The Swamp | Page 522 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #10,421
  • Dec 13, 2016 4:08am Dec 13, 2016 4:08am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} #eurjpy 124.88 and 129.63 #gbpjpy 150.69 and 159.32 Possible bigger Rs
what is the best point to long eur/jpy anf usdjpy?
  • #10,422
  • Dec 13, 2016 4:16am Dec 13, 2016 4:16am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} True, California is also living on a fault for the next earthquake. Just have to pick a sort of safer location. It is not that bad though. They get about 20 million tourists per year which is nothing to sneeze at. 1.6-1.7 million tourists per year is pretty damn good in my books. My friends have a hotel in Tokyo and other friends have many units in Osaka and all are full pretty much all the time. http://www.tourism.jp/en/tourism-dat...stats/inbound/
i have no problem with people placing money on a property investment. i tend to stick local. because its what i have experience with. i sold here mostly in 2007 because here. was after katrina, so i was lucky. the prices were inflated some after hurricane k. i fu by not buying back in 2009. presently i have been buying 40% off or less (pre flood) price to flip since summer flood. i can still lose money, because its never a sure thing. japan is a time bomb, i wouldn't want to be on the bad end of the implosion. sure the best areas recover first such as Tokyo. they also tend to be more inflated and take the larger % of pain when the shit hits the fan. u can make or lose a lot depending on timing. its hard to sell something when all are selling at the same time. buyers wait for the better deals in a fall.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,423
  • Dec 13, 2016 4:50am Dec 13, 2016 4:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} cad may be a good one uc has a norm at 1.2047.. and brent oil 56.xx.. if oil deal is true.. u/cad should make 1.2047.. usd/mex another.. with trump wounded and oil.. it should drop..
looks like i will not get a u/cad long after 1.2047 atm.. bust is the look atm. with Brent in the 56.x + area it makes such a large u/cad drop harder. its still normal for the cad retrace. it just seems to be a long struggle if oil tops soon. chart wise i couldn't Long cad w/o 1.2047 back then as well as now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,424
  • Edited 5:17am Dec 13, 2016 5:07am | Edited 5:17am
chart wise e/u 1.2470 is valid. as long as 1.046x low is not broken. within this there was a break in the short 1.0515 leg. these bears are setting up 1.03xx. and its below 1.046x. larger than both of these are a 0.8 or 0.7 setup. the 1.047 area is a level i tend to favor support from the larger levels. added to this, 1.046x support is a lower leg. a lower leg with a crown. the risk is the lower leg for longs, with 1.2 potential. whats priced in about the fed is unknown. i am waiting to short later. later is 1.2 for me w/o the 1.046 leg not broken.

if 1.046x leg is broken. the level at 1.047 may still reject it (on large tf closes), even with a LL. that norm on breaking 1.046x is above 1.108xish
posting this before any break or no break

1.1087 ish should get a visit minimal with or w/o a break at some point. not intended for scalpers or st traders.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,425
  • Dec 13, 2016 5:12am Dec 13, 2016 5:12am
Quoting tuty1311
{quote} what is the best point to long eur/jpy anf usdjpy?
I'll wait for setups, what timeframe you are looking at ?
  • #10,426
  • Dec 13, 2016 5:13am Dec 13, 2016 5:13am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} I'll wait for setups, what timeframe you are looking at ?
tf 4h
  • #10,427
  • Dec 13, 2016 5:22am Dec 13, 2016 5:22am
Quoting gatorinla
chart wise e/u 1.2470 is valid. .............i am waiting to short later. later is 1.2 for me w/o the 1.046 leg not broken. if 1.046x leg is broken.
That's pretty far away. Are you not going to take a single short until price reaches 1.2? Are you looking for longs then or not touching EU atm?
  • #10,428
  • Dec 13, 2016 5:28am Dec 13, 2016 5:28am
i see a potential crises for many accounts with a eu -1.046 LL. many will jump in short, and sure they could be right. w/o given advise, be sure to keep some profit with green stops. dont raise stops on losses. a LL creates a perfect opportunity for a good reaming of 500+ pips, back to 1.108. the question on a LL is will it bounce and where. chart wise i suspect it should return to 1.108 or more
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,429
  • Dec 13, 2016 5:37am Dec 13, 2016 5:37am
Quoting ExForX
{quote} That's pretty far away. Are you not going to take a single short until price reaches 1.2? Are you looking for longs then or not touching EU atm?
its not a hard thing to post factual. w/o a LL, it will return to 1.2.. i cant say i wouldn't take a short setup before 1.2. if one develops, i may take it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,430
  • Dec 13, 2016 6:14am Dec 13, 2016 6:14am
Quoting tuty1311
{quote} tf 4h
UJ 113.88 & 113.35 before HH. EJ 119.39 & 118.46 before HH.

Quoting edyraper
{quote} It went down and jumped off from 4146 bottom of the range, now it up at 4471 around highs. I'm short but it isn't promising much. 4478 is normal pa on smaller setup with 3266 target. I'll update later if I see anything to add. #euraud .... Nice drop ea
Nice range, #euraud again at bottom of the range. I'm long if s/o buyer at 4074 again if it continues dropping likely to see 3950. Au running to norm 7544 bears might show up after, Eu around lows, little bounce would help.
  • #10,431
  • Edited 8:02am Dec 13, 2016 7:50am | Edited 8:02am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Nice range, #euraud again at bottom of the range. I'm long if s/o buyer at 4074 again if it continues dropping likely to see 3950. Au running to norm 7544 bears might show up after, Eu around lows, little bounce would help.
AU watching 10 13 and 17 (maybe 15) got in short at 05, ill see how m30 closes and if it filters through tf

m30 under 05 will be a decent start... h1 under 0.7500 would be better...

10 mins to go lets see

the ways its been going - whoever is moving it (USD?) will do whatever to make sure h1 doesnt close under 0.7500 - may do spomething in the last m5


EDIT: perhaps another 10 on NU may drop EU


Also full hourly and m30 candles on AU - m5 drops almost instantly before rising again in the last couple of mins of the candle
  • #10,432
  • Edited 8:35pm Dec 13, 2016 8:30am | Edited 8:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
chart wise e/u 1.2470 is valid. as long as 1.046x low is not broken. within this there was a break in the short 1.0515 leg. these bears are setting up 1.03xx. and its below 1.046x. larger than both of these are a 0.8 or 0.7 setup. the 1.047 area is a level i tend to favor support from the larger levels. added to this, 1.046x support is a lower leg. a lower leg with a crown. the risk is the lower leg for longs, with 1.2 potential. whats priced in about the fed is unknown. i am waiting to short later. later is 1.2 for me w/o the 1.046 leg not broken....
Would be interesting to see how far Johnny can throw the ball this time from 1.046x or lower.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...26#post6139226
  • #10,433
  • Dec 13, 2016 8:51am Dec 13, 2016 8:51am
Pending sell gu 2749 risking against HH.

...
Quiet Asia...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: quiet asia before FED .png Size: 98 KB
  • #10,434
  • Dec 13, 2016 11:22pm Dec 13, 2016 11:22pm
Good Morning !

Today's SR levels on MT4 Templates for EURO, CABLE, DAX, USDJPY & EURGBP
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #10,435
  • Dec 14, 2016 4:49am Dec 14, 2016 4:49am
Bought ucad risking -8 (LL).
  • #10,436
  • Edited 6:00am Dec 14, 2016 5:42am | Edited 6:00am
Quoting goosebone
{quote} Would be interesting to see how far Johnny can throw the ball this time from 1.046x or lower. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...26#post6139226
today is a good day to find out. the field has been measured. we don't know whats baked in. it dropped near last support in the lead up. if it holds or not is a guess. if it holds or not, it wouldn't be a surprise to me to end up at 1.108 after bears tire. even with a fresh new -1.0461 LL. but if this is mostly priced in, i wouldn't be surprised for 1.2xx. still expect a 0.8 or 0.7 handle in the future. how far in the future can take years. the last 45 ish years have a weaker usd cycle when gop at helm. this time who knows, its not grandpas gop anymore. atm dems r getting kicked out, and usd is near high strong points. if the past repeats, usd may weaken this helm change cycle.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,437
  • Dec 14, 2016 6:42am Dec 14, 2016 6:42am
#audjpy pending sell 87.64 MN chart. (87.664 schick's)
  • #10,438
  • Dec 14, 2016 7:18am Dec 14, 2016 7:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it dropped near last support in the lead up. if it holds or not is a guess. if it holds or not, it wouldn't be a surprise to me to end up at 1.108 after bears tire. even with a fresh new -1.0461 LL. but if this is mostly priced in, i wouldn't be surprised for 1.2xx. still expect a 0.8 or 0.7 handle in the future. how far in the future can take years. the last 45 ish years have a weaker usd cycle when gop at helm. this time who knows, it's not grandpas...
Thats for sure. I wonder too if that correlation will be broken here and now. Anti trade, increased govt spending, debt and deficit looks like a donkey wearing an elephant costume in many ways where the economy is concerned. Tax cuts might bring it back to gop normal I guess. Grand New Party? Anyway interesting times.
  • #10,439
  • Dec 14, 2016 11:18am Dec 14, 2016 11:18am
Quoting goosebone
{quote} Thats for sure. I wonder too if that correlation will be broken here and now. Anti trade, increased govt spending, debt and deficit looks like a donkey wearing an elephant costume in many ways where the economy is concerned. Tax cuts might bring it back to gop normal I guess. Grand New Party? Anyway interesting times.
the talk about infrastructure spending isn't new. now its like the greatest plan ever. had some been allowed the past 8. u.s. gdp would be up and unemployment even lower. that would have caused a rise in pay. the clock starts ticking next month. unemployment at 5ish % is hard to follow up with a better number. especially for an extended length of time. dow at 20k.. is also probably a hard one to follow. the clock looks to be starting on a high mark. gw started at a decent mark also, it ended on a low mark.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #10,440
  • Dec 14, 2016 1:17pm Dec 14, 2016 1:17pm
Pfffffff
233 traders viewing now, 1 is registered:
sidhgenius