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Let's Trade Options

  • #14,781
  • Feb 24, 2017 1:50pm Feb 24, 2017 1:50pm
Quoting The Fool
Well, don't forget about Europe. Won't be pretty when the EMU falls apart.... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grbSQ6O6kbs
I hope they hurry it up. Thing has been a mess and falling apart for 10 years now

How long can they keep kicking the can? Will a French Lepen victory skyrocket the ftse and dax like the Donald did for the US?
  • #14,782
  • Feb 24, 2017 1:57pm Feb 24, 2017 1:57pm
I know, right? NASA could find a asteroid the size of Texas heading straight for us, no escape, & the fckin stock markets would go vertical bullish....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,783
  • Feb 24, 2017 2:13pm Feb 24, 2017 2:13pm
Quoting Wulfgar
{quote} Ya I jumped in my gold trade. Bought May 1260 puts on the GC contract for 29.00.. stops at 1263 I want a lot of deltas and leverage on this potential move and it doesn't get bigger than futures options contracts.

currently getting my face ripped off on this one

the shiny is being really really shiny
  • #14,784
  • Feb 24, 2017 2:15pm Feb 24, 2017 2:15pm
Quoting Wulfgar
currently getting my face ripped off on this one the shiny is being really really shiny
Peter Schiff is going to be right one more time b4 he croaks.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,785
  • Feb 24, 2017 2:17pm Feb 24, 2017 2:17pm
Quoting The Fool
I know, right? NASA could find a asteroid the size of Texas heading straight for us, no escape, & the fckin stock markets would go vertical bullish....
In that case we would call Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck to go blow it up. #winning
  • #14,786
  • Feb 24, 2017 2:37pm Feb 24, 2017 2:37pm
I have a Mar17 GLD $126/127 calls vertical, in for a nickel. Also GLD double calendar calls @ $120 & $130, Mar17/Mar31 as I recall, something like 20c total debit....will be a challenge to b/e on all of that but will do that & plenty more if GLD pins $120, $125, or $130 in expiry week
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,787
  • Feb 24, 2017 2:46pm Feb 24, 2017 2:46pm
Quoting goosebone
Suggested title for that show: Death of the Dollar Menu (or How I Stopped Worrying About Doing My Own Yardwork and Learned to Love $14 Heads of Lettuce)
well hold on now, after Americans get a taste for rounding up the masses, we can just round up the islams and the blm's and the transgendered liberals and they will pick the lettuce and whatnot. "Nationalism" is going to be terrific - just look how well it worked out for "Nationalist" Germany 70 years ago....?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,788
  • Feb 27, 2017 5:23pm Feb 27, 2017 5:23pm
Quoting The Fool
I have a Mar17 GLD $126/127 calls vertical, in for a nickel. Also GLD double calendar calls @ $120 & $130, Mar17/Mar31 as I recall, something like 20c total debit....will be a challenge to b/e on all of that but will do that & plenty more if GLD pins $120, $125, or $130 in expiry week
Gold doing a good contra-dance with equities now. My books are getting thin. I have some short vol spreads - flys - via UVXY puts and centered at $15 and $12, for June and way out Jan '18, all cheapo. shopping cheap SPY and SPX put spreads, but kinda losing interest. I would btfd equities shorter term if I ever got the chance,
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,789
  • Feb 27, 2017 11:45pm Feb 27, 2017 11:45pm
12th straight day of new Dow ath's .... ....not been done since 1987......otoh, the Dow is up only about 30% in the last 10 years.....3% a year?.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,790
  • Feb 27, 2017 11:55pm Feb 27, 2017 11:55pm
Trump has a joint smoking session with Congress tomorrow, will say he wants to increase defense spending by 10%, pay for it by cutting everything else, can kick on tax reform, on TrumpCare, and oh yeah, the media sucks, Congress sucks, everybody sucks, so suck it. Markets will go vertical orgasmic.

http://www.startribune.com/trump-fac...ban/414870234/
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,791
  • Feb 28, 2017 12:50am Feb 28, 2017 12:50am
Quoting The Fool
12th straight day of new Dow ath's .... ....not been done since 1987......otoh, the Dow is up only about 30% in the last 10 years.....3% a year?.....

Thank god nothing bad happened to the markets in 1987..... *whew* I feel safer now

I'm still short my gold futures and options. It went a few points past my stop, but I just ignored those pesky stops like a good disciplined 15 year trader does and let gold fall all the way back down to engulf the lows. All goes well gold will re-establish itself as the barbaric relic the central banks tell me it is and it drops like a rock over the next 6 months to 1000 per/oz

Other than that I just have the same positions sitting around looking back at me puzzled.
  • #14,792
  • Feb 28, 2017 1:12am Feb 28, 2017 1:12am
Quoting Wulfgar
Other than that I just have the same positions sitting around looking back at me puzzled.
WELL, AT LEAST YOU HAVE THAT....PLUS THEY GAVE YOU YOUR OWN EMOJI ON HERE...........
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,793
  • Feb 28, 2017 1:14am Feb 28, 2017 1:14am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}WELL, AT LEAST YOU HAVE THAT....PLUS THEY GAVE YOU YOUR OWN EMOJI ON HERE...........

It is appropriate. I only work like an hour a week managing and hunting for trades these days. The rest of my life I spend floating around in the pacific ocean looking for waves, hiking volcanos, going to happy hours, working out, and taking naps.
  • #14,794
  • Feb 28, 2017 1:31am Feb 28, 2017 1:31am
1 hr a week well that is about right with not shit going on....I am having trouble stayin interested. I know something will happen someday, but I ain't getting any younger either. I need to stay engaged at least marginally or I will start to forget the basics. Like buy low sell high, right? Or never short a dull tape. Need to write some things down on post-its I guess....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,795
  • Feb 28, 2017 12:00pm Feb 28, 2017 12:00pm
Quoting The Fool
1 hr a week well that is about right with not shit going on....I am having trouble stayin interested. I know something will happen someday, but I ain't getting any younger either. I need to stay engaged at least marginally or I will start to forget the basics. Like buy low sell high, right? Or never short a dull tape. Need to write some things down on post-its I guess....

Ya I hear ya man. I'm just trying to keep participating in this bull equity run, the currencies have been active, and some commodities are moving( ive been looking at futures options on some more obscure commodities like orange juice and cotton.

I'm on the boat pretty heavy with oil futures. Got about 100 ticks in profit right now but I'm still pushing for a much much larger move if my view on commodity deflation actually pans out.
  • #14,796
  • Feb 28, 2017 12:31pm Feb 28, 2017 12:31pm
I wonder if TGT will get down to 53 for a high probability buy. Or if this Brick and mortar collapse is going to be systemic and we are gonna see those companies go much much lower.

Macys and Walmart look like they are getting close to a good buy opp too
  • #14,797
  • Feb 28, 2017 12:51pm Feb 28, 2017 12:51pm
bricks and mortar hahaha, in the dystopian near future nobody dares go outside their bunker and everything is delivered by drone from Amazon.com. Whoever has not tried to keep up with Amazon the first to bleed.

I guess you gotta see Trump's Congress show tonight as a market mover. Maybe? In reality I think the markets have been taken over by HFT bots trading against each other in the miniscule ebb and flow.

Apathy taking over here, I don't look at the market action at all some days now, guess what, nothing moved, I didn't miss nothing....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,798
  • Feb 28, 2017 2:46pm Feb 28, 2017 2:46pm
filled SPX diagonal calls - 2,385/2,390 Mar3/Mar6 for just comms - $0.00
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,799
  • Edited 3:56pm Feb 28, 2017 3:01pm | Edited 3:56pm
SPY diag calls - Mar8/Mar10 $240/$240.5, 3 whole cents, slow to fill...

......no fillee, also tried a further otm SPX call diag for next week, no fill
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #14,800
  • Feb 28, 2017 9:49pm Feb 28, 2017 9:49pm
Quoting The Fool
filled SPX diagonal calls - 2,385/2,390 Mar3/Mar6 for just comms - $0.00
Trump pulled off a pretty good Presidential show, shiny futures down >$10, no reason we can't see more bull equities, maybe even a hot 1% day or 3, in which case the diagonal SPX calls I filled today might be too near (low) - but we'll see....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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