The Club!

weekend reading:

Evolution Runs Faster on Short Timescales
Examine evolution over the course of years or centuries, and you’ll find that it progresses much more quickly than it does over geologic time. Now the oldest viruses on the planet are enabling scientists to calibrate this evolutionary clock.

https://www.quantamagazine.org/20170...ution-viruses/



A Ticking Evolutionary Clock
How quickly will a gene’s rate of evolution slow to a crawl?

https://www.quantamagazine.org/20170...-clock-puzzle/

‘Digital Alchemist’ Seeks Rules of Emergence
Computational physicist Sharon Glotzer is uncovering the rules by which complex collective phenomena emerge from simple building blocks.


snippet

A more recent “wow” moment occurred in 2009, when Glotzer and her group at Michigan discovered that entropy, a concept commonly conflated with disorder, can actually organize things. Their simulations showed that entropy drives simple pyramidal shapes called tetrahedra to spontaneously assemble into a quasicrystal — a spatial pattern so complex that it never exactly repeats. The discovery was the first indication of the powerful, paradoxical role that entropy plays in the emergence of complexity and order.

and sure enough they have been to dense to encrypt the laptop......

oh wait, since the CIA and the NSA etc. planted the vulnerabilities all over the place, encryption may also proof to not be hack-proof



Laptop With "Highly Sensitive" Trump Data, Clinton Email Probe Info Stolen From Secret Service Agent

well 1.0760 done .... and now!! . triangle or B/Out upside ?

Good week for everyone... And can copy the skills ..Of the musician

Triangles aloane shouldnt be traded, but if put in correct perspective it has meaning. We could be forming complex bottoming after clearout on EU -dollar more specifically.
Its defenetly something to plot for macro play if price starts to trade above break line, i would preffer one more rejection to confirm stronger symetry and market respecting the "key" tl thats where you get momo build up. Bullish play has solid RR if you play it from micros, bear play is also valid with French election no Le Penn victory bake and then shocker fact play (copy paste Brexit). Symetrical structures if you know how to play them always offer great plays on both sides, but you need to wait for key levels or facts first to settle in.



One thing to add, might seem little but its very significant. Always pay attention to tls that everyone can see. If you pop the chart and straight up see structure/symetry, many of others will do. This will bake significance to the level you think is a momo play level. Best momo plays will always come from structures/levels that are spoted in second by someone with significanct chart experiance. The reason adding this point is becouse from few previous posts you made before you are not respecting obvious symetry (ploting asymetric tl into action). If you are generalizing it, many of players wont see it, which means it wont bear momo play. If you need clarification on this feel free to PM me, but its very important becouse it does have significance for momo plys , which is why we plot trendlines for breaks afterall. Anyone can plot trendline, but plotting key trendline on "key" level is what makes difference if you are in momo play. Some of your previous posts dont adress symetry, key market changes always come when symetry is crushed, and you are not adressing it from previous points, in this one on EU you are, but to get point across one needs to know why and where.
Momo never comes from one person opinion, it comes from one person opinion thinking that this level/data/failure is adressing 1000s of opinions at the key level.



In downtrend this has to be adressed. If it isnt it leads to bad performance. If you are in impulsive mashup and you are using this for retrace entry it could work better, but key point is reducing DD, getting accurancy on entry. Those default MT4 channel plotting lines, DONT. dont use them(not problem of tool itself, just traders not understanding implicatikns of key levels taken of at wrong levels due to oversplificiation). Feel free to PM i can give you some symetrical answers to why not, and why it has significant impact on performance.

Key concept of trading is fitting decent tool of use to correct behaviour of asset to fit the expecation of tool user.Anyone can draw lines from h/l but drawing relevant lines is what makes the key. Human brains/eyes are drawn to symetry, when that gets ruined its spoted emidently. 10 tall trees and 1 little tree in between will be picked by human brains on spot, same goes for markets. The key is not to follow something that you are arogant to see only by yourself(you are nobody in 6 trill market per day), but something that you think other players are also looking at, and then your play is to spot the change in asymetry as quickly as possible and get in.
That put in action, your channel lines are not accurate becouse fact checking is agains it due to market followin trend/tl cheange so for that picture you are looking on wrong price for "key" change. Asymetric pa action leads to wierd actions or complete asymetry.

Hi JANPEC
So what is a key level for you to observe now in E/U?
I have none but ...
I'm looking at 1.1250 ...And a candle in that price does not go wrong

Obviously it is not obvious..

"That put in action, your channel lines are not accurate becouse fact checking is agains it due to market followin trend/tl cheange so for that picture you are looking on wrong price for "key" change. Asymetric pa action leads to wierd actions or complete asymetry.[/quote]


hi ja...
Lack of harmony are concepts that I cost to understand in negotiation.
If you want to give an example how can I play a perfect cannal or TL I'm all eyes to see ...

Thanks in advance

If I look at ( D.. chart ) it tells me that only after the 1.0873 broken the euro/dollar may have changed the trend.

Best greetings from Alagna Valsesia



patiently waiting for the next snow dump

forecast is up to 160cm in the next days


yeahhhh

Hi Chess King,

most Elliotticans have the high in your chart as the end of a large triangel.

Then they either count 1-2-3-4-5 as leading diagonal down, or the y count 1-2, 1-2 and then kind of complex movement up.

The latter view has invalidation at 0873.

The first count with the leading diagonal should now go back into the 1.1x vicinity, since leading diagonals are most of the time retraced by more than 80%

maybe you remember: on 10th of March I said: 0829 would be my most bearish scenario. If that is broken to the north, the bearish counts do look more and more limited to the downside

Yes I remember ...
now it seems clearer that it will be a key point..If it breaks too furious I'm thinking of selling 1.1

Axel Merk On What's Next For The Dollar, Gold, & Stocks?

It's better to know that not knowing.. YEN ( JFYE).


http://www.nasdaq.com/article/countd...or-fx-cm583632

State of Europe in one simple song

HI J...
I have to show my..
homework

Hey, in this case its nothing to disagree with setup, but mind its not becouse of macro. If one draws particular macro setup like this triangle against impulsive move (which are clearly leading the way on GBP) you will end up most of the time wrong).
The KEY point that concludes this scenario and setup is what happens near/at break point. This is exact key point that most traders miss and is the key point that will determine the most likely direction of move.

Simply put this way:
-if your tracking certain "break" level and price goes into it slowly, then expands, then expands more, and then goes parabolic extension into it, its likely that this is the end, fbo is just around the corner as reactionary traders are sucked in.
-if you track slowly trading price around "break" level, thats when usually oposite will happen, the bounce traders will join in becouse simply the time+price level gives them chance to jump in, and thats when most of the time strong breaks will come.

Always break the structure down as much as you can, thats how consistency will come.
In this case lets break this last piece of info down:


Always break the structure that you follow down as much as you can. Never follow the traditional PA setups such as "morning stars", "pinbars" and other as your guide for expected move. The only expectation is based of market phasing and the differences that market makes between phases. First thing to do is to look at every move closer, dig down those candles.
Yes you were completly right on this GU example for short but if micro structure was different it could be great example of fbo entry. And again it opens next point of conversation...how to identify fbo as quick as possible to cut the loss quickly. Thats important point of momo trading.

Trading structures on positive expectancy is all about little spohisticated infos here and there. Finding flag, triangle, clearout, washout, squeeze...etc is not hard, but trading it with consistency is about finding those grinding micro infos that tell you on your own "key" levels when something is weak at that place or being overextended and likely to reverse strongly.

Shorting GU in this case is good if PA is overextended. Dont short any pattern along strong impulsive moves against you, only if there is a case of overextension, thats when you perform. Shorting against overextension, and a shallow move is going to result in 80% of fbo shorting i guarantee you that.
This is when you short overextended move on symetrical pattern (trade not ploted couse 1 day passed by TC2k):

Conclusion.
One of the most important things in a trader.... is to learn how to minimize risk and boost profits.

so...Depends on the quality of the ENTRY.

https://wikileaks.org/hbgary-emails/press-release

The HBGary Mails

Exactly, being consistent on trading means that you are digging the exact same rules that any bussines on planet is in order to be profitable with stable yield curve:
Being at the right place at the right time with correct approach/strategy. With other words:
Being at correct market phase and expectancy of move (impulse-consolidation, or parabolic extension-capilutation) that is first thing to do, just by doing that and assuming direction considering whethere you are in correction/consolidation leg to previous impulse you are increasing chances to be at the right place.
To be in right time you need to be in momo play, that gets to either blindly entering macro and exiting quick if you arent right (not best way to go) or to approach from micros that align with exact symetry to macro and nail the move from there. Last portion is having correct strategy/tool. This is the place that is mostly focoused and its probably the least important, you can shape any tool to be workable either Stochs, RSI, XYZ super indie, as long as it is historically and statistically getting you in play and has performance it can be yielding results.