How to tell if the Bull/Bear trend is over, without an indicator

EURUSD 4HR



Market has created 3 Bulls leg up and finished 100%RT on the 3X Bear's leg.
As of right now we are transiting into a range market which is inside the 3rd leg making a range market.
This range market could either be a bullish or bearish momentum depending on several factor.

1. It will be a BULLISH momentum emerged if the market is able to 100%RT on the "2X" Bear's leg and have rest above it and claim it as a solid ground.
2. The BEARISH momentum will be emerge if the market is able to 100%RT on 3A, 3, 2 and 1 Bull's leg and claim its graves.

From the above picture we can see that 100% RT does change the market situation from a BEARS train into a range market which we will see whether it's a form of a Bear's Trend continuation or a BULLISH reversal

DAILY TF EURUSD



Market do 100%RT on 1,2,3 Bear's leg.
Each time it makes a break of 1,2,3 bear's leg, we have a bit of rest highlighted in red rectangle.
Once market do a complete 100% retracement on the 1,2,3, it had a 61.8 or 76.4% correction (circled in orange).
Once the correction complete it moves higher trying to have a rest/claim ground above the 1,2,3 bears leg.

Basically from the 100% RT on the 1,2,3 Bear's leg. We can see that the bear's momentum (prior 1,2,3 bears leg) has been calmed and we are in a range market.

DAILY TF EURUSD



The EURUSD Bias is still bullish because we have 2 Bullish legs which have broked the 3rd bear's leg posted in the previous post above.
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...86#post9769586
This is a bull trapped in a range market.
We shall see a bearish reversal if the Bear manages to 100%RT on the 2nd Bull's leg

Additional EURUSD D1 Analysis from scrolling further to the left



100% RT on the 3rd bear's leg, halting the Bear's leg and transiting into a range market which eventually could become either a bullish reversal or a bear trend continuation. Warning we see a bearish divergence on top of the 3rd bear's leg.

NZDUSD


Market made 100% RT on the 4th bear's leg.
Transitioning the market into a range.
When the market did 100% RT on the 4th bear's leg, market had rest solidly on top of the 4th Bear's leg support.
After it had rest, it advances higher.

The whole bullish movement is a bull's leg.
Now we are in a correction of a 1st Bull's leg before it advances higher 100% RT above the 3rd leg.
However the correction can become a Bearish reversal when it does 100% RT on the C Bull's leg



Anyhow I think we can say that a 100% RT on the last leg that we have a higher chances of a reversal

NICE and SIMPLE 100% RT on a lower time frame



Market 100% RT on the 3rd bear's leg.
Retraced few percent (not 100% RT) on the X Bull's leg. In other word market having a rest, looking for a solid ground to rest.
After it found one, had rest a bit for 4 to 5 bars and advances higher making a Y leg. The Y leg able to 100% retraced on the 2nd Bear's leg

100%RT on the 3rd Bear's leg made a reversal.
Now market is above the 1st Bear's leg and about to 100% RT on the Z Bull leg.
When it does 100% RT on the Z Bull leg, we may see a correction of X Y Z. above the 3rd Bear's leg

USDCAD 1HR 100% RT on Bear legs



If that new Bull leg got 100% retraced, the we will see bear market at play.

If the bull leg breaks through the 1st Bear's leg and have rest above it.
We shall see advancing higher or stronger USD

Nice complicated example of 100% RT Bullish reversal

Market made 100% RT on the 2nd Bear's leg.
It moves made X and Y bull legs.
Notice the retracement of the X/Y to the downside didn't consume X and Y.
I mean it made 88.6% retracement (not 100%) and then it goes higher than the Y and made Bull leg Z.
The Z bull's leg broke above the 1st Bear's leg

No 100% RT on the last Bear's leg = No Reversal or No Range market.

EURUSD H1



100% RT on 2 and 3 bear legs.
100% RT until the 1st bear leg = higher chances to become a buyer
100% RT on A and B leg = higher chances to be a seller

As seen in the screenshot above.
We had 1,2,3 correction.
Later it followed with 100% RT on the 2nd and 3rd bear's leg.
Notice the 100% RT (The first Bull's leg, the first ascending blue trend line) didn't have 100% RT on its self. Because if it does 100% RT on it self, we could see a bearish reversal. Instead it had a rest (highlighted in red box) above the 2nd and 3rd bear's lag and follow with a move higher above the 1st bears leg

We have a 100% RT on the 4th bears leg.
If the market 100% RT on the first Bull's leg, then we'll abort the buy and proceed with selling.
As of now, there's a high chance that the market may move higher to 100% RT until above the 3rd bear's leg.
When it does that, we will have a 50% retracement of 1,2,3,4 bear legs which turns to be a hidden bearish divergence.
I'd say I be neutral/stay aside on this market until we see a clearer picture of the market direction.

If you want to buy CADJPY, look for a hidden bullish divergence in a 1HR TF.
And look for it to stay in or above the rest area as seen in the screenshot below

USDCAD H1



Will it 100% RT on the it's recent mini bull's leg?
Or
will it move into the Rest area and made a second bull's leg higher?

Passionately waiting for an answer

Mini bull's leg

X Bull's leg has made 100% retracement on to 2 and 3 Bear's leg. It's on its retracement before going further up.

A 100% RT on the X Bull's leg = Bearish resume

GOLD USD H1 TF



A Bullish continuation is at work.

100% RT on 3rd and 2nd bear's legs is enough signal to buy GOLD.

Notice that during the correction of 1,2,3 bear's leg that the indicator is below level 50, oversold and there's a divergence at the bottom of the correction. That is enough information that when the market do 100% RT on the 2nd and 3rd bear's leg, a buy order is good.