Money Flow Trading Method along with Risk Management

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/si...rticle/2619252

Six questions raised by the report Susan Rice unmasked names of Trump advisers

By Todd Shepherd (@toddashepherd) • 4/4/17 12:01 AM


Todd Shepherd Investigative Reporter The Washington Examiner

The report that former President Barack Obama's national security adviser Susan Rice was involved in the "unmasking" of Trump transition and campaign officials caught up in surveillance gives new credence to the possibility that Obama administration officials were involved in some kind of surveillance of Trump's advisers and, possibly, then-candidate and President-elect Trump himself.

A Bloomberg report raises a host of new questions and points the investigation in a number of new potential directions.

1. Who were the unmasked members of the Trump team, and to whom were they talking?

To this point, only ex-Trump national security adviser Mike Flynn's conversation with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak has been identified. Additionally, when House Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes announced that he had seen intelligence materials related to the unmasking of Trump associates, he said the materials were not related to Russia, but it's unclear if that means the conversations completely excluded agents of the Russian government.

2. Could any of this have been coordinated with the Clinton campaign?
The Clinton campaign would have had a strong interest in knowing whether Trump officials were speaking with the Russians. The Blomberg story says that some of the intelligence collected included "occasions" that "connect to" the campaign.

3. Will Rice be called to testify?

Given the seriousness of the report, it's hard to imagine a scenario in which she wouldn't. However, the Senate Intelligence Committee seems focused on Russian meddling in a larger sense, and the House committee has become stuck in politics, so the possibility that she might not testify to either committee can't be totally dismissed.

4. Who else was involved other than Rice?

Did Rice perform these actions on her own? Were other officials at least aware of them? Was Obama himself aware of what she was doing?

5. Why did Rice want these names unmasked?

For what purpose did she need to know the identities of Americans swept up in surveillance of foreigners?

6. Were the Americans the actual targets?
If Rice was so interested in unmasking the names of the Trump officials "caught up" in the surveillance, could it be that the Trump aides were, in fact, the targets of the surveillance, and were not simply surveilled "incidentally."

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-0...ops+to+zero%29

"We Have A Serious Problem": For Jamie Dimon, This Is The Most Troubling Chart About The US Economy
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
by Tyler Durden
Apr 4, 2017 10:31 PM


As discussed earlier, Jamie Dimon's annual letter this year was a departure from his usual optimistic sermons about the state of nation, dedicating an entire section in the 45 page letter to describe that "something is wrong" with the US. And of all the items mentions, the following aspect of the US economy is what was most troubling to the JPM CEO. Not surprisingly, it deals with two of the biggest threats facing the US currently: demographics and labor, and shows the at least in one key economic metric, the US is now the worst among the entire universe of developed countries.


This is what Dimon said:
Labor force participation in the United States has gone from 66% to 63% between 2008 and today. Some of the reasons for this decline are understandable and aren’t too worrisome – for example, an aging population. But if you examine the data more closely and focus just on labor force participation for one key segment; i.e., men ages 25-54, you’ll see that we have a serious problem. The chart below shows that in America, the participation rate for that cohort has gone from 96% in 1968 to a little over 88% today. This is way below labor force participation in almost every other developed nation.

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau...on%20LFP_0.jpg

If the work participation rate for this group went back to just 93% – the current average for the other developed nations – approximately 10 million more people would be working in the United States. Some other highly disturbing facts include: Fifty-seven percent of these non-working males are on disability, and fully 71% of today’s youth (ages 17–24) are ineligible for the military due to a lack of proper education (basic reading or writing skills) or health issues (often obesity or diabetes).


Incidentally, Dimon's key concern was initially flagged here back in 2013 and most recently, last summer. For the remainder of the US economic problems listed by Dimon, please refer to the original article.

I am off to bed however first I post a cute picture that I just saw on the EUR/USD thread.....

https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...0&d=1491358599


Benjaminis

LOL

Good morning,
excuse my silence, I am reading through the last three pages to catchup......at least the parts pertaining to Benjaminis method...

Hi Benjamin & Everyone else.

I had 2 orders that has hit my Stop Loss of $1000 this morning.
If I follow our trade plan, I must have the discipline to take the loss.
This is the cost of doing business

I still have 4 open orders. With all of the news events today, I feel like closing all of my positions with a total loss of 8%?

Or do I have the discipline to follow the trade plan, because I know from the start when placing those orders that there was a possibility to be stopped out, because we do not know what will happen, when placing the orders we had a good probability for the trades to become profitable, but we need to accept our risk before placing the trades?

Some of the trades was in good profit, maybe next time I should follow the plan to move my Stop Loss to $250 profit?

Benjamin, with having Risk on currently, when do you decide to take off the losing positions or keep it on and let the market stop you out at $1000 per trade or hit your target?

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-0...ops+to+zero%29

Is Europe Choosing To Disappear?
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
by Tyler Durden
Apr 5, 2017 5:00 AM



Authored by Giulio Meotti via The Gatestone Institute,

1. A sterile Europe apparently thought that civil liberties could be bargained away in exchange for a temporary peace. Everything became negotiable.
2. As British author Douglas Murray has asked, why were workers not brought in from European countries suffering high unemployment, such as Portugal, Italy, Greece or Spain?
3. A clear-eyed U.S. Congressman, Rep. Steve King, correctly said recently that, "You cannot rebuild your civilization with somebody else's babies." He instantly drew that white-hot fire reserved for people who tell truths that threaten treasured fantasies (think Giordano Bruno or Galileo).

The new data released by Italy's National Institute for Statistics for 2016 sounds again like a death knell. There has been a new negative record of births: 474,000 compared to 486,000 for 2015, which had already fallen to historic lows. There were 608,000 deaths in 2016. In one year, Italy lost 134,000 people -- the equivalent of a city of the size of Ferrara or Salerno.


The demographic "illusion" is kept only by the influx of immigration (135,000). If one needs an idea of what Italy would be without immigrants, look at Emilia-Romagna, one of Italy's most populated and affluent regions: in 2035 it will have 20% fewer residents.

Italy is sometimes thought of Europe's guinea pig: wherever Italy goes, much of Europe follows it, especially in the central and southern countries. In 1995, Antonio Golini, a professor at La Sapienza University and a former president of the National Institute of Statistics, was contacted by the director-general of Plasmon, Italy's largest producer of baby food. Looking at the declining birth rates, the firm asked him if something could be done to prevent the company from going out of business. Plasmon started to make dietary products for adults.

A year ago, European geographers went in search of "the most desolate place in Europe". They discovered it not in northern and cold Lapland, but in sunny Spain, specifically in the area of Molina de Aragon, two hours from Madrid. Depopulation has not been the consequence of the climate, as in the Russian steppe or northern forests, but of a demographic crisis.


A report by the National Statistical Institute of Spain explained how the Iberian peninsula has become the sick man of Europe: Spain loses 72 inhabitants every day; 20% fewer children are born there than two decades ago. Demographers draw a line where Spain has no future and 30% of the population will be over the age of 65. In some Spanish regions, the fertility rate barely reaches one child per woman. Deaths already exceed births. Even the newspaper El Pais asked, "Are the Spanish people in danger of extinction?". The Spanish government just appointed a "sex czar" to try to figure out how to sustain the shrinking population.


Spain, in 2050, will be a depopulated nation dominated by older people and singles. The country will lose 5.3 million inhabitants: 11% of the current population. By that time, there will be 1.7 million Spanish children fewer than there are today. No children means that, in the long run, there will be no economic growth or prosperity; democracy will become a gerontocracy and Spain will embrace global irrelevance. Alejandro Macarrón Larumbe, director of the Foundation for Demographic Revival, has provided figures on the number of Spanish provinces that have already seen a loss of population.


The Islamic world has launched a demographic challenge to a sterile Europe. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan recently exhorted Muslims in Europe to have five children, "because you are the future of Europe". It echoes what the President of Algeria, Houari Boumedienne, said in 1974: "The wombs of our women will give us victory". They dream of conquering Europe through demography instead of terror -- and it seems they are succeeding.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/pics/2414.jpg
While Italian and Spanish statistics were released, another headline should have captured our attention: "Islam will surpass Christianity" -- to become the world's largest religion in 2070. There is a link not only between Europe's empty cradles and Islam's expansion, but also between Europe's demographic suicide and its passivity facing its many troubles during the last two years: mass immigration, terrorism, intimidation.


No modern, affluent society ever stopped having children before. The influx of Muslim immigrants is a symptom, not a cause of Europe's decline. Members of a healthy continent, who embrace the future in its most elementary form (raising a new generation), would have never have allowed foreign immigrants carving out separate spheres of sharia law in Europe's multicultural enclaves.


As the British author Douglas Murray, has asked, why were workers not brought in from European countries suffering high unemployment, such as Portugal, Italy, Greece or Spain? A sterile Europe apparently thought that civil liberties could be bargained away in exchange for a temporary peace. Everything became negotiable, because everything seemed perishable. An entire continent is filled with aging occupants indulging in childlike illusions of "internationalism", and claiming that all conflicts can be resolved peacefully, non-lethally and diplomatically. Europe's culture is essentially pacifist. It demonizes war, and seeks pleasure and comfort above all else.

Europe's demographic suicide also has serious consequences for the security of a society. During the transition to an elderly-majority state, democracy will be endangered. Welfare redistribution depends on younger workers providing payroll taxes to fund social security. What happens when an elderly majority can vote for itself more and more, at the expense of the dwindling young? National defense will be endangered. Today Europe already refuses to invest in the NATO alliance. Old people's entitlements will take precedence over defense spending. States that will not spend money on defense will be vulnerable to those that do.

A clear-eyed U.S. Congressman, Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa), correctly said recently that, "You cannot rebuild your civilization with somebody else's babies." He instantly drew that white-hot fire reserved for people who tell truths that threaten treasured fantasies (think Giordano Bruno or Galileo).
Decline is a choice, not a destiny. There is still time, but not much, for Europeans to choose not to disappear.

Good Day KeepCalmfx

You raise very intelligent questions. Please go into my FXCM UK Demo Account and have a look at my first three Forex trades. They were all losses of $1000 US Dollars. Then I had 13 wins in a row before 2 losses of $1275 US Dollars. The point that I am making first of all is that the losses are healthy however at times like this the losses confirm one thing and that since the trading conditions have been very difficult for everyone as you can see if you had been trying to trade EUR/USD over the last 30 days or so.

Is that we are at an extreme time in all the markets because of all of the confusion and cross purposes of different interests.

I am going to end my post now because I would like you to review all my completed Forex trades then share your comments and then I will continue with my reply to you having first your feedback.

Thanks


Benjaminis

Good Day again KeepCalmfx and all others that come by here to try to improve your Forex trading.

KeepCalmfx today is an important day for me as I am going to invest time here this morning for me to make some Forex realities very clear especially to you so before I see your reply in part here is a post that I just read on the EUR/USD thread that I share here because it adds to what I want to say this morning to you and all our friends that come here.

 

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4. Apr 5, 1:54am (4 hr ago)

1. https://cdn-assets.forexfactory.net/...ar570062_5.gif RazorFish
2. | New Member | Status: Member | 91 Posts | Online Now

Quoting MarianneOslo
There are some strange mechanicmens in forex. At 1.085 -1.09 area so many in this thread were bullish. Now at 1.0650 I feel everyone is bearish. 1.0650 is much cheaper than 1.09 and the odds of earning Money at this stage is much better by beeing long at this area. Buy low and sell high. The euro is very low and will be higher in the future(if we look away from an EU collapse) In some way it is better for many to loos all the pips up instead of risking some pips Down. It can still og lower but probably not so much lower before we are at the bottom...

When everyone is making money by shorting , then it becomes like a habit and difficult to snap out of it , long becomes an odd feeling, it's like a video game where you want to catch the next familiar ride and get a rush in your blood .. I've been there , that's when you don't have a credible and reliable tool and methods to guide you

Comments from Benjaminis: I will make this very very STRONG Statement now as relates to what our GOALS are here. You are almost guaranteed FAILURE if you are trading by the charts. Sure some have found a method to make money trading Up and Down the charts however WE are in NEW uncharted waters in Forex trading in this unique and very difficult world situation.

Now I move forward to a gentleman who is very stable in his thoughts and has healthy ego and knows how to control his emotions and his words come to my MAIN POINT this morning.

 

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1. https://cdn-assets.forexfactory.net/...ar438605_3.gif Connors
2. Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 1,211 Posts | Invisible

Quoting digger1
{quote} go get dons stop
Unlike some traders, I get happy when I am stopped out man. There is usually a good reason for my stop levels not like Don. The bastard puts the stops so tight, it ticks me off. But in the end that's his edge and he sticks to it.

SO ..... Trading Forex with LEVERAGE of 100 to 1 is about EDGE.

I am adding to this post by going back to what Connors posted at 2:22 AM this morning,

 

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4. Apr 5, 2:22am (4 hr ago)

1. https://cdn-assets.forexfactory.net/...ar438605_3.gif Connors
2. Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 1,211 Posts | Invisible

Quoting jusstin911
{quote} You don't seem worried by that 1.067 RES huh? ATM, I am SHORT

I think everyone is excited about the levels it is trading at and both bulls & bears have valid reasons to have their bias based on.

It is FOMC day, so I am keeping my bias out of the door.

I think 1.06 test needs to happen today or this week and depending on the strength of the support below it, it may please bulls which target 1.09 and above or greedy bears which target 1.04xxs.

Where do you plan to cash out your shorts mate? 1.06 I assume.

Comments from Benjaminis: We now turn to BIAS. BIAS can be very dangerous however if you have a BIAS as we do on this thread then at least our BIAS is based on facts that we are aware of and WE have CORRELATION and Risk Management along with the fact that we have good profits on out Forex trades and we are not scalping which in itself is not the way to trade if you really want to succeed.

 

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4. Apr 5, 2:25am (

I will continue on after I read the comments of KeepCalmfx

Since I am waiting for KeepCalmfx to add thoughts to mine I will continue on with my thoughts by adding another post here from the EUR/USD thread that continues on with my STRONG comments of this morning while I await the ADP number at 8:15 AM Eastern Standard Time.

 

1. Post 1,101,709
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4. Apr 5, 3:26am (3 hr ago)

1. https://cdn-assets.forexfactory.net/...ar438605_3.gif Connors
2. Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 1,211 Posts | Invisible

Quoting RazorFish
{image}What do you think , on daily is that a bearish or bullish chart ? Fib 38.2 was tested for 4 days and got rejected , yesterday closed as a bullish pin bar closing on the high ...

You are right Razor it is bullish however all it takes is one red 30M candle and you will be looking at targets below 1.0600.

It is FOMC mate.

Anyway, will be seeking shorts beginning from 1.07xxs and will try to get out before FOMC.

Good luck, your approach and your charts are pretty good. Welcome to the nutter house.

Comments from Benjaminis: I would NOT have invested 14 years of my life in this NUTTER business if I had not earned substantial amounts of money over the last 11 years once I did my FIRST EVER Real Funds Forex Trade on March 9, 2006. There is NO WAY that I am WRONG in what I say.

I have at times doubled Forex accounts that I traded in 60 days. I have results FEW can achieve. Please TRUST me when I tell you that my last comments were not bragging. It is about CONVICTION and that is why I am so passionate in what I do. I made a MAJOR CHANGE in my Forex business when on February 14, 2012 I decided to change my business model to include teaching Forex. That was over 5 years ago and again rather than rush into it I took the first three years to confirm that my business model would work before doing it with time invested and money. When I registered to post here on Forex Factory during December 2014 that is when my plan was ready to be put into action. There were some business and personal issues that entered my life in the last two years and for awhile I was not trading and focusing on other matters.

I decided on December 3, 2016 to start this thread and here is where I am today on April 5, 2017.



Benjaminis

1. Post 1,101,750
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4. Apr 5, 7:44am (16 min ago)

1. sakisf
2. Joined Sep 2013 | Status: puppy | 2,319 Posts | Invisible

Quoting Plainview
What the hell happened? {image}
hmm I bought some, didn't expect to shake the market so much


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...1&d=1491392675

 

1. ECB's Weidmann says time to ease up on Bond Purchases is nearing
   From @fxmacro
   
   BREAKING

Added @ 7:45am

1. Weidmann would welcome if bond purchases have stopped in 1 year
   From @fxmacro
   
   BREAKING

Hi Benjamin, thank you for your reply and post.

I have printed out the report and my observations is as follow:

From the 23rd of Feb you took 48 trades, which is closed. Not counting the currently open trades.
So far 6 losers, 1 break even and 41 win.

The duration of trades vary between some few minutes to few hours to few days. There was 2 trades that was longer, which was a few weeks, which had to have a drawdown of more than $ 1000 at a stage.

Average loss taken $ 1 008
Average win taken $ 525

Edit - This was calculated more or less and is indeed impressive.
I took all of my positions off before the news at a loss of 11.4%

KeepCalmfx

Thank you for your reply. I am going to leave open my 6 positions as is and I will explain why. We have had many things happen in the last 24 hours. I could have taken my profits as could of yourself. So we can have another element added to our Forex trading STRATEGY only when we trade in times as we have now. Let us develop a CODE. The CODE is 1 to 10.

Now we are definitely at CODE 10 so at CODE 10 we try to stay in CASH however since we are at CODE 10 instead of say CODE 5 when we took our Forex trades then I suggest that we always LOCK in our profits at $250 US Dollars minimum and we can lower our RISK to REWARD ratio to 1 to 1.

What are your thoughts on this ? The ADP number was very HIGH and we have MAJOR EVENTS between now and Friday at 5 PM Eastern Standard Time.


Benjaminis

Here are the charts

Hi Benjamin, I like the code idea to lock in profit of minimum $250.

With the US30 and SPX500, what if we had a 50 units, instead of a 100 units.
Because of the volatility of these 2 pairs. I know you can make a lot of money because it can move fast in hours, but if you keep to your $1000 stop loss, you can just as easily been stopped out. Just an suggestion.

KeepCalmfx

I like your suggestion and now you will see how I made the 673 Forex REAL FUNDS trades in a ROW for Cyber Planet.

I do not recommend it for anyone however I can do it and since I am in substantial profits I will put on 2 more Positions on US 30 and 2 Positions of SPX500. That still does NOT VIOLATE the Important Rule of 20% of CAPITAL in the markets.

I started by only putting on One Position of each. This should be FUN !!!

You can take a SCREENSHOT of my 8 Open Positions so WE CAN ALL WATCH (SMILE)

My USED MARGIN is $9800 US Dollars and my DRAW DOWN is $7158 US Dollars.... IN NO DANGER OF A MARGIN CALL !!!

Thanks


Benjaminis

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-0...ops+to+zero%29

Trump Effect: ADP Employment Surges To Highest Since 2014 As Manufacturing Hiring Spree Continues
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
by Tyler Durden
Apr 5, 2017 8:29 AM



After last month's private payrolls scorcher, when ADP reported that a whopping 298K jobs were added, the biggest increase in 6 years on a record surge in good producing jobs, this morning ago the momentum continued when ADP reported that in March the US generated 263,000 jobs, smashing expectations of a 185,000 gain, and after a downward revision to the February number from 298K to 245K, this was the highest print since December 2014.
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau...0405_ADP_0.jpg


Goods producers added 82,000 while construction jobs swelled by 49,000 and manufacturing added 30,000.
Broken down by firm size:

1. Small firms (1-49) added 118k jobs in March
2. Medium firms (50-499) added 100k jobs in March
3. Firms with over 500 employees added 45k jobs

The details:


http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau...%20table_0.jpg
“The U.S. labor market finished the first quarter on a strong note,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. “Consumer dependent industries including healthcare, leisure and hospitality, and trade had strong growth during the month.”


Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics said, “Job growth is off to a strong start in 2017. The gains are broad based but most notable in the goods producing side of the economy including construction, manufacturing and mining.


Judging by the market's reaction the reflation trade may be making a comeback, with the dollar rising ahead of Friday's payrolls release which according to ADP may be another blockbuster report.


Some more visual details:
Change in Nonfarm Private Employment
https://www.adpemploymentreport.com/...March-2017.gif
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment
https://www.adpemploymentreport.com/...March-2017.gif
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment by Company Size
https://www.adpemploymentreport.com/...March-2017.gif
Finally, the infamous ADP infographic:
http://www.adpemploymentreport.com/2...-March2017.gif

KeepCalmfx

That is it for me today as to my Forex Positions. I now have 10 open positions and you are welcome to do a SCREENSHOT of them. I have more to say and I will in a few hours as I now need to go out for awhile.

Here is where FOREX TRADERS can get into a TRAP if they do not have a good overview of everything as WE do. No Matter the NFP number on Friday at 8:30 AM Eastern Standard Time the US Dollar MUST GO DOWN for President Trump to follow through with his agenda. If Interest Rates continue to go up it will destroy the US Bonds and that will collapse the financial system. I want the DUST to settle so I can review consensus and come up with my own thoughts.

Now you can see why Trading through a $50,000 US Funds Demo Account allows you to learn and trade without fear or greed and still deal with your EGO in a healthy way.


Benjaminis

Here is the updated screenshot.

Hi Benjaminis

I have a question with the direction of the EUR/USD & the GBP/USD in times of risk off & risk on. Do we look at the USD index for direction? I have read somewhere that the EUR to be classified as both a funding currency and as a safe haven and the GBP as a risk on currency.

The EUR/USD trades on it's own merit. It has different issues and the only real CORRELATION TIE that it has to US Dollar Index is that it makes up 57.6% of the US Dollar Index. Notice today the RANGE of EUR/USD as the markets went through their Bi Polar Manic stages which are really the Forex traders Retail and Commercial and ROBOTS programmed by Humans trading the Forex markets.

 

1. Post 1,101,812
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4. Apr 5, 10:15am (6 hr ago)

1. https://cdn-assets.forexfactory.net/...ar311177_4.gif Samer1970
2. Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 2,474 Posts

still not moved a single pips after the news while many other pairs are rocketing like ej

the eu still in the range and as expected no real reaction
Attached Image
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...1&d=1491401716
Good luck



So when we had the MANIC ADP number of 273,000, the Markets were in their MANIC stage. Then when the FOMC minutes come out at 2:00 PM EASTERN STANDARD TIME we went to the DEPRESSIVE STAGE. We also call that the REALITY STAGE (COLD HARD FACTS)

As you can see, Thanks to my friend and associate, KeepCalmfx who posted my SCREEENSHOT this morning, when I TOLD everyone to "NOT DO WHAT I WAS ABOUT TO" do and now I only have 2 open Positions of US 30 so not only did I, talk the walk I walked the talk.

My EGO just wrote that because I am HYPER now (JOKE)


My EQUITY BALANCE IS NOW OVER $68,000 US Dollars with TWO open Positions of US 30. I just closed one of my two open positions of US 30 for my FIRST LOSS of the day of $245 US Dollars and I now have one open position of US 30 and at this second my Equity is $68,320.75 US Dollars.

Hello KeepCalmfx

I see that you are online. I just closed my last open position for another loss of $165 US Dollars so now all in cash. My CASH balance is $68,525.75 US Dollars.


Whenever you have time please do a SCREENSHOT FOR ME !!! Thanks very much...

Benjaminis