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  • #14,881
  • Mar 15, 2017 8:07pm Mar 15, 2017 8:07pm
Quoting The Fool
yeah but I still think we are due for a slide....watching to see how Dutch Trump does...
same

I guess I'm just a victim to my discipline. I'll keep my shiny and nasty stops where they originally were till either they get hit for a loss or I take profit.

gotta hit on one of these big moves one of these days.
  • #14,882
  • Mar 15, 2017 11:08pm Mar 15, 2017 11:08pm
Quoting The Fool
yeah but I still think we are due for a slide....watching to see how Dutch Trump does...
...A little sigh of relief from Dutchland, could help support equities ... with FOMC over it's back to tweet mode...in the absence of any market moving tweets or headlines I'd have to guess equities will grind up to sideways. I'm almost all in cash....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,883
  • Mar 16, 2017 12:11pm Mar 16, 2017 12:11pm
Sold 3 x TGT Vertical 55/50 Apr 13 for 1.30 credit. I don't expect Target to fall too much below 54
  • #14,884
  • Mar 16, 2017 12:16pm Mar 16, 2017 12:16pm
I trade fixed price Forex options every day. I use an algorithmic approach primarily based on statistical analysis.
F i n S i g . c o m
  • #14,885
  • Mar 16, 2017 12:56pm Mar 16, 2017 12:56pm
Quoting morphiouso
I trade fixed price Forex options every day. I use an algorithmic approach primarily based on statistical analysis.
hey morphiouso, I don't know what that is. Most of (all 2-3 of us) the traders that post here are trading the stock and index options that are traded on the American options exchanges....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,886
  • Mar 17, 2017 10:25am Mar 17, 2017 10:25am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}...A little sigh of relief from Dutchland, could help support equities ... with FOMC over it's back to tweet mode...in the absence of any market moving tweets or headlines I'd have to guess equities will grind up to sideways. I'm almost all in cash....

Ya brother. I mean the overall trend is still fully intact. I'm looking on putting diagonal spreads and things on because we don't seem to be exploding anywhere... just grinding along

I got short EEM at 39.50xx. Probably a bit early so stops are over the 41 area.... Ill roll it into some put spreads or straight puts before the market close. I'm still not totally sure what I want to target on this thing. I'm not seeing anything awesome till 31


still sitting on my shiny and dirty shorts. stops on gold futures above the 1260 still and we could literally run right back to my original entry to try to shake me out. I definitely haven't told the wife how stubborn Ive been about hlding this thing(although she wouldn't be surprised). Dirty stops are waaay up above the 53.55 zone
  • #14,887
  • Edited 2:08pm Mar 17, 2017 1:20pm | Edited 2:08pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Ya brother. I mean the overall trend is still fully intact. I'm looking on putting diagonal spreads and things on because we don't seem to be exploding anywhere... just grinding along
agree, I filled a Mar31/Apr5 Spy $242/243 call diag for 1 cent. I am shopping cheap put flys for a slide, which I think is possible, too (obviously)....if the Trump agenda gets bogged down in the swamp of Congress the markets could begin a slow retrace....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,888
  • Mar 17, 2017 2:11pm Mar 17, 2017 2:11pm
Quoting Wulfgar
still sitting on my shiny and dirty shorts. stops on gold futures above the 1260 still and we could literally run right back to my original entry to try to shake me out.
my GLD kitty was $120/$130 Mar17/Mar31....total debit somewhere about 20c, I will hold the long calls, 2 weeks to see gold $1,250+ is my fantasy...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,889
  • Mar 17, 2017 2:22pm Mar 17, 2017 2:22pm
tryin fill a Jun SPY put fly @ $221/225/229 for 20c....just throwing some $100 bets out there to stay engaged....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,890
  • Mar 17, 2017 4:28pm Mar 17, 2017 4:28pm
Quoting The Fool
tryin fill a Jun SPY put fly @ $221/225/229 for 20c....just throwing some $100 bets out there to stay engaged....
filled for 20c
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,891
  • Mar 19, 2017 11:34pm Mar 19, 2017 11:34pm
Quoting charron
Sold 3 x TGT Vertical 55/50 Apr 13 for 1.30 credit. I don't expect Target to fall too much below 54
Ya ya I'm keeping an eye on TGT too. I like the 53 level for a intermediate bottom
I'll reassess once I'm there for entry and strategy.
  • #14,892
  • Mar 19, 2017 11:39pm Mar 19, 2017 11:39pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}agree, I filled a Mar31/Apr5 Spy $242/243 call diag for 1 cent. I am shopping cheap put flys for a slide, which I think is possible, too (obviously)....if the Trump agenda gets bogged down in the swamp of Congress the markets could begin a slow retrace....
could be a great trade. diagonals are great on the grind
the cloud are decent punts too. i just suck so bad at timing.... uggh
  • #14,893
  • Mar 20, 2017 1:17am Mar 20, 2017 1:17am
Quoting Wulfgar
could be a great trade. diagonals are great on the grind the cloud are decent punts too. i just suck so bad at timing.... uggh
.....well I am sitting on a lot of cash and spread very thin with a growing backlog of ce work. I don't have the time it takes really to day trade so I am looking for some long(er) tf trades to put on.....I have a growing feeling that the Trump trade will unwind in a decent slide in the coming weeks/months. "May you live in interesting times"...the Confucian curse....I have a feeling we are in for it. Anyway, shooting at long vol when vol is scraping low is a proven losing strategy, but Ima chance it...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,894
  • Mar 20, 2017 2:17am Mar 20, 2017 2:17am
the obligatory 10% drop gets to ~2,150
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,895
  • Edited 8:38am Mar 20, 2017 2:28am | Edited 8:38am
put fly kahuna needs sub 2,220 by expiry
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017-03-20_0025SPY.png Size: 81 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,896
  • Mar 20, 2017 9:20am Mar 20, 2017 9:20am
Quoting The Fool
the obligatory 10% drop gets to ~2,150
lol, dream on Fool.....watching ^VIX slide toward the 10's, I wait.....cash = king
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,897
  • Mar 20, 2017 10:39am Mar 20, 2017 10:39am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}lol, dream on Fool.....watching ^VIX slide toward the 10's, I wait.....cash = king

Dude I hate sending messages on my phone. Cloud= "Flys"

Literally looks like the big players are pricing in a absolutely risk free investment environment. The Vix levels are truly unlike anything we have ever seen.
  • #14,898
  • Mar 20, 2017 10:41am Mar 20, 2017 10:41am
I have strong feeling that S & P will reach 2500 in 2 months. Trump has his wallet wide open
  • #14,899
  • Mar 20, 2017 11:38am Mar 20, 2017 11:38am
Quoting charron
I have strong feeling that S & P will reach 2500 in 2 months. Trump has his wallet wide open
quite possible, so I will keep throwing on the SPY/SPX call calendars and diagonals to catch the upgrind....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,900
  • Edited 11:53am Mar 21, 2017 10:23am | Edited 11:53am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}quite possible, so I will keep throwing on the SPY/SPX call calendars and diagonals to catch the upgrind....
Same here. Today is looking like some heavy duty tree shaking. My eyes are on the DXY. Really interested in buying if the recent lows break at the 99.25-98.75 level.

Getting hammered on the shiny but I'm still holding. Dirty is offsetting the losses. Closed a ALXN long position this am for a normal loss. MRVL puts starting to pay.

bought some EEM 40 Puts last week. Stops over the 40.70. I got in at 39.50 so maybe today we got the turn. Still seeing red though. Same with EFA and ILF(have longer term bear positions on those too).

Squid position getting rocked. I'm short AXP and AGO from a few weeks back so those are going green.

Overall business as usual. Lots of winners, lots more losers. Hoping the ratio ultimately plays out in my favor whwen they hit their stops or targets.
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