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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #57,061
  • Mar 7, 2017 7:20pm Mar 7, 2017 7:20pm
Quoting fti
{quote} you start watch usd and dmk. now is usd,euro when you become more experienced. you watch usd, euro, yen. used to be ahead you should learn watch usd, euro, yen, sterling and chf. but chf i have reason exclude after their unethics recently. regards You don't have to have positions in everything watched unless you have mastered read/recognise their 'basis' relationship impacts. In markets is called intermarket tendencies. In fx is called crossrelations.
Thanks for your reply.
thank you.
  • #57,062
  • Edited 8:57pm Mar 7, 2017 8:30pm | Edited 8:57pm
Quoting fti
{quote} noted, thank you ray. is code red situation. Dog training has 2 types. social friendly and unfriendly. my babies are trained unfriendly and they trained each other same. If they short barks , is normally just alert. At close proximity they attack without warning. This the reason why they have their own compound. They normally sit at their zone and will not cross into my zone unless i invite them or when i am not in my zone. Mom was bitten in their zone. Since the new puppy addition, i had noticed unease in the pack. Thats why i...
Hmm.. ok. noted. Sorry I can't be of any help. Just thinking aloud...
Possible by pack unsettle, but pack unsettle, from what I seen they will sort out themselves, you hear any growling or whining when you not around? And there will be a lot of calming signals around and/or dog often place themselves inbetween the two or few to 'protect' or 'stop' it from escalating.

Sometimes, dog can also attack or become unsettle when they feeling unwell and sick(fever/etc). Are they vaccinated?

Code red cases very difficult. Usually 2 sad choices, either sent for external rehab or put to sleep. Actually, it also need to be done quickly cause, if that code red case is in pack for long, there may be an understudy for him, or a side kick. Like batman and robin, if you like. In those cases, if he goes, understudy will take over, and then same problem all over again.
Do you have dog walkers to walk them or walk them yourself? Maybe, the uneasiness and tension come from the lack of exercise. Are they also spayed? Usually spayed they will be calmer and lower energy. Haha.

Yes, is wise decision not to add pet to a unsettle pack, and lack of energy to train them.

I heard of one code red dog. Everything is normal, you can touch him every where every thing, BUT if he sees a tissue paper drop, he will attack at nearest person. IS so weird! AND once he draw blood, it is at least 3 bites WITH punctual wound. My poor friend got bitten. I cannot remember the rehab for this guy, I think was very muzzle training first then begin working with other. But the trigger is a falling tissue paper.. lol.

On a side note, the pack leader of a ~20x pack is a rather senior dog that is very small size. However, he stands over much bigger 70+kg dogs which half the pack is of that size. at most, his weight was about 35kg I think. Really a small bugger. But every where he walk, there is a radius of ~1m. Very interesting to watch this pack, and their body language.

By the way, new pup is a doberman?

Inserted Video


Regards

Take care my friend, msg if anything.

ps. was watching a food program, they mention ayer tawar has many foochow resident and food. are you also in ayer tawar?
Inserted Video

This is the program, very good guide. His name is Jason or "Ah Xian". Seem to be very popular. Every where he go get greeted. Nice chap too, honest and friendly.
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #57,063
  • Mar 7, 2017 8:36pm Mar 7, 2017 8:36pm
Quoting fti
{quote} you start watch usd and dmk. now is usd,euro when you become more experienced. you watch usd, euro, yen. used to be ahead you should learn watch usd, euro, yen, sterling and chf. but chf i have reason exclude after their unethics recently. regards You don't have to have positions in everything watched unless you have mastered read/recognise their 'basis' relationship impacts. In markets is called intermarket tendencies. In fx is called crossrelations.
Actually, now the recent FCA ruling to restrict leverage etc.
I am quite concern that retail fx trading might not be possible any more in the near future.

Don't know how will it play out.

Regards
Ray

http://www.financemagnates.com/forex...-leverage-cap/

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...=620643&page=6
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #57,064
  • Mar 10, 2017 8:23pm Mar 10, 2017 8:23pm
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} Actually, now the recent FCA ruling to restrict leverage etc. I am quite concern that retail fx trading might not be possible any more in the near future. Don't know how will it play out. Regards Ray http://www.financemagnates.com/forex...-leverage-cap/ https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...=620643&page=6
not a cleaver move. just increases the cost of funding for hedgers.

leverage is not killing the speculators, is just killing those who not knows how to use it or its dangers if missused.
but definately kllls those greedy ones. Is a double edge sword, if they missuse it, will just cut their own throats.
In fact the real problem is the margin call system is broken and abused by errant broking.

rules in the "wild wild west" does nothing. repair protocol ethicates may help.

regards
  • #57,065
  • Edited 10:15pm Mar 10, 2017 9:56pm | Edited 10:15pm
I seem to have developed much habit thru living.

Machines are very reliable doing repetitive tasks. Once a human is behind it, its reliabilty i question.
a gun is reliable, if not in human's hands.
a car is reliable, if no humans are in it.
genesis 6:6
I like watch sports, the moment someone opens his mouth about the game, i switch off.
i like walking into stores looking at products. The moment someone trys to describe to me what i looking , i go away.
In many years of management, when i attend meetings, whenever someone introduces a manual. I leave go to the TOILET.
Have you noticed the beautiful scenery pictures. Whenever a human shows up in the pictures, i change page.
I love listen to music and singing, someone talks and i mostly doze.
i love listen to people talk until they take out a piece of paper or manual. i leave. some people not even need take out the paper.
i love find new things to buy and try, the moment i see advertisement, hahahaha
funny habits.lots more, please excuse me.

regards

1 time in my life, i was ask to 'take care' of a minister who was to give a keynote address. He asked me a few questions about some details. i knew the answers, but i just said "eeeer i don't know." hahahahahaha, never met him again.
  • #57,066
  • Mar 11, 2017 2:13am Mar 11, 2017 2:13am
Quoting fti
{quote} ..... In fact the real problem is the margin call system is broken and abused by errant broking. rules in the "wild wild west" does nothing. repair protocol ethicates may help. regards

Hi FTI..hope you are well. I am getting immersed in AOW. Wow it is quite sth.

May I ask what do you mean abused by errant broking...what are they doing?

There are places traders can comment on new rules I believe...this is in consultation at the mo

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #57,067
  • Mar 11, 2017 8:47am Mar 11, 2017 8:47am
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} Actually, now the recent FCA ruling to restrict leverage etc. I am quite concern that retail fx trading might not be possible any more in the near future. Don't know how will it play out. Regards Ray http://www.financemagnates.com/forex...-leverage-cap/ https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...=620643&page=6
Regulators should not try to "protect" traders from themselves of from market risk. They should strive to protect them against FRAUD. I think they are a bunch of liars, this is just to suck more money in.
  • #57,068
  • Mar 11, 2017 2:56pm Mar 11, 2017 2:56pm
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Hi FTI..hope you are well. I am getting immersed in AOW. Wow it is quite sth. May I ask what do you mean abused by errant broking...what are they doing? There are places traders can comment on new rules I believe...this is in consultation at the mo Alex

Hi Alex

I have found personally that It is a wonderful master class in strategy and open minded flexibility in dealing with the situations we find ourselves in and is a life long learning process that creates new and exciting possibilities for the open mind to create many opportunities for us in this trading environment.

We are the ant’s and all that matters is survival of the state by any means at the end of the day.

Enjoy….

AOW…
16. Amid the turmoil and tumult of battle, there may be seeming disorder
and yet no real disorder at all; amid confusion and chaos, your array may
be without head or tail, yet it will be proof against defeat.

Regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #57,069
  • Edited 8:42pm Mar 11, 2017 7:34pm | Edited 8:42pm
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Hi FTI..hope you are well. I am getting immersed in AOW. Wow it is quite sth. May I ask what do you mean abused by errant broking...what are they doing? There are places traders can comment on new rules I believe...this is in consultation at the mo Alex
Historically, the margining protocol was 1st introduced in exchange traded systems, commodity exchanges.
In exchanges, traders are given 24 hours to pay up margin calls before a buyin/force liquidation is effected.
retail FX had reintroduced and effects the buyin/force liquidation orders on immediate effect once margin call is issued, giving the traders no opportunity to remedy. Mostly to avoid overlosses.
The difference is that the original protocol gives the traders the option to topup margins within 24 hours and effecting buyins only upon failure to do so after 24 hours lapsed. So if prices spikes away and recovers within 24 hours, the issued margin call is recinded. The advantage is the traders cannot be price spiked manipulated.

Depending on commodities broking, some firms do insist for topup margins, even when prices recovers and require said top up margins to be deposited within 24 hours after a written document of call margin is issued. It depends on the contracted agreement with customers.

regards

if you remember the story i told earlier about traders who were bankrupted in the nikkei and 1 hour later became millionaires.
What happened was that althought they were bankrupted by a exceeding 5000 tics sswing. But because the market recovered from the bump swing in1 hour, Their positions were not forced liquidated and as they bought much during the down swing , they made killing ,when market was restored. nikkei then had a daily average volatility of about 50 tics. the benefactor was Lexus the car. The next month every one was driving one.

if it was fx , all would be bankrupted already on the swing, but of course it was unfortunate for those who had placed stops, hahahahaha
For the smart arbitragers who noticed that osaka did not responded same, 1 hour later they became millionaires mostly.

under that differences, bump quote spike manipulation of prices yeilds no advantage for manipulators. so not have touch and go manipulation..... understanding market structure and mechanics does pays. allows for strategies.

so do vet your comtracts before put paw mark is intelligent also.
  • #57,070
  • Mar 12, 2017 3:49am Mar 12, 2017 3:49am
Quoting phil13
{quote} Hi Alex I have found personally that It is a wonderful master class in strategy and open minded flexibility in dealing with the situations we find ourselves in and is a life long learning process that creates new and exciting possibilities for the open mind to create many opportunities for us in this trading environment. We are the ants and all that matters is survival of the state by any means at the end of the day. Enjoy. AOW 16. Amid the turmoil and tumult of battle, there may be seeming disorder and yet no real disorder at...

Hi my friend

AOW and FTI tells us every step of managing Friday eurusd action...if we listen. I am now reviewing my trades against it.

cheers

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #57,071
  • Mar 12, 2017 4:52am Mar 12, 2017 4:52am
Quoting fti
{quote} Historically, the margining protocol ..........also.
Many thanks for kind explanation...

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #57,072
  • Edited 10:54pm Mar 12, 2017 10:41pm | Edited 10:54pm
Quoting fti
{quote} not a cleaver move. just increases the cost of funding for hedgers. leverage is not killing the speculators, is just killing those who not knows how to use it or its dangers if missused. but definately kllls those greedy ones. Is a double edge sword, if they missuse it, will just cut their own throats. In fact the real problem is the margin call system is broken and abused by errant broking. rules in the "wild wild west" does nothing. repair protocol ethicates may help. regards
Yea, Im reading the book someone here recommended the other time, "Larry Harris - Trading and Exchanges. Market Microstructure for Practitioners" now and over the weekend just got to the part bout these, and how they move it around. This book is very solid.

I want to get the other 2 book bout the market structure, namely https://www.amazon.com/Foreign-Excha.../dp/0070526710 and https://www.amazon.com/Secrets-Templ.../dp/0671675567 .. but the shipping is killer. the 2nd hand book itself cost <5$ but shipping is 40$ odd.. looking for other source. Hopefully can find a cheaper source...

And also, the example you give bout the shark on land coupled with AOW. Made me think real hard bout "leverage".

Regards
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #57,073
  • Mar 12, 2017 10:45pm Mar 12, 2017 10:45pm
Quoting Jairo
{quote} Regulators should not try to "protect" traders from themselves of from market risk. They should strive to protect them against FRAUD. I think they are a bunch of liars, this is just to suck more money in.
Yea. so sad. I find they took the "easy way out" and made a very sloppy quick fix, which is a bad fix.

Regards
Ray
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #57,074
  • Edited Mar 13, 2017 12:29am Mar 12, 2017 10:50pm | Edited Mar 13, 2017 12:29am
Quoting fti
I seem to have developed much habit thru living. Machines are very reliable doing repetitive tasks. Once a human is behind it, its reliabilty i question. a gun is reliable, if not in human's hands. a car is reliable, if no humans are in it. genesis 6:6 I like watch sports, the moment someone opens his mouth about the game, i switch off. i like walking into stores looking at products. The moment someone trys to describe to me what i looking , i go away. In many years of management, when i attend meetings, whenever someone introduces a manual....

Quote
1 time in my life, i was ask to 'take care' of a minister who was to give a keynote address. He asked me a few questions about some details. i knew the answers, but i just said "eeeer i don't know.
haha. sounds very much like the time you;

other bank: hihi friend, b 500mio yen please
you: err sorry friend technical difficulties
other bank: ok how about now
you: err sorry still technical difficulties



life is amusing..

Quote
When God created man,
The wise Lord gave us Maths.
But we became calculative and used it to keep tabs.

He also gave us Languages,
But we too found ways to be vulgar and rude.

Strangely, he gave us Science,
Hoping that it would improve our world,
But all we did, was try to disprove him.

Still, he created Technology,
For awhile, that worked well,
But even with that,
It now tries to replaces the very humans that he created,
With scraps of metal.

Regards
Ray
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #57,075
  • Edited 10:48am Mar 14, 2017 10:37am | Edited 10:48am
Hi ALL,

No idea why there is so little coverage on the Netherland election results tomorrow 15th March. And that it is a close race, with the runner up being an anti eu candidate and vocal about leaving the EU. (PS. polls close after FOMC. And also, 15th could be a potential date where A50 gets triggered based on the friendly rumours.)
So just thought I pop by here in case any one isnt aware of that and goes full cap into it, as euro could be headed into very volatile zones if that negative euro outcome plays out.

Moving ahead, the widely covered French Presidential election is @ 7th May, with polling starting 23rd April.
Germany Federal is doing it in September 24~ish.

My guess is if netherland plays out negative, probability for a negative french would rise too, given that it is also a close race. It is quite entertaining these elections, but I will spare the boring details.

Also, following the brexit A50 triggering by late March, UK local election is @ 4th May. This could also be messy given how Scotland is reacting at mom seeking a 2nd referendum.
Just a mess everywhere.
I guess EURO and GBP be headline driven for awhile.

But mainly, I'm just quite amused as to why it is also not in numerous economic calendar, given how close the results can be. Oh well, it is what it is, just dropping by.
Take care guys, good fortune.

Regards
Ray


In other news..
https://broadly.vice.com/en_us/artic...hey-masturbate
Quote
The bill was filed by state Rep. Jessica Farrar, who admitted she knows her "proposed satirical regulations" have little chance at becoming law. "What I would like to see is this make people stop and think," Farrar told The Texas Tribune. "Maybe my colleagues aren't capable of that, but the people who voted for them, or the people that didn't vote at all, I hope that it changes their mind and helps them to decide what the priorities are."
Farrar said the fine for, as explained by the bill, masturbatory "[e]missions outside of a woman's vagina, or created outside of a health or medical facility" is a nod to Texas Republicans' argument for "the sanctity of life" when restrictions on abortions.
"Men have to answer for their actions and so forth," she said. "So if there's going to be an emission, it would have to be done in a hospital where the semen could be preserved for future pregnancies or it would be directly deposited into the vagina of a woman."
http://www.legis.state.tx.us/tlodocs...pdf#navpanes=0

Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #57,076
  • Mar 14, 2017 11:17am Mar 14, 2017 11:17am
Quoting RelaxRay
Hi ALL, No idea why there is so little coverage on the Netherland election results tomorrow 15th March. And that it is a close race, with the runner up being an anti eu candidate and vocal about leaving the EU. (PS. polls close after FOMC. And also, 15th could be a potential date where A50 gets triggered based on the friendly rumours.) So just thought I pop by here in case any one isnt aware of that and goes full cap into it, as euro could be headed into very volatile zones if that negative euro outcome plays out. Moving ahead, the widely covered...

Hi Ray

yes my friend, things in Europe are a mess ATM and i think it will be for some time to come with a few high risk (to us) events to come.

we should be taking our/any risk out of our trading ATM anyway as it is FOMC tomorrow, should not be holding anything that we can not easily manage at least going into the major release, ideally be totally square, i know nearly everyone is expecting a USD rate rise but until the fact is verified we never really know for sure the outcome.

regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #57,077
  • Edited 7:50pm Mar 15, 2017 7:32pm | Edited 7:50pm
Quoting RelaxRay
Hi ALL, No idea why there is so little coverage on the Netherland election results tomorrow 15th March. And that it is a close race, with the runner up being an anti eu candidate and vocal about leaving the EU. (PS. polls close after FOMC. And also, 15th could be a potential date where A50 gets triggered based on the friendly rumours.) So just thought I pop by here in case any one isnt aware of that and goes full cap into it, as euro could be headed into very volatile zones if that negative euro outcome plays out. Moving ahead, the widely covered...
if you squared into the erections, there would be not much to worry about , my friend.
There erextions is their mess, so no poke finger in. even God won't tell you the possibilities. i think.
But you can buy options puts and calls, if that market is available to you. It has to move. just not know if is puts or calls.
These days there's insurance for everything. even health. buy insurance eat junk food and your decendents will remember you. made them millionhairs. Borned millionhairs , no need to plow the field.

regards

Inserted Video
  • #57,078
  • Edited 8:18pm Mar 15, 2017 8:04pm | Edited 8:18pm
Inserted Video


eeeer who sponsored this space? i hope is not t-rex. or d-rex

regards
  • #57,079
  • Mar 15, 2017 8:27pm Mar 15, 2017 8:27pm
Inserted Video
  • #57,080
  • Mar 16, 2017 3:19am Mar 16, 2017 3:19am
Quoting RelaxRay
...... But mainly, I'm just quite amused as to why it is also not in numerous economic calendar, given how close the results can be. Oh well, it is what it is, just dropping by.....
Yeh good point very newsy........ we need to scout around re the news and not just refer to calendars to find out political events that are going on and may impact us.......Dutch exit polls came out at 20:00 my time. Also we have to wonder if news says one thing and price does another......... having news pre opinion not a good thing sometimes.

Funny how even if we did not know about the news events you can feel her from the way she dances.... it feels wrong sometimes we have to wonder why? Of course news tsunami is also possible at any time.

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
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