty much laid out with my final notes. I always want to be sure with a trade on the H2 going through ROMAR to achieve +40.

When the new Daily candle opened it was above EMA with the PSAR fliped for the up. Purple crossing White and Smooth and opening above EMA is a great signal of it continuing for the up. However, this will not be confirmed until EMA crosses Purple, which it has not done yet. As stated in my plan the Daily had room for 63 pips down, to retrace down to EMA which I figured would be it's support.

When the H2 EMA did cross Purple, I pulled the trigger with a very high level of confidence, even while trading into high impact news.

In short, it was the big picture planning with regards primarily with the Daily, and H2 charts that will lead you to great success. However, you really need to know the rules of the Paradox, it will not let you down, or let you enter a bad trade!

Here is my final notes for this trade. Go back and take a look at the Daily as well as the H2 to see the set up.

FINAL NOTES: H1 down. H2 down. Daily down however, turning up. Market in consolidation. Daily open 63 pips from EMA. I expect Daily to retrace down to EMA allowing room for + 40 for H2 short after EMA crosses Purple with SAR flip for the down.

Hope this helps with a little more clarity!

Best Regards,

Chad
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 527 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 356 KB
  • #9,058
  • Apr 23, 2017 12:39pm Apr 23, 2017 12:39pm
Quoting Hendo
{quote} Hello Pablo, My main motivation for this plan, set up, and execution is pretty much laid out with my final notes. I always want to be sure with a trade on the H2 going through ROMAR to achieve +40. When the new Daily candle opened it was above EMA with the PSAR fliped for the up. Purple crossing White and Smooth and opening above EMA is a great signal of it continuing for the up. However, this will not be confirmed until EMA crosses Purple, which it has not done yet. As stated in my plan the Daily had room for 63 pips down, to retrace down...
Going to deeply study it, let's see if I can finally grasp it! Thanks a lot for your answer Chad really,

Regards.
"Know thyself."
  • #9,059
  • Apr 23, 2017 1:31pm Apr 23, 2017 1:31pm
Quoting miau1
{quote} Going to deeply study it, let's see if I can finally grasp it! Thanks a lot for your answer Chad really, Regards.
I understood the short, with the Daily open 63 pips away from EMA, and unbalanced favoring down.

What is really making me struggle is your March 3th entry for the long I posted with a similar D1 (away from EMA also, PSAR also flipped up), and in H2 even EMA crossed purple for the short before price shooting up and H2 PSARs also flipped for the short, and there was similar room until H2 ROMAR support in both operations (around 45 and around 50 pips).

I'm really quite confused between these two operations and why are different scenarios regarding to D1, can't tell why take this one short and the other long, as I understand both should have been short but March 3th would be lost if short.

Thank you again for the patience, I can't stop asking when I feel I'm close to understand,

Regards.
"Know thyself."
  • #9,060
  • Edited 1:51pm Apr 23, 2017 1:37pm | Edited 1:51pm
Quoting miau1
{quote} Going to deeply study it, let's see if I can finally grasp it! Thanks a lot for your answer Chad really, Regards.
It's my pleasure, and Try not to overthink it!

Another small detail, my +40 was well before H2 ROMAR support for added confidence in pulling the trigger, even though I felt it would go further down as it did.

Edit: Looking back at my plan H2 ROMAR should have been stated as support.
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