Planetary Cycles Trading (EUR/USD)

Hi Jerry,

Sorry I could not join the thread earlier.
I think that you are right in concentrating on EURUSD in such a complicated matter.

Personally, I failed in trying to make use of full moon and new moon for this market.
However, I definitely use the moon as a trigger of other planets conjunct to Asc MC and sometimes Vx or Desc. This gives average results.

As a first step , I had made a systematic analysis on the EURUSD using a 5 years data base in 5' and taking advantage of the TS efficiency test. Global results did not work very well and I refined them using the filter of the Moon zodiac signs. Then I selected only the probabilities in excess of 65% providing a significant amount of pips, as it appears in these tests. Then I introduced a correction factor based on the most effective signal time as compared to the culmination point.

On this basis (enormous work!), I have made approximately one year of weekly forecasts. Unfortunately, I have to say that the result is quite disappointing because of the lack of stability of the signals. They are very difficult to use in real trading, slightly better with the Moon trigger factor.

IMO the only possibility is to combine these astro signals to a strong geometric approach and to a pattern analysis (Larry Pesavento style), which work pretty well.

Thierry

Thierry,

Jery will reply personally to your post but thanks for your insights from my side too - it proves that you can`t use long time outlooks for daytrading.
Can you do a test of the significance of using the blue line (2nd chart in post #7586) for the weekly outlook of the EURUSD ?

Sixer

Referring to post 7586, here is a mid week updated chart using the same criteria.... price has tracked the projection in # 7586 nicely so far... 30 min data EST

Here are the settings:

The red line is the "Harmonic Box" which is part of the classic spectrum model.

The Blue line is Venus-Venus, Heliocentric, 3h (3rd harmonic) using Synodic algorithm, smooth orb at 25% with Oscillator "normal", emphasis on main composite

The Green line is Uranus-Uranus Right Ascension, 100h (100th harmonic), Auto adjust RPO algorithm, smooth orb 10%, Oscillator, fast, emphasis on main composite

Hi Thierry,

I am thrilled you have come here to post... I have discovered that the TS Yahoo group is not really the place to make posts like I am doing here on Forex Factory. You are correct that this is very complicated stuff... that is why I only want to look at the EUR/USD... I am trying to find a general road map for a whole trading week in advance (A tall order!) It is incredible that the chart posted before the market opened is unfolding with real price action the way it is. Who could believe it, really.

Agreed that the moon cycle is not all that useful in the way I am looking at things. Larry Williams in his webinar that Sixer just posted refers to how unstable cycles are and that they must be continually be recalculated and updated in order to be useful. My current hope is that I can find a forecast for the upcoming week that will prove to be fairly consistent. I have been tweaking what astro models I use each week to that end.

Market geometry is very useful in predicting price levels, something I have not yet attempted to consider. All I am focusing on is turning points during the week... and broad ones at that. say 3-5 trades max during the week and on a stop and reverse, always in the market basis.

It would be great for you to post some charts of what you are working on right now. I intend to keep sharing everything I am doing.

Jerry

Jerry,

my actual 30 mins setup confirms your weekly outlook - 3 trades so far.

Sixer

Hi Jerry, Hi Sixer,

Here are the signals generated with my approach for the beginning of the week. This does not take the moon triggering into account. I don't know how to show the next ones with my screen. As you see, nothing extraordinary.

Thierry

Nice day for a top , today......
Yesterday 23:21 =Venus //Nept.
23:44 =Sun sq. Jup. .......
Today Thu.
6:35 =FMoon
8:59 =Merc 270*
15:59 =Venus 340*
16:55 =Venus conj. Nept.
and at 20:41 last but not least...MARS conj. Ouranus HELIO...

Take care

Wotititrader,

your 5 min setup misses the 3 signals shown in the weekly outlook from jnevins.

Sixer

I admit that I am concentrating on swing trading and that what I've shown is a rather crude, automated approach

EUR/USD 30 min EST update

This update features a "committee" self-similarity projection line in green-blue and the harmonic box derived from the most prominent 2 cycles. Reverse current short position at midnight tonight.

You can learn more about the Self Similarity module and the committee choice from Sergey in this video... around 10 min in.

One more view.... Harmonic Box with a shorter cycle series of 101.287 bars

""The Blue line was calculated with the astronomy module using Venus-Venus, Heliocentric, 3rd harmonic, Synodic algorithm and smooth orb of 10% ""
Hi Jnevins, this is very impressive prediction for the week. Would you explain the procedural method above on how to re-produce this projection line in TS or using other open source tools ?

16:55 I exited my shorts @ 1.06 14 Contemplate to go long soon if it gives signs of strength.

Hi Mosalem,

Here is a video I just made on this week's projection line chart. It was late at night and I didn't want to disturb my wife too much so I am speaking a bit softly....

Here is an efficiency test for when the Moon enters either Aires or Libra on the 30 min chart.

Run ULE Editor>Zodiac then click efficiency button..... next optimize... it sorts every combination to reveal most reliable first.... in this case, 81% of the time over the last 10,045 bars I looked at of 30 min data, as the Moon entered either Aires or Libra, the 9 bars before the ingress and 3 bars after the ingress, 12 bars, or 6 hours , price went up. On the down side, 5 bars after to 8 bars after, price went down 80% of the time. "0" on the chart is the moment of ingress. You can read off the other percentages for yourself.

One more... even simpler... As the Moon enters just Aires, there is a 100% chance of 3 bars before the ingress being an up bar and 90% from the ingress point to 9 bars after being a down movement... case in point, On Jan 4, 2017 there was a Moon ingress into Aires at 10:33 am EST. In spite of all the projection lines pointing up, notice that the 9 bars following the ingress were down, then the up trend resumed. And 3 bars before the ingress there was an up bar.

The low of that pin bar was 30 pips below the start of the 9 bar sequence.

I still favour the green-blue line vs. the "Harmonic Box". The cycles are not harmonic/fix.

Sixer

One more, the cycle before as the Moon enters Aires on Dec 8, 2016, there was a 180 pip drop in the 9, 30 min bars following ingress.....

Great Sixer! Is that a demo or the regular version of TS? I look forward to getting your help and feedback! On second look it could be the chart I posted that you marked up... One can apply for the Demo here: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Demo1a/

The green/blue line is an optimized "similarity" line... the program found every instance where price action was similar in the past (10,000 bars) to the current one and averaged all of them together to form the projection line.

Jerry,

no, sorry - i have used your gif.

For comparison my actual Big picture for the EURUSD which differs to the count of the Gurus.
I count wave [V] as Ending Diagonal, all patterns are corrective - wave "1" is the longest wave.

Sixer