a new way to analyze fundamentals?

So I was thinking that if we could apply the same techniques of analyzing price charts on forex to fundamental data. For example, you apply the moving average on the monthly unemployment report for the past few years on a country? Do you think that the same rules of forex analysis applies here?

I have attached monthly unemployment rate of switzerland since January 2000 obtained from the Bank of Switzerland's website. I transfered the data to excel and plot the moving average (5 period) trendline on it.

So I assume that the unemployement report tomorrow will decrease again since it has been below the moving average for a few months.

Even if I am wrong, at least I have something to back it up. Waht do you think? short usd/chf now?

What would help you is if you can overlay USD/CHF movement over the same period.
Don't ask me how to do it, tho'
Peter

yea that would help..unfortunately like you..i don't know how to do it either

but if there is pattern than taht would be cool

this attachement is actually giving the % jobless rate, the above attachement is for actual number in 100,000's or something like that

daily chart of usd/chf

I am not expert on this, but I think that is how they arrive at the consensus number. I could be wrong though.

Oh well, I predict that the rate will stay the same or go down. Unlikely to go up. But we'll see

i'm not trading real money on it though, just fun to see what happens

Guys, I have to run to an appointment but think about this.
Normalize all 3 {release, MA & Price} to the same scale. Like a Stoh.

Release100 = ((Release - Lowest Release ) / (Highest Release - Lowest Release)) * 100

MA100 = ((MA100 - Lowest MA ) / (Highest MA - Lowest MA )) * 100

Price100 = ((Price- Lowest Price) / (Highest Price- Lowest Price)) * 100

Actually you wouldn't have to do anything with the MA if you calc it after Normalizing the Release.