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The Swamp

  • #11,381
  • Mar 24, 2017 11:13am Mar 24, 2017 11:13am
..
Finally, it's coming...
  • #11,382
  • Mar 24, 2017 11:22am Mar 24, 2017 11:22am
Quoting edyraper
.. Finally, it's coming...
what :0
  • #11,383
  • Mar 24, 2017 11:25am Mar 24, 2017 11:25am
Quoting Don96
{quote} what :0
Been waiting for a kick to bid some dollar, I'll post if I can get in any.
For now shorted #usdcad 3380 hard SL-30. Will book some if it gives any room to without s/o.

Same goes with Yen. (shorting yen for retrace.)
  • #11,384
  • Mar 24, 2017 12:09pm Mar 24, 2017 12:09pm
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Been waiting for a kick to bid some dollar, I'll post if I can get in any. For now shorted #usdcad 3380 hard SL-30. Will book some if it gives any room to without s/o. Same goes with Yen. (shorting yen for retrace.)
Had a nice SHORT today, Closed Early, 9 RED daily Candles
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #11,385
  • Mar 24, 2017 1:36pm Mar 24, 2017 1:36pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Had a nice SHORT today, Closed Early, 9 RED daily Candles {image} {image}
I'm still holding some of the one from 115.37, that's why I'm not interested too much into shorting without good RR.
Quoting edyraper
{quote} I'm early, 37 here...
  • #11,386
  • Mar 26, 2017 6:01pm Mar 26, 2017 6:01pm
Quoting edyraper
{quote} For now shorted #usdcad 3380 hard SL-30. Will book some if it gives any room to without s/o.)
Booked some
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  • #11,387
  • Edited Mar 27, 2017 4:44pm Mar 26, 2017 6:35pm | Edited Mar 27, 2017 4:44pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Had a nice SHORT today, Closed Early, 9 RED daily Candles {image} {image}
Pending BUY
Cancelled
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #11,388
  • Edited Mar 27, 2017 4:44pm Mar 26, 2017 7:33pm | Edited Mar 27, 2017 4:44pm
Lets see, Target PP
S/O
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #11,389
  • Mar 26, 2017 7:48pm Mar 26, 2017 7:48pm
eu finally broke r on a gap up open.
still expect 1087 pull... meanwhile it took a lot of steam to break 0829.. i am still holding on to L.. after 1087 i will be more nuetral because the break at 0829.. has its norm retrace at 1.058x .. 1087is a norm retrace for a new -1.03xx LL. and that break at 1.0829 could trigger 1.3xx.. so i will hold for more up, then i may short after 1087, toward .058x.. 1.1087 is probaly a minamal. since 1.2470 and 1.17xx was missed.. if may be safer for me to short near 1.13xx.. playing it by ear after 1087 with some tp and possible short.. before a fresh .058x/.03xx long.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #11,390
  • Mar 27, 2017 1:58am Mar 27, 2017 1:58am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Am short sp and 225. Missed dax.
Quoting edyraper
In short Dax. ..
Nice move on Dax and the others :
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Quoting edyraper
In 5908, SL 5870. #gbpaud
Nice rally, +570pips... and running
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Quoting edyraper
{quote} I'm still holding some of the one from 115.37 {quote}
Nice drop #usdjpy
+500pips and running..
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Quoting edyraper
Pending long 2128, sl-30. will try to be if not s/o.
+400ish pips and running
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Quoting edyraper
shorted ej 122.12 sl-13..
+240pips and running...
It's getting into support zone, will watch to long #eurjpy
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Quoting edyraper
Long 0610 SL0595. .
+260pips and running... #eurusd
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  • #11,391
  • Mar 27, 2017 3:17am Mar 27, 2017 3:17am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} +260pips and running... #eurusd {image}
So that gives a total profit of approx 400000usd ☺.
Nice set ups. I cant hold my positions for more than 100 pips. What do you see fir usdyen. Coming up anytime soon, in your opinion??
  • #11,392
  • Mar 27, 2017 3:23am Mar 27, 2017 3:23am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} {quote} Nice move on Dax and the others : {image} {quote} Nice rally, +570pips... and running {image} {quote} Nice drop #usdjpy +500pips and running.. {image} {quote} +400ish pips and running {image} {quote} +240pips and running... It's getting into support zone, will watch to long #eurjpy {image}
Smashing it as per but this time is top notch
  • #11,393
  • Mar 27, 2017 3:44am Mar 27, 2017 3:44am
..
been couple of more trades which worked well... like :
Quoting edyraper
Long au 7511 sl 7488 looking for few+be asap
Quoting edyraper
... Shorted uj intraday for few 113.31. hard SL-35. {quote} booked some {image} .. Buyer eu intraday 0730/15. stops ticks below 0700. .. {quote} bought gu 2363 intraday.
Quoting edyraper
Short #gbpjpy 140.19,sl.41
Quoting edyraper
{quote} shorted #usdcad 3380 hard SL-30. )
...
Some stop outs also :
Quoting edyraper
Shorted #eurjpy 121.27 sl-30
-30
Quoting edyraper
shorted uj 114.96, sl 115.01
-5
Quoting edyraper
long gu hourly support 2145, sl LL(-14). .. Nice and enough Friday bounces
This gave room to book some
Quoting edyraper
. shorted gold 1232.8 SL:-30 shorted 2357,.
This gave room to book some
Quoting edyraper
shorted au 7711, SL7720(few ticks above HH). shooting for dt.
-9
Quoting edyraper
Pending s 0797-spread, sl 0805 to see if 0800 holds or not. Eu.
-7
Quoting edyraper
Short #usdcad 3317, hard SL-30. e:s/o ..
-30
Quoting edyraper
Yes, finally I'm in 110.96 #usdjpy
-25
....
These are been posted in March. With an approximate calculation :
+2490ish pips (11 entries) - 106ish pips (8 entries) = +2384ish pips been posted in March in The Swamp.
  • #11,394
  • Mar 27, 2017 3:46am Mar 27, 2017 3:46am
Quoting Don96
{quote} Smashing it as per but this time is top notch


Quoting NMZee
What do you see fir usdyen. Coming up anytime soon, in your opinion??
Still waiting, I'll try to get in long as close as to 110.00 to see if it hold's or not.
  • #11,395
  • Mar 27, 2017 4:49am Mar 27, 2017 4:49am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} {quote} Still waiting, I'll try to get in long as close as to 110.00 to see if it hold's or not.
Thanks mate.
Sharing your loosing trades shows that you can also be wrong at times, unlike some super traders who only take winning trades and postrs after their target is hit....!!!!.
Brilliant work, and thanks for sharing.
  • #11,396
  • Mar 27, 2017 8:09am Mar 27, 2017 8:09am
Guys....
Please someone tell a GOOOD REASON for a 40 pip gap and another 50 + ( 2 R broken )

I need a Fundamental Reason. not a tehnical..

Europe is fcking tearing apart ..soon... brexit etc ...Why the fck is so agrressive?????

No retrace ... not at alll . ....
  • #11,397
  • Mar 27, 2017 8:39pm Mar 27, 2017 8:39pm
Quoting Anubisval
Guys.... Please someone tell a GOOOD REASON for a 40 pip gap and another 50 + ( 2 R broken ) I need a Fundamental Reason. not a tehnical.. Europe is fcking tearing apart ..soon... brexit etc ...Why the fck is so agrressive????? No retrace ... not at alll . ....
I don't how aggressive it is. Depends on time frame I guess. Not sure if Brexit is so much in play at the moment in eu. Was for sure and definitely will be to some extent. If you are looking for a fundi explanation of bullish action in eu here's a section from a blog I read over the weekend you might find interesting. Might be points you are well aware of so possibly not helpful. I just thought I'd share it cuz you seemed to be asking for opinions.
Mostly quoted from Barclays:

USD: Trump cares

We see downside risks for the USD as Trump’s policy agenda gets challenged. In our view, the current administration is spending more political capital that initially assumed, limiting the likelihood of an aggressive implementation of the original agenda. If the lack of momentum prevails, we see the USD weakening particularly vis-a-vis developed markets such as JPY, EUR and GBP. In addition, as uncertainty remains high, the Fed will likely continue on the sidelines, limiting the room for short-end rates in the US to go up and support the USD. This week, there are no scheduled political events, as the health care reform bill has been pulled. The legislative disagreement signals a more complicated path for other reforms and is a blow to the administration, but it opens the path to start discussing other points in the GOP agenda. The week is light in data releases. We estimate that the PCE (Friday) price index rose 0.1% m/m and 2.1% y/y, with the core PCE price index up 0.1% m/m and 1.7% y/y.


EUR: Falling political risk to support appreciation amid still-high inflation

Declining French political risk is likely to support the EUR amid still-high CPI inflation. Indicators of short-term political risk due to the French election are decreasing, in line with our long-held view, and OAT-Bund 10y spread has decreased over the past few weeks (Figure 1). We forecast headline and core inflation to moderate slightly to 1.8% y/y and 0.8% y/y, respectively (Friday; consensus: 1.8% and 0.8%). Meanwhile, in H2, however, the EUR will be challenged by the reacceleration of economies in more advanced cyclical positions, while low underlying inflation could threaten market expectations of ECB tightening.
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  • #11,398
  • Mar 28, 2017 3:27am Mar 28, 2017 3:27am
Quoting Don96
perhaps 110.17 for UJ,, its like a rock in water atm wonder if stop will survive for 113.37/115.13 :0 been hit couple of times on UJ, can take quite a few more... ill try again at 110.17 {image}
Closed out +28 while back, 110.17 I didn't take
  • #11,399
  • Mar 28, 2017 4:33am Mar 28, 2017 4:33am
Quoting Don96
{quote} Closed out +28 while back, 110.17 I didn't take
You were probably wrong ?
  • #11,400
  • Mar 28, 2017 6:09am Mar 28, 2017 6:09am
Quoting goosebone
{quote} I don't how aggressive it is. Depends on time frame I guess. Not sure if Brexit is so much in play at the moment in eu. Was for sure and definitely will be to some extent. If you are looking for a fundi explanation of bullish action in eu here's a section from a blog I read over the weekend you might find interesting. Might be points you are well aware of so possibly not helpful. I just thought I'd share it cuz you seemed to be asking for opinions. Mostly quoted from Barclays: USD: Trump cares We see downside risks for the USD as Trumps...
Thank you ! I appreciate your answer ! You chill me out.


But !!

Article 50 on 29 is a good think for euro ? (i'm thinking not
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