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Trading Institutional Order Flow

  • #2,561
  • Feb 9, 2017 8:02pm Feb 9, 2017 8:02pm
Quoting Mr.PhiBo
USDCAD in play: Zrzut ekranu 2017-02-09 o 16.00.14.png;2180573 Zrzut ekranu 2017-02-09 o 16.00.27.png;2180579 Zrzut ekranu 2017-02-09 o 16.02.51.png;2180585 {image} {image} {image}
Hello Mr.Phibo
Thank you for sharing your thoughts on the USD/CAD
I have a slightly different view on the pair, some thoughts to consider

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,562
  • Feb 9, 2017 8:22pm Feb 9, 2017 8:22pm
Quoting darko40
Hello, my today's struggles and ask for your opinion {image} {image} {image}
Hello darko40

Thank you for sharing your idea on this pair

Here are some of my thoughts

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,563
  • Feb 9, 2017 8:29pm Feb 9, 2017 8:29pm
Quoting Mr.PhiBo
Hi guys, yestarday's short didn't work out, but daily trend is still down and price is still in daily supply area. Let's see how this one goes Zrzut ekranu 2017-02-09 o 11.03.03.png;2179883 {image}
Hello Mr.Phibo
If i may, i have a small tweak for you that may help

You see, when you are trading a zone, buying or selling, Profit margin must be assessed
When possible, this assessment should take place in real time ie with the trader sitting in front of their screens watching as price returns to the level

The demand zone that was created below your short removed profit margin on the trade
So watch for where the opposing trade is when you are entering..when buying, where is there likely to be selling against my position?
When selling, where is there likely to be buying against my position?
There are some nuances to qualifying and determining the zones you want to be concerned about but start with this simple question when considering a zone

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy phibo.PNG Size: 96 KB
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,564
  • Feb 9, 2017 8:40pm Feb 9, 2017 8:40pm
Quoting RogFx
Hello, I am new to this thread and S.A.D trading. However, I have spent a lot of time looking at charts over the years and have certainly heard of supply and demand trading. When looking at it in the past however I was unable to gain any traction. I stumbled upon this thread a few days ago and have been reading, watching webinars and you tube post's trying to absorb as much as possible. This has given me a new way to look at the charts, and, well here I go... I have been busily trying to analyse some charts and have been looking at the AUDJPY. Any...
Hello RogFx
Welcome to T.I.O.F
Nice to meet you.

Thank you for sharing your thoughts and queries on the AUD/JPY

Please see the daily chart below with some of my ramblings....

best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,565
  • Feb 9, 2017 8:45pm Feb 9, 2017 8:45pm
Quoting Mr.PhiBo
{quote} What do you think about this ? A removed 0, B removed A, C removed BZrzut ekranu 2017-02-09 o 12.39.07.png;2180104 {image}
Hello Mr.Phibo

Great job on the annotations sir.
A word, if i may, about C...
C is not a tradable area because the move away is not a 2:1 distance relative to the size of the zone
but it is an area not to buy into because some selling took place there

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,566
  • Feb 9, 2017 8:48pm Feb 9, 2017 8:48pm
Quoting jprice0987
Hey Everyone and AKT I Have a question maybe my fellow supply and demand traders can help me out. I broker with FXCM and after all this stuff going down with them I am considering changing brokers. Does anyone have any reccomendations??? There are options as Oanda, FXCHOICE etc. They seem to use MetaTrader 4 or 5 I love charting with Tradingview and would be awesome to trade right from those charts. Looking for something that works well for supply and demand.. Any help or feedback would be greatly appreciated guys.. Thank you Jim Price Trade Safe...
Our colleagues in the United States, anyone able to recommend a decent broker in the U.S to jprice0987?
Please fellas.

best wishes
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,567
  • Feb 10, 2017 12:17am Feb 10, 2017 12:17am
Hello every one

A possible continuation of the Daily trend.
R : R = 1:3
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #2,568
  • Feb 10, 2017 3:09am Feb 10, 2017 3:09am
A possible continuation of the Weekly and Daily up trend, after the 4H trendline break.
R : R = 1:5

Akt, now I understand how to draw the trendlines. Thanks for your educative comments.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #2,569
  • Feb 10, 2017 4:23am Feb 10, 2017 4:23am
A possible continuation of the Weekly and Daily downtrend, after the 4H momentum trendline break.
R : R = 1:4

Akt, now I understand how to draw the trendlines. Thanks for your educative comments.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CADJPYmicroH4.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: CADJPYmicroDaily.png Size: 33 KB
  • #2,570
  • Feb 10, 2017 4:37am Feb 10, 2017 4:37am
Quoting LateStarter
Long time lurker here, just finished reading through the entire 128 pages of this outstanding thread. I actually created a folder in which I saved many of the annotated charts that were graciously uploaded, as well as assorted commentary, tips, guiding principles etc. that were posted throughout the history of the thread ....
Hello Late Starter

It would be very interesting if you could make a summary of the rules, guiding principles, tips etc
If you dont want to post it here, you could send me the document by email.

Thanks
  • #2,571
  • Feb 10, 2017 6:04am Feb 10, 2017 6:04am
Quoting Elios
A possible continuation of the Weekly and Daily downtrend, after the 4H momentum trendline break. R : R = 1:4 Akt, now I understand how to draw the trendlines. Thanks for your educative comments. {image} {image}
Hello Elios.
You are most welcome.

If i may, a note on the trend lines on CADJPY and Gold.

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,572
  • Feb 10, 2017 7:33am Feb 10, 2017 7:33am
Quoting Akt
{quote} Hello Elios. You are most welcome. If i may, a note on the trend lines on CADJPY and Gold. best wishes
Thanks a lot.

This way of drawing trendlines is brilliant!! You can keep the price action under close watch. I am excited.

With these trendlines (in conjunction with the SD zones) one can surf over the price waves !!!
  • #2,573
  • Feb 10, 2017 7:40am Feb 10, 2017 7:40am
Hey Guys,

What do you think about this trade:

AUDNZD Short

W: Comming up in 2 (not fresh) Supply zones.
D:Broke Downtrend into D supply embedded in W Supply
H4: Supply embedded In a D and W zone

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The approach seems a bit questionable but it also looks overextended.

Looking forward to your comments.

Have a nice weekend,
Alex
  • #2,574
  • Feb 10, 2017 11:40am Feb 10, 2017 11:40am
Hello everyone

GBPCAD...before and after

best wishes
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Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #2,575
  • Feb 12, 2017 12:23am Feb 12, 2017 12:23am
Hello Akt and T.I.O.F traders
usdx weekly:
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Daily:
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H4:
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zone assessments update
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comments are highly welcomed
green pips...
It is not over until I win
  • #2,576
  • Feb 12, 2017 2:03am Feb 12, 2017 2:03am
Quoting karasinga
Hello Akt and T.I.O.F traders usdx weekly: usdx weekly feb.png;2184003 Daily: usdx daily feb.png;2184001 H4: usdx h4 feb.png;2184002 zone assessments update zone assessment.png;2184005 comments are highly welcomed green pips... {image} {image} {image} {image}
hi, I just had a look on USD Index too

Curve - Mn
Trend - Wk
Execution - H4

A little confused actually so appreciate inputs ...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #2,577
  • Feb 12, 2017 3:53am Feb 12, 2017 3:53am
TDA on GU

Curve - Mn
Trend - Wk
Execution - D1

Sideways market with not much profit margin. Let the bulls and bear fight it out!!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017 02 12 - GU Mn (Curve).jpg Size: 99 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017 02 12 - GU Wk (Trend).jpg Size: 114 KB
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  • #2,578
  • Feb 12, 2017 4:12am Feb 12, 2017 4:12am
TDA on EU, Short Bias

Curve - Mn
Trend - Wk
Execution - D1
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: 2017 02 12 - EU Wk (Trend).jpg Size: 124 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017 02 12 - EU D1 (Execution).jpg Size: 124 KB
  • #2,579
  • Feb 12, 2017 4:28am Feb 12, 2017 4:28am
TDA on UJ

Long call ...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017 02 12 - UJ Mn (Curve).jpg Size: 104 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017 02 12 - UJ Wk (Trend).jpg Size: 118 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017 02 12 - UJ D1 (Execution).jpg Size: 155 KB
  • #2,580
  • Edited 7:12am Feb 12, 2017 4:51am | Edited 7:12am
A simple analysis of a complex situation (GBP / JPY) and a possible trade

Weekly chart : The previous upward trendline has been broken , so the Supply Zone 1 formated and the momentum trendline changed direction and now is downward. The trend is down because previous weekly demand zones have taken out.

Daily chart : The previous downward trendline 1 has been broken , so the Demand Zone 1 formated and the momentum trendline changed direction. The previous upward trendline 2 has been broken , so the Supply Zone 2 formated and the momentum trendline changed direction and now is downward. The trend is down because a previous daily demand zone has taken out.


4H chart : The previous downward trendline has been broken , so a Demand Zone formated and the momentum trendline changed direction. Now it seems that this trendline has been broken and a new SZ 3 is formating.

A possible trade : The price action creates new weekly, daily and 4H Suplly zones (SZ1, SZ2, SZ3). When the market will open I wiil short the GBP / JPY. The first target is DZ1 and the second is DZ 2, where a significant support line exists (but SR lines are not part os SAD method) .
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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