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Let's Trade Options

  • #14,901
  • Mar 21, 2017 11:46am Mar 21, 2017 11:46am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Volcano is actually a pretty cool place. Oddly enough its where the least amount of Vog is. But it definitely gets cold up there. Average temp is somewhere in the high 50's year round. Most us locals have to practically wear parkas when we go there. I try to stay out of the vog. Puna, Pahoa, HPP, and south Kona al get really nasty. Ive been in kaleakekua for a day and when the vog is bad you kind of just itch all over all day long. I definitely think the broad uptrend is still massively intact. Id like to see the spoos hit the 234.50...
Took a punt and got filled at exactly 234.50...Playing a Sept -2P 210/+1C 240 Ratio breakout trade. Collected .40 credit for it

worst case I own spoos at 210, or pre trump election levels if by sept he has totally failed.
  • #14,902
  • Edited 5:41pm Mar 21, 2017 5:19pm | Edited 5:41pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Took a punt and got filled at exactly 234.50...Playing a Sept -2P 210/+1C 240 Ratio breakout trade. Collected .40 credit for it worst case I own spoos at 210, or pre trump election levels if by sept he has totally failed.
US stocks need Trump meat, watch for the first scraps maybe Friday, after the ObamaCare repeal vote squeaks through the House - I will be look at SPY and SPX weekly spreads, short leg Friday or maybe next week. Then we will be waiting for the next drama re: getting the TrumpCare deal thru the Senate - maybe dicier. If Trump scores getting TrumpCare done, he can start bringing the filet mignon of tax breaks and infrastructure spending, a feeding frenzy for the bulls...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,903
  • Mar 21, 2017 7:19pm Mar 21, 2017 7:19pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}US stocks need Trump meat, watch for the first scraps maybe Friday, after the ObamaCare repeal vote squeaks through the House - I will be look at SPY and SPX weekly spreads, short leg Friday or maybe next week. Then we will be waiting for the next drama re: getting the TrumpCare deal thru the Senate - maybe dicier. If Trump scores getting TrumpCare done, he can start bringing the filet mignon of tax breaks and infrastructure spending, a feeding frenzy for the bulls...
Trump train hasnt stopped yet. Republican whips gotta get the last few stragglers in line House of Cards style and I think The Donald knows this. No question that if/when Trumpcare gets the green light we will see the next Yuuuge leg up in equities led by the financials. Watching KBE to stay above 40.50 for a low risk long over the coming weeks.
  • #14,904
  • Mar 22, 2017 1:56am Mar 22, 2017 1:56am
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Trump train hasnt stopped yet. Republican whips gotta get the last few stragglers in line House of Cards style and I think The Donald knows this. No question that if/when Trumpcare gets the green light we will see the next Yuuuge leg up in equities led by the financials. Watching KBE to stay above 40.50 for a low risk long over the coming weeks.
trying to set up something with weeklies to catch a rebound in equities on the House approval of TrumpCare......that could be short-lived if it then gets bogged down in the Senate. Well, if TrumpCare fails the Senate, throw in some indictments, some crazy tweets, etc, and the spoos will be headed to 2,250 and lower...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,905
  • Mar 22, 2017 11:03am Mar 22, 2017 11:03am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}trying to set up something with weeklies to catch a rebound in equities on the House approval of TrumpCare......
SPX call calendar above filled for 35c......I need one more nice leg up for gold, need GLD $120+ to close the week
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,906
  • Mar 22, 2017 1:19pm Mar 22, 2017 1:19pm
oh SNAP, SnatchCrank is up 6% today and I see they have the options chains out to 2019, Ima get me some o that. I bet SNAP will be yuuuge.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,907
  • Mar 23, 2017 2:15am Mar 23, 2017 2:15am
only thing I have on now with a shot at glory is some GLD Mar31 $120 long calls, part of a DC described above. Another $20 day or so by Friday would make my month, but $120 is a tuff line to cross I guess.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,908
  • Mar 23, 2017 1:56pm Mar 23, 2017 1:56pm
filled a SPY put fly, Mar29 $228/230/232, for 12c, in case we catch a slide on US politics in the next few days....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,909
  • Mar 23, 2017 5:00pm Mar 23, 2017 5:00pm
Which broker(s) do you guys use for forex options? Thanks
  • #14,910
  • Mar 23, 2017 5:11pm Mar 23, 2017 5:11pm
Quoting danjuma
Which broker(s) do you guys use for forex options? Thanks
The usual ones.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,911
  • Mar 24, 2017 10:23am Mar 24, 2017 10:23am
Quoting The Fool
only thing I have on now with a shot at glory is some GLD Mar31 $120 long calls, part of a DC described above. Another $20 day or so by Friday would make my month, but $120 is a tuff line to cross I guess.
Would make sense to get a spike up to $120 today with the house vote on the docket. Unfortunately its not till after the close of the bell.

I'm still lookin at KBE for a long play if the bottom holds. Other than that my equities and other crap are just sitting in Limbo waiting for the next leg in either direction.

Kind of an uneventful week but at least the surf is good. Mauna Kea is snowcapped so I went up there and packed the truck with snow then drove down to Hapuna beach(It was 80 there) and had a snowball fight on the beach with the wife. lol Tourists didn't know what to do.
  • #14,912
  • Mar 24, 2017 10:26am Mar 24, 2017 10:26am
Quoting danjuma
Which broker(s) do you guys use for forex options? Thanks
Take your pick of brokers, depends on your trade style and the platform you like. If I trade FX options I just use the ETFs instead of the spot stuff, or futures options.
  • #14,913
  • Mar 24, 2017 1:01pm Mar 24, 2017 1:01pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Would make sense to get a spike up to $120 today with the house vote on the docket. Unfortunately its not till after the close of the bell. I'm still lookin at KBE for a long play if the bottom holds. Other than that my equities and other crap are just sitting in Limbo waiting for the next leg in either direction. Kind of an uneventful week but at least the surf is good. Mauna Kea is snowcapped so I went up there and packed the truck with snow then drove down to Hapuna beach(It was 80 there) and had a snowball fight on the beach with the...
yeah $120 a mutha, guess I will hold on against the theta tide into next week. I thought we might get some big moves on this first big Trump agenda vote, but the move we got already maybe is all there is.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,914
  • Mar 24, 2017 3:00pm Mar 24, 2017 3:00pm
spoos dead flat on the monumental TrumpCare vote fail, big whoop right? Stocks will still power up if they change the subject to tax cuts and infrastructure spending, we'll see what the weekend tweets bring...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,915
  • Mar 24, 2017 4:40pm Mar 24, 2017 4:40pm
Quoting The Fool
spoos dead flat on the monumental TrumpCare vote fail, big whoop right? Stocks will still power up if they change the subject to tax cuts and infrastructure spending, we'll see what the weekend tweets bring...
Sell off in gold futures and FX end of the day. Possible the result was baked in the cake?
in order to hammer more bulls price is gonna have to rope a few more in by grinding up a little higher. 7-10% is correction range, we arnt even at 3%.

didn't open any new positions this week other than the spoos at 234.50, lots if good that did. lol
  • #14,916
  • Mar 26, 2017 8:15pm Mar 26, 2017 8:15pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Sell off in gold futures and FX end of the day. Possible the result was baked in the cake? in order to hammer more bulls price is gonna have to rope a few more in by grinding up a little higher. 7-10% is correction range, we arnt even at 3%. didn't open any new positions this week other than the spoos at 234.50, lots if good that did. lol

Buying a bunch of USD at these levels. euro futures and yen primarily
If the DXY goes under 98.75 and stays there im out
  • #14,917
  • Mar 26, 2017 11:49pm Mar 26, 2017 11:49pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Sell off in gold futures and FX end of the day.
gold clawing back Friday's loss.....I sure would like to see a hot break of GLD $120.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,918
  • Mar 27, 2017 10:54am Mar 27, 2017 10:54am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}gold clawing back Friday's loss.....I sure would like to see a hot break of GLD $120.....
Ya thats my line in the sand

we'll see how much wall street cares about health care reform

seein an awful lot of red on my portfolio after last week.

no new trades so far but I'm still stalking the aforementioned plus CLF p8ssibly if the dirty can make a base here

everything still hinges on the greenback it seems
  • #14,919
  • Mar 27, 2017 12:18pm Mar 27, 2017 12:18pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Ya thats my line in the sand we'll see how much wall street cares about health care reform seein an awful lot of red on my portfolio after last week. no new trades so far but I'm still stalking the aforementioned plus CLF p8ssibly if the dirty can make a base here everything still hinges on the greenback it seems

got a full boat in on Fibre futures. 1.0902 aggregate. I'll close it based on the DXY holding the line
  • #14,920
  • Edited Mar 28, 2017 8:23am Mar 27, 2017 10:07pm | Edited Mar 28, 2017 8:23am
Quoting Wulfgar
Ya thats my line in the sand we'll see
Yeah GLD $120 double top & I might have to short shiny in a 3-week window back down to $115
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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